Expected goals
Antalyaspor expected goals (xG) 2025/2026
Süper Lig · after 34 matches · updated 1 Oct
Antalyaspor's attacking and defensive expected goals in Süper Lig 2025/2026, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.
Antalyaspor xG and xGA per match
Every match ↓| Rank | Club | xG per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Galatasaray | 2.00 |
| #2 | Beşiktaş | 1.90 |
| #3 | Fenerbahçe | 1.90 |
| #4 | Başakşehir FK | 1.59 |
| #5 | Trabzonspor | 1.47 |
| #6 | Göztepe | 1.39 |
| #7 | Çaykur Rizespor | 1.33 |
| #8 | Gaziantep FK | 1.31 |
| #9 | Konyaspor | 1.31 |
| #10 | Samsunspor | 1.29 |
| #11 | Kayserispor | 1.12 |
| #12 | Gençlerbirliği | 1.03 |
| #13 | Alanyaspor | 1.03 |
| #14 | Eyüpspor | 1.01 |
| #15 | Fatih Karagümrük | 1.01 |
| #16 | Kocaelispor | 0.90 |
| #17 | Kasımpaşa | 0.89 |
| #18 | Antalyaspor | 0.81 |
- League avg
- 1.29
- Total
- 27.49 34 matches
| Rank | Club | xGA per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Fenerbahçe | 0.88 |
| #2 | Galatasaray | 0.96 |
| #3 | Kocaelispor | 0.98 |
| #4 | Göztepe | 1.07 |
| #5 | Beşiktaş | 1.11 |
| #6 | Samsunspor | 1.19 |
| #7 | Başakşehir FK | 1.25 |
| #8 | Trabzonspor | 1.29 |
| #9 | Alanyaspor | 1.30 |
| #10 | Kasımpaşa | 1.31 |
| #11 | Çaykur Rizespor | 1.34 |
| #12 | Fatih Karagümrük | 1.44 |
| #13 | Konyaspor | 1.45 |
| #14 | Gaziantep FK | 1.49 |
| #15 | Gençlerbirliği | 1.51 |
| #16 | Kayserispor | 1.52 |
| #17 | Eyüpspor | 1.55 |
| #18 | Antalyaspor | 1.64 |
- League avg
- 1.29
- Total
- 55.85 34 matches
| Rank | Club | xGD per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Galatasaray | +1.04 |
| #2 | Fenerbahçe | +1.02 |
| #3 | Beşiktaş | +0.79 |
| #4 | Başakşehir FK | +0.35 |
| #5 | Göztepe | +0.32 |
| #6 | Trabzonspor | +0.18 |
| #7 | Samsunspor | +0.10 |
| #8 | Çaykur Rizespor | -0.01 |
| #9 | Kocaelispor | -0.09 |
| #10 | Konyaspor | -0.15 |
| #11 | Gaziantep FK | -0.18 |
| #12 | Alanyaspor | -0.27 |
| #13 | Kayserispor | -0.40 |
| #14 | Kasımpaşa | -0.42 |
| #15 | Fatih Karagümrük | -0.43 |
| #16 | Gençlerbirliği | -0.48 |
| #17 | Eyüpspor | -0.55 |
| #18 | Antalyaspor | -0.83 |
- League avg
- 0.00
- Total
- -28.36 34 matches
| Rank | Club | xPts per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Fenerbahçe | 2.03 |
| #2 | Galatasaray | 1.97 |
| #3 | Beşiktaş | 1.92 |
| #4 | Göztepe | 1.62 |
| #5 | Başakşehir FK | 1.60 |
| #6 | Trabzonspor | 1.51 |
| #7 | Samsunspor | 1.47 |
| #8 | Çaykur Rizespor | 1.37 |
| #9 | Konyaspor | 1.29 |
| #10 | Kocaelispor | 1.28 |
| #11 | Gaziantep FK | 1.26 |
| #12 | Alanyaspor | 1.25 |
| #13 | Kayserispor | 1.12 |
| #14 | Fatih Karagümrük | 1.11 |
| #15 | Kasımpaşa | 1.07 |
| #16 | Gençlerbirliği | 1.05 |
| #17 | Eyüpspor | 1.02 |
| #18 | Antalyaspor | 0.82 |
- League avg
- 1.38
- Total
- 27.99 vs 32 actual pts
What the xG says
Antalyaspor's underlying numbers are among the weakest in Süper Lig. They rank #18 for xG difference at -0.83 per match, from low shot volume at about average chance quality. Their 33 goals are 5.51 above 27.49 xG, while 32 points are 4.01 above 27.99 xPts.
