xgEdge

Expected goals

Erzurumspor FK expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

Süper Lig · after 6 matches · updated 1 Oct

Erzurumspor FK's attacking and defensive expected goals in Süper Lig 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

Erzurumspor FK xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
0.67 xG per match
#18/18
Attack (xG per match) across Süper Lig, best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 Galatasaray 2.36
#2 Fenerbahçe 2.32
#3 Göztepe 1.99
#4 Amed Sportif Faaliyetler 1.95
#5 Beşiktaş 1.85
#6 Trabzonspor 1.71
#7 Başakşehir FK 1.63
#8 Çaykur Rizespor 1.43
#9 Çorum FK 1.30
#10 Alanyaspor 1.24
#11 Konyaspor 1.24
#12 Samsunspor 1.15
#13 Kasımpaşa 1.14
#14 Gaziantep FK 1.11
#15 Kocaelispor 1.04
#16 Gençlerbirliği 1.01
#17 Eyüpspor 0.82
#18 Erzurumspor FK 0.67
League avg
1.44
Total
4.03 6 matches
Defence
1.59 xGA per match
#14/18
Defence (xGA per match) across Süper Lig, best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 Beşiktaş 0.66
#2 Amed Sportif Faaliyetler 0.99
#3 Kasımpaşa 1.04
#4 Galatasaray 1.12
#5 Fenerbahçe 1.13
#6 Konyaspor 1.22
#7 Alanyaspor 1.28
#8 Çaykur Rizespor 1.31
#9 Kocaelispor 1.41
#10 Gaziantep FK 1.47
#11 Samsunspor 1.53
=12 Trabzonspor 1.56
=12 Çorum FK 1.56
#14 Erzurumspor FK 1.59
#15 Başakşehir FK 1.88
#16 Göztepe 1.92
#17 Eyüpspor 2.15
#18 Gençlerbirliği 2.16
League avg
1.44
Total
9.54 6 matches
xG difference
-0.92 xGD per match
#16/18
xG difference (xGD per match) across Süper Lig, best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 Galatasaray +1.24
#2 Beşiktaş +1.19
#3 Fenerbahçe +1.19
#4 Amed Sportif Faaliyetler +0.96
#5 Trabzonspor +0.16
#6 Çaykur Rizespor +0.11
#7 Kasımpaşa +0.10
#8 Göztepe +0.07
#9 Konyaspor +0.02
#10 Alanyaspor -0.04
#11 Başakşehir FK -0.25
#12 Çorum FK -0.25
#13 Gaziantep FK -0.36
#14 Kocaelispor -0.37
#15 Samsunspor -0.37
#16 Erzurumspor FK -0.92
#17 Gençlerbirliği -1.15
#18 Eyüpspor -1.32
League avg
0.00
Total
-5.51 6 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
0.82 xPts per match
#16/18
Expected points (xPts per match) across Süper Lig, best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 Beşiktaş 2.23
#2 Galatasaray 2.12
#3 Fenerbahçe 1.97
#4 Amed Sportif Faaliyetler 1.84
#5 Çaykur Rizespor 1.54
#6 Göztepe 1.47
#7 Trabzonspor 1.45
#8 Başakşehir FK 1.40
#9 Kasımpaşa 1.39
#10 Konyaspor 1.38
#11 Çorum FK 1.36
#12 Alanyaspor 1.29
#13 Kocaelispor 1.13
#14 Gaziantep FK 1.11
#15 Samsunspor 1.02
#16 Erzurumspor FK 0.82
#17 Gençlerbirliği 0.72
#18 Eyüpspor 0.71
League avg
1.39
Total
4.90 vs 7 actual pts

Early-season figures: after 6 matches, per-match rates can move quickly.

What the xG says

Erzurumspor FK's underlying numbers are among the weakest in Süper Lig. They rank #16 for xG difference at -0.92 per match, from the league's lowest shot volume and low chance quality. Their 3 goals are 1.03 below 4.03 xG, while 7 points are 2.10 above 4.90 xPts. After only 6 matches, those gaps should still be read cautiously.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG
3 4.03 -1.03 scored 1.03 fewer than xG within normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
11 9.54 +1.46 conceded 1.46 more than xGA within normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
7 4.90 +2.10 2.10 points above xPts within normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

Erzurumspor FK are 1.03 goals below their xG after 6 matches. The gap was widest at -1.31, against Beşiktaş on Fri 11/09.

