xgEdge

Expected goals

Royal Antwerp FC expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

Jupiler Pro League · after 7 matches · updated 1 Oct

Royal Antwerp FC's attacking and defensive expected goals in Jupiler Pro League 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

Royal Antwerp FC xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
1.34 xG per match
#10/18
Attack (xG per match) across Jupiler Pro League, best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 Club Brugge KV 2.16
#2 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 2.09
#3 RC Sporting Charleroi 1.91
#4 Sint-Truidense VV 1.91
#5 Standard Liège 1.79
#6 KRC Genk 1.78
#7 Cercle Brugge 1.69
#8 RSC Anderlecht 1.62
#9 KVC Westerlo 1.45
#10 Royal Antwerp FC 1.34
#11 RAAL La Louvière 1.29
#12 SV Zulte Waregem 1.26
#13 KV Mechelen 1.22
#14 KAA Gent 1.16
#15 SK Beveren 1.11
#16 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 1.01
#17 KV Kortrijk 0.99
#18 Lommel SK 0.94
League avg
1.48
Total
9.35 7 matches
Defence
2.30 xGA per match
#18/18
Defence (xGA per match) across Jupiler Pro League, best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 KAA Gent 0.66
#2 RSC Anderlecht 0.87
#3 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 1.02
#4 RC Sporting Charleroi 1.06
#5 KRC Genk 1.08
#6 Club Brugge KV 1.20
#7 SV Zulte Waregem 1.31
#8 KV Mechelen 1.46
#9 Lommel SK 1.50
#10 Standard Liège 1.53
#11 RAAL La Louvière 1.65
#12 Cercle Brugge 1.75
#13 KVC Westerlo 1.81
#14 Sint-Truidense VV 1.84
#15 SK Beveren 1.86
#16 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 1.88
#17 KV Kortrijk 1.92
#18 Royal Antwerp FC 2.30
League avg
1.48
Total
16.11 7 matches
xG difference
-0.97 xGD per match
#18/18
xG difference (xGD per match) across Jupiler Pro League, best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise +1.06
#2 Club Brugge KV +0.96
#3 RC Sporting Charleroi +0.86
#4 RSC Anderlecht +0.76
#5 KRC Genk +0.70
#6 KAA Gent +0.50
#7 Standard Liège +0.25
#8 Sint-Truidense VV +0.07
#9 SV Zulte Waregem -0.05
#10 Cercle Brugge -0.07
#11 KV Mechelen -0.24
#12 RAAL La Louvière -0.36
#13 KVC Westerlo -0.37
#14 Lommel SK -0.56
#15 SK Beveren -0.75
#16 Oud-Heverlee Leuven -0.87
#17 KV Kortrijk -0.93
#18 Royal Antwerp FC -0.97
League avg
0.00
Total
-6.76 7 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
1.00 xPts per match
#14/18
Expected points (xPts per match) across Jupiler Pro League, best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 RC Sporting Charleroi 2.02
#2 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 1.98
#3 Club Brugge KV 1.90
#4 RSC Anderlecht 1.88
#5 KAA Gent 1.81
#6 KRC Genk 1.64
#7 Standard Liège 1.48
#8 Sint-Truidense VV 1.44
#9 SV Zulte Waregem 1.34
#10 Cercle Brugge 1.25
#11 KVC Westerlo 1.24
#12 KV Mechelen 1.19
#13 RAAL La Louvière 1.08
#14 Royal Antwerp FC 1.00
#15 Lommel SK 1.00
#16 SK Beveren 0.95
#17 KV Kortrijk 0.87
#18 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 0.86
League avg
1.39
Total
7.02 vs 7 actual pts

Early-season figures: after 7 matches, per-match rates can move quickly.

What the xG says

Royal Antwerp FC's underlying numbers are among the weakest in Jupiler Pro League. They rank #18 for xG difference at -0.97 per match, from about average shot volume at low chance quality. Their 11 goals are 1.65 above 9.35 xG, while 7 points are 0.02 below 7.02 xPts. After only 7 matches, those gaps should still be read cautiously.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG
11 9.35 +1.65 scored 1.65 more than xG within normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
15 16.11 -1.11 conceded 1.11 fewer than xGA within normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
7 7.02 -0.02 0.02 points below xPts within normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

Royal Antwerp FC are 1.65 goals above their xG after 7 matches. The gap was widest at +3.98, against Sint-Truidense VV on Sun 30/08.

