Iraklis 1908's recorded results for 2026/2027, newest first, with the available xG behind each score. Compare outcomes with the chances created and conceded, then open a match for more detail.
Showing 5 of 5 matching results
5 played this season
Results
- Wins – draws – losses (W–D–L)
- 1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss
6 pts 4–6 goals −2 GD
Chances
- Provider xG / xGA
- 2.84 – 7.25
- 0.57 – 1.45 per match
- xGD
- -4.41
- -0.88 per match
- xG record
- 0 with the chances, 1 with even chances, 4 against them
Comparable xG: 5 of 5 completed results.
Points vs xPts Model
6 pts 3.3 xPts
+2.7 vs xPts
Matched xPts: 5 of 5 selected results.
Model · How xPts works →Match points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before deductions or sanctions.
Points vs xPts uses only matches with available xPts on both sides of the comparison.
What the results say
Season · All competitions · All venues
Iraklis 1908's mixed record runs ahead of the chances they created and conceded. They out-created the opponent in 0 of 5 matches, for −4.41 xG difference overall on 2.84–7.25. Their points total of 6 sits 2.7 above the model's 3.3 xPts, so the results have clearly outrun the chances.
Points minus xPts, match by match
Over these 5 results Iraklis 1908 are 2.74 points above their xPts.
- Points
- 6
- xPts
- 3.26
- Gap
- +2.74
- This match
- Match gap
- Running gap
| Date | Opponent | Points | xPts | Match gap | Running gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 22/08 | AEK Athens | 0 | 0.24 | -0.24 | -0.24 |
| Sat 29/08 | NPS Volos | 1 | 0.67 | +0.33 | +0.09 |
| Mon 07/09 | Asteras Aktor | 3 | 1.26 | +1.74 | +1.83 |
| Sat 12/09 | Atromitos Athens | 1 | 0.68 | +0.32 | +2.15 |
| Sat 19/09 | Aris Thessaloniki | 1 | 0.41 | +0.59 | +2.74 |
Scores and xG
Iraklis 1908 first
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Match analysis →
Why this label · Aris Thessaloniki, Sat 19/09
The match was drawn although the team recorded less xG. The outcome was stronger than that chance difference suggests.
An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.
- Points
- 1
- Post-match model xPts
- 0.41
- Points minus xPts
- +0.59
xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.
Learn how xG and xPts are calculated → -
Match analysis →
Why this label · Atromitos Athens, Sat 12/09
The match was drawn although the team recorded less xG. The outcome was stronger than that chance difference suggests.
An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.
- Points
- 1
- Post-match model xPts
- 0.68
- Points minus xPts
- +0.32
xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.
Learn how xG and xPts are calculated → -
Match analysis →
Why this label · Asteras Aktor, Mon 07/09
The team won, while the chance difference was approximately even. The outcome was stronger than that difference alone suggests.
An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.
- Points
- 3
- Post-match model xPts
- 1.26
- Points minus xPts
- +1.74
xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.
Learn how xG and xPts are calculated → -
Match analysis →
Why this label · NPS Volos, Sat 29/08
The match was drawn although the team recorded less xG. The outcome was stronger than that chance difference suggests.
An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.
- Points
- 1
- Post-match model xPts
- 0.68
- Points minus xPts
- +0.32
xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.
Learn how xG and xPts are calculated → -
Match analysis →
Why this label · AEK Athens, Sat 22/08
The team lost and recorded less xG than its opponent. The direction of the result aligns with the chance difference.
An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.
- Points
- 0
- Post-match model xPts
- 0.24
- Points minus xPts
- -0.24
xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.
Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
Biggest overperformance
Asteras Aktor 2:0
· Away xG / xGA 0.92 – 0.99
- Goal difference
- +2
- xGD
- -0.07
- GD minus xGD
- +2.07
Among 5 comparable results.
Open match →
Biggest underperformance
AEK Athens 0:4
· Away xG / xGA 0.38 – 2.06
- Goal difference
- -4
- xGD
- -1.68
- GD minus xGD
- -2.32
Among 5 comparable results.
Open match →
Reading these results
xG is the provider's estimate of chances created; xGA is the opponent's xG. xGD is the difference. Labels compare the recorded outcome with those chances; they are interpretations, not judgments about fairness.
xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.
How each figure on this page is read
Every xG bar is drawn on one fixed scale: full width is 7.20 xG, the same on every card and in every window, so two cards can be compared by eye. A rarer match above that is capped with a hatched end, and the figure beside the bar still gives its value.
An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.
Goal difference minus xGD says how far a scoreline finished from the chances behind it: a 4:2 won off level chances ran nearly two goals ahead of them. The two callouts under the list name the match that ran furthest each way, and a direction with no result a full goal clear of the chances gets no card rather than a card built from a rounding.
Windows count back from the most recent recorded match, and only matches attached to this club record are included. Home and away mean the provider-designated side, not a verified physical venue. Scores describe recorded play, not shootout advancement. Unverified periods receive no chance comparison.
1 non-result notice
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Not played / no final result
Asteras Aktor