Goals vs xG
Who is scoring above and below their chances?
xG measures the quality of a side's chances. +3.8 means 3.8 more goals than chances like those usually produce.
Current season · 8+ matches · Data to 25 September 2026
Eligibility
- Matches
- At least 8 matches, with xG on 90% of them.
- Chances
- A gap of at least one goal either way. Including penalties: goals and xG are counted over the matches with xG.
- Competitions
- Only competitions with team xG, once their median club has played 6 matches; see Coverage below. European leagues are at different stages of their seasons, so each competition's current season is used, whether it runs by the calendar year or across two.
Rosenborg BK have scored 16 goals from 9.3 xG over their last five league matches, 6.7 above their chances: the largest qualifying gap across 12 competitions.
| # | Team | Last 5G − xG | Last 5G | Last 5xG | Matches | Per match | Season |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rosenborg BK Eliteserien 16 goals from 9.3 xG | +6.7 | 16 | 9.3 | 21 | +0.30 | 39 G · 32.73 xG+6.27 |
| 2 | FC Lugano Swiss Super League 14 goals from 8.0 xG | +6.0 | 14 | 8.0 | 9 | +1.30 | 27 G · 15.26 xG+11.74 |
| 3 | AC Horsens Superliga (Denmark) 11 goals from 5.8 xG | +5.2 | 11 | 5.8 | 9 | +0.58 | 15 G · 9.81 xG+5.19 |
| 4 | Derry City Premier Division (Ireland) 10 goals from 5.3 xG | +4.7 | 10 | 5.3 | 32 | +0.22 | 45 G · 37.90 xG+7.10 |
| 5 | NK Rudeš HNL 8 goals from 3.5 xG | +4.5 | 8 | 3.5 | 8 | +0.66 | 10 G · 4.76 xG+5.24 |
| 6 | Molde FK Eliteserien 15 goals from 10.6 xG | +4.4 | 15 | 10.6 | 21 | +0.27 | 44 G · 38.39 xG+5.61 |
| 6 | Bohemian FC Premier Division (Ireland) 14 goals from 9.6 xG | +4.4 | 14 | 9.6 | 31* | +0.10 | 52 G · 49.03 xG+2.97 |
| 8 | Basel Swiss Super League 10 goals from 5.7 xG | +4.3 | 10 | 5.7 | 9 | +0.67 | 17 G · 11.00 xG+6.00 |
| 9 | Viborg FF Superliga (Denmark) 12 goals from 7.9 xG | +4.1 | 12 | 7.9 | 9 | +0.06 | 15 G · 14.43 xG+0.57 |
| 10 | Silkeborg IF Superliga (Denmark) 9 goals from 5.2 xG | +3.8 | 9 | 5.2 | 9 | +0.23 | 12 G · 9.94 xG+2.06 |
| 11 | Young Boys Swiss Super League 15 goals from 11.3 xG | +3.7 | 15 | 11.3 | 9 | +1.16 | 31 G · 20.52 xG+10.48 |
| 11 | SK Sigma Olomouc Czech First League 9 goals from 5.4 xG | +3.7 | 9 | 5.4 | 9 | +0.55 | 16 G · 11.05 xG+4.95 |
| 13 | NK Aluminij Kidričevo PrvaLiga (Slovenia) 12 goals from 8.4 xG | +3.6 | 12 | 8.4 | 10* | +0.34 | 16 G · 12.92 xG+3.08 |
| 14 | IFK Mariehamn Veikkausliiga 9 goals from 5.7 xG | +3.3 | 9 | 5.7 | 25* | −0.23 | 20 G · 25.20 xG−5.20 |
| 15 | NK Osijek HNL 8 goals from 4.9 xG | +3.1 | 8 | 4.9 | 8 | +0.62 | 17 G · 12.08 xG+4.92 |
| 16 | Aalesunds FK Eliteserien 11 goals from 8.0 xG | +3.0 | 11 | 8.0 | 21 | +0.17 | 33 G · 29.35 xG+3.65 |
| 17 | HNK Hajduk Split HNL 11 goals from 8.1 xG | +2.9 | 11 | 8.1 | 8 | +0.48 | 16 G · 12.15 xG+3.85 |
| 18 | FC København Superliga (Denmark) 13 goals from 10.2 xG | +2.8 | 13 | 10.2 | 9 | +0.93 | 23 G · 14.61 xG+8.39 |
| 18 | Piast Gliwice Ekstraklasa 9 goals from 6.2 xG | +2.8 | 9 | 6.2 | 9 | +0.56 | 16 G · 10.96 xG+5.04 |
| 20 | FC Sion Swiss Super League 14 goals from 11.6 xG | +2.4 | 14 | 11.6 | 9 | +0.25 | 23 G · 20.75 xG+2.25 |
| 20 | FC Zürich Swiss Super League 10 goals from 7.6 xG | +2.4 | 10 | 7.6 | 9 | +0.18 | 14 G · 12.40 xG+1.60 |
| 22 | Mladá Boleslav Czech First League 9 goals from 6.7 xG | +2.3 | 9 | 6.7 | 8 | +0.68 | 17 G · 11.56 xG+5.44 |
| 22 | NK Maribor PrvaLiga (Slovenia) 12 goals from 9.7 xG | +2.3 | 12 | 9.7 | 10 | +0.42 | 19 G · 14.78 xG+4.22 |
| 22 | FK Radnički 1923 SuperLiga (Serbia) 13 goals from 10.7 xG | +2.3 | 13 | 10.7 | 9 | −0.25 | 17 G · 19.29 xG−2.29 |
