xgEdge

Every La Liga match still to be played this season, soonest first, with the xG the model projects for each side and its home, draw and away probabilities.

  • Home
  • Draw
  • Away
Tight Within 3 points either way Clear favourite 55% or more Form, oldest → newest: W D L

Sunday, 31/01/2027

1 match
  • Málaga Málaga, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Deportivo Alavés Deportivo Alavés, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Loss, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.03 – 1.19
    →

Sunday, 07/02/2027

10 matches
  • Athletic Club Athletic Club, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Win, Draw, Draw
    Osasuna Osasuna, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.57 – 0.73
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Deportivo Alavés Deportivo Alavés, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Loss, Loss, Draw
    Celta Vigo Celta Vigo, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Draw, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.50 – 0.77
    →
  • Real Betis Real Betis, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Win, Win, Draw
    Sevilla Sevilla, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Win, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.41 – 0.99
    →
  • Elche Elche, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Win
    Levante UD Levante UD, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.39 – 1.30
    →
  • Espanyol Espanyol, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Win, Loss, Loss
    Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Loss, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.45 – 1.26
    →
  • Getafe Getafe, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Draw, Loss, Win
    Villarreal Villarreal, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.03 – 1.21
    →
  • Deportivo La Coruña Deportivo La Coruña, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Loss, Draw
    Málaga Málaga, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.36 – 0.92
    →
  • Real Sociedad Real Sociedad, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Loss, Win
    Real Madrid Real Madrid, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.20 – 1.76
    →
  • Valencia Valencia, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Win, Loss
    Racing de Santander Racing de Santander, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.55 – 1.10
    →
  • Barcelona Barcelona, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Win
    Atlético Madrid Atlético Madrid, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Win, Win
    Projected xG 2.05 – 1.02
    Clear favourite
    →

Sunday, 14/02/2027

10 matches
  • Sevilla Sevilla, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Win, Win, Loss
    Espanyol Espanyol, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Win, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.26 – 0.94
    →
  • Osasuna Osasuna, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Loss, Draw
    Atlético Madrid Atlético Madrid, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.11 – 1.29
    →
  • Celta Vigo Celta Vigo, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Draw, Draw, Win
    Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Loss, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.14 – 1.24
    →
  • Villarreal Villarreal, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Win, Win
    Barcelona Barcelona, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.33 – 1.71
    →
  • Real Sociedad Real Sociedad, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Loss, Win
    Real Betis Real Betis, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Win, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.46 – 1.46
    Tight
    →
  • Elche Elche, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Win
    Deportivo La Coruña Deportivo La Coruña, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.33 – 1.03
    →
  • Valencia Valencia, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Win, Loss
    Deportivo Alavés Deportivo Alavés, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Loss, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.18 – 1.17
    Tight
    →
  • Levante UD Levante UD, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Málaga Málaga, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.72 – 0.96
    →
  • Racing de Santander Racing de Santander, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Loss, Loss
    Getafe Getafe, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Draw, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.26 – 0.95
    →
  • Real Madrid Real Madrid, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Win, Loss
    Athletic Club Athletic Club, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Win, Draw, Draw
    Projected xG 1.52 – 1.08
    →

Sunday, 21/02/2027

10 matches
  • Deportivo Alavés Deportivo Alavés, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Loss, Loss, Draw
    Racing de Santander Racing de Santander, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.68 – 0.92
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Málaga Málaga, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Real Betis Real Betis, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Win, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.25 – 1.36
    →
  • Villarreal Villarreal, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Win, Win
    Valencia Valencia, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.81 – 0.98
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Barcelona Barcelona, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Win
    Levante UD Levante UD, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 2.51 – 0.96
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Athletic Club Athletic Club, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Win, Draw, Draw
    Celta Vigo Celta Vigo, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Draw, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.65 – 0.65
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Espanyol Espanyol, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Win, Loss, Loss
    Osasuna Osasuna, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.42 – 1.01
    →
  • Sevilla Sevilla, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Win, Win, Loss
    Real Madrid Real Madrid, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.06 – 1.30
    →
  • Atlético Madrid Atlético Madrid, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Win, Win
    Elche Elche, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.80 – 0.87
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Deportivo La Coruña Deportivo La Coruña, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Loss, Draw
    Real Sociedad Real Sociedad, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.46 – 1.08
    →
  • Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Loss, Win, Draw
    Getafe Getafe, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Draw, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.46 – 0.82
    →

Sunday, 28/02/2027

10 matches
  • Celta Vigo Celta Vigo, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Draw, Draw, Win
    Espanyol Espanyol, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Win, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.19 – 1.15
    Tight
    →
  • Levante UD Levante UD, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Deportivo La Coruña Deportivo La Coruña, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.67 – 1.05
    →
  • Málaga Málaga, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Atlético Madrid Atlético Madrid, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.02 – 1.40
    →
  • Osasuna Osasuna, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Loss, Draw
    Sevilla Sevilla, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Win, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.06 – 0.90
    →
  • Real Madrid Real Madrid, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Win, Loss
    Valencia Valencia, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 2.13 – 0.90
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Getafe Getafe, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Draw, Loss, Win
    Deportivo Alavés Deportivo Alavés, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Loss, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 0.95 – 1.03
    →
  • Athletic Club Athletic Club, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Win, Draw, Draw
    Barcelona Barcelona, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.25 – 1.34
    →
  • Racing de Santander Racing de Santander, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Loss, Loss
    Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Loss, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.36 – 1.39
    Tight
    →
  • Real Betis Real Betis, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Win, Win, Draw
    Villarreal Villarreal, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.60 – 1.40
    →
  • Real Sociedad Real Sociedad, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Loss, Win
    Elche Elche, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.43 – 1.12
    →

Sunday, 07/03/2027

9 matches
  • Barcelona Barcelona, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Win
    Real Betis Real Betis, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Win, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 2.51 – 1.00
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Elche Elche, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Win
    Málaga Málaga, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.37 – 0.94
    →
  • Deportivo Alavés Deportivo Alavés, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Loss, Loss, Draw
    Athletic Club Athletic Club, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Win, Draw, Draw
    Projected xG 1.09 – 1.09
    Tight
    →
  • Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Loss, Win, Draw
    Osasuna Osasuna, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.54 – 0.97
    →
  • Sevilla Sevilla, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Win, Win, Loss
    Real Sociedad Real Sociedad, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.37 – 0.88
    →
  • Atlético Madrid Atlético Madrid, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Win, Win
    Celta Vigo Celta Vigo, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Draw, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.77 – 0.76
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Villarreal Villarreal, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Win, Win
    Real Madrid Real Madrid, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.51 – 1.48
    Tight
    →
  • Valencia Valencia, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Win, Loss
    Levante UD Levante UD, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.44 – 1.30
    →
  • Deportivo La Coruña Deportivo La Coruña, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Loss, Draw
    Getafe Getafe, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Draw, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.18 – 0.85
    →

Probabilities and projected xG are model estimates, rounded so the three add to 100. They read shot quality over recent matches and know nothing about injuries, suspensions or motivation.