Milan 1:2 Cagliari: xG & match report · Serie A

Sunday, 24/05/2026 at 20:45

Full time

Match report · Serie A

Milan Home 1.74 xG · 16 shots

Cagliari Away 2.78 xG · 25 shots

12 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

2' Alexis Saelemaekers Milan · 0.43 xG chance 1–0
20' Gennaro Borrelli Cagliari · 0.38 xG chance 1–1
57' Juan Rodríguez Cagliari · 0.54 xG chance 1–2

The shots behind it

Milan Cagliari

Shots: 16; 25
On target: 3; 10
Inside the box: 13; 16
xG per shot: 0.11; 0.12
Open play xG: 1.67; 1.78
Set-piece xG: 0.12; 1.18
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.75 for Milan and 2.92 for Cagliari.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

41 shots · 4.75 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Milan
Cagliari
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Milan

1.25 xG created 1.12 xGA

L 1.78 created, 1.19 conceded against Udinese
W 0.85 created, 0.71 conceded against Hellas Verona
D 0.65 created, 0.52 conceded against Juventus
L 0.24 created, 1.58 conceded against Sassuolo
L 2.21 created, 1.38 conceded against Atalanta
W 1.75 created, 1.32 conceded against Genoa

Cagliari

1.17 xG created 1.28 xGA

W 1.17 created, 0.28 conceded against Cremonese
L 0.41 created, 2.23 conceded against Inter
W 1.56 created, 1.18 conceded against Atalanta
D 1.07 created, 0.53 conceded against Bologna
L 1.47 created, 2.47 conceded against Udinese
W 1.32 created, 0.99 conceded against Torino

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Milan: 1 won · 0 drawn · 0 lost

Cagliari 0:1 Milan 02/01/2026 xG 0.38 – 0.70

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.