xgEdge

Expected goals

IK Sirius expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

Allsvenskan · after 19 matches · updated 1 Oct

IK Sirius's attacking and defensive expected goals in Allsvenskan 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

IK Sirius xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
2.13 xG per match
#3/16
Attack (xG per match) across Allsvenskan, best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 Hammarby IF 2.66
#2 Djurgårdens IF 2.30
#3 IK Sirius 2.13
#4 Malmö FF 2.04
#5 IFK Göteborg 1.95
#6 BK Häcken 1.84
#7 GAIS 1.75
#8 IF Elfsborg 1.65
#9 Västerås SK 1.64
#10 Mjällby AIF 1.59
#11 AIK 1.57
#12 IF Brommapojkarna 1.45
#13 Kalmar FF 1.31
#14 Örgryte IS 1.26
#15 Degerfors IF 1.26
#16 Halmstads BK 1.10
League avg
1.71
Total
40.49 19 matches
Defence
1.34 xGA per match
#3/16
Defence (xGA per match) across Allsvenskan, best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 Hammarby IF 1.11
#2 Djurgårdens IF 1.15
#3 IK Sirius 1.34
#4 GAIS 1.34
#5 BK Häcken 1.38
#6 Malmö FF 1.50
#7 IF Elfsborg 1.51
#8 IFK Göteborg 1.63
#9 Kalmar FF 1.74
#10 Degerfors IF 1.76
#11 IF Brommapojkarna 1.80
#12 Västerås SK 1.91
#13 Mjällby AIF 2.07
#14 Örgryte IS 2.26
#15 AIK 2.29
#16 Halmstads BK 2.41
League avg
1.71
Total
25.44 19 matches
xG difference
+0.79 xGD per match
#3/16
xG difference (xGD per match) across Allsvenskan, best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 Hammarby IF +1.54
#2 Djurgårdens IF +1.16
#3 IK Sirius +0.79
#4 Malmö FF +0.54
#5 BK Häcken +0.46
#6 GAIS +0.41
#7 IFK Göteborg +0.32
#8 IF Elfsborg +0.15
#9 Västerås SK -0.27
#10 IF Brommapojkarna -0.35
#11 Kalmar FF -0.43
#12 Mjällby AIF -0.48
#13 Degerfors IF -0.51
#14 AIK -0.72
#15 Örgryte IS -0.99
#16 Halmstads BK -1.31
League avg
0.00
Total
+15.05 19 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
1.84 xPts per match
#3/16
Expected points (xPts per match) across Allsvenskan, best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 Hammarby IF 2.24
#2 Djurgårdens IF 2.05
#3 IK Sirius 1.84
#4 BK Häcken 1.70
#5 Malmö FF 1.67
#6 GAIS 1.61
#7 IFK Göteborg 1.60
#8 IF Elfsborg 1.49
#9 IF Brommapojkarna 1.23
#10 Kalmar FF 1.21
#11 Västerås SK 1.21
#12 Degerfors IF 1.09
#13 Mjällby AIF 1.08
#14 AIK 1.00
#15 Örgryte IS 0.87
#16 Halmstads BK 0.61
League avg
1.40
Total
34.89 vs 51 actual pts

Expected goals here are summed over 19 of 22 matches — the rest were played with no xG figure published for them, so the margins compare two different lengths of season.

What the xG says

IK Sirius's underlying numbers are among the best in Allsvenskan. They rank #3 for xG difference at +0.79 per match, built on elite chance quality rather than about average shot volume. Their 45 goals are 4.51 above 40.49 xG, while 44 points are 9.11 above 34.89 xPts — both over the 19 matches with xG.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG
45 40.49 +4.51 scored 4.51 more than xG within normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
25 25.44 -0.44 conceded 0.44 fewer than xGA within normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
44 34.89 +9.11 9.11 points above xPts outside normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

IK Sirius are 4.51 goals above their xG after 19 matches. The gap was widest at +6.66, against IFK Göteborg on Sun 26/07.