Actual vs expected
Select a row to chart it across the season.
Goals minus xG, match by match
Antalyaspor are 5.51 goals above their xG after 34 matches. The gap was widest at +6.31, against Beşiktaş on Fri 10/04.
- Goals
- 33
- xG
- 27.49
- Gap
- +5.51
- This match
- Match gap
- Running gap
| Date | Opponent | Goals | xG | Match gap | Running gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 09/08 | Kasımpaşa | 2 | 1.66 | +0.34 | +0.34 |
| Sun 17/08 | Gençlerbirliği | 1 | 0.64 | +0.36 | +0.70 |
| Sun 24/08 | Trabzonspor | 0 | 0.76 | -0.76 | -0.06 |
| Sat 30/08 | Fatih Karagümrük | 1 | 0.91 | +0.09 | +0.03 |
| Sat 13/09 | Samsunspor | 2 | 0.92 | +1.08 | +1.11 |
| Sat 20/09 | Kayserispor | 1 | 0.63 | +0.37 | +1.48 |
| Sun 28/09 | Fenerbahçe | 0 | 0.24 | -0.24 | +1.24 |
| Fri 03/10 | Çaykur Rizespor | 2 | 1.04 | +0.96 | +2.20 |
| Sun 19/10 | Gaziantep FK | 2 | 0.44 | +1.56 | +3.76 |
| Sun 26/10 | Başakşehir FK | 0 | 0.98 | -0.98 | +2.78 |
| Mon 03/11 | Eyüpspor | 1 | 0.90 | +0.10 | +2.88 |
| Sat 08/11 | Beşiktaş | 1 | 0.60 | +0.40 | +3.28 |
| Mon 24/11 | Konyaspor | 0 | 0.64 | -0.64 | +2.64 |
| Sun 30/11 | Göztepe | 1 | 0.38 | +0.62 | +3.26 |
| Mon 08/12 | Alanyaspor | 0 | 0.30 | -0.30 | +2.96 |
| Sat 13/12 | Galatasaray | 1 | 1.25 | -0.25 | +2.71 |
| Fri 19/12 | Kocaelispor | 1 | 0.40 | +0.60 | +3.31 |
| Sun 18/01 | Kasımpaşa | 0 | 0.76 | -0.76 | +2.55 |
| Sun 25/01 | Gençlerbirliği | 2 | 1.15 | +0.85 | +3.40 |
| Fri 30/01 | Trabzonspor | 1 | 0.61 | +0.39 | +3.79 |
| Sat 07/02 | Fatih Karagümrük | 0 | 0.39 | -0.39 | +3.40 |
| Fri 13/02 | Samsunspor | 3 | 0.99 | +2.01 | +5.41 |
| Sun 22/02 | Kayserispor | 0 | 0.96 | -0.96 | +4.45 |
| Sun 01/03 | Fenerbahçe | 2 | 0.87 | +1.13 | +5.58 |
| Sun 08/03 | Çaykur Rizespor | 0 | 0.60 | -0.60 | +4.98 |
| Fri 13/03 | Gaziantep FK | 1 | 0.52 | +0.48 | +5.46 |
| Wed 18/03 | Başakşehir FK | 0 | 1.13 | -1.13 | +4.33 |
| Sun 05/04 | Eyüpspor | 3 | 2.47 | +0.53 | +4.86 |
| Fri 10/04 | Beşiktaş | 2 | 0.55 | +1.45 | +6.31 |
| Fri 17/04 | Konyaspor | 0 | 1.01 | -1.01 | +5.30 |
| Sat 25/04 | Göztepe | 0 | 0.91 | -0.91 | +4.39 |
| Sun 03/05 | Alanyaspor | 0 | 0.15 | -0.15 | +4.24 |
| Sat 09/05 | Galatasaray | 2 | 0.38 | +1.62 | +5.86 |
| Sun 17/05 | Kocaelispor | 1 | 1.35 | -0.35 | +5.51 |
Antalyaspor xG trend
Current form -1.36 npxGD per match
The last 6 matches with xG.
