Inter Turku xG 2026/2027: expected goals, xGA & xPts per match

Inter Turku xG and xGA per match

Attack

1.78 xG per match

Attack (xG per match) across Veikkausliiga, best first
Rank	Club	xG per match
#1	KuPS	1.96
#2	FC Lahti	1.80
#3	Inter Turku	1.78
#4	HJK	1.77
#5	Ilves	1.72
#6	SJK	1.71
#7	IF Gnistan	1.61
#8	VPS	1.56
#9	TPS	1.50
#10	FF Jaro	1.21
#11	AC Oulu	1.20
#12	IFK Mariehamn	1.10

League avg: 1.57
Total: 39.25 22 matches

Defence

0.93 xGA per match

#1/12

Defence (xGA per match) across Veikkausliiga, best first
Rank	Club	xGA per match
#1	Inter Turku	0.93
#2	KuPS	1.26
#3	HJK	1.32
#4	FC Lahti	1.42
#5	IF Gnistan	1.43
#6	VPS	1.44
#7	AC Oulu	1.58
#8	TPS	1.58
#9	SJK	1.67
#10	FF Jaro	1.71
#11	Ilves	1.94
#12	IFK Mariehamn	2.50

League avg: 1.57
Total: 20.37 22 matches

xG difference

+0.86 xGD per match

#1/12

xG difference (xGD per match) across Veikkausliiga, best first
Rank	Club	xGD per match
#1	Inter Turku	+0.86
#2	KuPS	+0.70
#3	HJK	+0.45
#4	FC Lahti	+0.38
#5	IF Gnistan	+0.18
#6	VPS	+0.12
#7	SJK	+0.04
#8	TPS	-0.08
#9	Ilves	-0.21
#10	AC Oulu	-0.37
#11	FF Jaro	-0.50
#12	IFK Mariehamn	-1.41

League avg: 0.00
Total: +18.88 22 matches

Expected points Model

1.96 xPts per match

#1/12

Expected points (xPts per match) across Veikkausliiga, best first
Rank	Club	xPts per match
#1	Inter Turku	1.96
#2	KuPS	1.78
#3	HJK	1.74
#4	FC Lahti	1.51
#5	IF Gnistan	1.43
#6	SJK	1.42
#7	VPS	1.36
#8	Ilves	1.35
#9	TPS	1.32
#10	AC Oulu	1.13
#11	FF Jaro	1.05
#12	IFK Mariehamn	0.69

League avg: 1.39
Total: 43.12 vs 48 actual pts

Expected goals here are summed over 22 of 25 matches — the rest were played with no xG figure published for them, so the margins compare two different lengths of season.

What the xG says

Inter Turku's underlying numbers are league-leading. They rank #1 for xG difference at +0.86 per match, from about average shot volume at about average chance quality. Their 26 goals are 13.25 below 39.25 xG, while 39 points are 4.12 below 43.12 xPts — both over the 22 matches with xG.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected

Goals vs xG Includes 2.29 xG from penalties

26 39.25 -13.25 scored 13.25 fewer than xG far outside normal variance

Goals conceded vs xGA

15 20.37 -5.37 conceded 5.37 fewer than xGA outside normal variance

Points vs xPts Model

39 43.12 -4.12 4.12 points below xPts within normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

Inter Turku are 13.25 goals below their xG after 22 matches.