Goals
11
xG
9.35
Gap
+1.65
Sun 09/08 Sat 15/08 Sat 22/08 Sun 30/08 Sat 05/09 Sun 13/09 Sun 20/09 -1 0 +1 +2 +3 +4 -0.20 +1.61 +3.75 +3.98 +3.15 +2.06 +1.65 -0.20 +1.81 +2.14 +0.23 -0.83 -1.09 -0.41 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
Royal Antwerp FC: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Sun 09/08 SK Beveren 2 2.20 -0.20 -0.20
Sat 15/08 KV Kortrijk 3 1.19 +1.81 +1.61
Sat 22/08 KRC Genk 4 1.86 +2.14 +3.75
Sun 30/08 Sint-Truidense VV 1 0.77 +0.23 +3.98
Sat 05/09 Standard Liège 0 0.83 -0.83 +3.15
Sun 13/09 Club Brugge KV 1 2.09 -1.09 +2.06
Sun 20/09 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 0 0.41 -0.41 +1.65

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking →

Royal Antwerp FC xG trend

Current form -1.17 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 4 of 7 matches. The worst was against Royale Union Saint-Gilloise on Sun 20/09 (-2.92).

npxG · last 6
1.12
npxGA · last 6
2.29
-3 -2 -1 0 +1 +2 +1.24 Sun 09/08 +0.45 Sat 15/08 +0.01 Sat 22/08 -2.61 Sun 30/08 -1.97 Sat 05/09 +0.01 Sun 13/09 -2.92 Sun 20/09 -0.83 season avg
Royal Antwerp FC: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Sun 09/08 SK Beveren 2.20 0.96 +1.24 +1.24
Sat 15/08 KV Kortrijk 1.24 0.79 +0.45 +0.85
Sat 22/08 KRC Genk 1.31 1.30 +0.01 +0.57
Sun 30/08 Sint-Truidense VV 0.77 3.38 -2.61 -0.23
Sat 05/09 Standard Liège 0.83 2.80 -1.97 -0.58
Sun 13/09 Club Brugge KV 2.17 2.16 +0.01 -0.48
Sun 20/09 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 0.41 3.33 -2.92 -0.83

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.28 npxG and 2.10 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
number 2 hardest of 18 in Jupiler Pro League
+0.11 xG vs league average
Over 7 league matches
Last 5
number 1 hardest of 18 in Jupiler Pro League
+0.29 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

+0.11 xG vs league average · over 7 matches · number 2 hardest of 18

  1. Royale Union Saint-Gilloise Home +0.65
  2. Club Brugge KV Away +0.56
  3. Standard Liège Away −0.19
  4. Sint-Truidense VV Home +0.11
  5. KRC Genk Home +0.33
  6. KV Kortrijk Away −0.30
  7. SK Beveren Home −0.38

Last 5

+0.29 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 1 hardest of 18

  1. Royale Union Saint-Gilloise Home +0.65
  2. Club Brugge KV Away +0.56
  3. Standard Liège Away −0.19
  4. Sint-Truidense VV Home +0.11
  5. KRC Genk Home +0.33

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

Royal Antwerp FC shots and chance quality

Average volume, low quality. Royal Antwerp FC take 15.1 shots a match (league 14.2) at 0.08 npxG a shot (league 0.10), #7 in Jupiler Pro League for volume and #16 for quality. 66% of their shots come from inside the box (league 69%), and set pieces produce 29% of their npxG (league 25%).

