xgEdge

Expected goals

Cracovia expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

Ekstraklasa · after 9 matches · updated 1 Oct

Cracovia's attacking and defensive expected goals in Ekstraklasa 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

Cracovia xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
1.53 xG per match
#8/18
Attack (xG per match) across Ekstraklasa, best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 Lech Poznań 2.07
#2 Wisła Kraków 1.99
#3 GKS Katowice 1.77
#4 Legia Warszawa 1.71
#5 Górnik Zabrze 1.58
#6 Widzew Łódź 1.57
#7 Wieczysta Kraków 1.57
#8 Cracovia 1.53
#9 Wisła Płock 1.52
#10 Jagiellonia Białystok 1.50
#11 Pogoń Szczecin 1.48
#12 Raków Częstochowa 1.42
#13 Radomiak Radom 1.41
#14 MKS Korona Kielce 1.40
#15 Śląsk Wrocław 1.40
#16 Motor Lublin 1.39
#17 Zagłębie Lubin 1.35
#18 Piast Gliwice 1.22
League avg
1.54
Total
13.77 9 matches
Defence
1.43 xGA per match
#7/18
Defence (xGA per match) across Ekstraklasa, best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 Lech Poznań 0.89
#2 Górnik Zabrze 1.05
#3 Wisła Kraków 1.10
#4 Zagłębie Lubin 1.22
#5 Legia Warszawa 1.27
#6 Pogoń Szczecin 1.38
#7 Cracovia 1.43
#8 MKS Korona Kielce 1.48
#9 Jagiellonia Białystok 1.52
#10 Motor Lublin 1.53
#11 Wieczysta Kraków 1.60
#12 Wisła Płock 1.63
#13 Widzew Łódź 1.67
#14 Śląsk Wrocław 1.73
#15 Piast Gliwice 1.87
#16 GKS Katowice 2.00
#17 Radomiak Radom 2.05
#18 Raków Częstochowa 2.36
League avg
1.54
Total
12.83 9 matches
xG difference
+0.10 xGD per match
#6/18
xG difference (xGD per match) across Ekstraklasa, best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 Lech Poznań +1.18
#2 Wisła Kraków +0.89
#3 Górnik Zabrze +0.53
#4 Legia Warszawa +0.43
#5 Zagłębie Lubin +0.13
#6 Cracovia +0.10
#7 Pogoń Szczecin +0.10
#8 Jagiellonia Białystok -0.03
#9 Wieczysta Kraków -0.04
#10 MKS Korona Kielce -0.07
#11 Widzew Łódź -0.10
#12 Wisła Płock -0.11
#13 Motor Lublin -0.14
#14 GKS Katowice -0.23
#15 Śląsk Wrocław -0.34
#16 Radomiak Radom -0.64
#17 Piast Gliwice -0.65
#18 Raków Częstochowa -0.94
League avg
0.00
Total
+0.94 9 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
1.42 xPts per match
#7/18
Expected points (xPts per match) across Ekstraklasa, best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 Lech Poznań 2.07
#2 Wisła Kraków 1.97
#3 Górnik Zabrze 1.79
#4 Legia Warszawa 1.66
#5 Pogoń Szczecin 1.48
#6 Zagłębie Lubin 1.47
#7 Cracovia 1.42
#8 Wieczysta Kraków 1.33
#9 GKS Katowice 1.30
#10 Wisła Płock 1.30
#11 Widzew Łódź 1.29
#12 MKS Korona Kielce 1.27
#13 Motor Lublin 1.26
#14 Jagiellonia Białystok 1.23
#15 Śląsk Wrocław 1.20
#16 Radomiak Radom 0.99
#17 Piast Gliwice 0.96
#18 Raków Częstochowa 0.93
League avg
1.38
Total
12.80 vs 8 actual pts

Early-season figures: after 9 matches, per-match rates can move quickly.

What the xG says

Cracovia's underlying numbers are among the best in Ekstraklasa. They rank #6 for xG difference at +0.10 per match, from about average shot volume at about average chance quality. Their 9 goals are 4.77 below 13.77 xG, while 8 points are 4.80 below 12.80 xPts. After only 9 matches, those gaps should still be read cautiously.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG
9 13.77 -4.77 scored 4.77 fewer than xG outside normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
14 12.83 +1.17 conceded 1.17 more than xGA within normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
8 12.80 -4.80 4.80 points below xPts outside normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

Cracovia are 4.77 goals below their xG after 9 matches. The gap was widest at -4.94, against Wisła Płock on Sun 13/09.

