CD Nacional 2:0 Estoril Praia: xG & match report · Liga Portugal

Sunday, 16/08/2026 at 16:30

Full time

Match report · Liga Portugal

CD Nacional Home 2.08 xG · 20 shots

Estoril Praia Away 0.82 xG · 9 shots

20 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

68' Ze Vitor CD Nacional · 0.01 xG chance 1–0
77' Léo Santos CD Nacional · 0.34 xG chance 2–0

The shots behind it

CD Nacional Estoril Praia

Shots: 20; 9
On target: 3; 5
Inside the box: 10; 4
xG per shot: 0.10; 0.09
Open play xG: 1.50; 0.68
Set-piece xG: 0.59; 0.12
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 2.10 for CD Nacional and 0.82 for Estoril Praia.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

29 shots · 2.89 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

CD Nacional
Estoril Praia
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

CD Nacional

1.15 xG created 1.28 xGA

W 1.03 created, 0.47 conceded against FC Alverca
W 1.26 created, 1.38 conceded against Tondela
L 1.83 created, 1.64 conceded against AVS - Futebol SAD
L 0.61 created, 1.37 conceded against Santa Clara
W 0.93 created, 1.38 conceded against Vitória SC
D 1.23 created, 1.43 conceded against Santa Clara

Estoril Praia

0.90 xG created 1.55 xGA

L 0.35 created, 0.86 conceded against Moreirense
L 0.66 created, 1.05 conceded against Famalicão
D 0.89 created, 0.41 conceded against Sporting Braga
D 0.90 created, 1.27 conceded against FC Alverca
L 1.52 created, 4.22 conceded against Benfica
D 1.06 created, 1.47 conceded against Famalicão

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

CD Nacional: 0 won · 1 drawn · 1 lost

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.