xgEdge

Every La Liga match still to be played this season, soonest first, with the xG the model projects for each side and its home, draw and away probabilities.

  • Home
  • Draw
  • Away
Tight Within 3 points either way Clear favourite 55% or more Form, oldest → newest: W D L

Sunday, 20/12/2026

1 match
  • Sevilla Sevilla, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Win, Win, Loss
    Racing de Santander Racing de Santander, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.39 – 0.88
    →

Sunday, 03/01/2027

10 matches
  • Real Madrid Real Madrid, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Win, Loss
    Getafe Getafe, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Draw, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.87 – 0.72
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Real Sociedad Real Sociedad, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Loss, Win
    Osasuna Osasuna, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.34 – 1.10
    →
  • Levante UD Levante UD, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Valencia Valencia, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.70 – 1.10
    →
  • Racing de Santander Racing de Santander, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Loss, Loss
    Athletic Club Athletic Club, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Win, Draw, Draw
    Projected xG 1.02 – 1.42
    →
  • Málaga Málaga, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Elche Elche, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.22 – 1.05
    →
  • Real Betis Real Betis, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Win, Win, Draw
    Deportivo Alavés Deportivo Alavés, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Loss, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.48 – 1.19
    →
  • Celta Vigo Celta Vigo, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Draw, Draw, Win
    Deportivo La Coruña Deportivo La Coruña, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.17 – 1.01
    →
  • Espanyol Espanyol, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Win, Loss, Loss
    Barcelona Barcelona, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.13 – 1.87
    →
  • Villarreal Villarreal, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Win, Win
    Sevilla Sevilla, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Win, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.44 – 0.88
    →
  • Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Loss, Win, Draw
    Atlético Madrid Atlético Madrid, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.38 – 1.31
    →

Sunday, 10/01/2027

10 matches
  • Athletic Club Athletic Club, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Win, Draw, Draw
    Villarreal Villarreal, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.54 – 0.98
    →
  • Elche Elche, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Win
    Getafe Getafe, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Draw, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.19 – 0.86
    →
  • Real Madrid Real Madrid, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Win, Loss
    Levante UD Levante UD, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 2.17 – 1.09
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Osasuna Osasuna, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Loss, Draw
    Barcelona Barcelona, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Win
    Projected xG 0.98 – 1.75
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Deportivo La Coruña Deportivo La Coruña, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Loss, Draw
    Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Loss, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.28 – 1.24
    Tight
    →
  • Atlético Madrid Atlético Madrid, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Win, Win
    Racing de Santander Racing de Santander, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.99 – 0.91
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Deportivo Alavés Deportivo Alavés, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Loss, Loss, Draw
    Real Sociedad Real Sociedad, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.66 – 0.92
    →
  • Sevilla Sevilla, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Win, Win, Loss
    Celta Vigo Celta Vigo, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Draw, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.24 – 0.73
    →
  • Espanyol Espanyol, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Win, Loss, Loss
    Real Betis Real Betis, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Win, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.56 – 1.34
    →
  • Valencia Valencia, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Win, Loss
    Málaga Málaga, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.42 – 0.94
    →

Sunday, 17/01/2027

10 matches
  • Málaga Málaga, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Real Madrid Real Madrid, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.03 – 1.64
    →
  • Barcelona Barcelona, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Win
    Elche Elche, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 2.45 – 0.77
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Villarreal Villarreal, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Win, Win
    Deportivo Alavés Deportivo Alavés, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Loss, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.51 – 1.07
    →
  • Racing de Santander Racing de Santander, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Loss, Loss
    Osasuna Osasuna, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.33 – 1.12
    →
  • Levante UD Levante UD, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Espanyol Espanyol, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Win, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.70 – 1.20
    →
  • Celta Vigo Celta Vigo, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Draw, Draw, Win
    Valencia Valencia, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.20 – 1.05
    →
  • Getafe Getafe, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Draw, Loss, Win
    Athletic Club Athletic Club, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Win, Draw, Draw
    Projected xG 0.81 – 1.14
    →
  • Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Loss, Win, Draw
    Sevilla Sevilla, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Win, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.33 – 0.92
    →
  • Real Betis Real Betis, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Win, Win, Draw
    Deportivo La Coruña Deportivo La Coruña, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.72 – 1.05
    →
  • Atlético Madrid Atlético Madrid, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Win, Win
    Real Sociedad Real Sociedad, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.96 – 0.92
    Clear favourite
    →

Sunday, 24/01/2027

10 matches
  • Real Madrid Real Madrid, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Win, Loss
    Real Betis Real Betis, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Win, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 2.16 – 1.12
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Getafe Getafe, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Draw, Loss, Win
    Osasuna Osasuna, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.05 – 0.89
    →
  • Valencia Valencia, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Win, Loss
    Sevilla Sevilla, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Win, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.13 – 0.97
    →
  • Elche Elche, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Win
    Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Loss, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.29 – 1.26
    Tight
    →
  • Deportivo Alavés Deportivo Alavés, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Loss, Loss, Draw
    Barcelona Barcelona, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.13 – 1.58
    →
  • Real Sociedad Real Sociedad, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Loss, Win
    Málaga Málaga, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.45 – 1.02
    →
  • Racing de Santander Racing de Santander, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Loss, Loss
    Celta Vigo Celta Vigo, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Draw, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.40 – 1.01
    →
  • Athletic Club Athletic Club, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Win, Draw, Draw
    Levante UD Levante UD, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.73 – 0.93
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Espanyol Espanyol, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Win, Loss, Loss
    Villarreal Villarreal, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.39 – 1.37
    Tight
    →
  • Deportivo La Coruña Deportivo La Coruña, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Loss, Draw
    Atlético Madrid Atlético Madrid, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.12 – 1.35
    →

Sunday, 31/01/2027

9 matches
  • Real Betis Real Betis, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Win, Win, Draw
    Elche Elche, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.75 – 1.06
    →
  • Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Loss, Win, Draw
    Real Madrid Real Madrid, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.38 – 1.54
    →
  • Atlético Madrid Atlético Madrid, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Win, Win
    Espanyol Espanyol, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Win, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.80 – 0.98
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Celta Vigo Celta Vigo, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Draw, Draw, Win
    Getafe Getafe, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Draw, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.05 – 0.85
    →
  • Villarreal Villarreal, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Win, Win
    Racing de Santander Racing de Santander, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.98 – 1.00
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Levante UD Levante UD, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Real Sociedad Real Sociedad, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.84 – 1.12
    →
  • Barcelona Barcelona, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Win
    Valencia Valencia, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 2.46 – 0.80
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Sevilla Sevilla, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Win, Win, Loss
    Athletic Club Athletic Club, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Win, Draw, Draw
    Projected xG 0.90 – 1.04
    →
  • Osasuna Osasuna, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Loss, Draw
    Deportivo La Coruña Deportivo La Coruña, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.30 – 0.96
    →

Probabilities and projected xG are model estimates, rounded so the three add to 100. They read shot quality over recent matches and know nothing about injuries, suspensions or motivation.