xgEdge

Bohemians Praha 1905's recorded results for 2026/2027, newest first, with the available xG behind each score. Compare outcomes with the chances created and conceded, then open a match for more detail.

Showing 5 of 8 matching results

8 played this season

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Results

Wins – draws – losses (W–D–L)
1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses

5 pts 6–8 goals −2 GD

Chances

Provider xG / xGA
7.73 – 6.85
1.55 – 1.37 per match
xGD
+0.88
+0.18 per match
xG record
2 with the chances, 1 with even chances, 2 against them

Comparable xG: 5 of 5 completed results.

Points vs xPts Model

5 pts 6.8 xPts

−1.8 vs xPts

Matched xPts: 5 of 5 selected results.

Model · How xPts works →

Match points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before deductions or sanctions.

Points vs xPts uses only matches with available xPts on both sides of the comparison.

What the results say

Last 5 · Czech First League · All venues

Bohemians Praha 1905's mixed record matches the chances at both ends. They out-created the opponent in 3 of 5 matches, for +0.88 xG difference overall on 7.73–6.85. Their points total of 5 sits 1.8 below the model's 6.8 xPts, so the chances have clearly outrun the results.

Points minus xPts, match by match

Over these 5 results Bohemians Praha 1905 are 1.83 points below their xPts.

Points
5
xPts
6.83
Gap
-1.83
Sat 22/08 Wed 02/09 Sat 05/09 Sat 12/09 Sat 19/09 -2 -1 0 +1 +0.73 -0.11 -0.44 -0.39 -1.83 +0.73 -0.84 -0.33 +0.05 -1.44 Running gap points − xPts Each match points − xPts
Bohemians Praha 1905: Points vs xPts, the gap after every selected result
Date Opponent Points xPts Match gap Running gap
Sat 22/08 SK Slavia Praha 1 0.27 +0.73 +0.73
Wed 02/09 FK Jablonec 1 1.84 -0.84 -0.11
Sat 05/09 SK Sigma Olomouc 0 0.33 -0.33 -0.44
Sat 12/09 1. FC Slovácko 3 2.95 +0.05 -0.39
Sat 19/09 FK Pardubice 0 1.44 -1.44 -1.83

Scores and xG

Bohemians Praha 1905 first

  • Away Czech First League Loss with even chances

    xG 1.05

    xGA 0.94

    xGD +0.11

    1:2 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · FK Pardubice, Sat 19/09

    The team lost, while the chance difference was approximately even. The outcome was weaker than that difference alone suggests.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    1.44
    Points minus xPts
    -1.44

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Czech First League Win backed by the chances

    xG 3.70

    xGA 0.24

    xGD +3.46

    2:0 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · 1. FC Slovácko, Sat 12/09

    The team won and had a positive xG difference. The chances support the direction of the result, without making a judgment about fairness.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    3
    Post-match model xPts
    2.95
    Points minus xPts
    +0.05

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Czech First League Loss backed by the chances

    xG 0.42

    xGA 1.78

    xGD -1.36

    0:3 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · SK Sigma Olomouc, Sat 05/09

    The team lost and recorded less xG than its opponent. The direction of the result aligns with the chance difference.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    0.33
    Points minus xPts
    -0.33

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Czech First League Draw against the chances

    xG 1.75

    xGA 1.15

    xGD +0.60

    1:1 Draw
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · FK Jablonec, Wed 02/09

    The match was drawn although the team recorded a positive xG difference. The outcome was weaker than that chance advantage suggests.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    1
    Post-match model xPts
    1.84
    Points minus xPts
    -0.84

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Czech First League Draw against the chances

    xG 0.81

    xGA 2.74

    xGD -1.93

    2:2 Draw
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · SK Slavia Praha, Sat 22/08

    The match was drawn although the team recorded less xG. The outcome was stronger than that chance difference suggests.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    1
    Post-match model xPts
    0.27
    Points minus xPts
    +0.73

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →

Biggest overperformance

SK Slavia Praha 2:2

· Away xG / xGA 0.81 – 2.74

Goal difference
0
xGD
-1.93
GD minus xGD
+1.93

Among 5 comparable results.

Open match →

Biggest underperformance

SK Sigma Olomouc 0:3

· Away xG / xGA 0.42 – 1.78

Goal difference
-3
xGD
-1.36
GD minus xGD
-1.64

Among 5 comparable results.

Open match →

Reading these results

xG is the provider's estimate of chances created; xGA is the opponent's xG. xGD is the difference. Labels compare the recorded outcome with those chances; they are interpretations, not judgments about fairness.

xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

How each figure on this page is read

Every xG bar is drawn on one fixed scale: full width is 7.20 xG, the same on every card and in every window, so two cards can be compared by eye. A rarer match above that is capped with a hatched end, and the figure beside the bar still gives its value.

An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

Goal difference minus xGD says how far a scoreline finished from the chances behind it: a 4:2 won off level chances ran nearly two goals ahead of them. The two callouts under the list name the match that ran furthest each way, and a direction with no result a full goal clear of the chances gets no card rather than a card built from a rounding.

Windows count back from the most recent recorded match, and only matches attached to this club record are included. Home and away mean the provider-designated side, not a verified physical venue. Scores describe recorded play, not shootout advancement. Unverified periods receive no chance comparison.

1 non-result notice · View in Season →

How the model works →