1. FC Union Berlin 4:0 FC Augsburg: xG & match report · Bundesliga

Saturday, 16/05/2026 at 15:30

Full time

Match report · Bundesliga

1. FC Union Berlin Home 3.68 xG · 17 shots

FC Augsburg Away 0.61 xG · 11 shots

40 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

10' Andrej Ilić 1. FC Union Berlin · 0.95 xG chance 1–0
42' Andrej Ilić 1. FC Union Berlin · 0.05 xG chance 2–0
54' András Schäfer 1. FC Union Berlin · 0.03 xG chance 3–0
89' Woo-Yeong Jeong 1. FC Union Berlin · 0.61 xG chance 4–0

The shots behind it

1. FC Union Berlin FC Augsburg

Shots: 17; 11
On target: 9; 1
Inside the box: 10; 6
xG per shot: 0.19; 0.05
Open play xG: 3.00; 0.45
Set-piece xG: 0.19; 0.08
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 3.18 for 1. FC Union Berlin and 0.54 for FC Augsburg.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

28 shots · 3.72 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

1. FC Union Berlin
FC Augsburg
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

1. FC Union Berlin

1.46 xG created 1.70 xGA

D 1.95 created, 0.33 conceded against FC St. Pauli
L 0.99 created, 1.85 conceded against 1. FC Heidenheim
L 1.79 created, 0.19 conceded against VfL Wolfsburg
L 0.19 created, 4.49 conceded against RB Leipzig
D 1.15 created, 1.75 conceded against 1. FC Köln
W 2.68 created, 1.57 conceded against 1. FSV Mainz 05

FC Augsburg

2.12 xG created 1.66 xGA

D 2.29 created, 1.59 conceded against Hamburger SV
D 1.93 created, 0.99 conceded against TSG Hoffenheim
W 1.33 created, 3.80 conceded against Bayer 04 Leverkusen
D 2.00 created, 1.11 conceded against Eintracht Frankfurt
W 2.57 created, 1.35 conceded against SV Werder Bremen
W 2.59 created, 1.14 conceded against Borussia M'gladbach

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

1. FC Union Berlin: 0 won · 1 drawn · 0 lost

FC Augsburg 1:1 1. FC Union Berlin 15/01/2026 xG 0.55 – 1.31

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.