xgEdge

Expected goals

Sepsi OSK expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

SuperLiga (Romania) · after 10 matches · updated 1 Oct

Sepsi OSK's attacking and defensive expected goals in SuperLiga (Romania) 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

Sepsi OSK xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
1.19 xG per match
#14/16
Attack (xG per match) across SuperLiga (Romania), best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 Universitatea Craiova 2.45
#2 FCSB 2.18
#3 FC Dinamo București 2.17
#4 CFR 1907 Cluj 1.99
#5 FC Botoșani 1.99
#6 FC Universitatea Cluj 1.98
#7 UTA Arad 1.87
#8 FC Rapid București 1.79
#9 FC Farul Constanța 1.63
#10 FC Corvinul Hunedoara 1.61
#11 FC Voluntari 1.53
#12 FC Petrolul Ploieşti 1.34
#13 SC Oțelul Galați 1.33
#14 Sepsi OSK 1.19
#15 FC Argeș Pitești 1.18
#16 FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc 0.74
League avg
1.69
Total
11.91 10 matches
Defence
1.73 xGA per match
#10/16
Defence (xGA per match) across SuperLiga (Romania), best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 Universitatea Craiova 1.11
#2 FC Rapid București 1.12
#3 FC Dinamo București 1.15
#4 FC Argeș Pitești 1.21
#5 UTA Arad 1.24
#6 FC Corvinul Hunedoara 1.49
#7 FC Farul Constanța 1.68
#8 FC Universitatea Cluj 1.70
#9 FCSB 1.70
#10 Sepsi OSK 1.73
#11 SC Oțelul Galați 1.78
#12 FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc 1.95
#13 CFR 1907 Cluj 2.04
#14 FC Botoșani 2.10
#15 FC Petrolul Ploieşti 2.38
#16 FC Voluntari 2.61
League avg
1.69
Total
17.28 10 matches
xG difference
-0.54 xGD per match
#13/16
xG difference (xGD per match) across SuperLiga (Romania), best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 Universitatea Craiova +1.34
#2 FC Dinamo București +1.02
#3 FC Rapid București +0.67
#4 UTA Arad +0.63
#5 FCSB +0.48
#6 FC Universitatea Cluj +0.28
#7 FC Corvinul Hunedoara +0.11
#8 FC Argeș Pitești -0.03
#9 CFR 1907 Cluj -0.05
#10 FC Farul Constanța -0.05
#11 FC Botoșani -0.11
#12 SC Oțelul Galați -0.45
#13 Sepsi OSK -0.54
#14 FC Petrolul Ploieşti -1.04
#15 FC Voluntari -1.08
#16 FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc -1.22
League avg
0.00
Total
-5.37 10 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
1.10 xPts per match
#12/16
Expected points (xPts per match) across SuperLiga (Romania), best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 FC Dinamo București 2.04
#2 Universitatea Craiova 2.03
#3 FC Rapid București 1.78
#4 UTA Arad 1.78
#5 FCSB 1.59
#6 FC Universitatea Cluj 1.55
#7 FC Farul Constanța 1.45
#8 CFR 1907 Cluj 1.43
#9 FC Corvinul Hunedoara 1.39
#10 FC Argeș Pitești 1.37
#11 FC Botoșani 1.34
#12 Sepsi OSK 1.10
#13 SC Oțelul Galați 1.09
#14 FC Petrolul Ploieşti 1.06
#15 FC Voluntari 0.81
#16 FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc 0.55
League avg
1.40
Total
11.05 vs 13 actual pts

What the xG says

Sepsi OSK's underlying numbers are among the weakest in SuperLiga (Romania). They rank #13 for xG difference at -0.54 per match, from low shot volume at about average chance quality. Their 7 goals are 4.91 below 11.91 xG, while 13 points are 1.95 above 11.05 xPts.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG
7 11.91 -4.91 scored 4.91 fewer than xG outside normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
10 17.28 -7.28 conceded 7.28 fewer than xGA outside normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
13 11.05 +1.95 1.95 points above xPts within normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

Sepsi OSK are 4.91 goals below their xG after 10 matches.

