Goals vs xG
Who is scoring above and below their chances?
xG measures the quality of a player's chances. +3.8 means 3.8 more goals than chances like those usually produce.
Current season · 450+ min · 2.0+ xG · Data to 21 September 2026
Eligibility
- Minutes
- At least 450 minutes this season, so one hot week can't top the list.
- Chances
- At least 2.0 xG, and a gap of at least one goal either way. Including penalties, in the goals and in the xG.
- Competitions
- Only competitions with per-player shot data, once their median club has played 6 matches; see Coverage below. European leagues are at different stages of their seasons, so each competition's current season is used, whether it runs by the calendar year or across two.
Ilias Sebaoui has scored 0 goals from 2.4 xG over their last five appearances, 2.4 below their chances: the largest qualifying gap below xG across 11 competitions.
| # | Player | Last 5G − xG | Last 5G | Last 5xG | Shots | Min | Season |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ilias Sebaoui Sint-Truidense VV · Jupiler Pro League 0 goals from 2.4 xG | −2.4 | 0 | 2.4 | 27 | 619 | 1 G · 3.54 xG−2.54 |
| 1 | Maksym Khlan Górnik Zabrze · Ekstraklasa 0 goals from 2.4 xG | −2.4 | 0 | 2.4 | 35 | 754 | 1 G · 3.25 xG−2.25 |
| 3 | Mexx Meerdink AZ Alkmaar · Eredivisie 2 goals from 4.2 xG | −2.2 | 2 | 4.2 | 23 | 562 | 3 G · 5.27 xG−2.27 |
| 3 | Samu Vitória SC · Liga Portugal 0 goals from 2.2 xG | −2.2 | 0 | 2.2 | 18 | 562 | 1 G · 2.68 xG−1.68 |
| 5 | Gustavo Silva Vitória SC · Liga Portugal 1 goal from 3.0 xG | −2.0 | 1 | 3.0 | 25 | 525 | 1 G · 3.54 xG−2.54 |
| 6 | Vinícius Júnior Real Madrid · La Liga 0 goals from 1.7 xG | −1.7 | 0 | 1.7 | 22 | 565 | 1 G · 2.96 xG−1.96 |
| 7 | Samuel Krasniqi Grasshopper Club Zürich · Swiss Super League 2 goals from 3.6 xG | −1.6 | 2 | 3.6 | 34 | 810 | 2 G · 4.08 xG−2.08 |
| 8 | Jesper Cornelius IK Start · Eliteserien 1 goal from 2.5 xG | −1.5 | 1 | 2.5 | 55 | 1,603 | 5 G · 7.68 xG−2.68 |
| 8 | Danijel Šturm SK Slavia Praha · Czech First League 1 goal from 2.5 xG | −1.5 | 1 | 2.5 | 15 | 582 | 1 G · 3.03 xG−2.03 |
| 8 | Tawanda Maswanhise Motherwell · Scottish Premiership 1 goal from 2.5 xG | −1.5 | 1 | 2.5 | 15 | 484 | 1 G · 2.96 xG−1.96 |
| 11 | James Ampofo IK Start · Eliteserien 0 goals from 1.4 xG | −1.4 | 0 | 1.4 | 29 | 613 | 0 G · 2.81 xG−2.81 |
| 11 | Chupete Málaga · La Liga 0 goals from 1.4 xG | −1.4 | 0 | 1.4 | 15 | 563 | 1 G · 3.13 xG−2.13 |
| 11 | Nikolas Muci Grasshopper Club Zürich · Swiss Super League 0 goals from 1.4 xG | −1.4 | 0 | 1.4 | 19 | 494 | 1 G · 2.93 xG−1.93 |
| 11 | Patrick Greil SC Rheindorf Altach · Austrian Bundesliga 0 goals from 1.4 xG | −1.4 | 0 | 1.4 | 19 | 550 | 2 G · 2.25 xG−0.25 |
| 15 | Sondre Auklend Bodø/Glimt · Eliteserien 0 goals from 1.3 xG | −1.3 | 0 | 1.3 | 31 | 1,421 | 1 G · 3.90 xG−2.90 |