Goals: 26
xG: 39.25
Gap: -13.25

Inter Turku: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date	Opponent	Goals	xG	Match gap	Running gap
Sat 04/04	VPS	0	1.13	-1.13	-1.13
Sat 11/04	Ilves	2	0.87	+1.13	+0.00
Sat 18/04	FC Lahti	2	1.86	+0.14	+0.14
Sat 25/04	IFK Mariehamn	1	2.34	-1.34	-1.20
Wed 29/04	HJK	1	1.94	-0.94	-2.14
Tue 05/05	IF Gnistan	0	0.98	-0.98	-3.12
Sat 09/05	FF Jaro	2	2.58	-0.58	-3.70
Sat 16/05	SJK	3	1.12	+1.88	-1.82
Wed 20/05	Ilves	3	1.58	+1.42	-0.40
Sat 30/05	KuPS	1	1.38	-0.38	-0.78
Sat 13/06	AC Oulu	0	2.30	-2.30	-3.08
Wed 17/06	HJK	3	1.15	+1.85	-1.23
Tue 23/06	SJK	1	0.95	+0.05	-1.18
Sat 27/06	IFK Mariehamn	2	3.53	-1.53	-2.71
Sun 19/07	FF Jaro	0	1.62	-1.62	-4.33
Sun 26/07	IF Gnistan	1	3.74	-2.74	-7.07
Sun 02/08	VPS	1	0.87	+0.13	-6.94
Sun 09/08	FC Lahti	0	3.02	-3.02	-9.96
Sun 23/08	TPS	0	2.27	-2.27	-12.23
Wed 09/09	HJK	1	0.48	+0.52	-11.71
Mon 14/09	VPS	1	0.81	+0.19	-11.52
Fri 18/09	AC Oulu	1	2.73	-1.73	-13.25

Conceded minus xGA, match by match

Inter Turku have conceded 5.37 fewer than their xGA after 22 matches.

Conceded: 15
xGA: 20.37
Gap: -5.37

Inter Turku: Goals conceded vs xGA, the gap after every match with xG
Date	Opponent	Conceded	xGA	Match gap	Running gap
Sat 04/04	VPS	0	0.01	-0.01	-0.01
Sat 11/04	Ilves	1	1.54	-0.54	-0.55
Sat 18/04	FC Lahti	0	1.01	-1.01	-1.56
Sat 25/04	IFK Mariehamn	0	0.16	-0.16	-1.72
Wed 29/04	HJK	1	0.71	+0.29	-1.43
Tue 05/05	IF Gnistan	2	0.42	+1.58	+0.15
Sat 09/05	FF Jaro	0	1.06	-1.06	-0.91
Sat 16/05	SJK	1	3.64	-2.64	-3.55
Wed 20/05	Ilves	1	0.31	+0.69	-2.86
Sat 30/05	KuPS	1	0.58	+0.42	-2.44
Sat 13/06	AC Oulu	0	0.68	-0.68	-3.12
Wed 17/06	HJK	3	1.06	+1.94	-1.18
Tue 23/06	SJK	1	0.75	+0.25	-0.93
Sat 27/06	IFK Mariehamn	0	0.05	-0.05	-0.98
Sun 19/07	FF Jaro	0	0.65	-0.65	-1.63
Sun 26/07	IF Gnistan	2	1.78	+0.22	-1.41
Sun 02/08	VPS	0	0.99	-0.99	-2.40
Sun 09/08	FC Lahti	0	1.78	-1.78	-4.18
Sun 23/08	TPS	0	1.03	-1.03	-5.21
Wed 09/09	HJK	2	1.22	+0.78	-4.43
Mon 14/09	VPS	0	0.58	-0.58	-5.01
Fri 18/09	AC Oulu	0	0.36	-0.36	-5.37

Points minus xPts, match by match

Inter Turku are 4.12 points below their xPts after 22 matches. The gap was widest at -5.74, against HJK on Wed 09/09.

Points: 39
xPts: 43.12
Gap: -4.12

Inter Turku: Points vs xPts, the gap after every match with xG
Date	Opponent	Points	xPts	Match gap	Running gap
Sat 04/04	VPS	1	2.50	-1.50	-1.50
Sat 11/04	Ilves	3	0.82	+2.18	+0.68
Sat 18/04	FC Lahti	3	2.02	+0.98	+1.66
Sat 25/04	IFK Mariehamn	3	2.81	+0.19	+1.85
Wed 29/04	HJK	1	2.31	-1.31	+0.54
Tue 05/05	IF Gnistan	0	1.89	-1.89	-1.35
Sat 09/05	FF Jaro	3	2.39	+0.61	-0.74
Sat 16/05	SJK	3	0.20	+2.80	+2.06
Wed 20/05	Ilves	3	2.44	+0.56	+2.62
Sat 30/05	KuPS	1	2.07	-1.07	+1.55
Sat 13/06	AC Oulu	1	2.51	-1.51	+0.04
Wed 17/06	HJK	1	1.41	-0.41	-0.37
Tue 23/06	SJK	1	1.50	-0.50	-0.87
Sat 27/06	IFK Mariehamn	3	2.97	+0.03	-0.84
Sun 19/07	FF Jaro	1	2.17	-1.17	-2.01
Sun 26/07	IF Gnistan	0	2.45	-2.45	-4.46
Sun 02/08	VPS	3	1.21	+1.79	-2.67
Sun 09/08	FC Lahti	1	2.16	-1.16	-3.83
Sun 23/08	TPS	1	2.25	-1.25	-5.08
Wed 09/09	HJK	0	0.66	-0.66	-5.74
Mon 14/09	VPS	3	1.57	+1.43	-4.31
Fri 18/09	AC Oulu	3	2.81	+0.19	-4.12