Goals
7
xG
11.91
Gap
-4.91
Mon 20/07 Sun 26/07 Sun 02/08 Mon 10/08 Sat 15/08 Sun 23/08 Sat 29/08 Sat 05/09 Sat 12/09 Fri 18/09 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 +1 -0.14 -0.93 -0.79 -2.10 -3.41 -3.94 -3.59 -4.78 -4.19 -4.91 -0.14 -0.79 +0.14 -1.31 -1.31 -0.53 +0.35 -1.19 +0.59 -0.72 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
Sepsi OSK: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Mon 20/07 FC Rapid București 0 0.14 -0.14 -0.14
Sun 26/07 FC Universitatea Cluj 1 1.79 -0.79 -0.93
Sun 02/08 FC Corvinul Hunedoara 1 0.86 +0.14 -0.79
Mon 10/08 FCSB 0 1.31 -1.31 -2.10
Sat 15/08 FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc 0 1.31 -1.31 -3.41
Sun 23/08 FC Farul Constanța 1 1.53 -0.53 -3.94
Sat 29/08 FC Argeș Pitești 1 0.65 +0.35 -3.59
Sat 05/09 FC Botoșani 0 1.19 -1.19 -4.78
Sat 12/09 CFR 1907 Cluj 3 2.41 +0.59 -4.19
Fri 18/09 UTA Arad 0 0.72 -0.72 -4.91

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking → Compare with every club in Europe →

Sepsi OSK xG trend

Current form -0.56 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 4 of 10 matches. The worst was against FC Botoșani on Sat 05/09 (-2.60).

npxG · last 6
1.30
npxGA · last 6
1.87
-3 -2 -1 0 +1 -2.11 Mon 20/07 +0.57 Sun 26/07 -1.04 Sun 02/08 +0.59 Mon 10/08 -0.03 Sat 15/08 +0.81 Sun 23/08 -0.30 Sat 29/08 -2.60 Sat 05/09 +0.52 Sat 12/09 -1.78 Fri 18/09 -0.54 season avg
Sepsi OSK: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Mon 20/07 FC Rapid București 0.14 2.25 -2.11 -2.11
Sun 26/07 FC Universitatea Cluj 1.79 1.22 +0.57 -0.77
Sun 02/08 FC Corvinul Hunedoara 0.86 1.90 -1.04 -0.86
Mon 10/08 FCSB 1.31 0.72 +0.59 -0.50
Sat 15/08 FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc 1.31 1.34 -0.03 -0.40
Sun 23/08 FC Farul Constanța 1.53 0.72 +0.81 -0.20
Sat 29/08 FC Argeș Pitești 0.65 0.95 -0.30 -0.22
Sat 05/09 FC Botoșani 1.19 3.79 -2.60 -0.51
Sat 12/09 CFR 1907 Cluj 2.41 1.89 +0.52 -0.40
Fri 18/09 UTA Arad 0.72 2.50 -1.78 -0.54

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.19 npxG and 1.73 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
tied number 5 hardest of 16 in SuperLiga (Romania)
+0.01 xG vs league average
Over 10 league matches
Last 5
number 10 hardest of 16 in SuperLiga (Romania)
−0.02 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

+0.01 xG vs league average · over 10 matches · tied number 5 hardest of 16

  1. UTA Arad Away +0.18
  2. CFR 1907 Cluj Home +0.13
  3. FC Botoșani Away −0.20
  4. FC Argeș Pitești Away −0.15
  5. FC Farul Constanța Home −0.05
  6. FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc Away −0.69
  7. FCSB Home +0.29
  8. FC Corvinul Hunedoara Away +0.06
  9. FC Universitatea Cluj Home +0.20
  10. FC Rapid București Away +0.35

Last 5

−0.02 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 10 hardest of 16

  1. UTA Arad Away +0.18
  2. CFR 1907 Cluj Home +0.13
  3. FC Botoșani Away −0.20
  4. FC Argeș Pitești Away −0.15
  5. FC Farul Constanța Home −0.05

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

Sepsi OSK shots and chance quality

Low volume, average quality. Sepsi OSK take 11.3 shots a match (league 14.5) at 0.11 npxG a shot (league 0.12), #15 in SuperLiga (Romania) for volume and #11 for quality. 55% of their shots come from inside the box (league 60%).

