xgEdge

Expected goals

SC Telstar expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

Eredivisie · after 7 matches · updated 1 Oct

SC Telstar's attacking and defensive expected goals in Eredivisie 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

SC Telstar xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
1.09 xG per match
#15/18
Attack (xG per match) across Eredivisie, best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 PSV Eindhoven 2.87
#2 Feyenoord 2.76
#3 AFC Ajax 2.65
#4 AZ Alkmaar 2.55
#5 FC Twente 2.28
#6 Go Ahead Eagles 1.91
#7 Sparta Rotterdam 1.64
#8 NEC Nijmegen 1.60
#9 FC Groningen 1.54
#10 FC Utrecht 1.41
#11 SC Cambuur 1.35
#12 Excelsior 1.35
#13 Willem II Tilburg 1.29
#14 SC Heerenveen 1.26
#15 SC Telstar 1.09
#16 Fortuna Sittard 0.97
#17 PEC Zwolle 0.94
#18 ADO Den Haag 0.90
League avg
1.69
Total
7.64 7 matches
Defence
2.05 xGA per match
#13/18
Defence (xGA per match) across Eredivisie, best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 FC Twente 0.75
#2 Feyenoord 0.80
#3 AZ Alkmaar 0.95
#4 AFC Ajax 1.25
#5 SC Heerenveen 1.36
#6 PSV Eindhoven 1.37
#7 Excelsior 1.44
#8 Go Ahead Eagles 1.63
#9 ADO Den Haag 1.90
#10 NEC Nijmegen 1.92
#11 FC Groningen 1.93
#12 SC Cambuur 2.04
#13 SC Telstar 2.05
#14 PEC Zwolle 2.06
#15 Sparta Rotterdam 2.10
#16 FC Utrecht 2.11
#17 Willem II Tilburg 2.28
#18 Fortuna Sittard 2.42
League avg
1.69
Total
14.35 7 matches
xG difference
-0.96 xGD per match
#14/18
xG difference (xGD per match) across Eredivisie, best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 Feyenoord +1.96
#2 AZ Alkmaar +1.60
#3 FC Twente +1.53
#4 PSV Eindhoven +1.51
#5 AFC Ajax +1.40
#6 Go Ahead Eagles +0.28
#7 Excelsior -0.09
#8 SC Heerenveen -0.10
#9 NEC Nijmegen -0.32
#10 FC Groningen -0.39
#11 Sparta Rotterdam -0.46
#12 SC Cambuur -0.68
#13 FC Utrecht -0.70
#14 SC Telstar -0.96
#15 Willem II Tilburg -0.99
#16 ADO Den Haag -1.00
#17 PEC Zwolle -1.12
#18 Fortuna Sittard -1.46
League avg
0.00
Total
-6.71 7 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
0.79 xPts per match
#15/18
Expected points (xPts per match) across Eredivisie, best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 Feyenoord 2.49
#2 FC Twente 2.43
#3 AZ Alkmaar 2.30
#4 AFC Ajax 2.20
#5 PSV Eindhoven 2.18
#6 Go Ahead Eagles 1.59
#7 Excelsior 1.31
#8 FC Groningen 1.28
#9 SC Heerenveen 1.28
#10 NEC Nijmegen 1.18
#11 Sparta Rotterdam 1.15
#12 FC Utrecht 1.14
#13 SC Cambuur 0.91
#14 ADO Den Haag 0.85
#15 SC Telstar 0.79
#16 Willem II Tilburg 0.79
#17 PEC Zwolle 0.73
#18 Fortuna Sittard 0.72
League avg
1.41
Total
5.54 vs 5 actual pts

Early-season figures: after 7 matches, per-match rates can move quickly.

What the xG says

SC Telstar's underlying numbers are among the weakest in Eredivisie. They rank #14 for xG difference at -0.96 per match, from the league's lowest shot volume at about average chance quality. Their 5 goals are 2.64 below 7.64 xG, while 5 points are 0.54 below 5.54 xPts. After only 7 matches, those gaps should still be read cautiously.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG Includes 1.92 xG from penalties
5 7.64 -2.64 scored 2.64 fewer than xG within normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
12 14.35 -2.35 conceded 2.35 fewer than xGA within normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
5 5.54 -0.54 0.54 points below xPts within normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

SC Telstar are 2.64 goals below their xG after 7 matches.

