xgEdge

Expected goals

Vitória SC expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

Liga Portugal · after 7 matches · updated 1 Oct

Vitória SC's attacking and defensive expected goals in Liga Portugal 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

Vitória SC xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
1.77 xG per match
#4/18
Attack (xG per match) across Liga Portugal, best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 Benfica 2.32
#2 FC Porto 2.26
#3 Sporting 2.01
#4 Vitória SC 1.77
#5 FC Alverca 1.40
#6 Santa Clara 1.35
#7 Gil Vicente 1.31
#8 Académico Viseu FC 1.30
#9 Sporting Braga 1.25
#10 FC Arouca 1.24
#11 CF Estrela Amadora 1.23
#12 CD Nacional 1.15
#13 Famalicão 0.99
#14 Marítimo 0.94
#15 Casa Pia 0.89
#16 Estoril Praia 0.85
#17 Moreirense 0.68
#18 Rio Ave 0.54
League avg
1.31
Total
12.36 7 matches
Defence
0.77 xGA per match
#4/18
Defence (xGA per match) across Liga Portugal, best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 Sporting Braga 0.65
#2 Benfica 0.65
#3 Santa Clara 0.69
#4 Vitória SC 0.77
#5 Sporting 0.79
#6 Gil Vicente 0.88
#7 FC Porto 0.98
#8 Famalicão 1.25
#9 Marítimo 1.32
#10 FC Arouca 1.38
#11 Estoril Praia 1.62
#12 CF Estrela Amadora 1.63
#13 Académico Viseu FC 1.71
#14 Moreirense 1.73
#15 FC Alverca 1.74
#16 Casa Pia 1.77
#17 CD Nacional 1.87
#18 Rio Ave 1.92
League avg
1.31
Total
5.42 7 matches
xG difference
+0.99 xGD per match
#4/18
xG difference (xGD per match) across Liga Portugal, best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 Benfica +1.66
#2 FC Porto +1.28
#3 Sporting +1.22
#4 Vitória SC +0.99
#5 Santa Clara +0.67
#6 Sporting Braga +0.60
#7 Gil Vicente +0.43
#8 FC Arouca -0.14
#9 Famalicão -0.26
#10 FC Alverca -0.34
#11 Marítimo -0.38
#12 CF Estrela Amadora -0.40
#13 Académico Viseu FC -0.41
#14 CD Nacional -0.72
#15 Estoril Praia -0.76
#16 Casa Pia -0.87
#17 Moreirense -1.06
#18 Rio Ave -1.38
League avg
0.00
Total
+6.94 7 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
1.96 xPts per match
#4/18
Expected points (xPts per match) across Liga Portugal, best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 Benfica 2.40
#2 FC Porto 2.22
#3 Sporting 2.17
#4 Vitória SC 1.96
#5 Santa Clara 1.93
#6 Sporting Braga 1.83
#7 Gil Vicente 1.76
#8 FC Arouca 1.37
#9 Famalicão 1.18
#10 CF Estrela Amadora 1.13
#11 Académico Viseu FC 1.08
#12 Marítimo 1.07
#13 CD Nacional 1.06
#14 FC Alverca 1.06
#15 Casa Pia 0.91
#16 Estoril Praia 0.82
#17 Moreirense 0.68
#18 Rio Ave 0.46
League avg
1.39
Total
13.72 vs 5 actual pts

Early-season figures: after 7 matches, per-match rates can move quickly.

What the xG says

Vitória SC's underlying numbers are among the best in Liga Portugal. They rank #4 for xG difference at +0.99 per match, built on elite shot volume rather than low chance quality. Their 5 goals are 7.36 below 12.36 xG, while 5 points are 8.72 below 13.72 xPts. After only 7 matches, those gaps should still be read cautiously.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG Includes 0.79 xG from penalties
5 12.36 -7.36 scored 7.36 fewer than xG far outside normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
8 5.42 +2.58 conceded 2.58 more than xGA outside normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
5 13.72 -8.72 8.72 points below xPts far outside normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

Vitória SC are 7.36 goals below their xG after 7 matches.

