Expected goals
Young Boys expected goals (xG) 2026/2027
Swiss Super League · after 9 matches · updated 1 Oct
Young Boys's attacking and defensive expected goals in Swiss Super League 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.
Young Boys xG and xGA per match
Every match ↓| Rank | Club | xG per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | FC Sion | 2.31 |
| #2 | Young Boys | 2.28 |
| #3 | Grasshopper Club Zürich | 2.01 |
| #4 | FC Luzern | 1.95 |
| #5 | FC St. Gallen 1879 | 1.95 |
| #6 | FC Lugano | 1.70 |
| #7 | FC Vaduz | 1.66 |
| #8 | FC Thun | 1.53 |
| #9 | Servette FC | 1.41 |
| #10 | FC Zürich | 1.38 |
| #11 | Basel | 1.22 |
| #12 | FC Lausanne-Sport | 0.85 |
- League avg
- 1.69
- Total
- 20.52 9 matches
| Rank | Club | xGA per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | FC Lugano | 1.26 |
| #2 | FC Lausanne-Sport | 1.37 |
| #3 | Basel | 1.39 |
| #4 | Young Boys | 1.41 |
| #5 | FC St. Gallen 1879 | 1.43 |
| #6 | FC Sion | 1.48 |
| #7 | Servette FC | 1.53 |
| #8 | FC Zürich | 1.93 |
| #9 | FC Vaduz | 2.00 |
| #10 | FC Luzern | 2.02 |
| #11 | Grasshopper Club Zürich | 2.18 |
| #12 | FC Thun | 2.23 |
- League avg
- 1.69
- Total
- 12.71 9 matches
| Rank | Club | xGD per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Young Boys | +0.87 |
| #2 | FC Sion | +0.82 |
| #3 | FC St. Gallen 1879 | +0.51 |
| #4 | FC Lugano | +0.44 |
| #5 | FC Luzern | -0.08 |
| #6 | Servette FC | -0.12 |
| #7 | Basel | -0.17 |
| #8 | Grasshopper Club Zürich | -0.18 |
| #9 | FC Vaduz | -0.34 |
| #10 | FC Lausanne-Sport | -0.52 |
| #11 | FC Zürich | -0.55 |
| #12 | FC Thun | -0.70 |
- League avg
- 0.00
- Total
- +7.81 9 matches
| Rank | Club | xPts per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Young Boys | 1.90 |
| #2 | FC Sion | 1.90 |
| #3 | FC St. Gallen 1879 | 1.71 |
| #4 | FC Lugano | 1.71 |
| #5 | FC Luzern | 1.36 |
| #6 | Servette FC | 1.30 |
| #7 | Grasshopper Club Zürich | 1.29 |
| #8 | Basel | 1.26 |
| #9 | FC Vaduz | 1.18 |
| #10 | FC Zürich | 1.12 |
| #11 | FC Thun | 1.00 |
| #12 | FC Lausanne-Sport | 0.94 |
- League avg
- 1.39
- Total
- 17.13 vs 19 actual pts
Early-season figures: after 9 matches, per-match rates can move quickly.
What the xG says
Young Boys's underlying numbers are league-leading. They rank #1 for xG difference at +0.87 per match, driven by elite shot volume at about average chance quality. Their 31 goals are 10.48 above 20.52 xG, while 19 points are 1.87 above 17.13 xPts. After only 9 matches, those gaps should still be read cautiously.
Actual vs expected
Select a row to chart it across the season.
Goals minus xG, match by match
Young Boys are 10.48 goals above their xG after 9 matches. The gap was widest at +10.51, against FC Zürich on Tue 01/09.
- Goals
- 31
- xG
- 20.52
- Gap
- +10.48
- This match
- Match gap
- Running gap
| Date | Opponent | Goals | xG | Match gap | Running gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 26/07 | FC Sion | 4 | 2.54 | +1.46 | +1.46 |
| Sat 01/08 | FC Thun | 6 | 3.38 | +2.62 | +4.08 |
| Sat 08/08 | FC Lausanne-Sport | 2 | 1.09 | +0.91 | +4.99 |
| Sun 23/08 | FC Vaduz | 4 | 2.19 | +1.81 | +6.80 |
| Sat 29/08 | Basel | 3 | 1.77 | +1.23 | +8.03 |
| Tue 01/09 | FC Zürich | 4 | 1.52 | +2.48 | +10.51 |
| Sat 05/09 | FC Luzern | 3 | 3.36 | -0.36 | +10.15 |
| Sat 12/09 | FC Lugano | 2 | 2.32 | -0.32 | +9.83 |
| Sat 19/09 | Servette FC | 3 | 2.35 | +0.65 | +10.48 |
Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking → Compare with every club in Europe →
Young Boys xG trend
Current form +0.86 npxGD per match
The last 6 matches with xG.
