xgEdge

Expected goals

Västerås SK expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

Allsvenskan · after 19 matches · updated 4 Oct

Västerås SK's attacking and defensive expected goals in Allsvenskan 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

Västerås SK xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
1.64 xG per match
#9/16
Attack (xG per match) across Allsvenskan, best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 Hammarby IF 2.66
#2 Djurgårdens IF 2.30
#3 IK Sirius 2.13
#4 Malmö FF 2.04
#5 IFK Göteborg 1.95
#6 BK Häcken 1.84
#7 GAIS 1.75
#8 IF Elfsborg 1.65
#9 Västerås SK 1.64
#10 Mjällby AIF 1.59
#11 AIK 1.57
#12 IF Brommapojkarna 1.45
#13 Kalmar FF 1.31
#14 Örgryte IS 1.26
#15 Degerfors IF 1.26
#16 Halmstads BK 1.10
League avg
1.71
Total
31.10 19 matches
Defence
1.91 xGA per match
#12/16
Defence (xGA per match) across Allsvenskan, best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 Hammarby IF 1.11
#2 Djurgårdens IF 1.15
#3 IK Sirius 1.34
#4 GAIS 1.34
#5 BK Häcken 1.38
#6 Malmö FF 1.50
#7 IF Elfsborg 1.51
#8 IFK Göteborg 1.63
#9 Kalmar FF 1.74
#10 Degerfors IF 1.76
#11 IF Brommapojkarna 1.80
#12 Västerås SK 1.91
#13 Mjällby AIF 2.07
#14 Örgryte IS 2.26
#15 AIK 2.29
#16 Halmstads BK 2.41
League avg
1.71
Total
36.32 19 matches
xG difference
-0.27 xGD per match
#9/16
xG difference (xGD per match) across Allsvenskan, best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 Hammarby IF +1.54
#2 Djurgårdens IF +1.16
#3 IK Sirius +0.79
#4 Malmö FF +0.54
#5 BK Häcken +0.46
#6 GAIS +0.41
#7 IFK Göteborg +0.32
#8 IF Elfsborg +0.15
#9 Västerås SK -0.27
#10 IF Brommapojkarna -0.35
#11 Kalmar FF -0.43
#12 Mjällby AIF -0.48
#13 Degerfors IF -0.51
#14 AIK -0.72
#15 Örgryte IS -0.99
#16 Halmstads BK -1.31
League avg
0.00
Total
-5.22 19 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
1.21 xPts per match
#11/16
Expected points (xPts per match) across Allsvenskan, best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 Hammarby IF 2.24
#2 Djurgårdens IF 2.05
#3 IK Sirius 1.84
#4 BK Häcken 1.70
#5 Malmö FF 1.67
#6 GAIS 1.61
#7 IFK Göteborg 1.60
#8 IF Elfsborg 1.49
#9 IF Brommapojkarna 1.23
#10 Kalmar FF 1.21
#11 Västerås SK 1.21
#12 Degerfors IF 1.09
#13 Mjällby AIF 1.08
#14 AIK 1.00
#15 Örgryte IS 0.87
#16 Halmstads BK 0.61
League avg
1.40
Total
22.93 vs 35 actual pts

Expected goals here are summed over 19 of 22 matches — the rest were played with no xG figure published for them, so the margins compare two different lengths of season.

What the xG says

Västerås SK's underlying numbers sit close to the Allsvenskan average. They rank #9 for xG difference at -0.27 per match, built on high chance quality rather than low shot volume. Their 31 goals are 0.10 below 31.10 xG, while 28 points are 5.07 above 22.93 xPts — both over the 19 matches with xG.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG
31 31.10 -0.10 scored 0.10 fewer than xG within normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
35 36.32 -1.32 conceded 1.32 fewer than xGA within normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
28 22.93 +5.07 5.07 points above xPts outside normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

Västerås SK are 0.10 goals below their xG after 19 matches. The gap was widest at -1.71, against IK Sirius on Sat 05/09.