Goals
3
xG
4.03
Gap
-1.03
Sun 16/08 Fri 21/08 Fri 28/08 Sat 05/09 Fri 11/09 Sun 20/09 -2 -1 0 +1 -0.23 -0.71 -0.57 -0.81 -1.31 -1.03 -0.23 -0.48 +0.14 -0.24 -0.50 +0.28 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
Erzurumspor FK: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Sun 16/08 Amed Sportif Faaliyetler 0 0.23 -0.23 -0.23
Fri 21/08 Galatasaray 0 0.48 -0.48 -0.71
Fri 28/08 Gençlerbirliği 1 0.86 +0.14 -0.57
Sat 05/09 Konyaspor 1 1.24 -0.24 -0.81
Fri 11/09 Beşiktaş 0 0.50 -0.50 -1.31
Sun 20/09 Samsunspor 1 0.72 +0.28 -1.03

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking →

Erzurumspor FK xG trend

Current form -0.77 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 2 of 6 matches. The worst was against Galatasaray on Fri 21/08 (-2.07).

npxG · last 6
0.70
npxGA · last 6
1.47
-3 -2 -1 0 +1 -0.83 Sun 16/08 -2.07 Fri 21/08 +0.17 Fri 28/08 -0.31 Sat 05/09 -1.94 Fri 11/09 +0.37 Sun 20/09 -0.77 season avg
Erzurumspor FK: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Sun 16/08 Amed Sportif Faaliyetler 0.32 1.15 -0.83 -0.83
Fri 21/08 Galatasaray 0.49 2.56 -2.07 -1.45
Fri 28/08 Gençlerbirliği 0.97 0.80 +0.17 -0.91
Sat 05/09 Konyaspor 1.25 1.56 -0.31 -0.76
Fri 11/09 Beşiktaş 0.41 2.35 -1.94 -1.00
Sun 20/09 Samsunspor 0.77 0.40 +0.37 -0.77

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 0.70 npxG and 1.47 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
number 1 hardest of 18 in Süper Lig
+0.13 xG vs league average
Over 6 league matches
Last 5
tied number 1 hardest of 18 in Süper Lig
+0.11 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

+0.13 xG vs league average · over 6 matches · number 1 hardest of 18

  1. Samsunspor Home −0.22
  2. Beşiktaş Away +0.56
  3. Konyaspor Home −0.08
  4. Gençlerbirliği Away −0.40
  5. Galatasaray Home +0.67
  6. Amed Sportif Faaliyetler Away +0.27

Last 5

+0.11 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · tied number 1 hardest of 18

  1. Samsunspor Home −0.22
  2. Beşiktaş Away +0.56
  3. Konyaspor Home −0.08
  4. Gençlerbirliği Away −0.40
  5. Galatasaray Home +0.67

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

Erzurumspor FK shots and chance quality

Low volume, low quality. Erzurumspor FK take 9.0 shots a match (league 14.1) at 0.08 npxG a shot (league 0.09), #18 in Süper Lig for volume and #12 for quality. 63% of their shots come from inside the box (league 62%), and set pieces produce 30% of their npxG (league 25%).

