xgEdge

Expected goals

OFI Crete expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

Super League Greece · after 5 matches · updated 4 Oct

OFI Crete's attacking and defensive expected goals in Super League Greece 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

OFI Crete xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
1.04 xG per match
#9/14
Attack (xG per match) across Super League Greece, best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 Panathinaikos 2.13
#2 AEK Athens 2.02
#3 PAOK 1.85
#4 Olympiacos FC 1.81
#5 Aris Thessaloniki 1.52
#6 AE Kifisia 1.33
#7 PS Kalamata 1.26
#8 Asteras Aktor 1.04
#9 OFI Crete 1.04
#10 NPS Volos 0.93
#11 Atromitos Athens 0.91
#12 Panetolikos 0.89
#13 APO Levadiakos 0.62
#14 Iraklis 1908 0.57
League avg
1.27
Total
5.19 5 matches
Defence
1.18 xGA per match
#5/14
Defence (xGA per match) across Super League Greece, best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 Olympiacos FC 0.56
#2 AE Kifisia 0.70
#3 Panathinaikos 0.81
#4 AEK Athens 0.95
#5 OFI Crete 1.18
#6 PAOK 1.20
#7 Asteras Aktor 1.24
#8 APO Levadiakos 1.41
#9 Iraklis 1908 1.45
#10 Atromitos Athens 1.53
#11 NPS Volos 1.53
#12 PS Kalamata 1.57
#13 Panetolikos 1.59
#14 Aris Thessaloniki 1.81
League avg
1.27
Total
5.89 5 matches
xG difference
-0.14 xGD per match
#6/14
xG difference (xGD per match) across Super League Greece, best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 Panathinaikos +1.31
#2 Olympiacos FC +1.25
#3 AEK Athens +1.07
#4 PAOK +0.65
#5 AE Kifisia +0.63
#6 OFI Crete -0.14
#7 Asteras Aktor -0.20
#8 Aris Thessaloniki -0.28
#9 PS Kalamata -0.31
#10 NPS Volos -0.60
#11 Atromitos Athens -0.62
#12 Panetolikos -0.70
#13 APO Levadiakos -0.79
#14 Iraklis 1908 -0.88
League avg
0.00
Total
-0.70 5 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
1.22 xPts per match
#8/14
Expected points (xPts per match) across Super League Greece, best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 Olympiacos FC 2.25
#2 Panathinaikos 2.17
#3 AEK Athens 1.96
#4 AE Kifisia 1.92
#5 PAOK 1.88
#6 Aris Thessaloniki 1.39
#7 Asteras Aktor 1.22
#8 OFI Crete 1.22
#9 PS Kalamata 1.20
#10 Atromitos Athens 1.02
#11 Panetolikos 1.02
#12 NPS Volos 0.94
#13 APO Levadiakos 0.71
#14 Iraklis 1908 0.65
League avg
1.38
Total
6.11 vs 10 actual pts

Early-season figures: after 5 matches, per-match rates can move quickly.

What the xG says

OFI Crete's underlying numbers sit close to the Super League Greece average. They rank #6 for xG difference at -0.14 per match, from low shot volume at about average chance quality. Their 8 goals are 2.81 above 5.19 xG, while 10 points are 3.89 above 6.11 xPts. After only 5 matches, those gaps should still be read cautiously.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG Includes 0.69 xG from penalties
8 5.19 +2.81 scored 2.81 more than xG outside normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
4 5.89 -1.89 conceded 1.89 fewer than xGA within normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
10 6.11 +3.89 3.89 points above xPts outside normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

OFI Crete are 2.81 goals above their xG after 5 matches.

Goals
8
xG
5.19
Gap
+2.81
Sun 23/08 Sun 30/08 Sun 06/09 Sat 12/09 Sun 20/09 -1 0 +1 +2 +3 +0.60 +0.26 +1.59 +1.72 +2.81 +0.60 -0.34 +1.33 +0.13 +1.09 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
OFI Crete: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Sun 23/08 NPS Volos 2 1.40 +0.60 +0.60
Sun 30/08 Aris Thessaloniki 1 1.34 -0.34 +0.26
Sun 06/09 AE Kifisia 2 0.67 +1.33 +1.59
Sat 12/09 Olympiacos FC 1 0.87 +0.13 +1.72
Sun 20/09 Asteras Aktor 2 0.91 +1.09 +2.81

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking →

OFI Crete xG trend

Current form -0.10 npxGD per match

All 5 matches with xG so far — the window fills at 6.

