Inter 3:0 Cagliari: xG & match report · Serie A

Friday, 17/04/2026 at 20:45

Full time

Match report · Serie A

Inter Home 2.23 xG · 18 shots

Cagliari Away 0.41 xG · 10 shots

30 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

52' Marcus Thuram Inter · 0.79 xG chance 1–0
56' Nicolò Barella Inter · 0.11 xG chance 2–0
90' Piotr Zieliński Inter · 0.05 xG chance 3–0

The shots behind it

Inter Cagliari

Shots: 18; 10
On target: 5; 1
Inside the box: 12; 4
xG per shot: 0.12; 0.04
Open play xG: 1.92; 0.30
Set-piece xG: 0.32; 0.12
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 2.19 for Inter and 0.42 for Cagliari.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

28 shots · 2.66 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Inter
Cagliari
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Inter

1.29 xG created 1.41 xGA

W 1.54 created, 0.21 conceded against Genoa
L 1.24 created, 0.77 conceded against Milan
D 1.58 created, 1.12 conceded against Atalanta
D 1.32 created, 2.28 conceded against Fiorentina
W 1.17 created, 0.96 conceded against Roma
W 0.88 created, 3.12 conceded against Como

Cagliari

0.91 xG created 1.14 xGA

D 0.52 created, 1.28 conceded against Parma
L 0.47 created, 0.55 conceded against Como
L 1.31 created, 2.47 conceded against Pisa
L 0.35 created, 1.77 conceded against Napoli
L 1.63 created, 0.47 conceded against Sassuolo
W 1.17 created, 0.28 conceded against Cremonese

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Inter: 1 won · 0 drawn · 0 lost

Cagliari 0:2 Inter 27/09/2025 xG 0.18 – 2.82

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.