Out-created the opponent in 7 of 9 matches. The worst was against FC Lausanne-Sport on Sat 08/08 (-0.45).
- npxG · last 6
- 2.25
- npxGA · last 6
- 1.39
- npxG
- npxGA
- npxGD
- Avg so far
| Date | Opponent | npxG | npxGA | npxGD | Avg so far |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 26/07 | FC Sion | 1.76 | 1.70 | +0.06 | +0.06 |
| Sat 01/08 | FC Thun | 2.68 | 0.61 | +2.07 | +1.07 |
| Sat 08/08 | FC Lausanne-Sport | 1.09 | 1.54 | -0.45 | +0.56 |
| Sun 23/08 | FC Vaduz | 2.19 | 1.70 | +0.49 | +0.54 |
| Sat 29/08 | Basel | 1.77 | 1.28 | +0.49 | +0.53 |
| Tue 01/09 | FC Zürich | 1.52 | 1.85 | -0.33 | +0.39 |
| Sat 05/09 | FC Luzern | 3.25 | 1.40 | +1.85 | +0.60 |
| Sat 12/09 | FC Lugano | 2.41 | 1.54 | +0.87 | +0.63 |
| Sat 19/09 | Servette FC | 2.35 | 0.54 | +1.81 | +0.76 |
Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 2.11 npxG and 1.35 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.
Strength of schedule
- Season so far
- tied number 11 hardest of 12 in Swiss Super League
- −0.06 xG vs league average
- Over 9 league matches
- Last 5
- tied number 7 hardest of 12 in Swiss Super League
- −0.04 xG vs league average
- Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures
Season so far
−0.06 xG vs league average · over 9 matches · tied number 11 hardest of 12
- Servette FC Home +0.10
- FC Lugano Away +0.33
- FC Luzern Home −0.05
- FC Zürich Away −0.27
- Basel Home −0.28
- FC Vaduz Home −0.23
- FC Lausanne-Sport Away −0.37
- FC Thun Away −0.14
- FC Sion Home +0.34
Last 5
−0.04 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · tied number 7 hardest of 12
- Servette FC Home +0.10
- FC Lugano Away +0.33
- FC Luzern Home −0.05
- FC Zürich Away −0.27
- Basel Home −0.28
Young Boys shots and chance quality
High volume, average quality. Young Boys take 19.1 shots a match (league 15.3) at 0.11 npxG a shot (league 0.10), #2 in Swiss Super League for volume and #4 for quality. 68% of their shots come from inside the box (league 68%), and set pieces produce 20% of their npxG (league 27%).