Out-created the opponent in 2 of 5 matches. The worst was against Olympiacos FC on Sat 12/09 (-0.52).

npxG · last 5
0.90
npxGA · last 5
1.00
-1 0 +1 -0.10 Sun 23/08 +0.40 Sun 30/08 -0.43 Sun 06/09 -0.52 Sat 12/09 +0.14 Sun 20/09 -0.10 season avg
OFI Crete: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Sun 23/08 NPS Volos 0.72 0.82 -0.10 -0.10
Sun 30/08 Aris Thessaloniki 1.36 0.96 +0.40 +0.15
Sun 06/09 AE Kifisia 0.67 1.10 -0.43 -0.04
Sat 12/09 Olympiacos FC 0.87 1.39 -0.52 -0.16
Sun 20/09 Asteras Aktor 0.88 0.74 +0.14 -0.10

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 0.90 npxG and 1.00 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
number 5 hardest of 14 in Super League Greece
+0.08 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

+0.08 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 5 hardest of 14

  1. Asteras Aktor Home −0.20
  2. Olympiacos FC Away +0.80
  3. AE Kifisia Home +0.01
  4. Aris Thessaloniki Away +0.07
  5. NPS Volos Home −0.28

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

OFI Crete shots and chance quality

Low volume, average quality. OFI Crete take 10.8 shots a match (league 12.5) at 0.08 npxG a shot (league 0.09), #11 in Super League Greece for volume and #7 for quality. 63% of their shots come from inside the box (league 64%), and set pieces produce 26% of their npxG (league 23%).

Attack

Shot volume
10.8 shots per match
#11/14
Shot volume (shots per match) across Super League Greece, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Olympiacos FC 19.2
#2 Panathinaikos 18.0
#3 AEK Athens 17.2
#4 Aris Thessaloniki 16.2
#5 PAOK 12.2
=6 Asteras Aktor 11.6
=6 Atromitos Athens 11.6
=6 PS Kalamata 11.6
#9 AE Kifisia 11.5
#10 NPS Volos 11.2
#11 OFI Crete 10.8
#12 APO Levadiakos 9.2
#13 Panetolikos 8.8
#14 Iraklis 1908 7.8
League avg
12.5
Total
54 shots from 5 matches
Chance quality
0.08 npxG per shot
#7/14
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Super League Greece, best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 Panetolikos 0.13
#2 PAOK 0.13
#3 PS Kalamata 0.11
#4 AEK Athens 0.11
#5 AE Kifisia 0.10
#6 Panathinaikos 0.09
#7 OFI Crete 0.08
#8 NPS Volos 0.08
#9 Olympiacos FC 0.08
#10 Asteras Aktor 0.08
#11 Aris Thessaloniki 0.08
#12 Atromitos Athens 0.07
#13 Iraklis 1908 0.07
#14 APO Levadiakos 0.07
League avg
0.09
Total
4.50 npxG from 54 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
14.0 shots per match
#11/14
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Super League Greece, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 AE Kifisia 8.3
#2 Panathinaikos 8.7
#3 Olympiacos FC 9.0
#4 AEK Athens 10.6
#5 Aris Thessaloniki 11.4
#6 NPS Volos 12.4
#7 Asteras Aktor 12.6
#8 APO Levadiakos 13.0
#9 PAOK 13.2
#10 Atromitos Athens 13.6
#11 OFI Crete 14.0
#12 Panetolikos 14.5
#13 PS Kalamata 14.8
#14 Iraklis 1908 17.6
League avg
12.5
Total
70 shots allowed from 5 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.07 npxGA per shot
#2/14
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Super League Greece, best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 Olympiacos FC 0.06
#2 OFI Crete 0.07
#3 Iraklis 1908 0.07
#4 PAOK 0.07
#5 AE Kifisia 0.09
#6 Panetolikos 0.09
#7 NPS Volos 0.09
#8 Atromitos Athens 0.09
#9 AEK Athens 0.09
#10 PS Kalamata 0.10
#11 Asteras Aktor 0.10
#12 APO Levadiakos 0.10
#13 Panathinaikos 0.13
#14 Aris Thessaloniki 0.15
League avg
0.09
Total
5.01 npxGA from 70 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

63% inside the box

League avg 64%

From 34 of 54 shots over 5 matches

Early-season figure: after 5 matches, the share can move quickly.

Shots allowed, location

61% allowed inside the box

League avg 64%

From 43 of 70 shots allowed over 5 matches

Early-season figure: after 5 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG comes from

74% open play · 26% set pieces

League avg 23% set pieces

From 1.1 of 4.4 npxG over 5 matches

Early-season figure: after 5 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG allowed comes from

76% open play · 24% set pieces

League avg 23% set pieces

From 1.2 of 4.9 npxG allowed over 5 matches

Early-season figure: after 5 matches, the share can move quickly.

How the shot figures are made →

OFI Crete home and away xG

OFI Crete per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away only 2 matches with xG
Matches 3 2
xG / match 0.99 1.11
xGA / match 0.92 1.57
xGD / match +0.08 -0.47
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 1.39 0.97

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every OFI Crete match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

At home this season

Matches
3
xG / match
0.99
xGA / match
0.92
xGD / match
+0.08
Points
7 of 9
  1. Sun 20/09 Asteras Aktor H xG 0.91 xGA 0.74 xGD +0.17
  2. Sun 06/09 AE Kifisia H xG 0.67 xGA 1.10 xGD -0.43
  3. Sun 23/08 NPS Volos H xG 1.40 P xGA 0.91 xGD +0.49

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.00. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

OFI Crete in Super League Greece

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

Mind if we count your visit?

We use Google Analytics only to see how many people visit and which pages they read. It loads after you allow it — no ads, no tracking across other sites. What we collect