xgEdge

Sint-Truidense VV's recorded results for 2026/2027, newest first, with the available xG behind each score. Compare outcomes with the chances created and conceded, then open a match for more detail.

Showing 7 of 7 matching results

7 played this season

7 available results · Last 10 requested

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Results

Wins – draws – losses (W–D–L)
2 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses

8 pts 12–12 goals 0 GD

Chances

Provider xG / xGA
13.37 – 12.90
1.91 – 1.84 per match
xGD
+0.47
+0.07 per match
xG record
3 with the chances, 1 with even chances, 3 against them

Comparable xG: 7 of 7 completed results.

Points vs xPts Model

8 pts 10.1 xPts

−2.1 vs xPts

Matched xPts: 7 of 7 selected results.

Model · How xPts works →

Match points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before deductions or sanctions.

Points vs xPts uses only matches with available xPts on both sides of the comparison.

What the results say

Last 10 · All competitions · All venues

Sint-Truidense VV's mixed record matches the chances at both ends. They out-created the opponent in 4 of 7 matches, for +0.47 xG difference overall on 13.37–12.90. Their points total of 8 sits 2.1 below the model's 10.1 xPts, so the chances have slightly outrun the results.

Points minus xPts, match by match

Over these 7 results Sint-Truidense VV are 2.08 points below their xPts.

Points
8
xPts
10.08
Gap
-2.08
Sat 08/08 Fri 14/08 Sun 30/08 Wed 02/09 Sat 05/09 Sat 12/09 Sun 20/09 -3 -2 -1 0 +1 -0.73 -0.15 +0.07 -0.31 -0.01 -0.61 -2.08 -0.73 +0.58 +0.22 -0.38 +0.30 -0.60 -1.47 Running gap points − xPts Each match points − xPts
Sint-Truidense VV: Points vs xPts, the gap after every selected result
Date Opponent Points xPts Match gap Running gap
Sat 08/08 Lommel SK 1 1.73 -0.73 -0.73
Fri 14/08 Cercle Brugge 1 0.42 +0.58 -0.15
Sun 30/08 Royal Antwerp FC 3 2.78 +0.22 +0.07
Wed 02/09 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 0 0.38 -0.38 -0.31
Sat 05/09 RAAL La Louvière 3 2.70 +0.30 -0.01
Sat 12/09 SK Beveren 0 0.60 -0.60 -0.61
Sun 20/09 KVC Westerlo 0 1.47 -1.47 -2.08

Scores and xG

Sint-Truidense VV first

  • Home Jupiler Pro League Loss with even chances

    xG 2.00

    xGA 1.87

    xGD +0.13

    0:2 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · KVC Westerlo, Sun 20/09

    The team lost, while the chance difference was approximately even. The outcome was weaker than that difference alone suggests.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    1.47
    Points minus xPts
    -1.47

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Jupiler Pro League Loss backed by the chances

    xG 0.72

    xGA 1.69

    xGD -0.97

    0:2 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · SK Beveren, Sat 12/09

    The team lost and recorded less xG than its opponent. The direction of the result aligns with the chance difference.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    0.60
    Points minus xPts
    -0.60

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Jupiler Pro League Win backed by the chances

    xG 2.40

    xGA 0.44

    xGD +1.96

    4:0 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · RAAL La Louvière, Sat 05/09

    The team won and had a positive xG difference. The chances support the direction of the result, without making a judgment about fairness.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    3
    Post-match model xPts
    2.70
    Points minus xPts
    +0.30

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Jupiler Pro League Loss backed by the chances

    xG 0.85

    xGA 2.49

    xGD -1.64

    0:3 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Royale Union Saint-Gilloise, Wed 02/09

    The team lost and recorded less xG than its opponent. The direction of the result aligns with the chance difference.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    0.38
    Points minus xPts
    -0.38

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Jupiler Pro League Win backed by the chances

    xG 3.38

    xGA 0.77

    xGD +2.61

    4:1 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Royal Antwerp FC, Sun 30/08

    The team won and had a positive xG difference. The chances support the direction of the result, without making a judgment about fairness.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    3
    Post-match model xPts
    2.79
    Points minus xPts
    +0.21

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Jupiler Pro League Draw against the chances

    xG 2.04

    xGA 4.15

    xGD -2.11

    3:3 Draw
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Cercle Brugge, Fri 14/08

    The match was drawn although the team recorded less xG. The outcome was stronger than that chance difference suggests.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    1
    Post-match model xPts
    0.41
    Points minus xPts
    +0.59

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Jupiler Pro League Draw against the chances

    xG 1.98

    xGA 1.49

    xGD +0.49

    1:1 Draw
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Lommel SK, Sat 08/08

    The match was drawn although the team recorded a positive xG difference. The outcome was weaker than that chance advantage suggests.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    1
    Post-match model xPts
    1.73
    Points minus xPts
    -0.73

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →

Biggest overperformance

Cercle Brugge 3:3

· Away xG / xGA 2.04 – 4.15

Goal difference
0
xGD
-2.11
GD minus xGD
+2.11

Among 7 comparable results.

Open match →

Biggest underperformance

KVC Westerlo 0:2

· Home xG / xGA 2.00 – 1.87

Goal difference
-2
xGD
+0.13
GD minus xGD
-2.13

Among 7 comparable results.

Open match →

Reading these results

xG is the provider's estimate of chances created; xGA is the opponent's xG. xGD is the difference. Labels compare the recorded outcome with those chances; they are interpretations, not judgments about fairness.

xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

How each figure on this page is read

Every xG bar is drawn on one fixed scale: full width is 7.20 xG, the same on every card and in every window, so two cards can be compared by eye. A rarer match above that is capped with a hatched end, and the figure beside the bar still gives its value.

An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

Goal difference minus xGD says how far a scoreline finished from the chances behind it: a 4:2 won off level chances ran nearly two goals ahead of them. The two callouts under the list name the match that ran furthest each way, and a direction with no result a full goal clear of the chances gets no card rather than a card built from a rounding.

Windows count back from the most recent recorded match, and only matches attached to this club record are included. Home and away mean the provider-designated side, not a verified physical venue. Scores describe recorded play, not shootout advancement. Unverified periods receive no chance comparison.

How the model works →