xgEdge

Expected goals

KAA Gent expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

Jupiler Pro League · after 7 matches · updated 1 Oct

KAA Gent's attacking and defensive expected goals in Jupiler Pro League 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

KAA Gent xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
1.16 xG per match
#14/18
Attack (xG per match) across Jupiler Pro League, best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 Club Brugge KV 2.16
#2 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 2.09
#3 RC Sporting Charleroi 1.91
#4 Sint-Truidense VV 1.91
#5 Standard Liège 1.79
#6 KRC Genk 1.78
#7 Cercle Brugge 1.69
#8 RSC Anderlecht 1.62
#9 KVC Westerlo 1.45
#10 Royal Antwerp FC 1.34
#11 RAAL La Louvière 1.29
#12 SV Zulte Waregem 1.26
#13 KV Mechelen 1.22
#14 KAA Gent 1.16
#15 SK Beveren 1.11
#16 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 1.01
#17 KV Kortrijk 0.99
#18 Lommel SK 0.94
League avg
1.48
Total
8.11 7 matches
Defence
0.66 xGA per match
#1/18
Defence (xGA per match) across Jupiler Pro League, best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 KAA Gent 0.66
#2 RSC Anderlecht 0.87
#3 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 1.02
#4 RC Sporting Charleroi 1.06
#5 KRC Genk 1.08
#6 Club Brugge KV 1.20
#7 SV Zulte Waregem 1.31
#8 KV Mechelen 1.46
#9 Lommel SK 1.50
#10 Standard Liège 1.53
#11 RAAL La Louvière 1.65
#12 Cercle Brugge 1.75
#13 KVC Westerlo 1.81
#14 Sint-Truidense VV 1.84
#15 SK Beveren 1.86
#16 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 1.88
#17 KV Kortrijk 1.92
#18 Royal Antwerp FC 2.30
League avg
1.48
Total
4.59 7 matches
xG difference
+0.50 xGD per match
#6/18
xG difference (xGD per match) across Jupiler Pro League, best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise +1.06
#2 Club Brugge KV +0.96
#3 RC Sporting Charleroi +0.86
#4 RSC Anderlecht +0.76
#5 KRC Genk +0.70
#6 KAA Gent +0.50
#7 Standard Liège +0.25
#8 Sint-Truidense VV +0.07
#9 SV Zulte Waregem -0.05
#10 Cercle Brugge -0.07
#11 KV Mechelen -0.24
#12 RAAL La Louvière -0.36
#13 KVC Westerlo -0.37
#14 Lommel SK -0.56
#15 SK Beveren -0.75
#16 Oud-Heverlee Leuven -0.87
#17 KV Kortrijk -0.93
#18 Royal Antwerp FC -0.97
League avg
0.00
Total
+3.52 7 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
1.81 xPts per match
#5/18
Expected points (xPts per match) across Jupiler Pro League, best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 RC Sporting Charleroi 2.02
#2 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 1.98
#3 Club Brugge KV 1.90
#4 RSC Anderlecht 1.88
#5 KAA Gent 1.81
#6 KRC Genk 1.64
#7 Standard Liège 1.48
#8 Sint-Truidense VV 1.44
#9 SV Zulte Waregem 1.34
#10 Cercle Brugge 1.25
#11 KVC Westerlo 1.24
#12 KV Mechelen 1.19
#13 RAAL La Louvière 1.08
#14 Royal Antwerp FC 1.00
#15 Lommel SK 1.00
#16 SK Beveren 0.95
#17 KV Kortrijk 0.87
#18 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 0.86
League avg
1.39
Total
12.65 vs 19 actual pts

Early-season figures: after 7 matches, per-match rates can move quickly.

What the xG says

KAA Gent's underlying numbers are among the best in Jupiler Pro League. They rank #6 for xG difference at +0.50 per match, from low shot volume and low chance quality. Their 13 goals are 4.89 above 8.11 xG, while 19 points are 6.35 above 12.65 xPts. After only 7 matches, those gaps should still be read cautiously.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG Includes 0.66 xG from penalties
13 8.11 +4.89 scored 4.89 more than xG outside normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
4 4.59 -0.59 conceded 0.59 fewer than xGA within normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
19 12.65 +6.35 6.35 points above xPts far outside normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

KAA Gent are 4.89 goals above their xG after 7 matches.

