1. FC Union Berlin 2:2 1. FC Köln: xG & match report · Bundesliga

Saturday, 02/05/2026 at 15:30

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Match report · Bundesliga

1. FC Union Berlin Home 1.15 xG · 13 shots

1. FC Köln Away 1.75 xG · 8 shots

22 1. FC Köln had the better chances, but it finished level

Goals

33' Marius Bülter 1. FC Köln · 0.09 xG chance 0–1
61' Said El Mala 1. FC Köln · 0.12 xG chance 0–2
73' Tom Alexander Rothe 1. FC Union Berlin · 0.12 xG chance 1–2
89' Livan Burcu 1. FC Union Berlin · 0.02 xG chance 2–2

The shots behind it

1. FC Union Berlin 1. FC Köln

Shots: 13; 8
On target: 3; 4
Inside the box: 9; 6
xG per shot: 0.08; 0.21
Open play xG: 0.64; 1.50
Set-piece xG: 0.39; 0.20
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.04 for 1. FC Union Berlin and 1.71 for 1. FC Köln.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

21 shots · 2.73 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

1. FC Union Berlin
1. FC Köln
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

1. FC Union Berlin

0.95 xG created 2.25 xGA

W 0.54 created, 1.11 conceded against SC Freiburg
L 0.21 created, 5.53 conceded against FC Bayern München
D 1.95 created, 0.33 conceded against FC St. Pauli
L 0.99 created, 1.85 conceded against 1. FC Heidenheim
L 1.79 created, 0.19 conceded against VfL Wolfsburg
L 0.19 created, 4.49 conceded against RB Leipzig

1. FC Köln

2.26 xG created 1.38 xGA

D 1.22 created, 0.32 conceded against Hamburger SV
D 1.55 created, 1.30 conceded against Borussia M'gladbach
D 3.11 created, 2.34 conceded against Eintracht Frankfurt
W 3.33 created, 0.99 conceded against SV Werder Bremen
D 1.33 created, 2.01 conceded against FC St. Pauli
L 3.04 created, 1.33 conceded against Bayer 04 Leverkusen

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

1. FC Union Berlin: 1 won · 0 drawn · 0 lost

1. FC Köln 0:1 1. FC Union Berlin 20/12/2025 xG 0.55 – 1.26

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.