xgEdge

Every La Liga match still to be played this season, soonest first, with the xG the model projects for each side and its home, draw and away probabilities.

  • Home
  • Draw
  • Away
Tight Within 3 points either way Clear favourite 55% or more Form, oldest → newest: W D L

Sunday, 08/11/2026

1 match
  • Atlético Madrid Atlético Madrid, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Win, Win
    Barcelona Barcelona, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.34 – 1.57
    →

Sunday, 22/11/2026

10 matches
  • Athletic Club Athletic Club, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Win, Draw, Draw
    Espanyol Espanyol, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Win, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.69 – 0.84
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Barcelona Barcelona, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Win
    Villarreal Villarreal, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Win, Win
    Projected xG 2.24 – 1.02
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Racing de Santander Racing de Santander, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Loss, Loss
    Real Sociedad Real Sociedad, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.55 – 1.21
    →
  • Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Loss, Win, Draw
    Valencia Valencia, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.66 – 1.02
    →
  • Osasuna Osasuna, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Loss, Draw
    Málaga Málaga, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.35 – 0.87
    →
  • Getafe Getafe, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Draw, Loss, Win
    Atlético Madrid Atlético Madrid, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Win, Win
    Projected xG 0.94 – 1.22
    →
  • Real Madrid Real Madrid, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Win, Loss
    Celta Vigo Celta Vigo, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Draw, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 2.08 – 0.77
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Deportivo Alavés Deportivo Alavés, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Loss, Loss, Draw
    Deportivo La Coruña Deportivo La Coruña, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.50 – 0.87
    →
  • Sevilla Sevilla, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Win, Win, Loss
    Real Betis Real Betis, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Win, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.29 – 1.08
    →
  • Levante UD Levante UD, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Elche Elche, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.70 – 1.06
    →

Sunday, 29/11/2026

10 matches
  • Celta Vigo Celta Vigo, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Draw, Draw, Win
    Villarreal Villarreal, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.09 – 1.35
    →
  • Elche Elche, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Win
    Atlético Madrid Atlético Madrid, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.13 – 1.38
    →
  • Real Betis Real Betis, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Win, Win, Draw
    Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Loss, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.67 – 1.29
    →
  • Valencia Valencia, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Win, Loss
    Osasuna Osasuna, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.31 – 1.02
    →
  • Real Madrid Real Madrid, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Win, Loss
    Deportivo Alavés Deportivo Alavés, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Loss, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.78 – 0.98
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Espanyol Espanyol, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Win, Loss, Loss
    Getafe Getafe, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Draw, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.35 – 0.86
    →
  • Real Sociedad Real Sociedad, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Loss, Win
    Sevilla Sevilla, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Win, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.15 – 1.05
    →
  • Levante UD Levante UD, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Racing de Santander Racing de Santander, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.87 – 1.12
    →
  • Deportivo La Coruña Deportivo La Coruña, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Loss, Draw
    Barcelona Barcelona, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.00 – 1.84
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Málaga Málaga, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Athletic Club Athletic Club, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Win, Draw, Draw
    Projected xG 0.88 – 1.31
    →

Sunday, 06/12/2026

10 matches
  • Osasuna Osasuna, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Loss, Draw
    Elche Elche, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.32 – 0.97
    →
  • Sevilla Sevilla, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Win, Win, Loss
    Málaga Málaga, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.28 – 0.75
    →
  • Deportivo Alavés Deportivo Alavés, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Loss, Loss, Draw
    Espanyol Espanyol, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Win, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.53 – 0.98
    →
  • Atlético Madrid Atlético Madrid, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Win, Win
    Real Betis Real Betis, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Win, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.84 – 1.12
    →
  • Racing de Santander Racing de Santander, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Loss, Loss
    Deportivo La Coruña Deportivo La Coruña, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.40 – 1.13
    →
  • Barcelona Barcelona, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Win
    Celta Vigo Celta Vigo, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Draw, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 2.40 – 0.68
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Getafe Getafe, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Draw, Loss, Win
    Valencia Valencia, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.13 – 0.95
    →
  • Athletic Club Athletic Club, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Win, Draw, Draw
    Real Madrid Real Madrid, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.41 – 1.16
    →
  • Villarreal Villarreal, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Win, Win
    Real Sociedad Real Sociedad, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.95 – 1.00
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Loss, Win, Draw
    Levante UD Levante UD, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.69 – 1.24
    →

Sunday, 13/12/2026

10 matches
  • Espanyol Espanyol, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Win, Loss, Loss
    Celta Vigo Celta Vigo, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Draw, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.50 – 0.91
    →
  • Málaga Málaga, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Barcelona Barcelona, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Win
    Projected xG 0.91 – 1.90
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Real Madrid Real Madrid, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Win, Loss
    Osasuna Osasuna, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.97 – 0.85
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Deportivo La Coruña Deportivo La Coruña, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Loss, Draw
    Athletic Club Athletic Club, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Win, Draw, Draw
    Projected xG 0.96 – 1.27
    →
  • Levante UD Levante UD, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Deportivo Alavés Deportivo Alavés, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Loss, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.43 – 1.20
    →
  • Elche Elche, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Win
    Sevilla Sevilla, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Win, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.09 – 0.96
    →
  • Villarreal Villarreal, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Win, Win
    Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Loss, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.71 – 1.15
    →
  • Real Betis Real Betis, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Win, Win, Draw
    Racing de Santander Racing de Santander, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.93 – 1.12
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Real Sociedad Real Sociedad, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Loss, Win
    Getafe Getafe, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Draw, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.26 – 0.94
    →
  • Atlético Madrid Atlético Madrid, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Win, Win
    Valencia Valencia, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.81 – 0.90
    Clear favourite
    →

Sunday, 20/12/2026

9 matches
  • Athletic Club Athletic Club, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Win, Draw, Draw
    Real Betis Real Betis, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Win, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.72 – 0.96
    →
  • Getafe Getafe, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Draw, Loss, Win
    Levante UD Levante UD, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.16 – 1.14
    Tight
    →
  • Deportivo Alavés Deportivo Alavés, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Loss, Loss, Draw
    Elche Elche, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.53 – 0.87
    →
  • Valencia Valencia, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Win, Loss
    Espanyol Espanyol, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Win, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.40 – 1.17
    →
  • Osasuna Osasuna, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Loss, Draw
    Villarreal Villarreal, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.21 – 1.28
    →
  • Barcelona Barcelona, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Win
    Real Sociedad Real Sociedad, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 2.66 – 0.81
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Celta Vigo Celta Vigo, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Draw, Draw, Win
    Atlético Madrid Atlético Madrid, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.00 – 1.35
    →
  • Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Loss, Win, Draw
    Málaga Málaga, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.68 – 0.89
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Deportivo La Coruña Deportivo La Coruña, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Loss, Draw
    Real Madrid Real Madrid, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.13 – 1.59
    →

Probabilities and projected xG are model estimates, rounded so the three add to 100. They read shot quality over recent matches and know nothing about injuries, suspensions or motivation.