Goals
45
xG
40.49
Gap
+4.51
Mon 13/04 Sat 18/04 Thu 23/04 Sat 02/05 Mon 11/05 Mon 18/05 Sat 30/05 Fri 03/07 Sun 12/07 Sun 19/07 Sun 26/07 Mon 03/08 Mon 10/08 Sat 15/08 Fri 21/08 Mon 31/08 Sat 05/09 Mon 14/09 Sat 19/09 -1 0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6 +7 +1.04 +0.94 +2.04 +3.05 +2.79 +3.53 +4.74 +5.31 +6.30 +5.63 +6.66 +5.56 +5.40 +5.84 +5.20 +3.48 +3.53 +3.67 +4.51 +1.04 -0.10 +1.10 +1.01 -0.26 +0.74 +1.21 +0.57 +0.99 -0.67 +1.03 -1.10 -0.16 +0.44 -0.64 -1.72 +0.05 +0.14 +0.84 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
IK Sirius: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Mon 13/04 Hammarby IF 2 0.96 +1.04 +1.04
Sat 18/04 Västerås SK 4 4.10 -0.10 +0.94
Thu 23/04 Malmö FF 3 1.90 +1.10 +2.04
Sat 02/05 Kalmar FF 3 1.99 +1.01 +3.05
Mon 11/05 Örgryte IS 2 2.26 -0.26 +2.79
Mon 18/05 Djurgårdens IF 3 2.26 +0.74 +3.53
Sat 30/05 AIK 3 1.79 +1.21 +4.74
Fri 03/07 Mjällby AIF 4 3.43 +0.57 +5.31
Sun 12/07 IF Brommapojkarna 2 1.01 +0.99 +6.30
Sun 19/07 IF Elfsborg 3 3.67 -0.67 +5.63
Sun 26/07 IFK Göteborg 4 2.97 +1.03 +6.66
Mon 03/08 Halmstads BK 2 3.10 -1.10 +5.56
Mon 10/08 IF Brommapojkarna 2 2.16 -0.16 +5.40
Sat 15/08 Mjällby AIF 3 2.56 +0.44 +5.84
Fri 21/08 BK Häcken 0 0.64 -0.64 +5.20
Mon 31/08 Malmö FF 0 1.72 -1.72 +3.48
Sat 05/09 Västerås SK 1 0.95 +0.05 +3.53
Mon 14/09 Degerfors IF 2 1.86 +0.14 +3.67
Sat 19/09 Örgryte IS 2 1.16 +0.84 +4.51

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking →

IK Sirius xG trend

Current form -0.03 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 13 of 19 matches. The worst was against BK Häcken on Fri 21/08 (-0.93).

