xgEdge

Sunday, 24/05/2026 at 17:00

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Match report · Premier League

Nottingham Forest 1:1 Bournemouth

Nottingham Forest Home 1.73 xG · 15 shots
Bournemouth Away 0.95 xG · 17 shots
11 Nottingham Forest had the better chances, but it finished level

Goals

  1. 34' Morgan Gibbs-White Nottingham Forest · 0.08 xG chance 1–0
  2. 54' Marcus Tavernier Bournemouth · 0.12 xG chance 1–1

The shots behind it

Nottingham Forest Bournemouth
Shots
15
17
On target
5
4
Inside the box
10
6
xG per shot
0.13
0.06
Open play xG
0.70
0.78
Set-piece xG
1.19
0.22
Penalties
—
—
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.89 for Nottingham Forest and 1.01 for Bournemouth.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Nottingham Forest · Chris Wood · 32' · No goal · 4 m · 0.55 xG Nottingham Forest · Morgan Gibbs-White · 76' · No goal · 3 m · 0.38 xG Nottingham Forest · Nicolás Domínguez · 79' · No goal · 6 m · 0.21 xG Bournemouth · Ben Gannon-Doak · 60' · No goal · 12 m · 0.17 xG Nottingham Forest · Taiwo Awoniyi · 70' · No goal · 2 m · 0.16 xG Nottingham Forest · Morgan Gibbs-White · 16' · No goal · 15 m · 0.12 xG Bournemouth · Marcus Tavernier · 54' · Goal · 13 m · 0.12 xG Bournemouth · Enes Ünal · 90' · No goal · 25 m · 0.11 xG Nottingham Forest · Ryan Yates · 79' · No goal · 6 m · 0.10 xG Nottingham Forest · Morgan Gibbs-White · 34' · Goal · 23 m · 0.08 xG Nottingham Forest · Igor Jesus · 29' · No goal · 15 m · 0.07 xG Bournemouth · Rayan · 58' · No goal · 21 m · 0.07 xG Bournemouth · Marcus Tavernier · 12' · No goal · 23 m · 0.06 xG Bournemouth · Evanilson · 18' · No goal · 20 m · 0.06 xG Bournemouth · Justin Kluivert · 86' · No goal · 10 m · 0.06 xG Bournemouth · Alex Tóth · 6' · No goal · 16 m · 0.05 xG Bournemouth · Eli Junior Kroupi · 23' · No goal · 13 m · 0.05 xG Nottingham Forest · Igor Jesus · 44' · No goal · 21 m · 0.05 xG Nottingham Forest · Igor Jesus · 4' · No goal · 18 m · 0.04 xG Bournemouth · Eli Junior Kroupi · 21' · No goal · 23 m · 0.04 xG Bournemouth · Eli Junior Kroupi · 28' · No goal · 20 m · 0.04 xG Nottingham Forest · Neco Williams · 45' · No goal · 9 m · 0.04 xG Bournemouth · Ben Gannon-Doak · 64' · No goal · 19 m · 0.04 xG Bournemouth · Eli Junior Kroupi · 20' · No goal · 24 m · 0.03 xG Nottingham Forest · Neco Williams · 32' · No goal · 25 m · 0.03 xG Nottingham Forest · Chris Wood · 45' · No goal · 12 m · 0.03 xG Bournemouth · Marcus Tavernier · 58' · No goal · 25 m · 0.03 xG Bournemouth · Eli Junior Kroupi · 62' · No goal · 12 m · 0.03 xG Bournemouth · Tyler Adams · 10' · No goal · 25 m · 0.02 xG Bournemouth · Eli Junior Kroupi · 22' · No goal · 20 m · 0.02 xG Nottingham Forest · Neco Williams · 45' · No goal · 10 m · 0.02 xG Nottingham Forest · Elliot Anderson · 60' · No goal · 27 m · 0.01 xG

All shots

32 shots · 2.89 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

  • Nottingham Forest
  • Bournemouth
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Nottingham Forest

1.41 xG created 1.71 xGA

  • D 1.15 created, 1.02 conceded against Aston Villa
  • W 1.19 created, 0.36 conceded against Burnley
  • W 1.10 created, 0.70 conceded against Sunderland
  • W 2.05 created, 2.15 conceded against Chelsea
  • D 1.10 created, 1.48 conceded against Newcastle United
  • L 1.88 created, 4.57 conceded against Manchester United
Bournemouth

1.83 xG created 1.40 xGA

  • W 1.19 created, 2.32 conceded against Arsenal
  • W 2.99 created, 1.59 conceded against Newcastle United
  • D 1.65 created, 0.81 conceded against Leeds United
  • W 2.08 created, 0.89 conceded against Crystal Palace
  • W 0.82 created, 1.33 conceded against Fulham
  • D 2.25 created, 1.48 conceded against Manchester City

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Nottingham Forest: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.