Out-created the opponent in 5 of 34 matches. The worst was against Galatasaray on Sat 09/05 (-3.02).
- npxG · last 6
- 0.73
- npxGA · last 6
- 2.08
- npxG
- npxGA
- npxGD
- Avg so far
| Date | Opponent | npxG | npxGA | npxGD | Avg so far |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 09/08 | Kasımpaşa | 1.74 | 0.68 | +1.06 | +1.06 |
| Sun 17/08 | Gençlerbirliği | 0.65 | 1.14 | -0.49 | +0.29 |
| Sun 24/08 | Trabzonspor | 0.63 | 1.83 | -1.20 | -0.21 |
| Sat 30/08 | Fatih Karagümrük | 0.80 | 1.54 | -0.74 | -0.34 |
| Sat 13/09 | Samsunspor | 1.13 | 0.91 | +0.22 | -0.23 |
| Sat 20/09 | Kayserispor | 0.80 | 0.80 | +0.00 | -0.19 |
| Sun 28/09 | Fenerbahçe | 0.24 | 1.91 | -1.67 | -0.40 |
| Fri 03/10 | Çaykur Rizespor | 0.95 | 1.90 | -0.95 | -0.47 |
| Sun 19/10 | Gaziantep FK | 0.44 | 1.79 | -1.35 | -0.57 |
| Sun 26/10 | Başakşehir FK | 0.98 | 3.08 | -2.10 | -0.72 |
| Mon 03/11 | Eyüpspor | 0.90 | 1.70 | -0.80 | -0.73 |
| Sat 08/11 | Beşiktaş | 0.60 | 1.49 | -0.89 | -0.74 |
| Mon 24/11 | Konyaspor | 0.64 | 0.97 | -0.33 | -0.71 |
| Sun 30/11 | Göztepe | 0.38 | 0.91 | -0.53 | -0.70 |
| Mon 08/12 | Alanyaspor | 0.30 | 0.66 | -0.36 | -0.68 |
| Sat 13/12 | Galatasaray | 1.28 | 1.43 | -0.15 | -0.64 |
| Fri 19/12 | Kocaelispor | 0.40 | 0.76 | -0.36 | -0.63 |
| Sun 18/01 | Kasımpaşa | 0.86 | 1.17 | -0.31 | -0.61 |
| Sun 25/01 | Gençlerbirliği | 1.15 | 0.91 | +0.24 | -0.56 |
| Fri 30/01 | Trabzonspor | 0.61 | 1.96 | -1.35 | -0.60 |
| Sat 07/02 | Fatih Karagümrük | 0.39 | 2.06 | -1.67 | -0.65 |
| Fri 13/02 | Samsunspor | 1.01 | 1.20 | -0.19 | -0.63 |
| Sun 22/02 | Kayserispor | 0.97 | 1.23 | -0.26 | -0.62 |
| Sun 01/03 | Fenerbahçe | 0.99 | 1.79 | -0.80 | -0.62 |
| Sun 08/03 | Çaykur Rizespor | 0.60 | 1.45 | -0.85 | -0.63 |
| Fri 13/03 | Gaziantep FK | 0.53 | 2.82 | -2.29 | -0.70 |
| Wed 18/03 | Başakşehir FK | 1.13 | 1.41 | -0.28 | -0.68 |
| Sun 05/04 | Eyüpspor | 2.49 | 0.34 | +2.15 | -0.58 |
| Fri 10/04 | Beşiktaş | 0.54 | 3.36 | -2.82 | -0.66 |
| Fri 17/04 | Konyaspor | 1.03 | 1.81 | -0.78 | -0.66 |
| Sat 25/04 | Göztepe | 0.91 | 2.67 | -1.76 | -0.70 |
| Sun 03/05 | Alanyaspor | 0.15 | 0.94 | -0.79 | -0.70 |
| Sat 09/05 | Galatasaray | 0.37 | 3.39 | -3.02 | -0.77 |
| Sun 17/05 | Kocaelispor | 1.36 | 0.33 | +1.03 | -0.72 |
Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 0.82 npxG and 1.54 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.