Goals
5
xG
12.36
Gap
-7.36
Sat 08/08 Fri 14/08 Sun 23/08 Mon 31/08 Sun 06/09 Sat 12/09 Sun 20/09 -8 -6 -4 -2 0 -2.22 -1.34 -3.48 -3.71 -6.19 -7.29 -7.36 -2.22 +0.88 -2.14 -0.23 -2.48 -1.10 -0.07 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
Vitória SC: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Sat 08/08 FC Arouca 0 2.22 -2.22 -2.22
Fri 14/08 Sporting 2 1.12 +0.88 -1.34
Sun 23/08 CD Nacional 1 3.14 -2.14 -3.48
Mon 31/08 Sporting Braga 0 0.23 -0.23 -3.71
Sun 06/09 Casa Pia 0 2.48 -2.48 -6.19
Sat 12/09 Académico Viseu FC 1 2.10 -1.10 -7.29
Sun 20/09 Moreirense 1 1.07 -0.07 -7.36

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking →

Vitória SC xG trend

Current form +0.70 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 6 of 7 matches. The only negative was against Sporting Braga on Mon 31/08 (-0.60).

npxG · last 6
1.56
npxGA · last 6
0.86
-1 0 +1 +2 +3 +1.73 Sat 08/08 +0.01 Fri 14/08 +1.92 Sun 23/08 -0.60 Mon 31/08 +2.27 Sun 06/09 +0.04 Sat 12/09 +0.54 Sun 20/09 +0.84 season avg
Vitória SC: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Sat 08/08 FC Arouca 2.22 0.49 +1.73 +1.73
Fri 14/08 Sporting 1.13 1.12 +0.01 +0.87
Sun 23/08 CD Nacional 2.35 0.43 +1.92 +1.22
Mon 31/08 Sporting Braga 0.23 0.83 -0.60 +0.77
Sun 06/09 Casa Pia 2.48 0.21 +2.27 +1.07
Sat 12/09 Académico Viseu FC 2.10 2.06 +0.04 +0.89
Sun 20/09 Moreirense 1.06 0.52 +0.54 +0.84

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.65 npxG and 0.81 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
tied number 13 hardest of 18 in Liga Portugal
−0.08 xG vs league average
Over 7 league matches
Last 5
number 18 hardest of 18 in Liga Portugal
−0.21 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

−0.08 xG vs league average · over 7 matches · tied number 13 hardest of 18

  1. Moreirense Home −0.54
  2. Académico Viseu FC Away −0.07
  3. Casa Pia Home −0.35
  4. Sporting Braga Away +0.15
  5. CD Nacional Home −0.27
  6. Sporting Away +0.55
  7. FC Arouca Home −0.08

Last 5

−0.21 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 18 hardest of 18

  1. Moreirense Home −0.54
  2. Académico Viseu FC Away −0.07
  3. Casa Pia Home −0.35
  4. Sporting Braga Away +0.15
  5. CD Nacional Home −0.27

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

Vitória SC shots and chance quality

High volume, low quality. Vitória SC take 19.1 shots a match (league 12.2) at 0.09 npxG a shot (league 0.10), =1 in Liga Portugal for volume and #12 for quality. 61% of their shots come from inside the box (league 63%), and set pieces produce 21% of their npxG (league 22%).

