Everton 3:0 Chelsea: xG & match report · Premier League

Saturday, 21/03/2026 at 18:30

Full time

Match report · Premier League

Everton Home 0.98 xG · 10 shots

Chelsea Away 1.11 xG · 12 shots

30 The chances were evenly matched

Goals

33' Beto Everton · 0.37 xG chance 1–0
62' Beto Everton · 0.09 xG chance 2–0
76' Iliman Ndiaye Everton · 0.07 xG chance 3–0

The shots behind it

Everton Chelsea

Shots: 10; 12
On target: 9; 4
Inside the box: 9; 9
xG per shot: 0.10; 0.09
Open play xG: 0.94; 0.34
Set-piece xG: 0.04; 0.75
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.11 for Chelsea.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

22 shots · 2.07 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Everton
Chelsea
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Everton

1.53 xG created 1.42 xGA

W 1.68 created, 1.97 conceded against Fulham
L 2.91 created, 1.33 conceded against Bournemouth
L 0.29 created, 0.85 conceded against Manchester United
W 2.13 created, 0.97 conceded against Newcastle United
W 1.10 created, 0.79 conceded against Burnley
L 1.05 created, 2.59 conceded against Arsenal

Chelsea

2.43 xG created 1.12 xGA

W 3.16 created, 1.09 conceded against Wolverhampton
D 3.13 created, 1.44 conceded against Leeds United
D 1.88 created, 0.78 conceded against Burnley
L 1.05 created, 1.13 conceded against Arsenal
W 3.92 created, 0.88 conceded against Aston Villa
L 1.43 created, 1.42 conceded against Newcastle United

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Everton: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Chelsea 2:0 Everton 13/12/2025 xG 2.20 – 1.03

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.