xgEdge

Expected goals

Iraklis 1908 expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

Super League Greece · after 5 matches · updated 1 Oct

Iraklis 1908's attacking and defensive expected goals in Super League Greece 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

Iraklis 1908 xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
0.57 xG per match
#14/14
Attack (xG per match) across Super League Greece, best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 Panathinaikos 2.13
#2 AEK Athens 2.02
#3 PAOK 1.85
#4 Olympiacos FC 1.81
#5 Aris Thessaloniki 1.52
#6 AE Kifisia 1.33
#7 PS Kalamata 1.26
#8 Asteras Aktor 1.04
#9 OFI Crete 1.04
#10 NPS Volos 0.93
#11 Atromitos Athens 0.91
#12 Panetolikos 0.89
#13 APO Levadiakos 0.62
#14 Iraklis 1908 0.57
League avg
1.27
Total
2.84 5 matches
Defence
1.45 xGA per match
#9/14
Defence (xGA per match) across Super League Greece, best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 Olympiacos FC 0.56
#2 AE Kifisia 0.70
#3 Panathinaikos 0.81
#4 AEK Athens 0.95
#5 OFI Crete 1.18
#6 PAOK 1.20
#7 Asteras Aktor 1.24
#8 APO Levadiakos 1.41
#9 Iraklis 1908 1.45
#10 Atromitos Athens 1.53
#11 NPS Volos 1.53
#12 PS Kalamata 1.57
#13 Panetolikos 1.59
#14 Aris Thessaloniki 1.81
League avg
1.27
Total
7.25 5 matches
xG difference
-0.88 xGD per match
#14/14
xG difference (xGD per match) across Super League Greece, best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 Panathinaikos +1.31
#2 Olympiacos FC +1.25
#3 AEK Athens +1.07
#4 PAOK +0.65
#5 AE Kifisia +0.63
#6 OFI Crete -0.14
#7 Asteras Aktor -0.20
#8 Aris Thessaloniki -0.28
#9 PS Kalamata -0.31
#10 NPS Volos -0.60
#11 Atromitos Athens -0.62
#12 Panetolikos -0.70
#13 APO Levadiakos -0.79
#14 Iraklis 1908 -0.88
League avg
0.00
Total
-4.41 5 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
0.65 xPts per match
#14/14
Expected points (xPts per match) across Super League Greece, best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 Olympiacos FC 2.25
#2 Panathinaikos 2.17
#3 AEK Athens 1.96
#4 AE Kifisia 1.92
#5 PAOK 1.88
#6 Aris Thessaloniki 1.39
#7 Asteras Aktor 1.22
#8 OFI Crete 1.22
#9 PS Kalamata 1.20
#10 Atromitos Athens 1.02
#11 Panetolikos 1.02
#12 NPS Volos 0.94
#13 APO Levadiakos 0.71
#14 Iraklis 1908 0.65
League avg
1.38
Total
3.26 vs 6 actual pts

Early-season figures: after 5 matches, per-match rates can move quickly.

What the xG says

Iraklis 1908's underlying numbers are among the weakest in Super League Greece. They rank #14 for xG difference at -0.88 per match, from the league's lowest shot volume and low chance quality. Their 4 goals are 1.16 above 2.84 xG, while 6 points are 2.74 above 3.26 xPts. After only 5 matches, those gaps should still be read cautiously.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG
4 2.84 +1.16 scored 1.16 more than xG within normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
6 7.25 -1.25 conceded 1.25 fewer than xGA within normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
6 3.26 +2.74 2.74 points above xPts outside normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

Iraklis 1908 are 1.16 goals above their xG after 5 matches. The gap was widest at +1.53, against Atromitos Athens on Sat 12/09.

Goals
4
xG
2.84
Gap
+1.16
Sat 22/08 Sat 29/08 Mon 07/09 Sat 12/09 Sat 19/09 -1 0 +1 +2 -0.38 +0.14 +1.22 +1.53 +1.16 -0.38 +0.52 +1.08 +0.31 -0.37 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
Iraklis 1908: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Sat 22/08 AEK Athens 0 0.38 -0.38 -0.38
Sat 29/08 NPS Volos 1 0.48 +0.52 +0.14
Mon 07/09 Asteras Aktor 2 0.92 +1.08 +1.22
Sat 12/09 Atromitos Athens 1 0.69 +0.31 +1.53
Sat 19/09 Aris Thessaloniki 0 0.37 -0.37 +1.16

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking →

Iraklis 1908 xG trend

Current form -0.73 npxGD per match

All 5 matches with xG so far — the window fills at 6.