Goals
13
xG
8.11
Gap
+4.89
Sun 09/08 Sun 16/08 Sun 30/08 Thu 03/09 Sun 06/09 Sun 13/09 Fri 18/09 -1 0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +0.84 +1.66 +2.28 +2.30 +4.08 +4.19 +4.89 +0.84 +0.82 +0.62 +0.02 +1.78 +0.11 +0.70 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
KAA Gent: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Sun 09/08 KV Mechelen 2 1.16 +0.84 +0.84
Sun 16/08 RAAL La Louvière 2 1.18 +0.82 +1.66
Sun 30/08 Club Brugge KV 2 1.38 +0.62 +2.28
Thu 03/09 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 1 0.98 +0.02 +2.30
Sun 06/09 Cercle Brugge 3 1.22 +1.78 +4.08
Sun 13/09 KRC Genk 1 0.89 +0.11 +4.19
Fri 18/09 Standard Liège 2 1.30 +0.70 +4.89

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking →

KAA Gent xG trend

Current form +0.29 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 6 of 7 matches. The only negative was against KRC Genk on Sun 13/09 (-0.05).

npxG · last 6
1.05
npxGA · last 6
0.75
-1 0 +1 +0.83 Sun 09/08 +0.64 Sun 16/08 +0.75 Sun 30/08 +0.19 Thu 03/09 +0.03 Sun 06/09 -0.05 Sun 13/09 +0.20 Fri 18/09 +0.37 season avg
KAA Gent: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Sun 09/08 KV Mechelen 1.17 0.34 +0.83 +0.83
Sun 16/08 RAAL La Louvière 1.18 0.54 +0.64 +0.73
Sun 30/08 Club Brugge KV 1.40 0.65 +0.75 +0.74
Thu 03/09 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 0.98 0.79 +0.19 +0.60
Sun 06/09 Cercle Brugge 0.53 0.50 +0.03 +0.49
Sun 13/09 KRC Genk 0.89 0.94 -0.05 +0.40
Fri 18/09 Standard Liège 1.30 1.10 +0.20 +0.37

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.06 npxG and 0.69 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
tied number 9 hardest of 18 in Jupiler Pro League
0.00 xG vs league average
Over 7 league matches
Last 5
number 3 hardest of 18 in Jupiler Pro League
+0.12 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

0.00 xG vs league average · over 7 matches · tied number 9 hardest of 18

  1. Standard Liège Home −0.19
  2. KRC Genk Away +0.33
  3. Cercle Brugge Away +0.16
  4. Oud-Heverlee Leuven Home −0.25
  5. Club Brugge KV Home +0.56
  6. RAAL La Louvière Away −0.30
  7. KV Mechelen Home −0.34

Last 5

+0.12 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 3 hardest of 18

  1. Standard Liège Home −0.19
  2. KRC Genk Away +0.33
  3. Cercle Brugge Away +0.16
  4. Oud-Heverlee Leuven Home −0.25
  5. Club Brugge KV Home +0.56

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

KAA Gent shots and chance quality

Low volume, low quality. KAA Gent take 12.4 shots a match (league 14.2) at 0.09 npxG a shot (league 0.10), #13 in Jupiler Pro League for volume and #14 for quality. 66% of their shots come from inside the box (league 69%), and set pieces produce 26% of their npxG (league 25%).