| 25 | FC Midtjylland Superliga (Denmark) 10 goals from 7.9 xG | +2.2 | 10 | 7.9 | 9 | +0.45 | 17 G · 12.97 xG+4.03 |
| 25 | Sønderjyske Fodbold Superliga (Denmark) 8 goals from 5.8 xG | +2.2 | 8 | 5.8 | 9 | +0.33 | 12 G · 9.06 xG+2.94 |
| 25 | Brinje Grosuplje PrvaLiga (Slovenia) 9 goals from 6.8 xG | +2.2 | 9 | 6.8 | 10 | +0.15 | 14 G · 12.54 xG+1.46 |
| 28 | FC Vaduz Swiss Super League 11 goals from 8.9 xG | +2.1 | 11 | 8.9 | 9 | +0.34 | 18 G · 14.97 xG+3.03 |
| 29 | GKS Katowice Ekstraklasa 12 goals from 10.0 xG | +2.0 | 12 | 10.0 | 8 | +0.23 | 16 G · 14.13 xG+1.87 |
| 30 | KFUM Oslo Eliteserien 7 goals from 5.2 xG | +1.8 | 7 | 5.2 | 21 | +0.10 | 25 G · 22.80 xG+2.20 |
| 30 | Randers FC Superliga (Denmark) 8 goals from 6.2 xG | +1.8 | 8 | 6.2 | 9 | +0.16 | 11 G · 9.54 xG+1.46 |
| 32 | HamKam Eliteserien 5 goals from 3.3 xG | +1.7 | 5 | 3.3 | 21 | +0.24 | 29 G · 23.99 xG+5.01 |
| 33 | NK Istra 1961 HNL 7 goals from 5.4 xG | +1.6 | 7 | 5.4 | 8 | +0.31 | 14 G · 11.55 xG+2.45 |
| 33 | Levski Sofia Parva Liga (Bulgaria) 12 goals from 10.4 xG | +1.6 | 12 | 10.4 | 9 | +0.24 | 21 G · 18.84 xG+2.16 |
| 33 | Vålerenga IF Eliteserien 11 goals from 9.4 xG | +1.6 | 11 | 9.4 | 21 | +0.07 | 34 G · 32.51 xG+1.49 |
| 33 | Widzew Łódź Ekstraklasa 8 goals from 6.4 xG | +1.6 | 8 | 6.4 | 9 | −0.12 | 13 G · 14.11 xG−1.11 |
| 37 | AC Sparta Praha Czech First League 10 goals from 8.5 xG | +1.5 | 10 | 8.5 | 9 | +0.34 | 18 G · 14.95 xG+3.05 |
| 37 | FC Petrolul Ploieşti SuperLiga (Romania) 9 goals from 7.5 xG | +1.5 | 9 | 7.5 | 10* | −0.01 | 12 G · 12.07 xG−0.07 |
| 37 | Sandefjord Fotball Eliteserien 8 goals from 6.5 xG | +1.5 | 8 | 6.5 | 21 | −0.18 | 21 G · 24.70 xG−3.70 |
| 40 | Kristiansund BK Eliteserien 6 goals from 4.6 xG | +1.4 | 6 | 4.6 | 21 | +0.03 | 21 G · 20.41 xG+0.59 |
| 41 | Viking FK Eliteserien 15 goals from 13.7 xG | +1.3 | 15 | 13.7 | 21 | +0.48 | 54 G · 43.94 xG+10.06 |
| 41 | Tromsø IL Eliteserien 8 goals from 6.7 xG | +1.3 | 8 | 6.7 | 21 | +0.31 | 40 G · 33.59 xG+6.41 |
| 43 | Universitatea Craiova SuperLiga (Romania) 14 goals from 12.8 xG | +1.2 | 14 | 12.8 | 10* | −0.23 | 20 G · 22.03 xG−2.03 |
| 43 | UTA Arad SuperLiga (Romania) 11 goals from 9.8 xG | +1.2 | 11 | 9.8 | 10* | −0.32 | 14 G · 16.84 xG−2.84 |
| 45 | Bodø/Glimt Eliteserien 12 goals from 10.9 xG | +1.1 | 12 | 10.9 | 21 | +0.21 | 53 G · 48.51 xG+4.49 |
| 45 | Drogheda United Premier Division (Ireland) 7 goals from 5.9 xG | +1.1 | 7 | 5.9 | 32 | +0.03 | 38 G · 36.97 xG+1.03 |
| 47 | SK Slavia Praha Czech First League 13 goals from 12.0 xG | +1.0 | 13 | 12.0 | 9 | +0.40 | 25 G · 21.44 xG+3.56 |
| 47 | Lech Poznań Ekstraklasa 12 goals from 11.0 xG | +1.0 | 12 | 11.0 | 8 | +0.05 | 17 G · 16.59 xG+0.41 |
| 47 | Fredrikstad FK Eliteserien 8 goals from 7.0 xG | +1.0 | 8 | 7.0 | 21 | −0.01 | 25 G · 25.28 xG−0.28 |
- Above xG
- Below xG
- Last 5 gap of 2 or more
Over a season, most finishing gaps of this size shrink. Shot quality, shot selection and finishing skill all move this number; so does chance.
Coverage 30 competitions feed this list. Show Hide
- On this list
- Allsvenskan Austrian Bundesliga Bundesliga Cypriot First Division Czech First League Ekstraklasa Eliteserien Eredivisie HNL Jupiler Pro League La Liga Liga Portugal Ligue 1 NB I (Hungary) Niké Liga (Slovakia) Parva Liga (Bulgaria) Premier Division (Ireland) Premier League PrvaLiga (Slovenia) Russian Premier League Scottish Premiership Serie A Super League Greece Süper Lig Superliga (Denmark) SuperLiga (Romania) SuperLiga (Serbia) Swiss Super League Ukrainian Premier League Veikkausliiga