Strength of schedule
- Season so far
- tied number 2 hardest of 18 in Süper Lig
- +0.02 xG vs league average
- Over 34 league matches
- Last 5
- number 3 hardest of 18 in Süper Lig
- +0.10 xG vs league average
- Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures
Season so far
+0.02 xG vs league average · over 34 matches · tied number 2 hardest of 18
- Kocaelispor Home −0.12
- Galatasaray Away +0.52
- Alanyaspor Home −0.11
- Göztepe Away +0.25
- Konyaspor Home −0.05
- Beşiktaş Away +0.39
- Eyüpspor Home −0.45
- Başakşehir FK Away +0.27
- Gaziantep FK Home −0.16
- Çaykur Rizespor Away +0.04
- Fenerbahçe Home +0.43
- Kayserispor Away −0.09
- Samsunspor Home +0.02
- Fatih Karagümrük Away −0.21
- Trabzonspor Home +0.12
- Gençlerbirliği Home −0.23
- Kasımpaşa Away −0.26
- Kocaelispor Away −0.12
- Galatasaray Home +0.52
- Alanyaspor Away −0.11
- Göztepe Home +0.25
- Konyaspor Away −0.05
- Beşiktaş Home +0.39
- Eyüpspor Away −0.45
- Başakşehir FK Home +0.27
- Gaziantep FK Away −0.16
- Çaykur Rizespor Home +0.04
- Fenerbahçe Away +0.43
- Kayserispor Home −0.09
- Samsunspor Away +0.02
- Fatih Karagümrük Home −0.21
- Trabzonspor Away +0.12
- Gençlerbirliği Away −0.23
- Kasımpaşa Home −0.26
Last 5
+0.10 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 3 hardest of 18
- Kocaelispor Home −0.12
- Galatasaray Away +0.52
- Alanyaspor Home −0.11
- Göztepe Away +0.25
- Konyaspor Home −0.05
Antalyaspor shots and chance quality
Low volume, average quality. Antalyaspor take 9.7 shots a match (league 12.8) at 0.08 npxG a shot (league 0.09), #17 in Süper Lig for volume and #14 for quality. 64% of their shots come from inside the box (league 62%).
Attack
| Rank | Club | shots per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Fenerbahçe | 17.1 |
| #2 | Beşiktaş | 16.9 |
| #3 | Galatasaray | 16.4 |
| #4 | Trabzonspor | 14.9 |
| #5 | Göztepe | 14.2 |
| #6 | Başakşehir FK | 13.5 |
| #7 | Gaziantep FK | 13.1 |
| #8 | Konyaspor | 13.1 |
| #9 | Çaykur Rizespor | 13.0 |
| #10 | Samsunspor | 12.9 |
| #11 | Alanyaspor | 12.4 |
| #12 | Kayserispor | 12.4 |
| #13 | Gençlerbirliği | 10.7 |
| #14 | Fatih Karagümrük | 10.4 |
| #15 | Eyüpspor | 10.4 |
| #16 | Kocaelispor | 10.1 |
| #17 | Antalyaspor | 9.7 |
| #18 | Kasımpaşa | 9.6 |
- League avg
- 12.8
- Total
- 329 shots from 34 matches
| Rank | Club | npxG per shot |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Galatasaray | 0.12 |
| #2 | Başakşehir FK | 0.11 |
| #3 | Beşiktaş | 0.10 |
| #4 | Fenerbahçe | 0.10 |
| #5 | Çaykur Rizespor | 0.10 |
| #6 | Samsunspor | 0.10 |
| #7 | Göztepe | 0.10 |
| #8 | Konyaspor | 0.09 |
| #9 | Eyüpspor | 0.09 |
| #10 | Kayserispor | 0.09 |
| #11 | Trabzonspor | 0.09 |
| #12 | Gaziantep FK | 0.09 |
| #13 | Fatih Karagümrük | 0.09 |
| #14 | Antalyaspor | 0.08 |
| #15 | Gençlerbirliği | 0.08 |
| #16 | Kasımpaşa | 0.08 |
| #17 | Kocaelispor | 0.08 |
| #18 | Alanyaspor | 0.07 |
- League avg
- 0.09
- Total
- 27.95 npxG from 329 shots
Defence
| Rank | Club | shots per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Galatasaray | 10.1 |