Attack

Shot volume
12.4 shots per match
#13/18
Shot volume (shots per match) across Jupiler Pro League, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Club Brugge KV 18.7
#2 RC Sporting Charleroi 18.0
=3 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 17.3
=3 Sint-Truidense VV 17.3
#5 RSC Anderlecht 16.6
#6 KVC Westerlo 15.3
#7 Royal Antwerp FC 15.1
#8 Cercle Brugge 14.7
#9 KRC Genk 14.1
#10 Standard Liège 14.0
#11 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 13.1
#12 SV Zulte Waregem 12.9
#13 KAA Gent 12.4
#14 KV Mechelen 11.9
#15 KV Kortrijk 11.7
#16 RAAL La Louvière 10.9
#17 SK Beveren 10.7
#18 Lommel SK 10.0
League avg
14.2
Total
87 shots from 7 matches
Chance quality
0.09 npxG per shot
#14/18
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Jupiler Pro League, best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 0.12
#2 Standard Liège 0.11
#3 Sint-Truidense VV 0.11
#4 RAAL La Louvière 0.11
#5 KRC Genk 0.11
#6 Club Brugge KV 0.10
#7 Cercle Brugge 0.10
#8 RSC Anderlecht 0.10
#9 SV Zulte Waregem 0.10
#10 RC Sporting Charleroi 0.10
#11 SK Beveren 0.09
#12 KVC Westerlo 0.09
#13 KV Kortrijk 0.09
#14 KAA Gent 0.09
#15 KV Mechelen 0.09
#16 Royal Antwerp FC 0.08
#17 Lommel SK 0.08
#18 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 0.08
League avg
0.10
Total
7.45 npxG from 87 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
10.3 shots per match
#2/18
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Jupiler Pro League, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 RSC Anderlecht 9.9
#2 KAA Gent 10.3
#3 RC Sporting Charleroi 11.0
#4 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 11.3
#5 SV Zulte Waregem 12.1
#6 Club Brugge KV 13.1
#7 Cercle Brugge 13.6
#8 KV Mechelen 14.3
#9 KRC Genk 14.7
=10 KV Kortrijk 14.9
=10 Sint-Truidense VV 14.9
=12 KVC Westerlo 15.0
=12 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 15.0
#14 Standard Liège 15.3
#15 SK Beveren 15.6
#16 RAAL La Louvière 15.7
#17 Royal Antwerp FC 17.1
#18 Lommel SK 21.0
League avg
14.2
Total
72 shots allowed from 7 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.07 npxGA per shot
#2/18
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Jupiler Pro League, best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 KRC Genk 0.07
#2 KAA Gent 0.07
#3 Lommel SK 0.07
#4 Standard Liège 0.08
#5 RSC Anderlecht 0.09
#6 RC Sporting Charleroi 0.09
#7 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 0.09
#8 Club Brugge KV 0.09
#9 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 0.10
#10 SV Zulte Waregem 0.10
#11 KV Mechelen 0.11
#12 RAAL La Louvière 0.11
#13 Sint-Truidense VV 0.11
#14 SK Beveren 0.11
#15 Cercle Brugge 0.11
#16 KV Kortrijk 0.11
#17 KVC Westerlo 0.11
#18 Royal Antwerp FC 0.12
League avg
0.10
Total
4.86 npxGA from 72 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

66% inside the box

League avg 69%

From 57 of 87 shots over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

Shots allowed, location

63% allowed inside the box

League avg 69%

From 45 of 72 shots allowed over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG comes from

74% open play · 26% set pieces

League avg 25% set pieces

From 2.0 of 7.5 npxG over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG allowed comes from

68% open play · 32% set pieces

League avg 25% set pieces

From 1.5 of 4.8 npxG allowed over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

How the shot figures are made →

KAA Gent home and away xG

KAA Gent per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 4 3
xG / match 1.21 1.10
xGA / match 0.66 0.66
xGD / match +0.55 +0.44
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 1.86 1.74

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every KAA Gent match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

This season

Matches
7
xG / match
1.16
xGA / match
0.66
xGD / match
+0.50
Points
19 of 21
  1. Fri 18/09 Standard Liège H xG 1.30 xGA 1.11 xGD +0.19
  2. Sun 13/09 KRC Genk A Weakest underlying xG 0.89 xGA 0.94 xGD -0.05
  3. Sun 06/09 Cercle Brugge A xG 1.22 P xGA 0.49 xGD +0.73
  4. Thu 03/09 Oud-Heverlee Leuven H xG 0.98 xGA 0.52 xGD +0.46
  5. Sun 30/08 Club Brugge KV H xG 1.38 xGA 0.65 xGD +0.73
  6. Sun 16/08 RAAL La Louvière A xG 1.18 xGA 0.54 xGD +0.64
  7. Sun 09/08 KV Mechelen H Best underlying xG 1.16 xGA 0.34 xGD +0.82

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.00. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

KAA Gent in Jupiler Pro League

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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