Goals
5
xG
7.64
Gap
-2.64
Sat 08/08 Fri 14/08 Sun 30/08 Sun 06/09 Wed 09/09 Sun 13/09 Sun 20/09 -3 -2 -1 0 +1 +0.34 -0.06 -1.19 -1.31 -1.83 -2.54 -2.64 +0.34 -0.40 -1.13 -0.12 -0.52 -0.71 -0.10 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
SC Telstar: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Sat 08/08 NEC Nijmegen 2 1.66 +0.34 +0.34
Fri 14/08 Sparta Rotterdam 1 1.40 -0.40 -0.06
Sun 30/08 AFC Ajax 0 1.13 -1.13 -1.19
Sun 06/09 SC Cambuur 2 2.12 -0.12 -1.31
Wed 09/09 FC Twente 0 0.52 -0.52 -1.83
Sun 13/09 SC Heerenveen 0 0.71 -0.71 -2.54
Sun 20/09 AZ Alkmaar 0 0.10 -0.10 -2.64

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking →

SC Telstar xG trend

Current form -1.23 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 0 of 7 matches. The worst was against AZ Alkmaar on Sun 20/09 (-2.13).

npxG · last 6
0.71
npxGA · last 6
1.94
-3 -2 -1 0 +1 -0.43 Sat 08/08 -1.15 Fri 14/08 -1.30 Sun 30/08 -0.38 Sun 06/09 -1.56 Wed 09/09 -0.84 Sun 13/09 -2.13 Sun 20/09 -1.11 season avg
SC Telstar: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Sat 08/08 NEC Nijmegen 1.46 1.89 -0.43 -0.43
Fri 14/08 Sparta Rotterdam 1.40 2.55 -1.15 -0.79
Sun 30/08 AFC Ajax 1.13 2.43 -1.30 -0.96
Sun 06/09 SC Cambuur 0.60 0.98 -0.38 -0.82
Wed 09/09 FC Twente 0.20 1.76 -1.56 -0.96
Sun 13/09 SC Heerenveen 0.71 1.55 -0.84 -0.94
Sun 20/09 AZ Alkmaar 0.22 2.35 -2.13 -1.11

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 0.82 npxG and 1.93 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
number 3 hardest of 18 in Eredivisie
+0.18 xG vs league average
Over 7 league matches
Last 5
number 1 hardest of 18 in Eredivisie
+0.29 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

+0.18 xG vs league average · over 7 matches · number 3 hardest of 18

  1. AZ Alkmaar Away +0.56
  2. SC Heerenveen Away −0.17
  3. FC Twente Away +0.71
  4. SC Cambuur Home −0.29
  5. AFC Ajax Home +0.62
  6. Sparta Rotterdam Home −0.34
  7. NEC Nijmegen Away +0.13

Last 5

+0.29 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 1 hardest of 18

  1. AZ Alkmaar Away +0.56
  2. SC Heerenveen Away −0.17
  3. FC Twente Away +0.71
  4. SC Cambuur Home −0.29
  5. AFC Ajax Home +0.62

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

SC Telstar shots and chance quality

Low volume, average quality. SC Telstar take 7.9 shots a match (league 15.0) at 0.10 npxG a shot (league 0.11), #18 in Eredivisie for volume and #11 for quality. 73% of their shots come from inside the box (league 66%), and set pieces produce 42% of their npxG (league 18%).