Attack

Shot volume
15.1 shots per match
#7/18
Shot volume (shots per match) across Jupiler Pro League, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Club Brugge KV 18.7
#2 RC Sporting Charleroi 18.0
=3 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 17.3
=3 Sint-Truidense VV 17.3
#5 RSC Anderlecht 16.6
#6 KVC Westerlo 15.3
#7 Royal Antwerp FC 15.1
#8 Cercle Brugge 14.7
#9 KRC Genk 14.1
#10 Standard Liège 14.0
#11 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 13.1
#12 SV Zulte Waregem 12.9
#13 KAA Gent 12.4
#14 KV Mechelen 11.9
#15 KV Kortrijk 11.7
#16 RAAL La Louvière 10.9
#17 SK Beveren 10.7
#18 Lommel SK 10.0
League avg
14.2
Total
106 shots from 7 matches
Chance quality
0.08 npxG per shot
#16/18
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Jupiler Pro League, best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 0.12
#2 Standard Liège 0.11
#3 Sint-Truidense VV 0.11
#4 RAAL La Louvière 0.11
#5 KRC Genk 0.11
#6 Club Brugge KV 0.10
#7 Cercle Brugge 0.10
#8 RSC Anderlecht 0.10
#9 SV Zulte Waregem 0.10
#10 RC Sporting Charleroi 0.10
#11 SK Beveren 0.09
#12 KVC Westerlo 0.09
#13 KV Kortrijk 0.09
#14 KAA Gent 0.09
#15 KV Mechelen 0.09
#16 Royal Antwerp FC 0.08
#17 Lommel SK 0.08
#18 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 0.08
League avg
0.10
Total
8.93 npxG from 106 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
17.1 shots per match
#17/18
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Jupiler Pro League, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 RSC Anderlecht 9.9
#2 KAA Gent 10.3
#3 RC Sporting Charleroi 11.0
#4 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 11.3
#5 SV Zulte Waregem 12.1
#6 Club Brugge KV 13.1
#7 Cercle Brugge 13.6
#8 KV Mechelen 14.3
#9 KRC Genk 14.7
=10 KV Kortrijk 14.9
=10 Sint-Truidense VV 14.9
=12 KVC Westerlo 15.0
=12 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 15.0
#14 Standard Liège 15.3
#15 SK Beveren 15.6
#16 RAAL La Louvière 15.7
#17 Royal Antwerp FC 17.1
#18 Lommel SK 21.0
League avg
14.2
Total
120 shots allowed from 7 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.12 npxGA per shot
#18/18
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Jupiler Pro League, best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 KRC Genk 0.07
#2 KAA Gent 0.07
#3 Lommel SK 0.07
#4 Standard Liège 0.08
#5 RSC Anderlecht 0.09
#6 RC Sporting Charleroi 0.09
#7 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 0.09
#8 Club Brugge KV 0.09
#9 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 0.10
#10 SV Zulte Waregem 0.10
#11 KV Mechelen 0.11
#12 RAAL La Louvière 0.11
#13 Sint-Truidense VV 0.11
#14 SK Beveren 0.11
#15 Cercle Brugge 0.11
#16 KV Kortrijk 0.11
#17 KVC Westerlo 0.11
#18 Royal Antwerp FC 0.12
League avg
0.10
Total
14.72 npxGA from 120 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

66% inside the box

League avg 69%

From 70 of 106 shots over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

Shots allowed, location

78% allowed inside the box

League avg 69%

From 94 of 120 shots allowed over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG comes from

71% open play · 29% set pieces

League avg 25% set pieces

From 2.6 of 9.0 npxG over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG allowed comes from

74% open play · 26% set pieces

League avg 25% set pieces

From 3.9 of 14.8 npxG allowed over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

How the shot figures are made →

Royal Antwerp FC home and away xG

Royal Antwerp FC per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 4 3
xG / match 1.31 1.37
xGA / match 2.25 2.38
xGD / match -0.94 -1.01
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 1.06 0.92

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every Royal Antwerp FC match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

This season

Matches
7
xG / match
1.34
xGA / match
2.30
xGD / match
-0.97
Points
7 of 21
  1. Sun 20/09 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise H Weakest underlying xG 0.41 xGA 3.34 xGD -2.93
  2. Sun 13/09 Club Brugge KV A xG 2.09 xGA 2.94 P xGD -0.85
  3. Sat 05/09 Standard Liège A xG 0.83 xGA 3.42 P xGD -2.59
  4. Sun 30/08 Sint-Truidense VV H xG 0.77 xGA 3.38 xGD -2.61
  5. Sat 22/08 KRC Genk H xG 1.86 P xGA 1.30 xGD +0.56
  6. Sat 15/08 KV Kortrijk A xG 1.19 xGA 0.77 xGD +0.42
  7. Sun 09/08 SK Beveren H Best underlying xG 2.20 xGA 0.96 xGD +1.24

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.42. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

Royal Antwerp FC in Jupiler Pro League

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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