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Saturday, 28/02/2026 at 18:30

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Match report · Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund 2:3 FC Bayern München

Borussia Dortmund Home 1.04 xG · 10 shots
FC Bayern München Away 2.05 xG · 14 shots
23 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

  1. 26' Nico Schlotterbeck Borussia Dortmund · 0.12 xG chance 1–0
  2. 54' Harry Kane FC Bayern München · 0.58 xG chance 1–1
  3. 70' Harry Kane (pen.) FC Bayern München · 0.82 xG chance 1–2
  4. 83' Daniel Svensson Borussia Dortmund · 0.26 xG chance 2–2
  5. 87' Joshua Kimmich FC Bayern München · 0.08 xG chance 2–3

The shots behind it

Borussia Dortmund FC Bayern München
Shots
10
14
On target
2
6
Inside the box
8
9
xG per shot
0.11
0.15
Open play xG
0.87
1.29
Set-piece xG
0.18
0.00
Penalties
0
1
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.05 for Borussia Dortmund and 1.26 for FC Bayern München.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

FC Bayern München · Harry Kane · 70' · Goal · 12 m · 0.82 xG FC Bayern München · Harry Kane · 54' · Goal · 7 m · 0.58 xG Borussia Dortmund · Daniel Svensson · 83' · Goal · 11 m · 0.26 xG Borussia Dortmund · Serhou Guirassy · 86' · No goal · 15 m · 0.16 xG FC Bayern München · Luis Díaz · 84' · No goal · 12 m · 0.14 xG Borussia Dortmund · Nico Schlotterbeck · 26' · Goal · 7 m · 0.12 xG Borussia Dortmund · Maximilian Beier · 56' · No goal · 5 m · 0.12 xG Borussia Dortmund · Maximilian Beier · 34' · No goal · 10 m · 0.10 xG FC Bayern München · Luis Díaz · 81' · No goal · 15 m · 0.09 xG FC Bayern München · Harry Kane · 11' · No goal · 13 m · 0.08 xG Borussia Dortmund · Maximilian Beier · 55' · No goal · 19 m · 0.08 xG FC Bayern München · Joshua Kimmich · 87' · Goal · 13 m · 0.08 xG FC Bayern München · Joshua Kimmich · 24' · No goal · 22 m · 0.06 xG Borussia Dortmund · Daniel Svensson · 50' · No goal · 7 m · 0.06 xG FC Bayern München · Michael Olise · 57' · No goal · 18 m · 0.06 xG Borussia Dortmund · Samuele Inacio · 90' · No goal · 16 m · 0.06 xG FC Bayern München · Jamal Musiala · 66' · No goal · 11 m · 0.05 xG Borussia Dortmund · Nico Schlotterbeck · 90' · No goal · 21 m · 0.05 xG FC Bayern München · Michael Olise · 6' · No goal · 13 m · 0.04 xG FC Bayern München · Michael Olise · 16' · No goal · 16 m · 0.04 xG Borussia Dortmund · Yan Couto · 65' · No goal · 15 m · 0.04 xG FC Bayern München · Serge Gnabry · 24' · No goal · 20 m · 0.03 xG FC Bayern München · Joshua Kimmich · 45' · No goal · 26 m · 0.03 xG FC Bayern München · Serge Gnabry · 46' · No goal · 25 m · 0.01 xG

All shots

24 shots · 3.16 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

  • Borussia Dortmund
  • FC Bayern München
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Borussia Dortmund

2.15 xG created 1.47 xGA

  • W 3.20 created, 0.54 conceded against FC St. Pauli
  • W 1.89 created, 1.24 conceded against 1. FC Union Berlin
  • W 3.32 created, 2.26 conceded against 1. FC Heidenheim
  • W 1.27 created, 1.45 conceded against VfL Wolfsburg
  • W 1.80 created, 1.52 conceded against 1. FSV Mainz 05
  • D 1.39 created, 1.81 conceded against RB Leipzig
FC Bayern München

3.11 xG created 1.84 xGA

  • W 4.56 created, 2.45 conceded against RB Leipzig
  • L 1.48 created, 0.94 conceded against FC Augsburg
  • D 2.35 created, 2.26 conceded against Hamburger SV
  • W 5.60 created, 2.03 conceded against TSG Hoffenheim
  • W 1.90 created, 0.98 conceded against SV Werder Bremen
  • W 2.79 created, 2.35 conceded against Eintracht Frankfurt

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Borussia Dortmund: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.