xgEdge

Expected goals

UTA Arad expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

SuperLiga (Romania) · after 9 matches · updated 1 Oct

UTA Arad's attacking and defensive expected goals in SuperLiga (Romania) 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

UTA Arad xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
1.87 xG per match
#7/16
Attack (xG per match) across SuperLiga (Romania), best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 Universitatea Craiova 2.45
#2 FCSB 2.18
#3 FC Dinamo București 2.17
#4 CFR 1907 Cluj 1.99
#5 FC Botoșani 1.99
#6 FC Universitatea Cluj 1.98
#7 UTA Arad 1.87
#8 FC Rapid București 1.79
#9 FC Farul Constanța 1.63
#10 FC Corvinul Hunedoara 1.61
#11 FC Voluntari 1.53
#12 FC Petrolul Ploieşti 1.34
#13 SC Oțelul Galați 1.33
#14 Sepsi OSK 1.19
#15 FC Argeș Pitești 1.18
#16 FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc 0.74
League avg
1.69
Total
16.84 9 matches
Defence
1.24 xGA per match
#5/16
Defence (xGA per match) across SuperLiga (Romania), best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 Universitatea Craiova 1.11
#2 FC Rapid București 1.12
#3 FC Dinamo București 1.15
#4 FC Argeș Pitești 1.21
#5 UTA Arad 1.24
#6 FC Corvinul Hunedoara 1.49
#7 FC Farul Constanța 1.68
#8 FC Universitatea Cluj 1.70
#9 FCSB 1.70
#10 Sepsi OSK 1.73
#11 SC Oțelul Galați 1.78
#12 FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc 1.95
#13 CFR 1907 Cluj 2.04
#14 FC Botoșani 2.10
#15 FC Petrolul Ploieşti 2.38
#16 FC Voluntari 2.61
League avg
1.69
Total
11.20 9 matches
xG difference
+0.63 xGD per match
#4/16
xG difference (xGD per match) across SuperLiga (Romania), best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 Universitatea Craiova +1.34
#2 FC Dinamo București +1.02
#3 FC Rapid București +0.67
#4 UTA Arad +0.63
#5 FCSB +0.48
#6 FC Universitatea Cluj +0.28
#7 FC Corvinul Hunedoara +0.11
#8 FC Argeș Pitești -0.03
#9 CFR 1907 Cluj -0.05
#10 FC Farul Constanța -0.05
#11 FC Botoșani -0.11
#12 SC Oțelul Galați -0.45
#13 Sepsi OSK -0.54
#14 FC Petrolul Ploieşti -1.04
#15 FC Voluntari -1.08
#16 FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc -1.22
League avg
0.00
Total
+5.64 9 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
1.78 xPts per match
#4/16
Expected points (xPts per match) across SuperLiga (Romania), best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 FC Dinamo București 2.04
#2 Universitatea Craiova 2.03
#3 FC Rapid București 1.78
#4 UTA Arad 1.78
#5 FCSB 1.59
#6 FC Universitatea Cluj 1.55
#7 FC Farul Constanța 1.45
#8 CFR 1907 Cluj 1.43
#9 FC Corvinul Hunedoara 1.39
#10 FC Argeș Pitești 1.37
#11 FC Botoșani 1.34
#12 Sepsi OSK 1.10
#13 SC Oțelul Galați 1.09
#14 FC Petrolul Ploieşti 1.06
#15 FC Voluntari 0.81
#16 FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc 0.55
League avg
1.40
Total
16.01 vs 12 actual pts

Early-season figures: after 9 matches, per-match rates can move quickly.

Expected goals here are summed over 9 of 10 matches — the rest were played with no xG figure published for them, so the margins compare two different lengths of season.

What the xG says

UTA Arad's underlying numbers are among the best in SuperLiga (Romania). They rank #4 for xG difference at +0.63 per match, driven by elite shot volume at about average chance quality. Their 14 goals are 2.84 below 16.84 xG, while 12 points are 4.01 below 16.01 xPts — both over the 9 matches with xG. After only 9 matches, those gaps should still be read cautiously.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG
14 16.84 -2.84 scored 2.84 fewer than xG within normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
11 11.20 -0.20 conceded 0.20 fewer than xGA within normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
12 16.01 -4.01 4.01 points below xPts outside normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

UTA Arad are 2.84 goals below their xG after 9 matches. The gap was widest at -5.42, against FC Corvinul Hunedoara on Sat 22/08.