| #2 | Fenerbahçe | 10.4 |
| #3 | Alanyaspor | 11.1 |
| #4 | Kocaelispor | 11.3 |
| #5 | Kasımpaşa | 12.0 |
| #6 | Beşiktaş | 12.3 |
| #7 | Samsunspor | 12.4 |
| #8 | Göztepe | 12.4 |
| #9 | Başakşehir FK | 12.6 |
| #10 | Konyaspor | 13.0 |
| #11 | Trabzonspor | 13.7 |
| #12 | Fatih Karagümrük | 13.8 |
| #13 | Antalyaspor | 14.0 |
| #14 | Çaykur Rizespor | 14.1 |
| #15 | Gaziantep FK | 14.2 |
| #16 | Eyüpspor | 14.3 |
| #17 | Gençlerbirliği | 14.3 |
| #18 | Kayserispor | 14.5 |
- League avg
- 12.8
- Total
- 476 shots allowed from 34 matches
| Rank | Club | npxGA per shot |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Kocaelispor | 0.08 |
| #2 | Göztepe | 0.08 |
| #3 | Fenerbahçe | 0.08 |
| #4 | Beşiktaş | 0.08 |
| #5 | Çaykur Rizespor | 0.08 |
| #6 | Samsunspor | 0.09 |
| #7 | Kayserispor | 0.09 |
| #8 | Trabzonspor | 0.09 |
| #9 | Başakşehir FK | 0.09 |
| #10 | Galatasaray | 0.10 |
| #11 | Fatih Karagümrük | 0.10 |
| #12 | Eyüpspor | 0.10 |
| #13 | Gaziantep FK | 0.10 |
| #14 | Gençlerbirliği | 0.10 |
| #15 | Konyaspor | 0.10 |
| #16 | Kasımpaşa | 0.10 |
| #17 | Alanyaspor | 0.11 |
| #18 | Antalyaspor | 0.11 |
- League avg
- 0.09
- Total
- 52.34 npxGA from 476 shots
Shot profile
64% inside the box
League avg 62%
From 212 of 329 shots over 34 matches
66% allowed inside the box
League avg 62%
From 313 of 476 shots allowed over 34 matches
Antalyaspor home and away xG
| Measure | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 17 | 17 |
| xG / match | 0.97 | 0.64 |
| xGA / match | 1.42 | 1.86 |
| xGD / match | -0.45 | -1.22 |
| xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → | 1.04 | 0.61 |
Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.
Every Antalyaspor match by xG
Last 10
- Matches
- 10
- xG / match
- 0.91
- xGA / match
- 1.96
- xGD / match
- -1.05
- Points
- 8 of 30
- Sun 17/05 Kocaelispor H xG 1.35 xGA 0.33 xGD +1.02 xPts 2.29
- Sat 09/05 Galatasaray A Weakest underlying xG 0.38 xGA 4.18 P xGD -3.80 xPts 0.03
- Sun 03/05 Alanyaspor H xG 0.15 xGA 0.94 xGD -0.79 xPts 0.49
- Sat 25/04 Göztepe A xG 0.91 xGA 2.44 xGD -1.53 xPts 0.41
- Fri 17/04 Konyaspor H xG 1.01 xGA 1.81 xGD -0.80 xPts 0.77
- Fri 10/04 Beşiktaş A xG 0.55 xGA 3.26 xGD -2.71 xPts 0.11
- Sun 05/04 Eyüpspor H Best underlying xG 2.47 xGA 0.32 xGD +2.15 xPts 2.76
- Wed 18/03 Başakşehir FK A xG 1.13 xGA 1.41 xGD -0.28 xPts 1.12
- Fri 13/03 Gaziantep FK H xG 0.52 xGA 2.73 xGD -2.21 xPts 0.17
- Sun 08/03 Çaykur Rizespor A xG 0.60 xGA 2.16 P xGD -1.56 xPts 0.34
Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 4.18. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.
Antalyaspor in Süper Lig
Attack
- xG / match #18 of 18
- Shots / match #17 of 18
- Chance quality #14 of 18
- Home xG #18 of 18
- Away xG #18 of 18
Defence
- xGA / match #18 of 18
- Shots allowed #13 of 18
- Chance quality allowed #18 of 18
About the data
- xG data
- Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
- Derived metrics
- xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
- Model metrics
- xPts is produced by our probability model.