xgEdge

Expected goals

Viking FK expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

Eliteserien · after 21 matches · updated 1 Oct

Viking FK's attacking and defensive expected goals in Eliteserien 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

Viking FK xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
2.09 xG per match
#2/16
Attack (xG per match) across Eliteserien, best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 Bodø/Glimt 2.31
#2 Viking FK 2.09
#3 Molde FK 1.83
#4 Tromsø IL 1.60
#5 SK Brann 1.58
#6 Rosenborg BK 1.56
#7 Lillestrøm SK 1.56
#8 Vålerenga IF 1.55
#9 Sarpsborg 08 1.51
#10 Aalesunds FK 1.40
#11 IK Start 1.36
#12 Fredrikstad FK 1.20
#13 Sandefjord Fotball 1.18
#14 HamKam 1.14
#15 KFUM Oslo 1.09
#16 Kristiansund BK 0.97
League avg
1.50
Total
43.94 21 matches
Defence
1.16 xGA per match
#2/16
Defence (xGA per match) across Eliteserien, best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 Bodø/Glimt 0.90
#2 Viking FK 1.16
#3 Molde FK 1.17
#4 Tromsø IL 1.23
#5 Sarpsborg 08 1.40
#6 Rosenborg BK 1.42
#7 Lillestrøm SK 1.46
#8 SK Brann 1.53
#9 Sandefjord Fotball 1.59
#10 IK Start 1.61
#11 Vålerenga IF 1.63
#12 HamKam 1.66
#13 Fredrikstad FK 1.67
#14 Kristiansund BK 1.72
#15 KFUM Oslo 1.78
#16 Aalesunds FK 1.98
League avg
1.50
Total
24.43 21 matches
xG difference
+0.93 xGD per match
#2/16
xG difference (xGD per match) across Eliteserien, best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 Bodø/Glimt +1.41
#2 Viking FK +0.93
#3 Molde FK +0.66
#4 Tromsø IL +0.37
#5 Rosenborg BK +0.14
#6 Sarpsborg 08 +0.11
#7 Lillestrøm SK +0.10
#8 SK Brann +0.05
#9 Vålerenga IF -0.08
#10 IK Start -0.25
#11 Sandefjord Fotball -0.41
#12 Fredrikstad FK -0.47
#13 HamKam -0.52
#14 Aalesunds FK -0.58
#15 KFUM Oslo -0.69
#16 Kristiansund BK -0.75
League avg
0.00
Total
+19.51 21 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
1.97 xPts per match
#2/16
Expected points (xPts per match) across Eliteserien, best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 Bodø/Glimt 2.24
#2 Viking FK 1.97
#3 Molde FK 1.80
#4 Tromsø IL 1.68
#5 Rosenborg BK 1.52
#6 Lillestrøm SK 1.46
#7 Sarpsborg 08 1.45
#8 SK Brann 1.40
#9 Vålerenga IF 1.33
#10 IK Start 1.19
#11 Fredrikstad FK 1.10
#12 Sandefjord Fotball 1.09
#13 HamKam 1.05
#14 Aalesunds FK 1.04
#15 Kristiansund BK 0.95
#16 KFUM Oslo 0.94
League avg
1.39
Total
41.29 vs 50 actual pts

What the xG says

Viking FK's underlying numbers are among the best in Eliteserien. They rank #2 for xG difference at +0.93 per match, driven by both elite shot volume and elite chance quality. Their 54 goals are 10.06 above 43.94 xG, while 50 points are 8.71 above 41.29 xPts.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG Includes 5.80 xG from penalties
54 43.94 +10.06 scored 10.06 more than xG outside normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
20 24.43 -4.43 conceded 4.43 fewer than xGA within normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
50 41.29 +8.71 8.71 points above xPts outside normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

Viking FK are 10.06 goals above their xG after 21 matches.