npxG · last 6
1.48
npxGA · last 6
1.51
-1 0 +1 +2 +3 +4 -0.45 Mon 13/04 +3.28 Sat 18/04 +0.99 Thu 23/04 +0.83 Sat 02/05 +1.84 Mon 11/05 +0.29 Mon 18/05 -0.37 Sat 30/05 +2.33 Fri 03/07 +0.41 Sun 12/07 +1.23 Sun 19/07 +1.12 Sun 26/07 +2.13 Mon 03/08 +1.61 Mon 10/08 +1.05 Sat 15/08 -0.93 Fri 21/08 -0.05 Mon 31/08 -0.39 Sat 05/09 +0.15 Mon 14/09 -0.02 Sat 19/09 +0.79 season avg
IK Sirius: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Mon 13/04 Hammarby IF 0.96 1.41 -0.45 -0.45
Sat 18/04 Västerås SK 4.10 0.82 +3.28 +1.41
Thu 23/04 Malmö FF 1.90 0.91 +0.99 +1.27
Sat 02/05 Kalmar FF 1.99 1.16 +0.83 +1.16
Mon 11/05 Örgryte IS 2.26 0.42 +1.84 +1.30
Mon 18/05 Djurgårdens IF 2.26 1.97 +0.29 +1.13
Sat 30/05 AIK 1.79 2.16 -0.37 +0.92
Fri 03/07 Mjällby AIF 3.43 1.10 +2.33 +1.09
Sun 12/07 IF Brommapojkarna 1.01 0.60 +0.41 +1.02
Sun 19/07 IF Elfsborg 3.67 2.44 +1.23 +1.04
Sun 26/07 IFK Göteborg 2.97 1.85 +1.12 +1.05
Mon 03/08 Halmstads BK 3.10 0.97 +2.13 +1.14
Mon 10/08 IF Brommapojkarna 2.16 0.55 +1.61 +1.17
Sat 15/08 Mjällby AIF 2.56 1.51 +1.05 +1.16
Fri 21/08 BK Häcken 0.64 1.57 -0.93 +1.02
Mon 31/08 Malmö FF 1.72 1.77 -0.05 +0.96
Sat 05/09 Västerås SK 0.95 1.34 -0.39 +0.88
Mon 14/09 Degerfors IF 1.86 1.71 +0.15 +0.84
Sat 19/09 Örgryte IS 1.16 1.18 -0.02 +0.79

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 2.13 npxG and 1.34 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
number 14 hardest of 16 in Allsvenskan
−0.06 xG vs league average
Over 22 league matches
Last 5
number 11 hardest of 16 in Allsvenskan
−0.09 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

−0.06 xG vs league average · over 22 matches · number 14 hardest of 16

  1. Örgryte IS Away −0.67
  2. Degerfors IF Home −0.27
  3. Västerås SK Away −0.18
  4. Malmö FF Home +0.42
  5. BK Häcken Home +0.26
  6. Mjällby AIF Away −0.36
  7. IF Brommapojkarna Home −0.32
  8. Halmstads BK Away −0.78
  9. IFK Göteborg Home +0.20
  10. IF Elfsborg Away +0.10
  11. IF Brommapojkarna Away −0.32
  12. Mjällby AIF Home −0.36
  13. AIK Away −0.44
  14. GAIS Home +0.23
  15. Djurgårdens IF Away +0.46
  16. Örgryte IS Home −0.67
  17. Kalmar FF Home −0.15
  18. BK Häcken Away +0.26
  19. Malmö FF Away +0.42
  20. Västerås SK Home −0.18
  21. Hammarby IF Home +1.29
  22. Degerfors IF Away −0.27

Last 5

−0.09 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 11 hardest of 16

  1. Örgryte IS Away −0.67
  2. Degerfors IF Home −0.27
  3. Västerås SK Away −0.18
  4. Malmö FF Home +0.42
  5. BK Häcken Home +0.26

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

IK Sirius shots and chance quality

Average volume, high quality. IK Sirius take 14.9 shots a match (league 13.9) at 0.14 npxG a shot (league 0.12), #5 in Allsvenskan for volume and #2 for quality. 73% of their shots come from inside the box (league 64%).