Goals
31
xG
31.10
Gap
-0.10
Sat 11/04 Sat 18/04 Wed 22/04 Sun 26/04 Sun 03/05 Sat 09/05 Sun 17/05 Sun 24/05 Sun 31/05 Sat 04/07 Fri 24/07 Mon 03/08 Mon 10/08 Fri 14/08 Sun 23/08 Sat 29/08 Sat 05/09 Sat 12/09 Sat 19/09 -2 -1 0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +1.41 +1.59 +3.16 +3.36 +2.78 +2.40 +1.59 +3.69 +4.27 +3.06 +1.82 +0.50 +0.83 -0.16 -1.14 -0.37 -1.71 -1.39 -0.10 +1.41 +0.18 +1.57 +0.20 -0.58 -0.38 -0.81 +2.10 +0.58 -1.21 -1.24 -1.32 +0.33 -0.99 -0.98 +0.77 -1.34 +0.32 +1.29 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
Västerås SK: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Sat 11/04 IF Elfsborg 2 0.59 +1.41 +1.41
Sat 18/04 IK Sirius 1 0.82 +0.18 +1.59
Wed 22/04 BK Häcken 3 1.43 +1.57 +3.16
Sun 26/04 IF Brommapojkarna 2 1.80 +0.20 +3.36
Sun 03/05 Hammarby IF 0 0.58 -0.58 +2.78
Sat 09/05 GAIS 0 0.38 -0.38 +2.40
Sun 17/05 AIK 1 1.81 -0.81 +1.59
Sun 24/05 Malmö FF 3 0.90 +2.10 +3.69
Sun 31/05 IFK Göteborg 4 3.42 +0.58 +4.27
Sat 04/07 Halmstads BK 3 4.21 -1.21 +3.06
Fri 24/07 Örgryte IS 2 3.24 -1.24 +1.82
Mon 03/08 Djurgårdens IF 0 1.32 -1.32 +0.50
Mon 10/08 Djurgårdens IF 1 0.67 +0.33 +0.83
Fri 14/08 IF Elfsborg 0 0.99 -0.99 -0.16
Sun 23/08 Kalmar FF 0 0.98 -0.98 -1.14
Sat 29/08 BK Häcken 3 2.23 +0.77 -0.37
Sat 05/09 IK Sirius 0 1.34 -1.34 -1.71
Sat 12/09 AIK 4 3.68 +0.32 -1.39
Sat 19/09 Malmö FF 2 0.71 +1.29 -0.10

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking →

Västerås SK xG trend

Current form -0.42 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 8 of 19 matches. The worst was against IK Sirius on Sat 18/04 (-3.28).

npxG · last 6
1.66
npxGA · last 6
2.08
-4 -3 -2 -1 0 +1 +2 +3 +4 -0.92 Sat 11/04 -3.28 Sat 18/04 +0.01 Wed 22/04 -0.08 Sun 26/04 -1.54 Sun 03/05 -0.51 Sat 09/05 +1.12 Sun 17/05 -0.44 Sun 24/05 +1.90 Sun 31/05 +3.30 Sat 04/07 +2.32 Fri 24/07 -2.61 Mon 03/08 -1.97 Mon 10/08 -1.20 Fri 14/08 -0.13 Sun 23/08 +0.08 Sat 29/08 +0.39 Sat 05/09 +0.45 Sat 12/09 -2.11 Sat 19/09 -0.27 season avg
Västerås SK: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Sat 11/04 IF Elfsborg 0.59 1.51 -0.92 -0.92
Sat 18/04 IK Sirius 0.82 4.10 -3.28 -2.10
Wed 22/04 BK Häcken 1.43 1.42 +0.01 -1.40
Sun 26/04 IF Brommapojkarna 1.80 1.88 -0.08 -1.07
Sun 03/05 Hammarby IF 0.58 2.12 -1.54 -1.16
Sat 09/05 GAIS 0.38 0.89 -0.51 -1.05
Sun 17/05 AIK 1.81 0.69 +1.12 -0.74
Sun 24/05 Malmö FF 0.90 1.34 -0.44 -0.71
Sun 31/05 IFK Göteborg 3.42 1.52 +1.90 -0.42
Sat 04/07 Halmstads BK 4.21 0.91 +3.30 -0.04
Fri 24/07 Örgryte IS 3.24 0.92 +2.32 +0.17
Mon 03/08 Djurgårdens IF 1.32 3.93 -2.61 -0.06
Mon 10/08 Djurgårdens IF 0.67 2.64 -1.97 -0.21
Fri 14/08 IF Elfsborg 0.99 2.19 -1.20 -0.28
Sun 23/08 Kalmar FF 0.98 1.11 -0.13 -0.27
Sat 29/08 BK Häcken 2.23 2.15 +0.08 -0.25
Sat 05/09 IK Sirius 1.34 0.95 +0.39 -0.21
Sat 12/09 AIK 3.68 3.23 +0.45 -0.17
Sat 19/09 Malmö FF 0.71 2.82 -2.11 -0.27

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.64 npxG and 1.91 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
number 6 hardest of 16 in Allsvenskan
+0.05 xG vs league average
Over 22 league matches
Last 5
number 7 hardest of 16 in Allsvenskan
+0.06 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

+0.05 xG vs league average · over 22 matches · number 6 hardest of 16

  1. Malmö FF Home +0.42
  2. AIK Away −0.44
  3. IK Sirius Home +0.19
  4. BK Häcken Away +0.26
  5. Kalmar FF Home −0.15
  6. IF Elfsborg Away +0.10
  7. Djurgårdens IF Home +0.46
  8. Djurgårdens IF Away +0.46
  9. Örgryte IS Home −0.67
  10. Mjällby AIF Away −0.36
  11. Degerfors IF Home −0.27
  12. Halmstads BK Away −0.78
  13. IFK Göteborg Home +0.20
  14. Malmö FF Away +0.42
  15. AIK Home −0.44
  16. GAIS Home +0.23
  17. Hammarby IF Away +1.29
  18. IF Brommapojkarna Away −0.32
  19. BK Häcken Home +0.26
  20. IK Sirius Away +0.19
  21. IF Elfsborg Home +0.10
  22. Kalmar FF Away −0.15

