xgEdge

Tuesday, 15/09/2026

Every match that finished that day, with what the board claimed about it beforehand.

Matches 10
Opportunities 61
Won / lost 25 / 36
Hit rate 41.0%
Raków Częstochowa – Zagłębie Lubin Ekstraklasa · 2:3 7 opportunities, 4 won
Outcome Odds Model Status
Zagłębie Lubin to win 4.20 Bet365 32.1% Won
Zagłębie Lubin 2+ goals 3.25 Bet365 38.0% Won
Draw 3.75 Bet365 30.3% Lost
Raków Częstochowa at most 1 goal 1.91 Bet365 57.9% Lost
Zagłębie Lubin to score 1.44 Bet365 75.3% Won
Raków Częstochowa not to score 5.00 Bet365 21.8% Lost
Both teams to score 1.75 Bet365 60.7% Won
Rayo Vallecano – Espanyol La Liga · 2:1 7 opportunities, 7 won
Outcome Odds Model Status
Rayo Vallecano to win 2.30 Bet365 50.2% Won
Rayo Vallecano 2+ goals 2.10 Bet365 51.3% Won
Both teams to score 1.75 Bet365 59.0% Won
Over 1.5 goals 1.29 Bet365 79.9% Won
Espanyol at most 1 goal 1.44 Bet365 71.0% Won
Rayo Vallecano to score 1.22 Bet365 83.6% Won
Over 2.5 goals 1.91 Bet365 52.9% Won
Grasshopper Club Zürich – FC Sion Swiss Super League · 2:5 7 opportunities, 1 won
Outcome Odds Model Status
FC Sion at most 1 goal 2.50 Bet365 51.5% Lost
FC Sion not to score 7.00 Bet365 18.1% Lost
Grasshopper Club Zürich to win 3.80 Bet365 31.2% Lost
Under 2.5 goals 2.70 Bet365 41.1% Lost
Draw 3.80 Bet365 28.5% Lost
Under 1.5 goals 6.50 Bet365 16.4% Lost
Grasshopper Club Zürich to score 1.29 Bet365 77.9% Won
AFC Ajax – Willem II Tilburg Eredivisie · 5:1 9 opportunities, 2 won
Outcome Odds Model Status
Willem II Tilburg to win 19.00 Bet365 16.4% Lost
Draw 9.00 Bet365 22.1% Lost
AFC Ajax at most 1 goal 6.00 Bet365 31.0% Lost
AFC Ajax not to score 21.00 Bet365 8.4% Lost
Willem II Tilburg 2+ goals 5.00 Bet365 34.7% Lost
Under 2.5 goals 4.33 Bet365 29.9% Lost
Willem II Tilburg to score 1.73 Bet365 73.1% Won
Both teams to score 1.75 Bet365 68.1% Won
Under 1.5 goals 11.00 Bet365 10.4% Lost
Deportivo Alavés – Valencia La Liga · 0:1 2 opportunities, 0 won
Outcome Odds Model Status
Both teams to score 2.00 Bet365 51.5% Lost
Over 1.5 goals 1.36 Bet365 74.3% Lost
MKS Korona Kielce – Górnik Zabrze Ekstraklasa · 0:2 4 opportunities, 2 won
Outcome Odds Model Status
Draw 3.40 Bet365 32.0% Lost
Under 2.5 goals 1.90 Bet365 53.9% Won
Górnik Zabrze at most 1 goal 1.57 Bet365 64.5% Lost
MKS Korona Kielce at most 1 goal 1.57 Bet365 63.9% Won
Hibernian – Kilmarnock Scottish Premiership · 0:1 5 opportunities, 4 won
Outcome Odds Model Status
Draw 4.75 Bet365 26.5% Lost
Under 2.5 goals 2.63 Bet365 44.3% Won
Hibernian at most 1 goal 2.63 Bet365 43.5% Won
Kilmarnock to win 6.25 Bet365 17.9% Won
Hibernian not to score 8.00 Bet365 13.8% Won
Motherwell – Aberdeen Scottish Premiership · 0:4 6 opportunities, 1 won
Outcome Odds Model Status
Under 2.5 goals 2.10 Bet365 55.5% Lost
Under 1.5 goals 4.33 Bet365 26.3% Lost
Aberdeen at most 1 goal 1.40 Bet365 80.1% Lost
Aberdeen not to score 2.75 Bet365 40.6% Lost
Draw 3.80 Bet365 29.0% Lost
Both teams not to score 2.10 Bet365 49.6% Won
Falkirk FC – Heart of Midlothian Scottish Premiership · 2:1 6 opportunities, 2 won
Outcome Odds Model Status
Heart of Midlothian not to score 5.50 Bet365 26.5% Lost
Heart of Midlothian at most 1 goal 2.00 Bet365 64.8% Won
Under 1.5 goals 4.33 Bet365 29.7% Lost
Under 2.5 goals 2.10 Bet365 60.2% Lost
Draw 3.70 Bet365 33.3% Lost
Falkirk FC to win 4.20 Bet365 28.3% Won
Elche – Real Madrid La Liga · 2:3 8 opportunities, 2 won
Outcome Odds Model Status
Real Madrid not to score 15.00 Bet365 19.6% Lost
Elche to win 11.00 Bet365 25.4% Lost
Real Madrid at most 1 goal 4.33 Bet365 54.3% Lost
Draw 7.00 Bet365 30.2% Lost
Under 1.5 goals 8.00 Bet365 22.0% Lost
Under 2.5 goals 3.40 Bet365 50.0% Lost
Elche 2+ goals 4.00 Bet365 31.0% Won
Elche to score 1.62 Bet365 70.4% Won

A status is derived from the final score by the same function that priced the outcome, only backwards — so it cannot disagree with what the board claimed. A postponed or cancelled match has no winner; its opportunities are voided and do not count towards the hit rate.