Attack

Shot volume
7.9 shots per match
#18/18
Shot volume (shots per match) across Eredivisie, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 AFC Ajax 24.7
#2 Feyenoord 22.3
#3 FC Twente 21.6
#4 PSV Eindhoven 21.0
#5 AZ Alkmaar 19.4
#6 SC Heerenveen 16.0
=7 Go Ahead Eagles 15.1
=7 NEC Nijmegen 15.1
#9 FC Groningen 15.0
#10 Sparta Rotterdam 13.1
=11 ADO Den Haag 11.9
=11 SC Cambuur 11.9
=11 Willem II Tilburg 11.9
#14 Excelsior 11.3
#15 FC Utrecht 10.9
#16 PEC Zwolle 10.6
#17 Fortuna Sittard 10.1
#18 SC Telstar 7.9
League avg
15.0
Total
55 shots from 7 matches
Chance quality
0.10 npxG per shot
#11/18
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Eredivisie, best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 AZ Alkmaar 0.13
#2 Go Ahead Eagles 0.13
#3 PSV Eindhoven 0.13
#4 Sparta Rotterdam 0.12
#5 Excelsior 0.12
#6 FC Utrecht 0.12
#7 Feyenoord 0.12
#8 SC Cambuur 0.11
#9 Willem II Tilburg 0.11
#10 AFC Ajax 0.11
#11 SC Telstar 0.10
#12 NEC Nijmegen 0.10
#13 FC Groningen 0.10
#14 FC Twente 0.09
#15 Fortuna Sittard 0.09
#16 PEC Zwolle 0.09
#17 SC Heerenveen 0.08
#18 ADO Den Haag 0.08
League avg
0.11
Total
5.72 npxG from 55 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
17.9 shots per match
#13/18
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Eredivisie, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 AZ Alkmaar 8.1
=2 AFC Ajax 9.6
=2 Feyenoord 9.6
#4 FC Twente 10.0
#5 PSV Eindhoven 10.1
#6 NEC Nijmegen 11.6
#7 FC Groningen 15.1
=8 SC Cambuur 15.9
=8 SC Heerenveen 15.9
=10 ADO Den Haag 16.1
=10 Excelsior 16.1
#12 Go Ahead Eagles 16.6
#13 SC Telstar 17.9
#14 Sparta Rotterdam 18.0
#15 FC Utrecht 18.6
#16 Willem II Tilburg 19.9
#17 Fortuna Sittard 20.3
#18 PEC Zwolle 20.4
League avg
15.0
Total
125 shots allowed from 7 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.11 npxGA per shot
#8/18
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Eredivisie, best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 FC Twente 0.06
#2 Feyenoord 0.08
#3 Excelsior 0.09
#4 SC Heerenveen 0.09
#5 Go Ahead Eagles 0.09
#6 PEC Zwolle 0.10
#7 FC Utrecht 0.10
#8 SC Telstar 0.11
#9 ADO Den Haag 0.11
#10 SC Cambuur 0.11
#11 Willem II Tilburg 0.11
#12 Fortuna Sittard 0.12
#13 Sparta Rotterdam 0.12
#14 AZ Alkmaar 0.12
#15 FC Groningen 0.12
#16 AFC Ajax 0.13
#17 PSV Eindhoven 0.13
#18 NEC Nijmegen 0.17
League avg
0.11
Total
13.51 npxGA from 125 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

73% inside the box

League avg 66%

From 40 of 55 shots over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

Shots allowed, location

65% allowed inside the box

League avg 66%

From 81 of 125 shots allowed over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG comes from

58% open play · 42% set pieces

League avg 18% set pieces

From 2.4 of 5.8 npxG over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG allowed comes from

86% open play · 14% set pieces

League avg 18% set pieces

From 1.8 of 13.4 npxG allowed over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

How the shot figures are made →

SC Telstar home and away xG

SC Telstar per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 3 4
xG / match 1.55 0.75
xGA / match 1.89 2.17
xGD / match -0.34 -1.42
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 1.18 0.50

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every SC Telstar match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

This season

Matches
7
xG / match
1.09
xGA / match
2.05
xGD / match
-0.96
Points
5 of 21
  1. Sun 20/09 AZ Alkmaar A Weakest underlying xG 0.10 xGA 2.35 xGD -2.25
  2. Sun 13/09 SC Heerenveen A xG 0.71 xGA 1.54 xGD -0.83
  3. Wed 09/09 FC Twente A xG 0.52 xGA 2.65 P xGD -2.13
  4. Sun 06/09 SC Cambuur H Best underlying xG 2.12 P xGA 0.98 xGD +1.14
  5. Sun 30/08 AFC Ajax H xG 1.13 xGA 2.13 xGD -1.00
  6. Fri 14/08 Sparta Rotterdam H xG 1.40 xGA 2.55 xGD -1.15
  7. Sat 08/08 NEC Nijmegen A xG 1.66 xGA 2.15 xGD -0.49

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.00. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

SC Telstar in Eredivisie

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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