xgEdge

Śląsk Wrocław's recorded results for 2026/2027, newest first, with the available xG behind each score. Compare outcomes with the chances created and conceded, then open a match for more detail.

Showing 4 of 4 matching results

9 played this season

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Results

Wins – draws – losses (W–D–L)
1 win, 2 draws, 1 loss

5 pts 6–6 goals 0 GD

Chances

Provider xG / xGA
5.39 – 8.33
1.35 – 2.08 per match
xGD
-2.94
-0.74 per match
xG record
1 with the chances, 0 with even chances, 3 against them

Small sample: 4 matches.

Comparable xG: 4 of 4 completed results.

Points vs xPts Model

5 pts 3.7 xPts

+1.3 vs xPts

Small sample: 4 matches.

Matched xPts: 4 of 4 selected results.

Model · How xPts works →

Match points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before deductions or sanctions.

Points vs xPts uses only matches with available xPts on both sides of the comparison.

What the results say

Season · All competitions · Home

Śląsk Wrocław's mixed record runs ahead of the chances they created and conceded. They out-created the opponent in 1 of 4 matches, for −2.94 xG difference overall on 5.39–8.33. Their points total of 5 sits 1.3 above the model's 3.7 xPts, so the results have clearly outrun the chances. The win against Raków Częstochowa came with −1.50 xGD.

Points minus xPts, match by match

Over these 4 results Śląsk Wrocław are 1.34 points above their xPts. The gap was widest at +2.71, against Cracovia on Sun 09/08.

Points
5
xPts
3.66
Gap
+1.34
Sun 02/08 Sun 09/08 Sat 22/08 Sat 12/09 -1 0 +1 +2 +3 +2.47 +2.71 +1.94 +1.34 +2.47 +0.24 -0.77 -0.60 Running gap points − xPts Each match points − xPts
Śląsk Wrocław: Points vs xPts, the gap after every selected result
Date Opponent Points xPts Match gap Running gap
Sun 02/08 Raków Częstochowa 3 0.53 +2.47 +2.47
Sun 09/08 Cracovia 1 0.76 +0.24 +2.71
Sat 22/08 Widzew Łódź 1 1.77 -0.77 +1.94
Sat 12/09 MKS Korona Kielce 0 0.60 -0.60 +1.34

Scores and xG

Śląsk Wrocław first

  • Home Ekstraklasa Loss backed by the chances

    xG 1.29

    xGA 2.54

    xGD -1.25

    1:2 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · MKS Korona Kielce, Sat 12/09

    The team lost and recorded less xG than its opponent. The direction of the result aligns with the chance difference.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    0.60
    Points minus xPts
    -0.60

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Ekstraklasa Draw against the chances

    xG 1.83

    xGA 1.29

    xGD +0.54

    3:3 Draw
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Widzew Łódź, Sat 22/08

    The match was drawn although the team recorded a positive xG difference. The outcome was weaker than that chance advantage suggests.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    1
    Post-match model xPts
    1.77
    Points minus xPts
    -0.77

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Ekstraklasa Draw against the chances

    xG 0.75

    xGA 1.48

    xGD -0.73

    0:0 Draw
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Cracovia, Sun 09/08

    The match was drawn although the team recorded less xG. The outcome was stronger than that chance difference suggests.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    1
    Post-match model xPts
    0.75
    Points minus xPts
    +0.25

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Ekstraklasa Win against the chances

    xG 1.52

    xGA 3.02

    xGD -1.50

    2:1 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Raków Częstochowa, Sun 02/08

    The team won despite recording less xG than its opponent. That contrast does not make the win impossible or establish why it happened.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    3
    Post-match model xPts
    0.53
    Points minus xPts
    +2.47

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →

Reading these results

xG is the provider's estimate of chances created; xGA is the opponent's xG. xGD is the difference. Labels compare the recorded outcome with those chances; they are interpretations, not judgments about fairness.

xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

How each figure on this page is read

Every xG bar is drawn on one fixed scale: full width is 7.20 xG, the same on every card and in every window, so two cards can be compared by eye. A rarer match above that is capped with a hatched end, and the figure beside the bar still gives its value.

An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

Goal difference minus xGD says how far a scoreline finished from the chances behind it: a 4:2 won off level chances ran nearly two goals ahead of them. The two callouts under the list name the match that ran furthest each way, and a direction with no result a full goal clear of the chances gets no card rather than a card built from a rounding.

Windows count back from the most recent recorded match, and only matches attached to this club record are included. Home and away mean the provider-designated side, not a verified physical venue. Scores describe recorded play, not shootout advancement. Unverified periods receive no chance comparison.

How the model works →