Attack

Shot volume
9.0 shots per match
#18/18
Shot volume (shots per match) across Süper Lig, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Galatasaray 22.7
#2 Fenerbahçe 18.3
#3 Beşiktaş 17.8
#4 Göztepe 17.2
#5 Çaykur Rizespor 15.5
#6 Amed Sportif Faaliyetler 14.7
#7 Trabzonspor 14.2
#8 Samsunspor 13.2
=9 Başakşehir FK 13.0
=9 Eyüpspor 13.0
=9 Gaziantep FK 13.0
=9 Çorum FK 13.0
#13 Kocaelispor 12.3
#14 Gençlerbirliği 12.0
#15 Kasımpaşa 11.8
#16 Konyaspor 11.7
#17 Alanyaspor 10.8
#18 Erzurumspor FK 9.0
League avg
14.1
Total
54 shots from 6 matches
Chance quality
0.08 npxG per shot
#12/18
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Süper Lig, best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 Fenerbahçe 0.12
#2 Amed Sportif Faaliyetler 0.12
#3 Alanyaspor 0.11
#4 Trabzonspor 0.11
#5 Konyaspor 0.10
#6 Galatasaray 0.10
#7 Başakşehir FK 0.09
#8 Beşiktaş 0.09
#9 Çorum FK 0.08
#10 Gençlerbirliği 0.08
#11 Kasımpaşa 0.08
#12 Erzurumspor FK 0.08
#13 Çaykur Rizespor 0.08
#14 Göztepe 0.08
#15 Kocaelispor 0.08
#16 Gaziantep FK 0.07
#17 Samsunspor 0.06
#18 Eyüpspor 0.06
League avg
0.09
Total
4.21 npxG from 54 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
13.7 shots per match
#8/18
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Süper Lig, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Beşiktaş 8.5
#2 Galatasaray 10.0
#3 Amed Sportif Faaliyetler 11.0
#4 Fenerbahçe 12.5
#5 Trabzonspor 12.7
=6 Başakşehir FK 13.5
=6 Kasımpaşa 13.5
#8 Erzurumspor FK 13.7
#9 Alanyaspor 14.2
#10 Gaziantep FK 14.3
#11 Eyüpspor 14.5
#12 Çaykur Rizespor 14.8
#13 Konyaspor 15.0
#14 Samsunspor 15.3
#15 Çorum FK 16.2
#16 Kocaelispor 17.2
=17 Gençlerbirliği 18.2
=17 Göztepe 18.2
League avg
14.1
Total
82 shots allowed from 6 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.11 npxGA per shot
#16/18
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Süper Lig, best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 Konyaspor 0.07
#2 Beşiktaş 0.07
#3 Kasımpaşa 0.07
#4 Gaziantep FK 0.08
#5 Alanyaspor 0.08
#6 Amed Sportif Faaliyetler 0.08
#7 Göztepe 0.08
#8 Çaykur Rizespor 0.08
#9 Kocaelispor 0.08
#10 Çorum FK 0.08
#11 Fenerbahçe 0.09
#12 Trabzonspor 0.09
#13 Samsunspor 0.09
#14 Galatasaray 0.10
#15 Gençlerbirliği 0.10
#16 Erzurumspor FK 0.11
#17 Eyüpspor 0.12
#18 Başakşehir FK 0.13
League avg
0.09
Total
8.82 npxGA from 82 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

63% inside the box

League avg 62%

From 34 of 54 shots over 6 matches

Early-season figure: after 6 matches, the share can move quickly.

Shots allowed, location

63% allowed inside the box

League avg 62%

From 52 of 82 shots allowed over 6 matches

Early-season figure: after 6 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG comes from

70% open play · 30% set pieces

League avg 25% set pieces

From 1.2 of 4.1 npxG over 6 matches

Early-season figure: after 6 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG allowed comes from

75% open play · 25% set pieces

League avg 25% set pieces

From 2.2 of 8.9 npxG allowed over 6 matches

Early-season figure: after 6 matches, the share can move quickly.

How the shot figures are made →

Erzurumspor FK home and away xG

Erzurumspor FK per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 3 3
xG / match 0.81 0.53
xGA / match 1.67 1.51
xGD / match -0.85 -0.98
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 0.97 0.66

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every Erzurumspor FK match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

Away this season

Matches
3
xG / match
0.53
xGA / match
1.51
xGD / match
-0.98
Points
1 of 9
  1. Fri 11/09 Beşiktaş A xG 0.50 xGA 2.29 xGD -1.79
  2. Fri 28/08 Gençlerbirliği A xG 0.86 xGA 0.75 xGD +0.11
  3. Sun 16/08 Amed Sportif Faaliyetler A xG 0.23 xGA 1.50 xGD -1.27

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.00. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

Erzurumspor FK in Süper Lig

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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