xgEdge

WSG Tirol's recorded results for 2026/2027, newest first, with the available xG behind each score. Compare outcomes with the chances created and conceded, then open a match for more detail.

Showing 7 of 7 matching results

7 played this season

7 available results · Last 10 requested

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Results

Wins – draws – losses (W–D–L)
2 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses

8 pts 9–12 goals −3 GD

Chances

Provider xG / xGA
10.64 – 12.29
1.52 – 1.76 per match
xGD
-1.65
-0.24 per match
xG record
3 with the chances, 0 with even chances, 4 against them

Comparable xG: 7 of 7 completed results.

Points vs xPts Model

8 pts 9.2 xPts

−1.2 vs xPts

Matched xPts: 7 of 7 selected results.

Model · How xPts works →

Match points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before deductions or sanctions.

Points vs xPts uses only matches with available xPts on both sides of the comparison.

What the results say

Last 10 · All competitions · All venues

WSG Tirol's mixed record matches the chances at both ends. They out-created the opponent in 3 of 7 matches, for −1.65 xG difference overall on 10.64–12.29. Their points total of 8 sits 1.2 below the model's 9.2 xPts, so the chances have slightly outrun the results.

Points minus xPts, match by match

Over these 7 results WSG Tirol are 1.25 points below their xPts. The gap was widest at -1.32, against Red Bull Salzburg on Sun 16/08.

Points
8
xPts
9.25
Gap
-1.25
Sat 01/08 Fri 07/08 Sun 16/08 Fri 28/08 Wed 02/09 Sun 13/09 Fri 18/09 -2 -1 0 +1 +0.56 -0.27 -1.32 -0.79 -0.12 -1.15 -1.25 +0.56 -0.83 -1.05 +0.53 +0.67 -1.03 -0.10 Running gap points − xPts Each match points − xPts
WSG Tirol: Points vs xPts, the gap after every selected result
Date Opponent Points xPts Match gap Running gap
Sat 01/08 SK Sturm Graz 1 0.44 +0.56 +0.56
Fri 07/08 SC Rheindorf Altach 0 0.83 -0.83 -0.27
Sun 16/08 Red Bull Salzburg 0 1.05 -1.05 -1.32
Fri 28/08 SC Austria Lustenau 3 2.47 +0.53 -0.79
Wed 02/09 Austria Wien 3 2.33 +0.67 -0.12
Sun 13/09 TSV Hartberg 1 2.03 -1.03 -1.15
Fri 18/09 SK Rapid Wien 0 0.10 -0.10 -1.25

Scores and xG

WSG Tirol first

  • Away Austrian Bundesliga Loss backed by the chances

    xG 0.36

    xGA 2.87

    xGD -2.51

    0:3 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · SK Rapid Wien, Fri 18/09

    The team lost and recorded less xG than its opponent. The direction of the result aligns with the chance difference.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    0.10
    Points minus xPts
    -0.10

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Austrian Bundesliga Draw against the chances

    xG 1.47

    xGA 0.71

    xGD +0.76

    2:2 Draw
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · TSV Hartberg, Sun 13/09

    The match was drawn although the team recorded a positive xG difference. The outcome was weaker than that chance advantage suggests.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    1
    Post-match model xPts
    2.02
    Points minus xPts
    -1.02

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Austrian Bundesliga Win backed by the chances

    xG 1.69

    xGA 0.51

    xGD +1.18

    1:0 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Austria Wien, Wed 02/09

    The team won and had a positive xG difference. The chances support the direction of the result, without making a judgment about fairness.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    3
    Post-match model xPts
    2.34
    Points minus xPts
    +0.66

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Austrian Bundesliga Win backed by the chances

    xG 2.60

    xGA 0.93

    xGD +1.67

    4:0 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · SC Austria Lustenau, Fri 28/08

    The team won and had a positive xG difference. The chances support the direction of the result, without making a judgment about fairness.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    3
    Post-match model xPts
    2.47
    Points minus xPts
    +0.53

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Austrian Bundesliga Loss backed by the chances

    xG 2.81

    xGA 3.47

    xGD -0.66

    0:3 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Red Bull Salzburg, Sun 16/08

    The team lost and recorded less xG than its opponent. The direction of the result aligns with the chance difference.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    1.05
    Points minus xPts
    -1.05

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Austrian Bundesliga Loss backed by the chances

    xG 0.84

    xGA 1.48

    xGD -0.64

    1:3 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · SC Rheindorf Altach, Fri 07/08

    The team lost and recorded less xG than its opponent. The direction of the result aligns with the chance difference.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    0.83
    Points minus xPts
    -0.83

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Austrian Bundesliga Draw against the chances

    xG 0.87

    xGA 2.32

    xGD -1.45

    1:1 Draw
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · SK Sturm Graz, Sat 01/08

    The match was drawn although the team recorded less xG. The outcome was stronger than that chance difference suggests.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    1
    Post-match model xPts
    0.44
    Points minus xPts
    +0.56

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →

Biggest overperformance

SC Austria Lustenau 4:0

· Away xG / xGA 2.60 – 0.93

Goal difference
+4
xGD
+1.67
GD minus xGD
+2.33

Among 7 comparable results.

Open match →

Biggest underperformance

Red Bull Salzburg 0:3

· Home xG / xGA 2.81 – 3.47

Goal difference
-3
xGD
-0.66
GD minus xGD
-2.34

Among 7 comparable results.

Open match →

Reading these results

xG is the provider's estimate of chances created; xGA is the opponent's xG. xGD is the difference. Labels compare the recorded outcome with those chances; they are interpretations, not judgments about fairness.

xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

How each figure on this page is read

Every xG bar is drawn on one fixed scale: full width is 7.20 xG, the same on every card and in every window, so two cards can be compared by eye. A rarer match above that is capped with a hatched end, and the figure beside the bar still gives its value.

An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

Goal difference minus xGD says how far a scoreline finished from the chances behind it: a 4:2 won off level chances ran nearly two goals ahead of them. The two callouts under the list name the match that ran furthest each way, and a direction with no result a full goal clear of the chances gets no card rather than a card built from a rounding.

Windows count back from the most recent recorded match, and only matches attached to this club record are included. Home and away mean the provider-designated side, not a verified physical venue. Scores describe recorded play, not shootout advancement. Unverified periods receive no chance comparison.

How the model works →