xgEdge

Every La Liga match still to be played this season, soonest first, with the xG the model projects for each side and its home, draw and away probabilities.

  • Home
  • Draw
  • Away
Tight Within 3 points either way Clear favourite 55% or more Form, oldest → newest: W D L

Sunday, 07/03/2027

1 match
  • Espanyol Espanyol, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Win, Loss, Loss
    Racing de Santander Racing de Santander, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.68 – 1.09
    →

Sunday, 14/03/2027

10 matches
  • Osasuna Osasuna, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Loss, Draw
    Celta Vigo Celta Vigo, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Draw, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.30 – 0.85
    →
  • Elche Elche, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Win
    Villarreal Villarreal, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.24 – 1.37
    →
  • Deportivo Alavés Deportivo Alavés, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Loss, Loss, Draw
    Sevilla Sevilla, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Win, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.23 – 0.81
    →
  • Athletic Club Athletic Club, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Win, Draw, Draw
    Valencia Valencia, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.69 – 0.77
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Real Betis Real Betis, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Win, Win, Draw
    Levante UD Levante UD, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.79 – 1.33
    →
  • Racing de Santander Racing de Santander, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Loss, Loss
    Atlético Madrid Atlético Madrid, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.19 – 1.52
    →
  • Málaga Málaga, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Loss, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.17 – 1.28
    →
  • Getafe Getafe, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Draw, Loss, Win
    Real Sociedad Real Sociedad, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.23 – 0.97
    →
  • Barcelona Barcelona, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Win
    Deportivo La Coruña Deportivo La Coruña, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 2.41 – 0.76
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Real Madrid Real Madrid, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Win, Loss
    Espanyol Espanyol, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Win, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 2.12 – 0.98
    Clear favourite
    →

Sunday, 21/03/2027

10 matches
  • Villarreal Villarreal, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Win, Win
    Málaga Málaga, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.82 – 0.86
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Sevilla Sevilla, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Win, Win, Loss
    Elche Elche, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.26 – 0.83
    →
  • Levante UD Levante UD, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Osasuna Osasuna, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.58 – 1.04
    →
  • Celta Vigo Celta Vigo, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Draw, Draw, Win
    Real Madrid Real Madrid, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.00 – 1.59
    →
  • Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Loss, Win, Draw
    Barcelona Barcelona, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.23 – 1.78
    →
  • Real Sociedad Real Sociedad, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Loss, Win
    Deportivo Alavés Deportivo Alavés, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Loss, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.21 – 1.27
    →
  • Espanyol Espanyol, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Win, Loss, Loss
    Athletic Club Athletic Club, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Win, Draw, Draw
    Projected xG 1.09 – 1.29
    →
  • Racing de Santander Racing de Santander, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Loss, Loss
    Real Betis Real Betis, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Win, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.46 – 1.48
    Tight
    →
  • Valencia Valencia, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Win, Loss
    Deportivo La Coruña Deportivo La Coruña, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.38 – 1.03
    →
  • Atlético Madrid Atlético Madrid, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Win, Win
    Getafe Getafe, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Draw, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.59 – 0.72
    Clear favourite
    →

Sunday, 04/04/2027

10 matches
  • Levante UD Levante UD, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Loss, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.61 – 1.29
    →
  • Barcelona Barcelona, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Win
    Sevilla Sevilla, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Win, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.97 – 0.72
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Málaga Málaga, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Osasuna Osasuna, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.14 – 1.03
    →
  • Athletic Club Athletic Club, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Win, Draw, Draw
    Racing de Santander Racing de Santander, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.86 – 0.78
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Deportivo La Coruña Deportivo La Coruña, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Loss, Draw
    Villarreal Villarreal, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.23 – 1.35
    →
  • Real Sociedad Real Sociedad, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Loss, Win
    Valencia Valencia, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.44 – 1.17
    →
  • Elche Elche, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Win
    Deportivo Alavés Deportivo Alavés, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Loss, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.14 – 1.17
    Tight
    →
  • Real Madrid Real Madrid, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Win, Loss
    Atlético Madrid Atlético Madrid, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.77 – 1.16
    →
  • Getafe Getafe, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Draw, Loss, Win
    Espanyol Espanyol, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Win, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.13 – 1.03
    →
  • Real Betis Real Betis, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Win, Win, Draw
    Celta Vigo Celta Vigo, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Draw, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.72 – 0.93
    Clear favourite
    →

Sunday, 11/04/2027

10 matches
  • Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Loss, Win, Draw
    Real Sociedad Real Sociedad, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.79 – 1.04
    →
  • Espanyol Espanyol, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Win, Loss, Loss
    Málaga Málaga, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.55 – 0.94
    →
  • Villarreal Villarreal, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Win, Win
    Athletic Club Athletic Club, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Win, Draw, Draw
    Projected xG 1.29 – 1.18
    →
  • Deportivo Alavés Deportivo Alavés, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Loss, Loss, Draw
    Real Betis Real Betis, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Win, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.56 – 1.13
    →
  • Valencia Valencia, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Win, Loss
    Getafe Getafe, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Draw, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.24 – 0.87
    →
  • Sevilla Sevilla, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Win, Win, Loss
    Deportivo La Coruña Deportivo La Coruña, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.24 – 0.83
    →
  • Celta Vigo Celta Vigo, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Draw, Draw, Win
    Elche Elche, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.19 – 1.02
    →
  • Racing de Santander Racing de Santander, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Loss, Loss
    Barcelona Barcelona, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.06 – 2.07
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Osasuna Osasuna, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Loss, Draw
    Real Madrid Real Madrid, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.11 – 1.51
    →
  • Atlético Madrid Atlético Madrid, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Win, Win
    Levante UD Levante UD, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.84 – 1.09
    →

Sunday, 18/04/2027

9 matches
  • Atlético Madrid Atlético Madrid, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Win, Win
    Sevilla Sevilla, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Win, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.45 – 0.81
    →
  • Barcelona Barcelona, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Win
    Espanyol Espanyol, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Win, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 2.45 – 0.87
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Levante UD Levante UD, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Villarreal Villarreal, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.55 – 1.41
    →
  • Real Sociedad Real Sociedad, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Loss, Win
    Racing de Santander Racing de Santander, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.58 – 1.19
    →
  • Málaga Málaga, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Valencia Valencia, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.23 – 1.09
    →
  • Deportivo La Coruña Deportivo La Coruña, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Loss, Draw
    Celta Vigo Celta Vigo, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Draw, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.32 – 0.90
    →
  • Elche Elche, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Win
    Osasuna Osasuna, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.26 – 1.01
    →
  • Deportivo Alavés Deportivo Alavés, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Loss, Loss, Draw
    Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Loss, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.45 – 1.07
    →
  • Real Betis Real Betis, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Win, Win, Draw
    Athletic Club Athletic Club, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Win, Draw, Draw
    Projected xG 1.25 – 1.32
    Tight
    →

Probabilities and projected xG are model estimates, rounded so the three add to 100. They read shot quality over recent matches and know nothing about injuries, suspensions or motivation.