xgEdge

Expected goals

SK Brann expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

Eliteserien · after 21 matches · updated 4 Oct

SK Brann's attacking and defensive expected goals in Eliteserien 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

SK Brann xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
1.58 xG per match
#5/16
Attack (xG per match) across Eliteserien, best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 Bodø/Glimt 2.31
#2 Viking FK 2.09
#3 Molde FK 1.83
#4 Tromsø IL 1.60
#5 SK Brann 1.58
#6 Rosenborg BK 1.56
#7 Lillestrøm SK 1.56
#8 Vålerenga IF 1.55
#9 Sarpsborg 08 1.51
#10 Aalesunds FK 1.40
#11 IK Start 1.36
#12 Fredrikstad FK 1.20
#13 Sandefjord Fotball 1.18
#14 HamKam 1.14
#15 KFUM Oslo 1.09
#16 Kristiansund BK 0.97
League avg
1.50
Total
33.21 21 matches
Defence
1.53 xGA per match
#8/16
Defence (xGA per match) across Eliteserien, best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 Bodø/Glimt 0.90
#2 Viking FK 1.16
#3 Molde FK 1.17
#4 Tromsø IL 1.23
#5 Sarpsborg 08 1.40
#6 Rosenborg BK 1.42
#7 Lillestrøm SK 1.46
#8 SK Brann 1.53
#9 Sandefjord Fotball 1.59
#10 IK Start 1.61
#11 Vålerenga IF 1.63
#12 HamKam 1.66
#13 Fredrikstad FK 1.67
#14 Kristiansund BK 1.72
#15 KFUM Oslo 1.78
#16 Aalesunds FK 1.98
League avg
1.50
Total
32.21 21 matches
xG difference
+0.05 xGD per match
#8/16
xG difference (xGD per match) across Eliteserien, best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 Bodø/Glimt +1.41
#2 Viking FK +0.93
#3 Molde FK +0.66
#4 Tromsø IL +0.37
#5 Rosenborg BK +0.14
#6 Sarpsborg 08 +0.11
#7 Lillestrøm SK +0.10
#8 SK Brann +0.05
#9 Vålerenga IF -0.08
#10 IK Start -0.25
#11 Sandefjord Fotball -0.41
#12 Fredrikstad FK -0.47
#13 HamKam -0.52
#14 Aalesunds FK -0.58
#15 KFUM Oslo -0.69
#16 Kristiansund BK -0.75
League avg
0.00
Total
+1.00 21 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
1.40 xPts per match
#8/16
Expected points (xPts per match) across Eliteserien, best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 Bodø/Glimt 2.24
#2 Viking FK 1.97
#3 Molde FK 1.80
#4 Tromsø IL 1.68
#5 Rosenborg BK 1.52
#6 Lillestrøm SK 1.46
#7 Sarpsborg 08 1.45
#8 SK Brann 1.40
#9 Vålerenga IF 1.33
#10 IK Start 1.19
#11 Fredrikstad FK 1.10
#12 Sandefjord Fotball 1.09
#13 HamKam 1.05
#14 Aalesunds FK 1.04
#15 Kristiansund BK 0.95
#16 KFUM Oslo 0.94
League avg
1.39
Total
29.42 vs 29 actual pts

What the xG says

SK Brann's underlying numbers sit close to the Eliteserien average. They rank #8 for xG difference at +0.05 per match, from about average shot volume at about average chance quality. Their 39 goals are 5.79 above 33.21 xG, while 29 points are 0.42 below 29.42 xPts.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG Includes 4.65 xG from penalties
39 33.21 +5.79 scored 5.79 more than xG outside normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
32 32.21 -0.21 conceded 0.21 fewer than xGA within normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
29 29.42 -0.42 0.42 points below xPts within normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

SK Brann are 5.79 goals above their xG after 21 matches. The gap was widest at +7.41, against HamKam on Sun 16/08.