Out-created the opponent in 1 of 5 matches. The worst was against AEK Athens on Sat 22/08 (-1.69).

npxG · last 5
0.57
npxGA · last 5
1.30
-2 -1 0 +1 -1.69 Sat 22/08 -0.71 Sat 29/08 +0.72 Mon 07/09 -0.78 Sat 12/09 -1.17 Sat 19/09 -0.73 season avg
Iraklis 1908: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Sat 22/08 AEK Athens 0.39 2.08 -1.69 -1.69
Sat 29/08 NPS Volos 0.48 1.19 -0.71 -1.20
Mon 07/09 Asteras Aktor 0.92 0.20 +0.72 -0.56
Sat 12/09 Atromitos Athens 0.69 1.47 -0.78 -0.62
Sat 19/09 Aris Thessaloniki 0.37 1.54 -1.17 -0.73

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 0.57 npxG and 1.30 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
number 7 hardest of 14 in Super League Greece
+0.02 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

+0.02 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 7 hardest of 14

  1. Aris Thessaloniki Away +0.07
  2. Atromitos Athens Home −0.10
  3. Asteras Aktor Away −0.20
  4. NPS Volos Away −0.28
  5. AEK Athens Away +0.61

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

Iraklis 1908 shots and chance quality

Low volume, low quality. Iraklis 1908 take 7.8 shots a match (league 12.5) at 0.07 npxG a shot (league 0.09), #14 in Super League Greece for volume and #13 for quality. 41% of their shots come from inside the box (league 64%), and set pieces produce 27% of their npxG (league 23%).

Attack

Shot volume
7.8 shots per match
#14/14
Shot volume (shots per match) across Super League Greece, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Olympiacos FC 19.2
#2 Panathinaikos 18.0
#3 AEK Athens 17.2
#4 Aris Thessaloniki 16.2
#5 PAOK 12.2
=6 Asteras Aktor 11.6
=6 Atromitos Athens 11.6
=6 PS Kalamata 11.6
#9 AE Kifisia 11.5
#10 NPS Volos 11.2
#11 OFI Crete 10.8
#12 APO Levadiakos 9.2
#13 Panetolikos 8.8
#14 Iraklis 1908 7.8
League avg
12.5
Total
39 shots from 5 matches
Chance quality
0.07 npxG per shot
#13/14
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Super League Greece, best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 Panetolikos 0.13
#2 PAOK 0.13
#3 PS Kalamata 0.11
#4 AEK Athens 0.11
#5 AE Kifisia 0.10
#6 Panathinaikos 0.09
#7 OFI Crete 0.08
#8 NPS Volos 0.08
#9 Olympiacos FC 0.08
#10 Asteras Aktor 0.08
#11 Aris Thessaloniki 0.08
#12 Atromitos Athens 0.07
#13 Iraklis 1908 0.07
#14 APO Levadiakos 0.07
League avg
0.09
Total
2.85 npxG from 39 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
17.6 shots per match
#14/14
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Super League Greece, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 AE Kifisia 8.3
#2 Panathinaikos 8.7
#3 Olympiacos FC 9.0
#4 AEK Athens 10.6
#5 Aris Thessaloniki 11.4
#6 NPS Volos 12.4
#7 Asteras Aktor 12.6
#8 APO Levadiakos 13.0
#9 PAOK 13.2
#10 Atromitos Athens 13.6
#11 OFI Crete 14.0
#12 Panetolikos 14.5
#13 PS Kalamata 14.8
#14 Iraklis 1908 17.6
League avg
12.5
Total
88 shots allowed from 5 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.07 npxGA per shot
#3/14
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Super League Greece, best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 Olympiacos FC 0.06
#2 OFI Crete 0.07
#3 Iraklis 1908 0.07
#4 PAOK 0.07
#5 AE Kifisia 0.09
#6 Panetolikos 0.09
#7 NPS Volos 0.09
#8 Atromitos Athens 0.09
#9 AEK Athens 0.09
#10 PS Kalamata 0.10
#11 Asteras Aktor 0.10
#12 APO Levadiakos 0.10
#13 Panathinaikos 0.13
#14 Aris Thessaloniki 0.15
League avg
0.09
Total
6.48 npxGA from 88 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

41% inside the box

League avg 64%

From 16 of 39 shots over 5 matches

Early-season figure: after 5 matches, the share can move quickly.

Shots allowed, location

61% allowed inside the box

League avg 64%

From 54 of 88 shots allowed over 5 matches

Early-season figure: after 5 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG comes from

73% open play · 27% set pieces

League avg 23% set pieces

From 0.6 of 2.1 npxG over 5 matches

Early-season figure: after 5 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG allowed comes from

79% open play · 21% set pieces

League avg 23% set pieces

From 1.5 of 7.2 npxG allowed over 5 matches

Early-season figure: after 5 matches, the share can move quickly.

How the shot figures are made →

Iraklis 1908 home and away xG

Iraklis 1908 per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home only 1 match with xG Away
Matches 1 4
xG / match 0.69 0.54
xGA / match 1.47 1.45
xGD / match -0.78 -0.91
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 0.68 0.64

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every Iraklis 1908 match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

This season

Matches
5
xG / match
0.57
xGA / match
1.45
xGD / match
-0.88
Points
6 of 15
  1. Sat 19/09 Aris Thessaloniki A xG 0.37 xGA 1.54 xGD -1.17
  2. Sat 12/09 Atromitos Athens H xG 0.69 xGA 1.47 xGD -0.78
  3. Mon 07/09 Asteras Aktor A Best underlying xG 0.92 xGA 0.99 P xGD -0.07
  4. Sat 29/08 NPS Volos A xG 0.48 xGA 1.19 xGD -0.71
  5. Sat 22/08 AEK Athens A Weakest underlying xG 0.38 xGA 2.06 xGD -1.68

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.00. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

Iraklis 1908 in Super League Greece

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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