Attack

Shot volume
19.1 shots per match
=1/18
Shot volume (shots per match) across Liga Portugal, best first
Rank Club shots per match
=1 Benfica 19.1
=1 Vitória SC 19.1
#3 FC Porto 16.0
#4 Gil Vicente 14.0
#5 Sporting 13.4
=6 CF Estrela Amadora 13.1
=6 Santa Clara 13.1
#8 Estoril Praia 12.7
#9 Sporting Braga 12.5
#10 FC Alverca 11.9
#11 FC Arouca 10.9
#12 CD Nacional 10.7
#13 Marítimo 10.4
#14 Casa Pia 10.3
#15 Famalicão 9.6
#16 Académico Viseu FC 9.3
#17 Moreirense 7.3
#18 Rio Ave 7.1
League avg
12.2
Total
134 shots from 7 matches
Chance quality
0.09 npxG per shot
#12/18
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Liga Portugal, best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 Académico Viseu FC 0.15
#2 Sporting 0.14
#3 FC Porto 0.12
#4 Benfica 0.11
#5 FC Alverca 0.11
#6 FC Arouca 0.11
#7 CD Nacional 0.10
#8 Sporting Braga 0.10
#9 Santa Clara 0.10
#10 Famalicão 0.09
#11 CF Estrela Amadora 0.09
#12 Vitória SC 0.09
#13 Marítimo 0.08
#14 Moreirense 0.08
#15 Gil Vicente 0.07
#16 Casa Pia 0.07
#17 Estoril Praia 0.06
#18 Rio Ave 0.06
League avg
0.10
Total
11.57 npxG from 134 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
7.1 shots per match
#1/18
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Liga Portugal, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Vitória SC 7.1
#2 Benfica 7.6
#3 Santa Clara 8.1
#4 Sporting 8.6
#5 Sporting Braga 8.7
#6 Gil Vicente 9.8
#7 FC Porto 10.7
#8 CF Estrela Amadora 11.6
#9 Famalicão 12.0
#10 FC Alverca 12.1
#11 Marítimo 13.4
#12 Estoril Praia 13.9
#13 FC Arouca 14.9
#14 CD Nacional 15.1
=15 Casa Pia 15.7
=15 Moreirense 15.7
#17 Rio Ave 16.9
#18 Académico Viseu FC 17.6
League avg
12.2
Total
50 shots allowed from 7 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.11 npxGA per shot
#16/18
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Liga Portugal, best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 Sporting Braga 0.06
#2 Santa Clara 0.07
#3 Gil Vicente 0.08
#4 Sporting 0.08
#5 FC Porto 0.08
#6 Académico Viseu FC 0.08
#7 Benfica 0.09
#8 Marítimo 0.09
#9 FC Arouca 0.09
#10 Famalicão 0.10
#11 Casa Pia 0.10
#12 Moreirense 0.10
#13 CD Nacional 0.10
#14 Estoril Praia 0.11
#15 Rio Ave 0.11
#16 Vitória SC 0.11
#17 CF Estrela Amadora 0.12
#18 FC Alverca 0.13
League avg
0.10
Total
5.66 npxGA from 50 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

61% inside the box

League avg 63%

From 82 of 134 shots over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

Shots allowed, location

64% allowed inside the box

League avg 63%

From 32 of 50 shots allowed over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG comes from

79% open play · 21% set pieces

League avg 22% set pieces

From 2.4 of 11.5 npxG over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG allowed comes from

92% open play · 8% set pieces

League avg 22% set pieces

From 0.4 of 5.6 npxG allowed over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

How the shot figures are made →

Vitória SC home and away xG

Vitória SC per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 4 3
xG / match 2.23 1.15
xGA / match 0.41 1.26
xGD / match +1.82 -0.11
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 2.54 1.19

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every Vitória SC match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

This season

Matches
7
xG / match
1.77
xGA / match
0.77
xGD / match
+0.99
Points
5 of 21
  1. Sun 20/09 Moreirense H xG 1.07 xGA 0.52 xGD +0.55
  2. Sat 12/09 Académico Viseu FC A xG 2.10 xGA 1.83 xGD +0.27
  3. Sun 06/09 Casa Pia H xG 2.48 xGA 0.21 xGD +2.27
  4. Mon 31/08 Sporting Braga A Weakest underlying xG 0.23 xGA 0.83 xGD -0.60
  5. Sun 23/08 CD Nacional H Best underlying xG 3.14 P xGA 0.42 xGD +2.72
  6. Fri 14/08 Sporting A xG 1.12 xGA 1.12 xGD +0.00
  7. Sat 08/08 FC Arouca H Against the chances xG 2.22 xGA 0.49 xGD +1.73

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.14. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

Vitória SC in Liga Portugal

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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