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking →

Inter Turku xG trend

Current form +0.70 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 18 of 22 matches. The worst was against SJK on Sat 16/05 (-2.15).

npxG · last 6: 1.70
npxGA · last 6: 0.99

Inter Turku: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date	Opponent	npxG	npxGA	npxGD	Avg so far
Sat 04/04	VPS	1.13	0.01	+1.12	+1.12
Sat 11/04	Ilves	0.87	0.78	+0.09	+0.61
Sat 18/04	FC Lahti	1.11	1.02	+0.09	+0.43
Sat 25/04	IFK Mariehamn	2.32	0.16	+2.16	+0.87
Wed 29/04	HJK	1.94	0.71	+1.23	+0.94
Tue 05/05	IF Gnistan	0.98	0.42	+0.56	+0.88
Sat 09/05	FF Jaro	2.59	1.06	+1.53	+0.97
Sat 16/05	SJK	1.13	3.28	-2.15	+0.58
Wed 20/05	Ilves	0.83	0.31	+0.52	+0.57
Sat 30/05	KuPS	1.34	0.52	+0.82	+0.60
Sat 13/06	AC Oulu	2.30	0.68	+1.62	+0.69
Wed 17/06	HJK	1.15	1.26	-0.11	+0.62
Tue 23/06	SJK	0.95	0.75	+0.20	+0.59
Sat 27/06	IFK Mariehamn	3.54	0.05	+3.49	+0.80
Sun 19/07	FF Jaro	1.62	0.65	+0.97	+0.81
Sun 26/07	IF Gnistan	2.98	1.02	+1.96	+0.88
Sun 02/08	VPS	0.87	0.99	-0.12	+0.82
Sun 09/08	FC Lahti	3.02	1.78	+1.24	+0.85
Sun 23/08	TPS	2.27	1.03	+1.24	+0.87
Wed 09/09	HJK	0.48	1.22	-0.74	+0.79
Mon 14/09	VPS	0.81	0.58	+0.23	+0.76
Fri 18/09	AC Oulu	2.73	0.36	+2.37	+0.83

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.68 npxG and 0.85 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far: number 10 hardest of 12 in Veikkausliiga; −0.04 xG vs league average; Over 25 league matches
Last 5: number 4 hardest of 12 in Veikkausliiga; +0.10 xG vs league average; Over 5 league matches

Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

−0.04 xG vs league average · over 25 matches · number 10 hardest of 12

AC Oulu Away −0.28
VPS Home +0.10
HJK Away +0.27
KuPS Home +0.50
TPS Away −0.08
AC Oulu Away −0.28
FC Lahti Home +0.22
VPS Away +0.10
IF Gnistan Home +0.06
FF Jaro Away −0.38
IFK Mariehamn Away −0.75
SJK Home +0.02
HJK Away +0.27
AC Oulu Home −0.28
KuPS Away +0.50
TPS Home −0.08
Ilves Away −0.22
SJK Away +0.02
FF Jaro Home −0.38
IF Gnistan Away +0.06
HJK Home +0.27
IFK Mariehamn Home −0.75
FC Lahti Away +0.22
Ilves Home −0.22
VPS Home +0.10

Last 5

+0.10 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 4 hardest of 12

AC Oulu Away −0.28
VPS Home +0.10
HJK Away +0.27
KuPS Home +0.50
TPS Away −0.08

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

Inter Turku shots and chance quality

Average volume, average quality. Inter Turku take 13.1 shots a match (league 12.0) at 0.13 npxG a shot (league 0.12), #3 in Veikkausliiga for volume and #6 for quality. 68% of their shots come from inside the box (league 61%).