Goals
9
xG
13.77
Gap
-4.77
Sat 25/07 Mon 03/08 Sun 09/08 Sun 16/08 Fri 21/08 Sat 29/08 Sun 06/09 Sun 13/09 Sat 19/09 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 +1 -0.88 -2.03 -3.51 -4.25 -3.33 -4.35 -4.80 -4.94 -4.77 -0.88 -1.15 -1.48 -0.74 +0.92 -1.02 -0.45 -0.14 +0.17 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
Cracovia: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Sat 25/07 Lech Poznań 0 0.88 -0.88 -0.88
Mon 03/08 Pogoń Szczecin 0 1.15 -1.15 -2.03
Sun 09/08 Śląsk Wrocław 0 1.48 -1.48 -3.51
Sun 16/08 Raków Częstochowa 2 2.74 -0.74 -4.25
Fri 21/08 Wieczysta Kraków 3 2.08 +0.92 -3.33
Sat 29/08 Radomiak Radom 1 2.02 -1.02 -4.35
Sun 06/09 Górnik Zabrze 0 0.45 -0.45 -4.80
Sun 13/09 Wisła Płock 1 1.14 -0.14 -4.94
Sat 19/09 GKS Katowice 2 1.83 +0.17 -4.77

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking → Compare with every club in Europe →

Cracovia xG trend

Current form +0.44 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 6 of 9 matches. The worst was against Wisła Płock on Sun 13/09 (-0.40).

npxG · last 6
1.66
npxGA · last 6
1.22
-1 0 +1 +2 +0.09 Sat 25/07 +0.20 Mon 03/08 +0.81 Sun 09/08 +1.55 Sun 16/08 +0.89 Fri 21/08 +0.92 Sat 29/08 -0.20 Sun 06/09 -0.40 Sun 13/09 -0.10 Sat 19/09 +0.42 season avg
Cracovia: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Sat 25/07 Lech Poznań 0.88 0.79 +0.09 +0.09
Mon 03/08 Pogoń Szczecin 1.13 0.93 +0.20 +0.14
Sun 09/08 Śląsk Wrocław 1.52 0.71 +0.81 +0.37
Sun 16/08 Raków Częstochowa 2.41 0.86 +1.55 +0.66
Fri 21/08 Wieczysta Kraków 2.08 1.19 +0.89 +0.71
Sat 29/08 Radomiak Radom 2.02 1.10 +0.92 +0.74
Sun 06/09 Górnik Zabrze 0.47 0.67 -0.20 +0.61
Sun 13/09 Wisła Płock 1.14 1.54 -0.40 +0.48
Sat 19/09 GKS Katowice 1.83 1.93 -0.10 +0.42

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.50 npxG and 1.08 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
tied number 10 hardest of 18 in Ekstraklasa
0.00 xG vs league average
Over 9 league matches
Last 5
number 11 hardest of 18 in Ekstraklasa
0.00 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

0.00 xG vs league average · over 9 matches · tied number 10 hardest of 18

  1. GKS Katowice Away −0.04
  2. Wisła Płock Away +0.01
  3. Górnik Zabrze Home +0.27
  4. Radomiak Radom Away −0.29
  5. Wieczysta Kraków Home +0.03
  6. Raków Częstochowa Home −0.23
  7. Śląsk Wrocław Away −0.29
  8. Pogoń Szczecin Home −0.10
  9. Lech Poznań Away +0.65

Last 5

0.00 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 11 hardest of 18

  1. GKS Katowice Away −0.04
  2. Wisła Płock Away +0.01
  3. Górnik Zabrze Home +0.27
  4. Radomiak Radom Away −0.29
  5. Wieczysta Kraków Home +0.03

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

Cracovia shots and chance quality

Average volume, average quality. Cracovia take 15.1 shots a match (league 14.9) at 0.10 npxG a shot (league 0.10), =6 in Ekstraklasa for volume and #10 for quality. 68% of their shots come from inside the box (league 64%), and set pieces produce 33% of their npxG (league 27%).

