Roma 4:0 Fiorentina: xG & match report · Serie A

Monday, 04/05/2026 at 20:45

Full time

Match report · Serie A

Roma Home 2.24 xG · 14 shots

Fiorentina Away 0.14 xG · 4 shots

40 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

13' Gianluca Mancini Roma · 0.39 xG chance 1–0
17' Wesley Roma · 0.12 xG chance 2–0
34' Mario Hermoso Roma · 0.90 xG chance 3–0
58' Niccolò Pisilli Roma · 0.24 xG chance 4–0

The shots behind it

Roma Fiorentina

Shots: 14; 4
On target: 7; 1
Inside the box: 11; 3
xG per shot: 0.15; 0.04
Open play xG: 1.60; 0.08
Set-piece xG: 0.53; 0.07
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 2.13 for Roma and 0.16 for Fiorentina.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

18 shots · 2.28 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Roma
Fiorentina
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Roma

1.23 xG created 1.15 xGA

L 0.86 created, 2.22 conceded against Como
W 0.84 created, 1.08 conceded against Lecce
L 0.96 created, 1.17 conceded against Inter
W 1.53 created, 1.26 conceded against Pisa
D 1.07 created, 0.68 conceded against Atalanta
W 2.13 created, 0.50 conceded against Bologna

Fiorentina

1.35 xG created 1.26 xGA

W 1.79 created, 1.44 conceded against Cremonese
D 2.28 created, 1.32 conceded against Inter
W 0.36 created, 1.30 conceded against Hellas Verona
W 0.61 created, 1.33 conceded against Lazio
D 1.14 created, 1.26 conceded against Lecce
D 1.94 created, 0.88 conceded against Sassuolo

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Roma: 1 won · 0 drawn · 0 lost

Fiorentina 1:2 Roma 05/10/2025 xG 1.10 – 1.35

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.