Goals
39
xG
33.21
Gap
+5.79
Sun 15/03 Sun 22/03 Mon 06/04 Sun 12/04 Sat 18/04 Sat 25/04 Wed 29/04 Sat 02/05 Sat 16/05 Wed 20/05 Sun 24/05 Fri 29/05 Sun 12/07 Sat 18/07 Sun 26/07 Sun 02/08 Sun 16/08 Sun 30/08 Sat 05/09 Sun 13/09 Sun 20/09 -1 +1 +3 +5 +7 +0.00 -0.21 +1.58 -0.78 -0.28 -0.42 +1.84 +2.35 +2.48 +2.39 +3.24 +3.48 +3.65 +4.94 +4.57 +6.79 +7.41 +6.67 +5.70 +4.55 +5.79 +0.00 -0.21 +1.79 -2.36 +0.50 -0.14 +2.26 +0.51 +0.13 -0.09 +0.85 +0.24 +0.17 +1.29 -0.37 +2.22 +0.62 -0.74 -0.97 -1.15 +1.24 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
SK Brann: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Sun 15/03 Kristiansund BK 2 2.00 +0.00 +0.00
Sun 22/03 Tromsø IL 1 1.21 -0.21 -0.21
Mon 06/04 HamKam 5 3.21 +1.79 +1.58
Sun 12/04 Sandefjord Fotball 0 2.36 -2.36 -0.78
Sat 18/04 Viking FK 2 1.50 +0.50 -0.28
Sat 25/04 Rosenborg BK 1 1.14 -0.14 -0.42
Wed 29/04 Tromsø IL 5 2.74 +2.26 +1.84
Sat 02/05 Fredrikstad FK 3 2.49 +0.51 +2.35
Sat 16/05 KFUM Oslo 2 1.87 +0.13 +2.48
Wed 20/05 Aalesunds FK 1 1.09 -0.09 +2.39
Sun 24/05 Bodø/Glimt 1 0.15 +0.85 +3.24
Fri 29/05 Sarpsborg 08 1 0.76 +0.24 +3.48
Sun 12/07 IK Start 2 1.83 +0.17 +3.65
Sat 18/07 Molde FK 2 0.71 +1.29 +4.94
Sun 26/07 Vålerenga IF 2 2.37 -0.37 +4.57
Sun 02/08 Rosenborg BK 3 0.78 +2.22 +6.79
Sun 16/08 HamKam 3 2.38 +0.62 +7.41
Sun 30/08 Sandefjord Fotball 0 0.74 -0.74 +6.67
Sat 05/09 Lillestrøm SK 1 1.97 -0.97 +5.70
Sun 13/09 IK Start 0 1.15 -1.15 +4.55
Sun 20/09 Bodø/Glimt 2 0.76 +1.24 +5.79

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking → Compare with every club in Europe →

SK Brann xG trend

Current form +0.02 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 9 of 21 matches. The worst was against Bodø/Glimt on Sun 24/05 (-1.62).