Goals
14
xG
16.84
Gap
-2.84
Fri 24/07 Sat 01/08 Fri 07/08 Mon 17/08 Sat 22/08 Sun 30/08 Sat 05/09 Fri 11/09 Fri 18/09 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 +1 -0.25 -1.76 -2.60 -4.07 -5.42 -3.50 -1.36 -1.34 -2.84 -0.25 -1.51 -0.84 -1.47 -1.35 +1.92 +2.14 +0.02 -1.50 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
UTA Arad: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Fri 24/07 SC Oțelul Galați 2 2.25 -0.25 -0.25
Sat 01/08 FC Voluntari 0 1.51 -1.51 -1.76
Fri 07/08 FC Rapid București 0 0.84 -0.84 -2.60
Mon 17/08 FC Universitatea Cluj 1 2.47 -1.47 -4.07
Sat 22/08 FC Corvinul Hunedoara 0 1.35 -1.35 -5.42
Sun 30/08 FCSB 3 1.08 +1.92 -3.50
Sat 05/09 FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc 5 2.86 +2.14 -1.36
Fri 11/09 FC Farul Constanța 2 1.98 +0.02 -1.34
Fri 18/09 Sepsi OSK 1 2.50 -1.50 -2.84

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking → Compare with every club in Europe →

UTA Arad xG trend

Current form +0.54 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 6 of 9 matches. The worst was against FCSB on Sun 30/08 (-0.37).

npxG · last 6
2.04
npxGA · last 6
1.50
-1 0 +1 +2 +1.88 Fri 24/07 +0.72 Sat 01/08 -0.21 Fri 07/08 +0.17 Mon 17/08 +0.06 Sat 22/08 -0.37 Sun 30/08 +1.70 Sat 05/09 -0.09 Fri 11/09 +1.78 Fri 18/09 +0.63 season avg
UTA Arad: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Fri 24/07 SC Oțelul Galați 2.25 0.37 +1.88 +1.88
Sat 01/08 FC Voluntari 1.51 0.79 +0.72 +1.30
Fri 07/08 FC Rapid București 0.84 1.05 -0.21 +0.80
Mon 17/08 FC Universitatea Cluj 2.47 2.30 +0.17 +0.64
Sat 22/08 FC Corvinul Hunedoara 1.35 1.29 +0.06 +0.52
Sun 30/08 FCSB 1.08 1.45 -0.37 +0.38
Sat 05/09 FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc 2.86 1.16 +1.70 +0.56
Fri 11/09 FC Farul Constanța 1.98 2.07 -0.09 +0.48
Fri 18/09 Sepsi OSK 2.50 0.72 +1.78 +0.63

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.87 npxG and 1.24 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
number 8 hardest of 16 in SuperLiga (Romania)
−0.01 xG vs league average
Over 10 league matches
Last 5
number 13 hardest of 16 in SuperLiga (Romania)
−0.15 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

−0.01 xG vs league average · over 10 matches · number 8 hardest of 16

  1. Sepsi OSK Home −0.35
  2. FC Farul Constanța Away −0.05
  3. FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc Home −0.69
  4. FCSB Away +0.29
  5. FC Corvinul Hunedoara Home +0.06
  6. FC Universitatea Cluj Away +0.20
  7. FC Rapid București Home +0.35
  8. FC Voluntari Away −0.52
  9. SC Oțelul Galați Home −0.20
  10. Universitatea Craiova Away +0.77

Last 5

−0.15 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 13 hardest of 16

  1. Sepsi OSK Home −0.35
  2. FC Farul Constanța Away −0.05
  3. FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc Home −0.69
  4. FCSB Away +0.29
  5. FC Corvinul Hunedoara Home +0.06

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

UTA Arad shots and chance quality

High volume, average quality. UTA Arad take 17.4 shots a match (league 14.5) at 0.11 npxG a shot (league 0.12), #3 in SuperLiga (Romania) for volume and #10 for quality. 62% of their shots come from inside the box (league 60%).

