xgEdge

Every La Liga match still to be played this season, soonest first, with the xG the model projects for each side and its home, draw and away probabilities.

  • Home
  • Draw
  • Away
Tight Within 3 points either way Clear favourite 55% or more Form, oldest → newest: W D L

Sunday, 18/04/2027

1 match
  • Getafe Getafe, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Draw, Loss, Win
    Real Madrid Real Madrid, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 0.95 – 1.43
    →

Wednesday, 21/04/2027

10 matches
  • Getafe Getafe, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Draw, Loss, Win
    Real Betis Real Betis, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Win, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.15 – 1.18
    Tight
    →
  • Valencia Valencia, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Win, Loss
    Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Loss, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.34 – 1.27
    Tight
    →
  • Celta Vigo Celta Vigo, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Draw, Draw, Win
    Barcelona Barcelona, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Win
    Projected xG 0.89 – 1.84
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Osasuna Osasuna, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Loss, Draw
    Deportivo Alavés Deportivo Alavés, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Loss, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.12 – 1.09
    Tight
    →
  • Real Madrid Real Madrid, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Win, Loss
    Elche Elche, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 2.12 – 0.87
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Athletic Club Athletic Club, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Win, Draw, Draw
    Deportivo La Coruña Deportivo La Coruña, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.66 – 0.74
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Racing de Santander Racing de Santander, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Loss, Loss
    Málaga Málaga, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.45 – 1.03
    →
  • Villarreal Villarreal, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Win, Win
    Atlético Madrid Atlético Madrid, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.50 – 1.26
    →
  • Sevilla Sevilla, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Win, Win, Loss
    Levante UD Levante UD, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.29 – 1.04
    →
  • Espanyol Espanyol, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Win, Loss, Loss
    Real Sociedad Real Sociedad, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.66 – 1.10
    →

Sunday, 02/05/2027

10 matches
  • Deportivo La Coruña Deportivo La Coruña, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Loss, Draw
    Racing de Santander Racing de Santander, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.48 – 1.07
    →
  • Celta Vigo Celta Vigo, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Draw, Draw, Win
    Sevilla Sevilla, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Win, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 0.96 – 0.95
    Tight
    →
  • Real Sociedad Real Sociedad, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Loss, Win
    Athletic Club Athletic Club, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Win, Draw, Draw
    Projected xG 1.03 – 1.40
    →
  • Barcelona Barcelona, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Win
    Osasuna Osasuna, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 2.29 – 0.75
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Loss, Win, Draw
    Villarreal Villarreal, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.51 – 1.31
    →
  • Málaga Málaga, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Getafe Getafe, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Draw, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.08 – 0.88
    →
  • Real Betis Real Betis, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Win, Win, Draw
    Valencia Valencia, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.76 – 1.10
    →
  • Elche Elche, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Win
    Espanyol Espanyol, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Win, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.35 – 1.17
    →
  • Levante UD Levante UD, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Real Madrid Real Madrid, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.42 – 1.66
    →
  • Atlético Madrid Atlético Madrid, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Win, Win
    Deportivo Alavés Deportivo Alavés, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Loss, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.52 – 0.98
    →

Sunday, 09/05/2027

10 matches
  • Valencia Valencia, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Win, Loss
    Atlético Madrid Atlético Madrid, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.17 – 1.38
    →
  • Osasuna Osasuna, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Loss, Draw
    Real Sociedad Real Sociedad, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.44 – 1.02
    →
  • Deportivo Alavés Deportivo Alavés, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Loss, Loss, Draw
    Levante UD Levante UD, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.56 – 1.09
    →
  • Athletic Club Athletic Club, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Win, Draw, Draw
    Málaga Málaga, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.71 – 0.67
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Racing de Santander Racing de Santander, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Loss, Loss
    Sevilla Sevilla, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Win, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.15 – 1.06
    →
  • Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Loss, Win, Draw
    Deportivo La Coruña Deportivo La Coruña, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.62 – 0.98
    →
  • Real Betis Real Betis, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Win, Win, Draw
    Espanyol Espanyol, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Win, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.75 – 1.19
    →
  • Real Madrid Real Madrid, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Win, Loss
    Barcelona Barcelona, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.57 – 1.57
    Tight
    →
  • Getafe Getafe, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Draw, Loss, Win
    Elche Elche, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.13 – 0.91
    →
  • Villarreal Villarreal, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Win, Win
    Celta Vigo Celta Vigo, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Draw, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.76 – 0.83
    Clear favourite
    →

Sunday, 16/05/2027

10 matches
  • Atlético Madrid Atlético Madrid, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Win, Win
    Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Loss, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.71 – 1.06
    →
  • Sevilla Sevilla, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Win, Win, Loss
    Villarreal Villarreal, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.15 – 1.10
    Tight
    →
  • Real Sociedad Real Sociedad, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Loss, Win
    Barcelona Barcelona, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.06 – 2.04
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Elche Elche, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Win
    Athletic Club Athletic Club, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Win, Draw, Draw
    Projected xG 0.97 – 1.29
    →
  • Málaga Málaga, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Celta Vigo Celta Vigo, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Draw, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.20 – 0.93
    →
  • Deportivo La Coruña Deportivo La Coruña, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Loss, Draw
    Deportivo Alavés Deportivo Alavés, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Loss, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.13 – 1.15
    Tight
    →
  • Levante UD Levante UD, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Getafe Getafe, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Draw, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.50 – 0.88
    →
  • Espanyol Espanyol, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Win, Loss, Loss
    Valencia Valencia, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.53 – 1.07
    →
  • Real Madrid Real Madrid, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Win, Loss
    Racing de Santander Racing de Santander, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 2.33 – 0.92
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Osasuna Osasuna, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Loss, Draw
    Real Betis Real Betis, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Win, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.36 – 1.25
    →

Sunday, 23/05/2027

9 matches
  • Atlético Madrid Atlético Madrid, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Win, Win
    Athletic Club Athletic Club, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Win, Draw, Draw
    Projected xG 1.29 – 1.08
    →
  • Deportivo Alavés Deportivo Alavés, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Loss, Loss, Draw
    Real Madrid Real Madrid, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.28 – 1.37
    →
  • Sevilla Sevilla, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Win, Win, Loss
    Getafe Getafe, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Draw, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.11 – 0.69
    →
  • Villarreal Villarreal, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Win, Win
    Osasuna Osasuna, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.68 – 0.93
    →
  • Racing de Santander Racing de Santander, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Loss, Loss
    Levante UD Levante UD, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.46 – 1.43
    Tight
    →
  • Deportivo La Coruña Deportivo La Coruña, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Loss, Draw
    Espanyol Espanyol, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Win, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.34 – 1.15
    →
  • Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Loss, Win, Draw
    Real Betis Real Betis, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Win, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.69 – 1.28
    →
  • Barcelona Barcelona, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Win
    Málaga Málaga, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 2.49 – 0.70
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Valencia Valencia, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Win, Loss
    Elche Elche, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.40 – 1.04
    →

Probabilities and projected xG are model estimates, rounded so the three add to 100. They read shot quality over recent matches and know nothing about injuries, suspensions or motivation.