| 15 | Jesús Imaz Jagiellonia Białystok · Ekstraklasa 2 goals from 3.3 xG | −1.3 | 2 | 3.3 | 17 | 480 | 2 G · 3.40 xG−1.40 |
| 15 | Jonatan Braut Brunes AC Sparta Praha · Czech First League 0 goals from 1.3 xG | −1.3 | 0 | 1.3 | 20 | 589 | 1 G · 2.14 xG−1.14 |
| 15 | Zlatko Tripić Viking FK · Eliteserien 0 goals from 1.3 xG | −1.3 | 0 | 1.3 | 35 | 1,653 | 6 G · 5.79 xG+0.21 |
| 15 | Brighton Labeau FC Thun · Swiss Super League 0 goals from 1.3 xG | −1.3 | 0 | 1.3 | 14 | 603 | 3 G · 2.63 xG+0.37 |
| 20 | Ísak Snær Þorvaldsson Lyngby · Superliga (Denmark) 3 goals from 4.2 xG | −1.2 | 3 | 4.2 | 25 | 725 | 3 G · 5.71 xG−2.71 |
| 20 | Prince Amoako Junior FC Nordsjælland · Superliga (Denmark) 0 goals from 1.2 xG | −1.2 | 0 | 1.2 | 27 | 477 | 0 G · 2.03 xG−2.03 |
| 20 | Ibrahim Adel FC Nordsjælland · Superliga (Denmark) 0 goals from 1.2 xG | −1.2 | 0 | 1.2 | 20 | 485 | 1 G · 2.98 xG−1.98 |
| 20 | Steve Ngoura Cercle Brugge · Jupiler Pro League 1 goal from 2.2 xG | −1.2 | 1 | 2.2 | 21 | 485 | 2 G · 3.71 xG−1.71 |
| 20 | Kristian Eriksen SK Brann · Eliteserien 0 goals from 1.2 xG | −1.2 | 0 | 1.2 | 26 | 1,232 | 4 G · 4.24 xG−0.24 |
| 25 | Oihan Sancet Athletic Club · La Liga 1 goal from 2.1 xG | −1.1 | 1 | 2.1 | 17 | 515 | 1 G · 2.45 xG−1.45 |
| 25 | Václav Jurečka Baník Ostrava · Czech First League 0 goals from 1.1 xG | −1.1 | 0 | 1.1 | 7 | 462 | 1 G · 2.15 xG−1.15 |
| 25 | Nicolò Tresoldi Club Brugge KV · Jupiler Pro League 1 goal from 2.1 xG | −1.1 | 1 | 2.1 | 21 | 530 | 3 G · 4.11 xG−1.11 |
| 25 | Cláudio Braga Heart of Midlothian · Scottish Premiership 1 goal from 2.1 xG | −1.1 | 1 | 2.1 | 30 | 581 | 2 G · 2.91 xG−0.91 |
| 25 | Lars Ranger Lillestrøm SK · Eliteserien 0 goals from 1.1 xG | −1.1 | 0 | 1.1 | 30 | 1,638 | 2 G · 2.35 xG−0.35 |
| 30 | Sondre Sørløkk Fredrikstad FK · Eliteserien 0 goals from 1.0 xG | −1.0 | 0 | 1.0 | 21 | 1,170 | 0 G · 2.28 xG−2.28 |
| 30 | Danylo Sikan RSC Anderlecht · Jupiler Pro League 1 goal from 2.0 xG | −1.0 | 1 | 2.0 | 23 | 505 | 1 G · 2.50 xG−1.50 |
- Above xG
- Below xG
- Last 5 gap of 2 or more
- under 600
Over a season, most finishing gaps of this size shrink. Shot quality, shot selection and finishing skill all move this number; so does chance.
Coverage 19 competitions feed this list. Which ones, and which cannot yet. Show Hide
- On this list
- Allsvenskan Austrian Bundesliga Czech First League Ekstraklasa Eliteserien Eredivisie HNL Jupiler Pro League La Liga Liga Portugal NB I (Hungary) Niké Liga (Slovakia) Russian Premier League Scottish Premiership Süper Lig Superliga (Denmark) SuperLiga (Romania) SuperLiga (Serbia) Swiss Super League
- Lists open after 6 matches
- Bundesliga Ligue 1 Premier League Serie A Super League Greece
- Team figures only
- Cypriot First Division Parva Liga (Bulgaria) Premier Division (Ireland) PrvaLiga (Slovenia) Ukrainian Premier League Veikkausliiga See the teams list