Goals
54
xG
43.94
Gap
+10.06
Sat 14/03 Sat 21/03 Mon 06/04 Sat 11/04 Sat 18/04 Sat 25/04 Fri 01/05 Sun 10/05 Sat 16/05 Sun 24/05 Sun 12/07 Sat 18/07 Wed 22/07 Sun 26/07 Sat 01/08 Sat 08/08 Fri 14/08 Sun 30/08 Fri 04/09 Sun 13/09 Sun 20/09 -1 +1 +3 +5 +7 +9 +11 -0.42 +1.36 -0.26 +2.32 +3.45 +2.99 +3.65 +3.53 +7.94 +8.74 +7.88 +7.72 +8.85 +8.15 +9.58 +8.75 +7.89 +7.47 +6.31 +10.04 +10.06 -0.42 +1.78 -1.62 +2.58 +1.13 -0.46 +0.66 -0.12 +4.41 +0.80 -0.86 -0.16 +1.13 -0.70 +1.43 -0.83 -0.86 -0.42 -1.16 +3.73 +0.02 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
Viking FK: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Sat 14/03 HamKam 1 1.42 -0.42 -0.42
Sat 21/03 Molde FK 4 2.22 +1.78 +1.36
Mon 06/04 Vålerenga IF 1 2.62 -1.62 -0.26
Sat 11/04 Bodø/Glimt 5 2.42 +2.58 +2.32
Sat 18/04 SK Brann 3 1.87 +1.13 +3.45
Sat 25/04 Fredrikstad FK 2 2.46 -0.46 +2.99
Fri 01/05 Rosenborg BK 3 2.34 +0.66 +3.65
Sun 10/05 KFUM Oslo 2 2.12 -0.12 +3.53
Sat 16/05 IK Start 6 1.59 +4.41 +7.94
Sun 24/05 Kristiansund BK 2 1.20 +0.80 +8.74
Sun 12/07 Sarpsborg 08 0 0.86 -0.86 +7.88
Sat 18/07 Sandefjord Fotball 2 2.16 -0.16 +7.72
Wed 22/07 Lillestrøm SK 2 0.87 +1.13 +8.85
Sun 26/07 Aalesunds FK 1 1.70 -0.70 +8.15
Sat 01/08 IK Start 3 1.57 +1.43 +9.58
Sat 08/08 Sarpsborg 08 2 2.83 -0.83 +8.75
Fri 14/08 Rosenborg BK 1 1.86 -0.86 +7.89
Sun 30/08 Aalesunds FK 2 2.42 -0.42 +7.47
Fri 04/09 Sandefjord Fotball 1 2.16 -1.16 +6.31
Sun 13/09 Kristiansund BK 8 4.27 +3.73 +10.04
Sun 20/09 Lillestrøm SK 3 2.98 +0.02 +10.06

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking → Compare with every club in Europe →

Viking FK xG trend

Current form +0.82 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 18 of 21 matches. The worst was against IK Start on Sat 01/08 (-1.08).

npxG · last 6
2.11
npxGA · last 6
1.29
-2 -1 0 +1 +2 +3 +0.42 Sat 14/03 +0.96 Sat 21/03 +2.15 Mon 06/04 +1.94 Sat 11/04 +1.30 Sat 18/04 +1.48 Sat 25/04 +1.42 Fri 01/05 +1.95 Sun 10/05 +0.32 Sat 16/05 +0.50 Sun 24/05 -0.65 Sun 12/07 +0.97 Sat 18/07 +0.29 Wed 22/07 +0.10 Sun 26/07 -1.08 Sat 01/08 -0.88 Sat 08/08 +0.48 Fri 14/08 +1.55 Sun 30/08 +0.76 Fri 04/09 +2.88 Sun 13/09 +0.12 Sun 20/09 +0.81 season avg
Viking FK: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Sat 14/03 HamKam 1.42 1.00 +0.42 +0.42
Sat 21/03 Molde FK 2.22 1.26 +0.96 +0.69
Mon 06/04 Vålerenga IF 2.72 0.57 +2.15 +1.18
Sat 11/04 Bodø/Glimt 2.54 0.60 +1.94 +1.37
Sat 18/04 SK Brann 2.03 0.73 +1.30 +1.35
Sat 25/04 Fredrikstad FK 2.17 0.69 +1.48 +1.38
Fri 01/05 Rosenborg BK 2.37 0.95 +1.42 +1.38
Sun 10/05 KFUM Oslo 2.12 0.17 +1.95 +1.45
Sat 16/05 IK Start 1.54 1.22 +0.32 +1.33
Sun 24/05 Kristiansund BK 1.20 0.70 +0.50 +1.24
Sun 12/07 Sarpsborg 08 0.63 1.28 -0.65 +1.07
Sat 18/07 Sandefjord Fotball 1.31 0.34 +0.97 +1.06
Wed 22/07 Lillestrøm SK 0.87 0.58 +0.29 +1.00
Sun 26/07 Aalesunds FK 1.70 1.60 +0.10 +0.94
Sat 01/08 IK Start 0.67 1.75 -1.08 +0.80
Sat 08/08 Sarpsborg 08 1.53 2.41 -0.88 +0.70
Fri 14/08 Rosenborg BK 1.86 1.38 +0.48 +0.69
Sun 30/08 Aalesunds FK 2.42 0.87 +1.55 +0.73
Fri 04/09 Sandefjord Fotball 1.38 0.62 +0.76 +0.74
Sun 13/09 Kristiansund BK 3.62 0.74 +2.88 +0.84
Sun 20/09 Lillestrøm SK 1.82 1.70 +0.12 +0.81