Attack
| Rank | Club | shots per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | FC St. Gallen 1879 | 20.9 |
| #2 | Young Boys | 19.1 |
| #3 | FC Lugano | 16.9 |
| #4 | FC Luzern | 16.8 |
| #5 | FC Sion | 16.6 |
| #6 | FC Thun | 15.7 |
| #7 | Grasshopper Club Zürich | 15.4 |
| #8 | Servette FC | 14.3 |
| #9 | FC Vaduz | 14.1 |
| #10 | FC Zürich | 12.6 |
| #11 | Basel | 11.8 |
| #12 | FC Lausanne-Sport | 9.1 |
- League avg
- 15.3
- Total
- 172 shots from 9 matches
| Rank | Club | npxG per shot |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | FC Sion | 0.13 |
| #2 | Grasshopper Club Zürich | 0.12 |
| #3 | FC Vaduz | 0.11 |
| #4 | Young Boys | 0.11 |
| #5 | FC Luzern | 0.11 |
| #6 | FC Zürich | 0.11 |
| #7 | FC Lugano | 0.10 |
| #8 | FC Thun | 0.10 |
| #9 | FC Lausanne-Sport | 0.09 |
| #10 | Basel | 0.09 |
| #11 | FC St. Gallen 1879 | 0.09 |
| #12 | Servette FC | 0.09 |
- League avg
- 0.10
- Total
- 19.02 npxG from 172 shots
Defence
| Rank | Club | shots per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | FC Lugano | 11.8 |
| #2 | FC St. Gallen 1879 | 12.7 |
| #3 | FC Sion | 13.0 |
| #4 | FC Zürich | 13.9 |
| #5 | Young Boys | 14.0 |
| #6 | Servette FC | 14.3 |
| #7 | Grasshopper Club Zürich | 15.9 |
| #8 | FC Lausanne-Sport | 16.2 |
| #9 | FC Thun | 17.1 |
| #10 | Basel | 17.6 |
| #11 | FC Vaduz | 18.2 |
| #12 | FC Luzern | 18.6 |
- League avg
- 15.3
- Total
- 126 shots allowed from 9 matches
| Rank | Club | npxGA per shot |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Basel | 0.08 |
| #2 | FC Lausanne-Sport | 0.08 |
| #3 | Young Boys | 0.10 |
| #4 | FC Sion | 0.10 |
| #5 | FC Lugano | 0.10 |
| #6 | FC Luzern | 0.10 |
| #7 | Servette FC | 0.10 |
| #8 | FC St. Gallen 1879 | 0.11 |
| #9 | FC Vaduz | 0.11 |
| #10 | FC Thun | 0.12 |
| #11 | Grasshopper Club Zürich | 0.13 |
| #12 | FC Zürich | 0.13 |
- League avg
- 0.10
- Total
- 12.16 npxGA from 126 shots
Shot profile
68% inside the box
League avg 68%
From 117 of 172 shots over 9 matches
Early-season figure: after 9 matches, the share can move quickly.
60% allowed inside the box
League avg 68%
From 76 of 126 shots allowed over 9 matches
Early-season figure: after 9 matches, the share can move quickly.
80% open play · 20% set pieces
League avg 27% set pieces
From 3.8 of 19.1 npxG over 9 matches
Early-season figure: after 9 matches, the share can move quickly.
79% open play · 21% set pieces
League avg 27% set pieces
From 2.6 of 12.2 npxG allowed over 9 matches
Early-season figure: after 9 matches, the share can move quickly.
Young Boys home and away xG
| Measure | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 5 | 4 |
| xG / match | 2.44 | 2.08 |
| xGA / match | 1.47 | 1.34 |
| xGD / match | +0.97 | +0.74 |
| xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → | 2.03 | 1.75 |
Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.
Every Young Boys match by xG
This season
- Matches
- 9
- xG / match
- 2.28
- xGA / match
- 1.41
- xGD / match
- +0.87
- Points
- 19 of 27
- Sat 19/09 Servette FC H xG 2.35 xGA 0.54 xGD +1.81 xPts 2.61
- Sat 12/09 FC Lugano A xG 2.32 xGA 1.51 xGD +0.81 xPts 1.94
- Sat 05/09 FC Luzern H xG 3.36 xGA 2.19 P xGD +1.17 xPts 2.08
- Tue 01/09 FC Zürich A xG 1.52 xGA 1.71 xGD -0.19 xPts 1.22
- Sat 29/08 Basel H xG 1.77 xGA 1.28 xGD +0.49 xPts 1.75
- Sun 23/08 FC Vaduz H xG 2.19 xGA 1.64 xGD +0.55 xPts 1.76
- Sat 08/08 FC Lausanne-Sport A Weakest underlying xG 1.09 xGA 1.54 xGD -0.45 xPts 1.00
- Sat 01/08 FC Thun A Best underlying xG 3.38 P xGA 0.61 xGD +2.77 xPts 2.83
- Sun 26/07 FC Sion H xG 2.54 P xGA 1.69 xGD +0.85 xPts 1.94
Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.38. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.
Young Boys in Swiss Super League
Attack
- xG / match #2 of 12
- Shots / match #2 of 12
- Chance quality #4 of 12
- Home xG #2 of 12
- Away xG #3 of 12
Defence
- xGA / match #4 of 12
- Shots allowed #5 of 12
- Chance quality allowed #3 of 12
About the data
- xG data
- Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
- Derived metrics
- xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
- Model metrics
- xPts is produced by our probability model.