Attack

Shot volume
17.4 shots per match
#3/16
Shot volume (shots per match) across SuperLiga (Romania), best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Universitatea Craiova 19.2
#2 FC Dinamo București 17.7
#3 UTA Arad 17.4
#4 FCSB 17.2
#5 FC Rapid București 17.1
#6 FC Universitatea Cluj 15.2
#7 CFR 1907 Cluj 15.0
#8 FC Corvinul Hunedoara 14.8
#9 FC Farul Constanța 14.6
#10 FC Petrolul Ploieşti 13.2
#11 FC Argeș Pitești 13.1
#12 FC Botoșani 13.1
#13 FC Voluntari 12.9
#14 SC Oțelul Galați 12.7
#15 Sepsi OSK 11.3
#16 FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc 8.3
League avg
14.5
Total
157 shots from 9 matches
Chance quality
0.11 npxG per shot
#10/16
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across SuperLiga (Romania), best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 FC Botoșani 0.15
#2 CFR 1907 Cluj 0.13
#3 FC Universitatea Cluj 0.13
#4 Universitatea Craiova 0.13
#5 FCSB 0.13
#6 FC Dinamo București 0.12
#7 FC Voluntari 0.12
#8 FC Farul Constanța 0.11
#9 FC Corvinul Hunedoara 0.11
#10 UTA Arad 0.11
#11 Sepsi OSK 0.11
#12 SC Oțelul Galați 0.11
#13 FC Rapid București 0.10
#14 FC Petrolul Ploieşti 0.10
#15 FC Argeș Pitești 0.09
#16 FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc 0.09
League avg
0.12
Total
16.84 npxG from 157 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
11.0 shots per match
#3/16
Shots allowed (shots per match) across SuperLiga (Romania), best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 FC Dinamo București 10.4
#2 Universitatea Craiova 10.7
#3 UTA Arad 11.0
#4 FC Argeș Pitești 11.5
#5 FC Rapid București 12.8
#6 FC Farul Constanța 13.6
#7 CFR 1907 Cluj 14.3
#8 FC Universitatea Cluj 14.6
#9 FCSB 14.6
#10 SC Oțelul Galați 15.8
#11 FC Botoșani 15.9
#12 FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc 16.3
#13 FC Corvinul Hunedoara 16.6
#14 Sepsi OSK 16.9
#15 FC Petrolul Ploieşti 18.4
#16 FC Voluntari 18.8
League avg
14.5
Total
99 shots allowed from 9 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.11 npxGA per shot
#8/16
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across SuperLiga (Romania), best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 FC Rapid București 0.09
#2 FC Corvinul Hunedoara 0.09
#3 Sepsi OSK 0.10
#4 Universitatea Craiova 0.10
#5 FC Argeș Pitești 0.11
#6 FC Dinamo București 0.11
#7 SC Oțelul Galați 0.11
#8 UTA Arad 0.11
#9 FCSB 0.12
#10 FC Universitatea Cluj 0.12
#11 FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc 0.12
#12 FC Farul Constanța 0.12
#13 FC Petrolul Ploieşti 0.13
#14 FC Botoșani 0.13
#15 FC Voluntari 0.14
#16 CFR 1907 Cluj 0.14
League avg
0.12
Total
11.20 npxGA from 99 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

62% inside the box

League avg 60%

From 98 of 157 shots over 9 matches

Early-season figure: after 9 matches, the share can move quickly.

Shots allowed, location

63% allowed inside the box

League avg 60%

From 62 of 99 shots allowed over 9 matches

Early-season figure: after 9 matches, the share can move quickly.

How the shot figures are made →

UTA Arad home and away xG

UTA Arad per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 5 5 4 with xG
xG / match 1.96 1.76
xGA / match 0.92 1.65
xGD / match +1.04 +0.11
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 2.04 1.45

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every UTA Arad match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

This season

Matches
10 9 with xG
xG / match
1.87
xGA / match
1.24
xGD / match
+0.63
Points
12 of 30
  1. Fri 18/09 Sepsi OSK H xG 2.50 xGA 0.72 xGD +1.78
  2. Fri 11/09 FC Farul Constanța A xG 1.98 xGA 2.07 xGD -0.09
  3. Sat 05/09 FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc H xG 2.86 xGA 1.16 xGD +1.70
  4. Sun 30/08 FCSB A Weakest underlying xG 1.08 xGA 1.45 xGD -0.37
  5. Sat 22/08 FC Corvinul Hunedoara H xG 1.35 xGA 1.29 xGD +0.06
  6. Mon 17/08 FC Universitatea Cluj A xG 2.47 xGA 2.30 xGD +0.17
  7. Fri 07/08 FC Rapid București H xG 0.84 xGA 1.05 xGD -0.21
  8. Sat 01/08 FC Voluntari A xG 1.51 xGA 0.79 xGD +0.72
  9. Fri 24/07 SC Oțelul Galați H Best underlying xG 2.25 xGA 0.37 xGD +1.88
  10. Sat 18/07 Universitatea Craiova A

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.00. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

UTA Arad in SuperLiga (Romania)

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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