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.82 npxG and 1.01 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
tied number 13 hardest of 16 in Eliteserien
−0.04 xG vs league average
Over 21 league matches
Last 5
number 13 hardest of 16 in Eliteserien
−0.11 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

−0.04 xG vs league average · over 21 matches · tied number 13 hardest of 16

  1. Lillestrøm SK Home −0.10
  2. Kristiansund BK Home −0.36
  3. Sandefjord Fotball Away −0.13
  4. Aalesunds FK Home −0.12
  5. Rosenborg BK Away +0.14
  6. Sarpsborg 08 Home +0.08
  7. IK Start Away +0.04
  8. Aalesunds FK Away −0.12
  9. Lillestrøm SK Away −0.10
  10. Sandefjord Fotball Home −0.13
  11. Sarpsborg 08 Away +0.08
  12. Kristiansund BK Away −0.36
  13. IK Start Home +0.04
  14. KFUM Oslo Away −0.52
  15. Rosenborg BK Home +0.14
  16. Fredrikstad FK Away −0.20
  17. SK Brann Home 0.00
  18. Bodø/Glimt Home +0.79
  19. Vålerenga IF Away +0.11
  20. Molde FK Home +0.35
  21. HamKam Away −0.51

Last 5

−0.11 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 13 hardest of 16

  1. Lillestrøm SK Home −0.10
  2. Kristiansund BK Home −0.36
  3. Sandefjord Fotball Away −0.13
  4. Aalesunds FK Home −0.12
  5. Rosenborg BK Away +0.14

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

Viking FK shots and chance quality

High volume, high quality. Viking FK take 16.2 shots a match (league 13.8) at 0.11 npxG a shot (league 0.10), =2 in Eliteserien for volume and #3 for quality. 75% of their shots come from inside the box (league 69%), and set pieces produce 30% of their npxG (league 24%).