Attack

Shot volume

13.1 shots per match

#3/12

Shot volume (shots per match) across Veikkausliiga, best first
Rank	Club	shots per match
#1	KuPS	15.2
#2	FC Lahti	13.3
#3	Inter Turku	13.1
#4	TPS	13.0
#5	HJK	12.6
#6	SJK	12.4
#7	IF Gnistan	11.8
#8	FF Jaro	11.6
#9	Ilves	11.5
#10	VPS	11.0
#11	AC Oulu	10.2
#12	IFK Mariehamn	8.9

League avg: 12.0
Total: 288 shots from 22 matches

Chance quality

0.13 npxG per shot

#6/12

Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Veikkausliiga, best first
Rank	Club	npxG per shot
#1	SJK	0.14
#2	HJK	0.14
#3	KuPS	0.13
#4	VPS	0.13
#5	Ilves	0.13
#6	Inter Turku	0.13
#7	IF Gnistan	0.13
#8	FC Lahti	0.13
#9	IFK Mariehamn	0.11
#10	TPS	0.11
#11	AC Oulu	0.10
#12	FF Jaro	0.09

League avg: 0.12
Total: 36.96 npxG from 288 shots

Defence

Shots allowed

8.5 shots per match

#1/12

Shots allowed (shots per match) across Veikkausliiga, best first
Rank	Club	shots per match
#1	Inter Turku	8.5
#2	KuPS	9.7
#3	FC Lahti	9.8
#4	VPS	11.4
#5	AC Oulu	11.4
#6	SJK	11.7
#7	HJK	12.0
#8	TPS	12.6
#9	IF Gnistan	12.9
#10	FF Jaro	13.6
#11	Ilves	13.9
#12	IFK Mariehamn	16.3

League avg: 12.0
Total: 186 shots allowed from 22 matches

Chance quality allowed

0.10 npxGA per shot

#1/12

Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Veikkausliiga, best first
Rank	Club	npxGA per shot
#1	Inter Turku	0.10
#2	IF Gnistan	0.10
#3	HJK	0.11
#4	TPS	0.11
#5	VPS	0.11
#6	KuPS	0.12
#7	FF Jaro	0.12
#8	AC Oulu	0.13
#9	Ilves	0.13
#10	FC Lahti	0.13
#11	SJK	0.14
#12	IFK Mariehamn	0.15

League avg: 0.12
Total: 18.64 npxGA from 186 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

68% inside the box

League avg 61%

From 196 of 288 shots over 22 matches

Shots allowed, location

59% allowed inside the box

League avg 61%

From 110 of 186 shots allowed over 22 matches

How the shot figures are made →

Inter Turku home and away xG

Inter Turku per-match figures at home and away
Measure	Home	Away
Matches	12 10 with xG	13 12 with xG
xG / match	1.97	1.63
xGA / match	0.91	0.94
xGD / match	+1.06	+0.69
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →	2.10	1.84

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every Inter Turku match by xG

Window

Season Last 10 Last 5

Venue

All Home Away

Sort

Date xGD

Last 5

Matches: 5 4 with xG
xG / match: 1.57
xGA / match: 0.80
xGD / match: +0.78
Points: 10 of 15

Date Opponent Score xG Chances xGA xGD xPts Model

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.00. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

Inter Turku in Veikkausliiga

Attack

xG / match #3 of 12
Shots / match #3 of 12
Chance quality #6 of 12
Home xG #5 of 12
Away xG #2 of 12

Defence

xGA / match #1 of 12
Shots allowed #1 of 12
Chance quality allowed #1 of 12

Overall

About the data

xG data: Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics: xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics: xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

Inter Turku expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

Inter Turku xG and xGA per match

What the xG says

Actual vs expected

Goals minus xG, match by match

Conceded minus xGA, match by match

Points minus xPts, match by match

Inter Turku xG trend

Strength of schedule

Inter Turku shots and chance quality

Attack

Defence

Shot profile

Inter Turku home and away xG

Every Inter Turku match by xG

Inter Turku in Veikkausliiga

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data