xgEdge

Young Boys's recorded results for 2026/2027, newest first, with the available xG behind each score. Compare outcomes with the chances created and conceded, then open a match for more detail.

Showing 4 of 4 matching results

9 played this season

4 available results · Last 5 requested

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Results

Wins – draws – losses (W–D–L)
2 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses

8 pts 14–6 goals +8 GD

Chances

Provider xG / xGA
8.31 – 5.37
2.08 – 1.34 per match
xGD
+2.94
+0.74 per match
xG record
2 with the chances, 1 with even chances, 1 against them

Small sample: 4 matches.

Comparable xG: 4 of 4 completed results.

Points vs xPts Model

8 pts 7.0 xPts

+1.0 vs xPts

Small sample: 4 matches.

Matched xPts: 4 of 4 selected results.

Model · How xPts works →

Match points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before deductions or sanctions.

Points vs xPts uses only matches with available xPts on both sides of the comparison.

What the results say

Last 5 · All competitions · Away

Young Boys's winning record is broadly supported by the chances at both ends. They out-created the opponent in 2 of 4 matches, for +2.94 xG difference overall on 8.31–5.37. Their points total of 8 sits 1.0 above the model's 7.0 xPts, so the results have slightly outrun the chances.

Points minus xPts, match by match

Over these 4 results Young Boys are 1.01 points above their xPts. The gap was widest at +1.95, against FC Zürich on Tue 01/09.

Points
8
xPts
6.99
Gap
+1.01
Sat 01/08 Sat 08/08 Tue 01/09 Sat 12/09 -1 0 +1 +2 +0.17 +0.17 +1.95 +1.01 +0.17 +0.00 +1.78 -0.94 Running gap points − xPts Each match points − xPts
Young Boys: Points vs xPts, the gap after every selected result
Date Opponent Points xPts Match gap Running gap
Sat 01/08 FC Thun 3 2.83 +0.17 +0.17
Sat 08/08 FC Lausanne-Sport 1 1.00 +0.00 +0.17
Tue 01/09 FC Zürich 3 1.22 +1.78 +1.95
Sat 12/09 FC Lugano 1 1.94 -0.94 +1.01

Scores and xG

Young Boys first

  • Away Swiss Super League Draw against the chances

    xG 2.32

    xGA 1.51

    xGD +0.81

    2:2 Draw
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · FC Lugano, Sat 12/09

    The match was drawn although the team recorded a positive xG difference. The outcome was weaker than that chance advantage suggests.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    1
    Post-match model xPts
    1.94
    Points minus xPts
    -0.94

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Swiss Super League Win with even chances

    xG 1.52

    xGA 1.71

    xGD -0.19

    4:2 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · FC Zürich, Tue 01/09

    The team won, while the chance difference was approximately even. The outcome was stronger than that difference alone suggests.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    3
    Post-match model xPts
    1.22
    Points minus xPts
    +1.78

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Swiss Super League Draw against the chances

    xG 1.09

    xGA 1.54

    xGD -0.45

    2:2 Draw
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · FC Lausanne-Sport, Sat 08/08

    The match was drawn although the team recorded less xG. The outcome was stronger than that chance difference suggests.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    1
    Post-match model xPts
    1.00
    Points minus xPts
    0.00

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Swiss Super League Win backed by the chances

    xG 3.38

    xGA 0.61

    xGD +2.77

    6:0 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · FC Thun, Sat 01/08

    The team won and had a positive xG difference. The chances support the direction of the result, without making a judgment about fairness.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    3
    Post-match model xPts
    2.83
    Points minus xPts
    +0.17

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →

Reading these results

xG is the provider's estimate of chances created; xGA is the opponent's xG. xGD is the difference. Labels compare the recorded outcome with those chances; they are interpretations, not judgments about fairness.

xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

How each figure on this page is read

Every xG bar is drawn on one fixed scale: full width is 7.20 xG, the same on every card and in every window, so two cards can be compared by eye. A rarer match above that is capped with a hatched end, and the figure beside the bar still gives its value.

An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

Goal difference minus xGD says how far a scoreline finished from the chances behind it: a 4:2 won off level chances ran nearly two goals ahead of them. The two callouts under the list name the match that ran furthest each way, and a direction with no result a full goal clear of the chances gets no card rather than a card built from a rounding.

Windows count back from the most recent recorded match, and only matches attached to this club record are included. Home and away mean the provider-designated side, not a verified physical venue. Scores describe recorded play, not shootout advancement. Unverified periods receive no chance comparison.

How the model works →