npxG · last 6
1.23
npxGA · last 6
1.21
-2 -1 0 +1 +2 -0.36 Sun 15/03 -0.66 Sun 22/03 +1.38 Mon 06/04 +0.50 Sun 12/04 -1.30 Sat 18/04 -0.10 Sat 25/04 +0.94 Wed 29/04 +0.70 Sat 02/05 +1.35 Sat 16/05 -1.28 Wed 20/05 -1.62 Sun 24/05 -0.31 Fri 29/05 +0.40 Sun 12/07 -0.85 Sat 18/07 +0.05 Sun 26/07 -0.38 Sun 02/08 +1.91 Sun 16/08 -0.24 Sun 30/08 +0.55 Sat 05/09 -1.13 Sun 13/09 -0.60 Sun 20/09 -0.05 season avg
SK Brann: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Sun 15/03 Kristiansund BK 1.21 1.57 -0.36 -0.36
Sun 22/03 Tromsø IL 1.28 1.94 -0.66 -0.51
Mon 06/04 HamKam 3.29 1.91 +1.38 +0.12
Sun 12/04 Sandefjord Fotball 1.12 0.62 +0.50 +0.22
Sat 18/04 Viking FK 0.73 2.03 -1.30 -0.09
Sat 25/04 Rosenborg BK 1.17 1.27 -0.10 -0.09
Wed 29/04 Tromsø IL 2.87 1.93 +0.94 +0.06
Sat 02/05 Fredrikstad FK 1.71 1.01 +0.70 +0.14
Sat 16/05 KFUM Oslo 1.87 0.52 +1.35 +0.27
Wed 20/05 Aalesunds FK 1.09 2.37 -1.28 +0.12
Sun 24/05 Bodø/Glimt 0.30 1.92 -1.62 -0.04
Fri 29/05 Sarpsborg 08 0.76 1.07 -0.31 -0.06
Sun 12/07 IK Start 1.69 1.29 +0.40 -0.03
Sat 18/07 Molde FK 0.53 1.38 -0.85 -0.09
Sun 26/07 Vålerenga IF 1.59 1.54 +0.05 -0.08
Sun 02/08 Rosenborg BK 0.77 1.15 -0.38 -0.10
Sun 16/08 HamKam 2.13 0.22 +1.91 +0.02
Sun 30/08 Sandefjord Fotball 0.74 0.98 -0.24 +0.01
Sat 05/09 Lillestrøm SK 1.88 1.33 +0.55 +0.04
Sun 13/09 IK Start 1.11 2.24 -1.13 -0.02
Sun 20/09 Bodø/Glimt 0.72 1.32 -0.60 -0.05

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.36 npxG and 1.41 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
number 7 hardest of 16 in Eliteserien
+0.02 xG vs league average
Over 21 league matches
Last 5
number 7 hardest of 16 in Eliteserien
+0.02 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

+0.02 xG vs league average · over 21 matches · number 7 hardest of 16

  1. Bodø/Glimt Home +0.79
  2. IK Start Away +0.04
  3. Lillestrøm SK Home −0.10
  4. Sandefjord Fotball Away −0.13
  5. HamKam Home −0.51
  6. Rosenborg BK Home +0.14
  7. Vålerenga IF Home +0.11
  8. Molde FK Away +0.35
  9. IK Start Home +0.04
  10. Sarpsborg 08 Home +0.08
  11. Bodø/Glimt Away +0.79
  12. Aalesunds FK Away −0.12
  13. KFUM Oslo Home −0.52
  14. Fredrikstad FK Home −0.20
  15. Tromsø IL Away +0.08
  16. Rosenborg BK Away +0.14
  17. Viking FK Away +0.35
  18. Sandefjord Fotball Home −0.13
  19. HamKam Away −0.51
  20. Tromsø IL Home +0.08
  21. Kristiansund BK Away −0.36

Last 5

+0.02 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 7 hardest of 16

  1. Bodø/Glimt Home +0.79
  2. IK Start Away +0.04
  3. Lillestrøm SK Home −0.10
  4. Sandefjord Fotball Away −0.13
  5. HamKam Home −0.51

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

SK Brann shots and chance quality

Average volume, average quality. SK Brann take 14.1 shots a match (league 13.8) at 0.10 npxG a shot (league 0.10), #7 in Eliteserien for volume and #10 for quality. 73% of their shots come from inside the box (league 69%), and set pieces produce 26% of their npxG (league 24%).