Attack

Shot volume
16.2 shots per match
=2/16
Shot volume (shots per match) across Eliteserien, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Bodø/Glimt 17.7
=2 Viking FK 16.2
=2 Vålerenga IF 16.2
#4 Aalesunds FK 15.6
#5 Molde FK 15.4
#6 Sandefjord Fotball 14.5
#7 SK Brann 14.1
#8 IK Start 14.0
#9 Rosenborg BK 13.6
#10 Tromsø IL 13.5
#11 Sarpsborg 08 13.3
#12 Lillestrøm SK 12.5
#13 Kristiansund BK 12.5
#14 Fredrikstad FK 11.3
#15 KFUM Oslo 10.5
#16 HamKam 10.4
League avg
13.8
Total
341 shots from 21 matches
Chance quality
0.11 npxG per shot
#3/16
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Eliteserien, best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 Bodø/Glimt 0.11
#2 Tromsø IL 0.11
#3 Viking FK 0.11
#4 Molde FK 0.11
#5 Lillestrøm SK 0.10
#6 Rosenborg BK 0.10
#7 Sarpsborg 08 0.10
#8 Fredrikstad FK 0.10
#9 HamKam 0.10
#10 SK Brann 0.10
#11 KFUM Oslo 0.09
#12 IK Start 0.09
#13 Vålerenga IF 0.09
#14 Aalesunds FK 0.09
#15 Kristiansund BK 0.08
#16 Sandefjord Fotball 0.07
League avg
0.10
Total
38.14 npxG from 341 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
13.0 shots per match
#4/16
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Eliteserien, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Bodø/Glimt 8.3
#2 Tromsø IL 11.2
#3 Molde FK 12.0
#4 Viking FK 13.0
#5 Sarpsborg 08 13.1
#6 Rosenborg BK 13.3
#7 Lillestrøm SK 13.9
#8 SK Brann 14.4
#9 IK Start 14.4
#10 KFUM Oslo 14.7
#11 Vålerenga IF 14.8
#12 Fredrikstad FK 15.0
=13 Kristiansund BK 15.0
=13 Sandefjord Fotball 15.0
#15 HamKam 16.4
#16 Aalesunds FK 16.9
League avg
13.8
Total
273 shots allowed from 21 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.08 npxGA per shot
#1/16
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Eliteserien, best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 Viking FK 0.08
#2 Sandefjord Fotball 0.09
#3 Lillestrøm SK 0.09
#4 Sarpsborg 08 0.09
#5 Molde FK 0.09
#6 IK Start 0.10
#7 SK Brann 0.10
#8 Vålerenga IF 0.10
#9 Fredrikstad FK 0.10
#10 HamKam 0.10
#11 Kristiansund BK 0.10
#12 Rosenborg BK 0.10
#13 Tromsø IL 0.10
#14 KFUM Oslo 0.10
#15 Bodø/Glimt 0.11
#16 Aalesunds FK 0.11
League avg
0.10
Total
21.16 npxGA from 273 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

75% inside the box

League avg 69%

From 255 of 341 shots over 21 matches

Shots allowed, location

61% allowed inside the box

League avg 69%

From 167 of 274 shots allowed over 21 matches

Where the npxG comes from

70% open play · 30% set pieces

League avg 24% set pieces

From 11.3 of 38.0 npxG over 21 matches

Where the npxG allowed comes from

79% open play · 21% set pieces

League avg 24% set pieces

From 4.4 of 21.2 npxG allowed over 21 matches

How the shot figures are made →

Viking FK home and away xG

Viking FK per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 10 11
xG / match 2.51 1.71
xGA / match 1.21 1.13
xGD / match +1.31 +0.59
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 2.18 1.77

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every Viking FK match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

Last 10

Matches
10
xG / match
2.28
xGA / match
1.41
xGD / match
+0.87
Points
23 of 30
  1. Sun 20/09 Lillestrøm SK H xG 2.98 P xGA 1.77 xGD +1.21
  2. Sun 13/09 Kristiansund BK H Best underlying xG 4.27 P xGA 0.70 xGD +3.57
  3. Fri 04/09 Sandefjord Fotball A xG 2.16 P xGA 0.62 xGD +1.54
  4. Sun 30/08 Aalesunds FK H xG 2.42 xGA 0.87 xGD +1.55
  5. Fri 14/08 Rosenborg BK A xG 1.86 xGA 1.37 xGD +0.49
  6. Sat 08/08 Sarpsborg 08 H xG 2.83 P xGA 2.57 xGD +0.26
  7. Sat 01/08 IK Start A Weakest underlying xG 1.57 P xGA 2.48 P xGD -0.91
  8. Sun 26/07 Aalesunds FK A xG 1.70 xGA 1.98 xGD -0.28
  9. Wed 22/07 Lillestrøm SK A xG 0.87 xGA 1.35 P xGD -0.48
  10. Sat 18/07 Sandefjord Fotball H xG 2.16 P xGA 0.38 xGD +1.78

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 4.27. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

Viking FK in Eliteserien

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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