Attack

Shot volume
11.3 shots per match
#15/16
Shot volume (shots per match) across SuperLiga (Romania), best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Universitatea Craiova 19.2
#2 FC Dinamo București 17.7
#3 UTA Arad 17.4
#4 FCSB 17.2
#5 FC Rapid București 17.1
#6 FC Universitatea Cluj 15.2
#7 CFR 1907 Cluj 15.0
#8 FC Corvinul Hunedoara 14.8
#9 FC Farul Constanța 14.6
#10 FC Petrolul Ploieşti 13.2
#11 FC Argeș Pitești 13.1
#12 FC Botoșani 13.1
#13 FC Voluntari 12.9
#14 SC Oțelul Galați 12.7
#15 Sepsi OSK 11.3
#16 FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc 8.3
League avg
14.5
Total
113 shots from 10 matches
Chance quality
0.11 npxG per shot
#11/16
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across SuperLiga (Romania), best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 FC Botoșani 0.15
#2 CFR 1907 Cluj 0.13
#3 FC Universitatea Cluj 0.13
#4 Universitatea Craiova 0.13
#5 FCSB 0.13
#6 FC Dinamo București 0.12
#7 FC Voluntari 0.12
#8 FC Farul Constanța 0.11
#9 FC Corvinul Hunedoara 0.11
#10 UTA Arad 0.11
#11 Sepsi OSK 0.11
#12 SC Oțelul Galați 0.11
#13 FC Rapid București 0.10
#14 FC Petrolul Ploieşti 0.10
#15 FC Argeș Pitești 0.09
#16 FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc 0.09
League avg
0.12
Total
11.91 npxG from 113 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
16.9 shots per match
#14/16
Shots allowed (shots per match) across SuperLiga (Romania), best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 FC Dinamo București 10.4
#2 Universitatea Craiova 10.7
#3 UTA Arad 11.0
#4 FC Argeș Pitești 11.5
#5 FC Rapid București 12.8
#6 FC Farul Constanța 13.6
#7 CFR 1907 Cluj 14.3
#8 FC Universitatea Cluj 14.6
#9 FCSB 14.6
#10 SC Oțelul Galați 15.8
#11 FC Botoșani 15.9
#12 FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc 16.3
#13 FC Corvinul Hunedoara 16.6
#14 Sepsi OSK 16.9
#15 FC Petrolul Ploieşti 18.4
#16 FC Voluntari 18.8
League avg
14.5
Total
169 shots allowed from 10 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.10 npxGA per shot
#3/16
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across SuperLiga (Romania), best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 FC Rapid București 0.09
#2 FC Corvinul Hunedoara 0.09
#3 Sepsi OSK 0.10
#4 Universitatea Craiova 0.10
#5 FC Argeș Pitești 0.11
#6 FC Dinamo București 0.11
#7 SC Oțelul Galați 0.11
#8 UTA Arad 0.11
#9 FCSB 0.12
#10 FC Universitatea Cluj 0.12
#11 FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc 0.12
#12 FC Farul Constanța 0.12
#13 FC Petrolul Ploieşti 0.13
#14 FC Botoșani 0.13
#15 FC Voluntari 0.14
#16 CFR 1907 Cluj 0.14
League avg
0.12
Total
17.28 npxGA from 169 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

55% inside the box

League avg 60%

From 62 of 113 shots over 10 matches

Shots allowed, location

53% allowed inside the box

League avg 60%

From 89 of 169 shots allowed over 10 matches

How the shot figures are made →

Sepsi OSK home and away xG

Sepsi OSK per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 4 6
xG / match 1.76 0.81
xGA / match 1.14 2.12
xGD / match +0.62 -1.31
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 1.87 0.60

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every Sepsi OSK match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

This season

Matches
10
xG / match
1.19
xGA / match
1.73
xGD / match
-0.54
Points
13 of 30
  1. Fri 18/09 UTA Arad A xG 0.72 xGA 2.50 xGD -1.78
  2. Sat 12/09 CFR 1907 Cluj H xG 2.41 xGA 1.89 xGD +0.52
  3. Sat 05/09 FC Botoșani A Weakest underlying xG 1.19 xGA 3.79 xGD -2.60
  4. Sat 29/08 FC Argeș Pitești A xG 0.65 xGA 0.95 xGD -0.30
  5. Sun 23/08 FC Farul Constanța H Best underlying xG 1.53 xGA 0.72 xGD +0.81
  6. Sat 15/08 FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc A xG 1.31 xGA 1.34 xGD -0.03
  7. Mon 10/08 FCSB H xG 1.31 xGA 0.72 xGD +0.59
  8. Sun 02/08 FC Corvinul Hunedoara A xG 0.86 xGA 1.90 xGD -1.04
  9. Sun 26/07 FC Universitatea Cluj H xG 1.79 xGA 1.22 xGD +0.57
  10. Mon 20/07 FC Rapid București A xG 0.14 xGA 2.25 xGD -2.11

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.79. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

Sepsi OSK in SuperLiga (Romania)

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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