Attack

Shot volume
14.1 shots per match
#7/16
Shot volume (shots per match) across Eliteserien, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Bodø/Glimt 17.7
=2 Viking FK 16.2
=2 Vålerenga IF 16.2
#4 Aalesunds FK 15.6
#5 Molde FK 15.4
#6 Sandefjord Fotball 14.5
#7 SK Brann 14.1
#8 IK Start 14.0
#9 Rosenborg BK 13.6
#10 Tromsø IL 13.5
#11 Sarpsborg 08 13.3
#12 Lillestrøm SK 12.5
#13 Kristiansund BK 12.5
#14 Fredrikstad FK 11.3
#15 KFUM Oslo 10.5
#16 HamKam 10.4
League avg
13.8
Total
296 shots from 21 matches
Chance quality
0.10 npxG per shot
#10/16
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Eliteserien, best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 Bodø/Glimt 0.11
#2 Tromsø IL 0.11
#3 Viking FK 0.11
#4 Molde FK 0.11
#5 Lillestrøm SK 0.10
#6 Rosenborg BK 0.10
#7 Sarpsborg 08 0.10
#8 Fredrikstad FK 0.10
#9 HamKam 0.10
#10 SK Brann 0.10
#11 KFUM Oslo 0.09
#12 IK Start 0.09
#13 Vålerenga IF 0.09
#14 Aalesunds FK 0.09
#15 Kristiansund BK 0.08
#16 Sandefjord Fotball 0.07
League avg
0.10
Total
28.56 npxG from 296 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
14.4 shots per match
#8/16
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Eliteserien, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Bodø/Glimt 8.3
#2 Tromsø IL 11.2
#3 Molde FK 12.0
#4 Viking FK 13.0
#5 Sarpsborg 08 13.1
#6 Rosenborg BK 13.3
#7 Lillestrøm SK 13.9
#8 SK Brann 14.4
#9 IK Start 14.4
#10 KFUM Oslo 14.7
#11 Vålerenga IF 14.8
#12 Fredrikstad FK 15.0
=13 Kristiansund BK 15.0
=13 Sandefjord Fotball 15.0
#15 HamKam 16.4
#16 Aalesunds FK 16.9
League avg
13.8
Total
302 shots allowed from 21 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.10 npxGA per shot
#7/16
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Eliteserien, best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 Viking FK 0.08
#2 Sandefjord Fotball 0.09
#3 Lillestrøm SK 0.09
#4 Sarpsborg 08 0.09
#5 Molde FK 0.09
#6 IK Start 0.10
#7 SK Brann 0.10
#8 Vålerenga IF 0.10
#9 Fredrikstad FK 0.10
#10 HamKam 0.10
#11 Kristiansund BK 0.10
#12 Rosenborg BK 0.10
#13 Tromsø IL 0.10
#14 KFUM Oslo 0.10
#15 Bodø/Glimt 0.11
#16 Aalesunds FK 0.11
League avg
0.10
Total
29.61 npxGA from 302 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

73% inside the box

League avg 69%

From 216 of 296 shots over 21 matches

Shots allowed, location

71% allowed inside the box

League avg 69%

From 214 of 302 shots allowed over 21 matches

Where the npxG comes from

74% open play · 26% set pieces

League avg 24% set pieces

From 7.4 of 28.6 npxG over 21 matches

Where the npxG allowed comes from

76% open play · 24% set pieces

League avg 24% set pieces

From 7.0 of 29.6 npxG allowed over 21 matches

How the shot figures are made →

SK Brann home and away xG

SK Brann per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 11 10
xG / match 1.71 1.44
xGA / match 1.26 1.84
xGD / match +0.45 -0.40
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 1.66 1.11

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every SK Brann match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

Last 10

Matches
10
xG / match
1.35
xGA / match
1.41
xGD / match
-0.07
Points
16 of 30
  1. Sun 20/09 Bodø/Glimt H xG 0.76 xGA 1.34 xGD -0.58
  2. Sun 13/09 IK Start A xG 1.15 xGA 2.22 xGD -1.07
  3. Sat 05/09 Lillestrøm SK H xG 1.97 xGA 1.33 xGD +0.64
  4. Sun 30/08 Sandefjord Fotball A xG 0.74 xGA 0.97 xGD -0.23
  5. Sun 16/08 HamKam H Best underlying xG 2.38 xGA 0.24 xGD +2.14
  6. Sun 02/08 Rosenborg BK H Against the chances xG 0.78 xGA 1.93 P xGD -1.15
  7. Sun 26/07 Vålerenga IF H xG 2.37 P xGA 2.34 P xGD +0.03
  8. Sat 18/07 Molde FK A xG 0.71 xGA 1.36 xGD -0.65
  9. Sun 12/07 IK Start H xG 1.83 xGA 1.29 xGD +0.54
  10. Fri 29/05 Sarpsborg 08 H xG 0.76 xGA 1.10 xGD -0.34

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.00. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

SK Brann in Eliteserien

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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