xgEdge

Servette FC's recorded results for 2026/2027, newest first, with the available xG behind each score. Compare outcomes with the chances created and conceded, then open a match for more detail.

Showing 9 of 9 matching results

9 played this season

Results

Wins – draws – losses (W–D–L)
3 wins, 1 draw, 5 losses

10 pts 11–13 goals −2 GD

Chances

Provider xG / xGA
12.72 – 13.77
1.41 – 1.53 per match
xGD
-1.05
-0.12 per match
xG record
3 with the chances, 2 with even chances, 4 against them

Comparable xG: 9 of 9 completed results.

Points vs xPts Model

10 pts 11.7 xPts

−1.7 vs xPts

Matched xPts: 9 of 9 selected results.

Model · How xPts works →

Match points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before deductions or sanctions.

Points vs xPts uses only matches with available xPts on both sides of the comparison.

What the results say

Season · All competitions · All venues

Servette FC's mixed record matches the chances at both ends. They out-created the opponent in 5 of 9 matches, for −1.05 xG difference overall on 12.72–13.77. Their points total of 10 sits 1.7 below the model's 11.7 xPts, so the chances have slightly outrun the results.

Points minus xPts, match by match

Over these 9 results Servette FC are 1.67 points below their xPts. The gap was widest at -5.01, against FC St. Gallen 1879 on Sun 06/09.

Points
10
xPts
11.67
Gap
-1.67
Sat 25/07 Sat 01/08 Sat 08/08 Sat 29/08 Thu 03/09 Sun 06/09 Sun 13/09 Wed 16/09 Sat 19/09 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 +1 -0.99 -2.39 -1.62 -2.31 -4.07 -5.01 -3.41 -1.41 -1.67 -0.99 -1.40 +0.77 -0.69 -1.76 -0.94 +1.60 +2.00 -0.26 Running gap points − xPts Each match points − xPts
Servette FC: Points vs xPts, the gap after every selected result
Date Opponent Points xPts Match gap Running gap
Sat 25/07 Basel 0 0.99 -0.99 -0.99
Sat 01/08 FC Zürich 0 1.40 -1.40 -2.39
Sat 08/08 Grasshopper Club Zürich 3 2.23 +0.77 -1.62
Sat 29/08 FC Luzern 1 1.69 -0.69 -2.31
Thu 03/09 FC Lugano 0 1.76 -1.76 -4.07
Sun 06/09 FC St. Gallen 1879 0 0.94 -0.94 -5.01
Sun 13/09 FC Lausanne-Sport 3 1.40 +1.60 -3.41
Wed 16/09 FC Thun 3 1.00 +2.00 -1.41
Sat 19/09 Young Boys 0 0.26 -0.26 -1.67

Scores and xG

Servette FC first

  • Away Swiss Super League Loss backed by the chances

    xG 0.54

    xGA 2.35

    xGD -1.81

    2:3 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Young Boys, Sat 19/09

    The team lost and recorded less xG than its opponent. The direction of the result aligns with the chance difference.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    0.26
    Points minus xPts
    -0.26

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Swiss Super League Win against the chances

    xG 1.52

    xGA 2.05

    xGD -0.53

    4:2 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · FC Thun, Wed 16/09

    The team won despite recording less xG than its opponent. That contrast does not make the win impossible or establish why it happened.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    3
    Post-match model xPts
    1.00
    Points minus xPts
    +2.00

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Swiss Super League Win with even chances

    xG 1.49

    xGA 1.42

    xGD +0.07

    1:0 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · FC Lausanne-Sport, Sun 13/09

    The team won, while the chance difference was approximately even. The outcome was stronger than that difference alone suggests.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    3
    Post-match model xPts
    1.41
    Points minus xPts
    +1.59

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Swiss Super League Loss backed by the chances

    xG 0.90

    xGA 1.37

    xGD -0.47

    0:2 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · FC St. Gallen 1879, Sun 06/09

    The team lost and recorded less xG than its opponent. The direction of the result aligns with the chance difference.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    0.94
    Points minus xPts
    -0.94

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Swiss Super League Loss against the chances

    xG 1.81

    xGA 1.29

    xGD +0.52

    0:1 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · FC Lugano, Thu 03/09

    The team lost despite recording a positive xG difference. The outcome was weaker than that chance advantage suggests.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    1.76
    Points minus xPts
    -1.76

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Swiss Super League Draw against the chances

    xG 1.64

    xGA 1.23

    xGD +0.41

    1:1 Draw
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · FC Luzern, Sat 29/08

    The match was drawn although the team recorded a positive xG difference. The outcome was weaker than that chance advantage suggests.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    1
    Post-match model xPts
    1.69
    Points minus xPts
    -0.69

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Swiss Super League Win backed by the chances

    xG 2.15

    xGA 0.97

    xGD +1.18

    2:1 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Grasshopper Club Zürich, Sat 08/08

    The team won and had a positive xG difference. The chances support the direction of the result, without making a judgment about fairness.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    3
    Post-match model xPts
    2.22
    Points minus xPts
    +0.78

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Swiss Super League Loss with even chances

    xG 1.53

    xGA 1.48

    xGD +0.05

    1:2 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · FC Zürich, Sat 01/08

    The team lost, while the chance difference was approximately even. The outcome was weaker than that difference alone suggests.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    1.40
    Points minus xPts
    -1.40

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Swiss Super League Loss backed by the chances

    xG 1.14

    xGA 1.61

    xGD -0.47

    0:1 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Basel, Sat 25/07

    The team lost and recorded less xG than its opponent. The direction of the result aligns with the chance difference.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    0.99
    Points minus xPts
    -0.99

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →

Biggest overperformance

FC Thun 4:2

· Away xG / xGA 1.52 – 2.05

Goal difference
+2
xGD
-0.53
GD minus xGD
+2.53

Among 9 comparable results.

Open match →

Biggest underperformance

FC St. Gallen 1879 0:2

· Home xG / xGA 0.90 – 1.37

Goal difference
-2
xGD
-0.47
GD minus xGD
-1.53

Among 9 comparable results.

Open match →

Reading these results

xG is the provider's estimate of chances created; xGA is the opponent's xG. xGD is the difference. Labels compare the recorded outcome with those chances; they are interpretations, not judgments about fairness.

xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

How each figure on this page is read

Every xG bar is drawn on one fixed scale: full width is 7.20 xG, the same on every card and in every window, so two cards can be compared by eye. A rarer match above that is capped with a hatched end, and the figure beside the bar still gives its value.

An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

Goal difference minus xGD says how far a scoreline finished from the chances behind it: a 4:2 won off level chances ran nearly two goals ahead of them. The two callouts under the list name the match that ran furthest each way, and a direction with no result a full goal clear of the chances gets no card rather than a card built from a rounding.

Windows count back from the most recent recorded match, and only matches attached to this club record are included. Home and away mean the provider-designated side, not a verified physical venue. Scores describe recorded play, not shootout advancement. Unverified periods receive no chance comparison.

1 non-result notice

How the model works →