Last 5

+0.06 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 7 hardest of 16

  1. Malmö FF Home +0.42
  2. AIK Away −0.44
  3. IK Sirius Home +0.19
  4. BK Häcken Away +0.26
  5. Kalmar FF Home −0.15

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

Västerås SK shots and chance quality

Low volume, high quality. Västerås SK take 12.1 shots a match (league 13.9) at 0.14 npxG a shot (league 0.12), #13 in Allsvenskan for volume and #4 for quality. 70% of their shots come from inside the box (league 64%).

Attack

Shot volume
12.1 shots per match
#13/16
Shot volume (shots per match) across Allsvenskan, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Hammarby IF 21.9
#2 IFK Göteborg 17.1
#3 Djurgårdens IF 15.7
#4 Malmö FF 14.9
#5 IK Sirius 14.9
#6 GAIS 14.5
#7 BK Häcken 14.2
#8 Kalmar FF 13.4
#9 Mjällby AIF 13.0
#10 AIK 12.9
#11 IF Elfsborg 12.8
#12 Halmstads BK 12.5
#13 Västerås SK 12.1
#14 IF Brommapojkarna 11.7
#15 Degerfors IF 11.1
#16 Örgryte IS 10.5
League avg
13.9
Total
229 shots from 19 matches
Chance quality
0.14 npxG per shot
#4/16
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Allsvenskan, best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 Djurgårdens IF 0.15
#2 IK Sirius 0.14
#3 Malmö FF 0.14
#4 Västerås SK 0.14
#5 IF Elfsborg 0.13
#6 BK Häcken 0.13
#7 IF Brommapojkarna 0.12
#8 Mjällby AIF 0.12
#9 AIK 0.12
#10 Hammarby IF 0.12
#11 GAIS 0.12
#12 Örgryte IS 0.12
#13 IFK Göteborg 0.11
#14 Degerfors IF 0.11
#15 Kalmar FF 0.10
#16 Halmstads BK 0.09
League avg
0.12
Total
31.10 npxG from 229 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
14.8 shots per match
#11/16
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Allsvenskan, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Hammarby IF 8.6
#2 Djurgårdens IF 10.9
#3 BK Häcken 11.5
#4 IFK Göteborg 12.4
#5 GAIS 12.4
#6 IF Elfsborg 12.5
#7 Malmö FF 12.9
#8 IK Sirius 13.8
#9 Degerfors IF 13.9
#10 Kalmar FF 14.3
#11 Västerås SK 14.8
#12 IF Brommapojkarna 15.7
#13 Mjällby AIF 16.2
#14 AIK 16.5
#15 Halmstads BK 17.5
#16 Örgryte IS 17.9
League avg
13.9
Total
281 shots allowed from 19 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.13 npxGA per shot
#13/16
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Allsvenskan, best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 IK Sirius 0.10
#2 Djurgårdens IF 0.11
#3 GAIS 0.11
#4 IF Brommapojkarna 0.11
#5 Malmö FF 0.12
#6 BK Häcken 0.12
#7 IF Elfsborg 0.12
#8 Kalmar FF 0.12
#9 Örgryte IS 0.13
#10 Degerfors IF 0.13
#11 Mjällby AIF 0.13
#12 Hammarby IF 0.13
#13 Västerås SK 0.13
#14 IFK Göteborg 0.13
#15 Halmstads BK 0.14
#16 AIK 0.14
League avg
0.12
Total
36.32 npxGA from 281 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

70% inside the box

League avg 64%

From 160 of 230 shots over 19 matches

Shots allowed, location

63% allowed inside the box

League avg 64%

From 177 of 281 shots allowed over 19 matches

How the shot figures are made →

Västerås SK home and away xG

Västerås SK per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 11 10 with xG 11 9 with xG
xG / match 1.46 1.84
xGA / match 1.45 2.43
xGD / match +0.01 -0.59
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 1.35 1.05

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every Västerås SK match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

Last 5

Matches
5
xG / match
1.79
xGA / match
2.05
xGD / match
-0.26
Points
10 of 15
  1. Sat 19/09 Malmö FF H Against the chances xG 0.71 xGA 2.82 xGD -2.11
  2. Sat 12/09 AIK A Best underlying xG 3.68 xGA 3.23 xGD +0.45
  3. Sat 05/09 IK Sirius H xG 1.34 xGA 0.95 xGD +0.39
  4. Sat 29/08 BK Häcken A xG 2.23 xGA 2.15 xGD +0.08
  5. Sun 23/08 Kalmar FF H xG 0.98 xGA 1.11 xGD -0.13

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.68. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

Västerås SK in Allsvenskan

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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