Attack

Shot volume
15.1 shots per match
=6/18
Shot volume (shots per match) across Ekstraklasa, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Wisła Kraków 19.1
#2 Lech Poznań 18.9
#3 GKS Katowice 16.8
#4 Legia Warszawa 15.4
#5 Widzew Łódź 15.3
=6 Cracovia 15.1
=6 Raków Częstochowa 15.1
#8 Wisła Płock 14.9
=9 Motor Lublin 14.7
=9 Radomiak Radom 14.7
#11 Wieczysta Kraków 14.5
#12 Piast Gliwice 14.0
#13 MKS Korona Kielce 13.7
#14 Pogoń Szczecin 13.5
#15 Górnik Zabrze 13.4
#16 Jagiellonia Białystok 13.4
#17 Zagłębie Lubin 13.3
#18 Śląsk Wrocław 12.0
League avg
14.9
Total
136 shots from 9 matches
Chance quality
0.10 npxG per shot
#10/18
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Ekstraklasa, best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 Lech Poznań 0.11
#2 Pogoń Szczecin 0.11
#3 Wisła Płock 0.11
#4 Śląsk Wrocław 0.10
#5 Legia Warszawa 0.10
#6 Wieczysta Kraków 0.10
#7 Zagłębie Lubin 0.10
#8 Górnik Zabrze 0.10
#9 Widzew Łódź 0.10
#10 Cracovia 0.10
#11 Motor Lublin 0.10
#12 Wisła Kraków 0.10
#13 GKS Katowice 0.09
#14 MKS Korona Kielce 0.09
#15 Jagiellonia Białystok 0.09
#16 Radomiak Radom 0.08
#17 Raków Częstochowa 0.08
#18 Piast Gliwice 0.08
League avg
0.10
Total
13.48 npxG from 136 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
15.1 shots per match
#9/18
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Ekstraklasa, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Lech Poznań 11.1
#2 Górnik Zabrze 11.4
#3 Wisła Kraków 12.0
#4 Legia Warszawa 12.7
#5 Motor Lublin 13.9
#6 MKS Korona Kielce 14.0
#7 Wisła Płock 14.4
#8 Widzew Łódź 14.9
#9 Cracovia 15.1
#10 Raków Częstochowa 15.3
#11 Zagłębie Lubin 15.8
=12 Jagiellonia Białystok 16.1
=12 Pogoń Szczecin 16.1
#14 Śląsk Wrocław 16.2
#15 GKS Katowice 16.9
#16 Wieczysta Kraków 17.0
#17 Piast Gliwice 17.2
#18 Radomiak Radom 17.6
League avg
14.9
Total
136 shots allowed from 9 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.07 npxGA per shot
#2/18
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Ekstraklasa, best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 Zagłębie Lubin 0.06
#2 Cracovia 0.07
#3 Lech Poznań 0.08
#4 Jagiellonia Białystok 0.08
#5 Górnik Zabrze 0.08
#6 Wisła Kraków 0.09
#7 Pogoń Szczecin 0.09
#8 Legia Warszawa 0.09
#9 Wieczysta Kraków 0.10
#10 Wisła Płock 0.10
#11 Motor Lublin 0.10
#12 Piast Gliwice 0.10
#13 MKS Korona Kielce 0.10
#14 GKS Katowice 0.11
#15 Radomiak Radom 0.11
#16 Śląsk Wrocław 0.11
#17 Widzew Łódź 0.12
#18 Raków Częstochowa 0.14
League avg
0.10
Total
9.72 npxGA from 136 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

68% inside the box

League avg 64%

From 93 of 136 shots over 9 matches

Early-season figure: after 9 matches, the share can move quickly.

Shots allowed, location

56% allowed inside the box

League avg 64%

From 76 of 136 shots allowed over 9 matches

Early-season figure: after 9 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG comes from

67% open play · 33% set pieces

League avg 27% set pieces

From 4.4 of 13.6 npxG over 9 matches

Early-season figure: after 9 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG allowed comes from

73% open play · 27% set pieces

League avg 27% set pieces

From 2.6 of 9.7 npxG allowed over 9 matches

Early-season figure: after 9 matches, the share can move quickly.

How the shot figures are made →

Cracovia home and away xG

Cracovia per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 4 5
xG / match 1.61 1.47
xGA / match 1.30 1.53
xGD / match +0.30 -0.06
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 1.51 1.35

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every Cracovia match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

This season

Matches
9
xG / match
1.53
xGA / match
1.43
xGD / match
+0.10
Points
8 of 27
  1. Sat 19/09 GKS Katowice A xG 1.83 xGA 2.72 P xGD -0.89
  2. Sun 13/09 Wisła Płock A xG 1.14 xGA 1.48 xGD -0.34
  3. Sun 06/09 Górnik Zabrze H Weakest underlying xG 0.45 xGA 1.44 P xGD -0.99
  4. Sat 29/08 Radomiak Radom A xG 2.02 xGA 1.89 P xGD +0.13
  5. Fri 21/08 Wieczysta Kraków H xG 2.08 xGA 1.98 P xGD +0.10
  6. Sun 16/08 Raków Częstochowa H Best underlying xG 2.74 xGA 0.85 xGD +1.89
  7. Sun 09/08 Śląsk Wrocław A xG 1.48 xGA 0.75 xGD +0.73
  8. Mon 03/08 Pogoń Szczecin H xG 1.15 xGA 0.93 xGD +0.22
  9. Sat 25/07 Lech Poznań A xG 0.88 xGA 0.79 xGD +0.09

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.00. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

Cracovia in Ekstraklasa

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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