Attack

Shot volume
14.9 shots per match
#5/16
Shot volume (shots per match) across Allsvenskan, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Hammarby IF 21.9
#2 IFK Göteborg 17.1
#3 Djurgårdens IF 15.7
#4 Malmö FF 14.9
#5 IK Sirius 14.9
#6 GAIS 14.5
#7 BK Häcken 14.2
#8 Kalmar FF 13.4
#9 Mjällby AIF 13.0
#10 AIK 12.9
#11 IF Elfsborg 12.8
#12 Halmstads BK 12.5
#13 Västerås SK 12.1
#14 IF Brommapojkarna 11.7
#15 Degerfors IF 11.1
#16 Örgryte IS 10.5
League avg
13.9
Total
283 shots from 19 matches
Chance quality
0.14 npxG per shot
#2/16
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Allsvenskan, best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 Djurgårdens IF 0.15
#2 IK Sirius 0.14
#3 Malmö FF 0.14
#4 Västerås SK 0.14
#5 IF Elfsborg 0.13
#6 BK Häcken 0.13
#7 IF Brommapojkarna 0.12
#8 Mjällby AIF 0.12
#9 AIK 0.12
#10 Hammarby IF 0.12
#11 GAIS 0.12
#12 Örgryte IS 0.12
#13 IFK Göteborg 0.11
#14 Degerfors IF 0.11
#15 Kalmar FF 0.10
#16 Halmstads BK 0.09
League avg
0.12
Total
40.49 npxG from 283 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
13.8 shots per match
#8/16
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Allsvenskan, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Hammarby IF 8.6
#2 Djurgårdens IF 10.9
#3 BK Häcken 11.5
#4 IFK Göteborg 12.4
#5 GAIS 12.4
#6 IF Elfsborg 12.5
#7 Malmö FF 12.9
#8 IK Sirius 13.8
#9 Degerfors IF 13.9
#10 Kalmar FF 14.3
#11 Västerås SK 14.8
#12 IF Brommapojkarna 15.7
#13 Mjällby AIF 16.2
#14 AIK 16.5
#15 Halmstads BK 17.5
#16 Örgryte IS 17.9
League avg
13.9
Total
263 shots allowed from 19 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.10 npxGA per shot
#1/16
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Allsvenskan, best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 IK Sirius 0.10
#2 Djurgårdens IF 0.11
#3 GAIS 0.11
#4 IF Brommapojkarna 0.11
#5 Malmö FF 0.12
#6 BK Häcken 0.12
#7 IF Elfsborg 0.12
#8 Kalmar FF 0.12
#9 Örgryte IS 0.13
#10 Degerfors IF 0.13
#11 Mjällby AIF 0.13
#12 Hammarby IF 0.13
#13 Västerås SK 0.13
#14 IFK Göteborg 0.13
#15 Halmstads BK 0.14
#16 AIK 0.14
League avg
0.12
Total
25.44 npxGA from 263 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

73% inside the box

League avg 64%

From 207 of 283 shots over 19 matches

Shots allowed, location

59% allowed inside the box

League avg 64%

From 156 of 263 shots allowed over 19 matches

How the shot figures are made →

IK Sirius home and away xG

IK Sirius per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 11 10 with xG 11 9 with xG
xG / match 2.21 2.04
xGA / match 1.24 1.45
xGD / match +0.97 +0.59
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 1.92 1.74

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every IK Sirius match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

Last 10

Matches
10
xG / match
2.08
xGA / match
1.49
xGD / match
+0.59
Points
19 of 30
  1. Sat 19/09 Örgryte IS A xG 1.16 xGA 1.18 xGD -0.02
  2. Mon 14/09 Degerfors IF H xG 1.86 xGA 1.71 xGD +0.15
  3. Sat 05/09 Västerås SK A xG 0.95 xGA 1.34 xGD -0.39
  4. Mon 31/08 Malmö FF H xG 1.72 xGA 1.77 xGD -0.05
  5. Fri 21/08 BK Häcken H Weakest underlying xG 0.64 xGA 1.57 xGD -0.93
  6. Sat 15/08 Mjällby AIF A Against the chances xG 2.56 xGA 1.51 xGD +1.05
  7. Mon 10/08 IF Brommapojkarna H xG 2.16 xGA 0.55 xGD +1.61
  8. Mon 03/08 Halmstads BK A Best underlying xG 3.10 xGA 0.97 xGD +2.13
  9. Sun 26/07 IFK Göteborg H xG 2.97 xGA 1.85 xGD +1.12
  10. Sun 19/07 IF Elfsborg A xG 3.67 xGA 2.44 xGD +1.23

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.67. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

IK Sirius in Allsvenskan

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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