xgEdge

Expected goals

IF Brommapojkarna expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

Allsvenskan · after 19 matches · updated 1 Oct

IF Brommapojkarna's attacking and defensive expected goals in Allsvenskan 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

IF Brommapojkarna xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
1.45 xG per match
#12/16
Attack (xG per match) across Allsvenskan, best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 Hammarby IF 2.66
#2 Djurgårdens IF 2.30
#3 IK Sirius 2.13
#4 Malmö FF 2.04
#5 IFK Göteborg 1.95
#6 BK Häcken 1.84
#7 GAIS 1.75
#8 IF Elfsborg 1.65
#9 Västerås SK 1.64
#10 Mjällby AIF 1.59
#11 AIK 1.57
#12 IF Brommapojkarna 1.45
#13 Kalmar FF 1.31
#14 Örgryte IS 1.26
#15 Degerfors IF 1.26
#16 Halmstads BK 1.10
League avg
1.71
Total
27.49 19 matches
Defence
1.80 xGA per match
#11/16
Defence (xGA per match) across Allsvenskan, best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 Hammarby IF 1.11
#2 Djurgårdens IF 1.15
#3 IK Sirius 1.34
#4 GAIS 1.34
#5 BK Häcken 1.38
#6 Malmö FF 1.50
#7 IF Elfsborg 1.51
#8 IFK Göteborg 1.63
#9 Kalmar FF 1.74
#10 Degerfors IF 1.76
#11 IF Brommapojkarna 1.80
#12 Västerås SK 1.91
#13 Mjällby AIF 2.07
#14 Örgryte IS 2.26
#15 AIK 2.29
#16 Halmstads BK 2.41
League avg
1.71
Total
34.21 19 matches
xG difference
-0.35 xGD per match
#10/16
xG difference (xGD per match) across Allsvenskan, best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 Hammarby IF +1.54
#2 Djurgårdens IF +1.16
#3 IK Sirius +0.79
#4 Malmö FF +0.54
#5 BK Häcken +0.46
#6 GAIS +0.41
#7 IFK Göteborg +0.32
#8 IF Elfsborg +0.15
#9 Västerås SK -0.27
#10 IF Brommapojkarna -0.35
#11 Kalmar FF -0.43
#12 Mjällby AIF -0.48
#13 Degerfors IF -0.51
#14 AIK -0.72
#15 Örgryte IS -0.99
#16 Halmstads BK -1.31
League avg
0.00
Total
-6.72 19 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
1.23 xPts per match
#9/16
Expected points (xPts per match) across Allsvenskan, best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 Hammarby IF 2.24
#2 Djurgårdens IF 2.05
#3 IK Sirius 1.84
#4 BK Häcken 1.70
#5 Malmö FF 1.67
#6 GAIS 1.61
#7 IFK Göteborg 1.60
#8 IF Elfsborg 1.49
#9 IF Brommapojkarna 1.23
#10 Kalmar FF 1.21
#11 Västerås SK 1.21
#12 Degerfors IF 1.09
#13 Mjällby AIF 1.08
#14 AIK 1.00
#15 Örgryte IS 0.87
#16 Halmstads BK 0.61
League avg
1.40
Total
23.34 vs 25 actual pts

Expected goals here are summed over 19 of 22 matches — the rest were played with no xG figure published for them, so the margins compare two different lengths of season.

What the xG says

IF Brommapojkarna's underlying numbers sit close to the Allsvenskan average. They rank #10 for xG difference at -0.35 per match, from low shot volume at about average chance quality. Their 25 goals are 2.49 below 27.49 xG, while 22 points are 1.34 below 23.34 xPts — both over the 19 matches with xG.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG
25 27.49 -2.49 scored 2.49 fewer than xG within normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
32 34.21 -2.21 conceded 2.21 fewer than xGA within normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
22 23.34 -1.34 1.34 points below xPts within normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

IF Brommapojkarna are 2.49 goals below their xG after 19 matches.

Goals
25
xG
27.49
Gap
-2.49
Mon 13/04 Sat 18/04 Wed 22/04 Sun 26/04 Mon 04/05 Fri 08/05 Sun 17/05 Sun 31/05 Sun 12/07 Fri 17/07 Sun 26/07 Sun 02/08 Mon 10/08 Sun 16/08 Sun 23/08 Mon 31/08 Sun 06/09 Sun 13/09 Sat 19/09 -3 -2 -1 0 +1 +0.34 -1.46 -0.93 -1.81 -0.49 -2.35 -1.81 -1.96 -1.56 -1.05 -0.85 -1.58 -0.13 -0.53 -0.58 -1.71 -1.22 -1.25 -2.49 +0.34 -1.80 +0.53 -0.88 +1.32 -1.86 +0.54 -0.15 +0.40 +0.51 +0.20 -0.73 +1.45 -0.40 -0.05 -1.13 +0.49 -0.03 -1.24 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
IF Brommapojkarna: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Mon 13/04 AIK 2 1.66 +0.34 +0.34
Sat 18/04 Mjällby AIF 0 1.80 -1.80 -1.46
Wed 22/04 Örgryte IS 2 1.47 +0.53 -0.93
Sun 26/04 Västerås SK 1 1.88 -0.88 -1.81
Mon 04/05 Halmstads BK 3 1.68 +1.32 -0.49
Fri 08/05 IF Elfsborg 0 1.86 -1.86 -2.35
Sun 17/05 Kalmar FF 1 0.46 +0.54 -1.81
Sun 31/05 Degerfors IF 2 2.15 -0.15 -1.96
Sun 12/07 IK Sirius 1 0.60 +0.40 -1.56
Fri 17/07 IFK Göteborg 1 0.49 +0.51 -1.05
Sun 26/07 Hammarby IF 1 0.80 +0.20 -0.85
Sun 02/08 Malmö FF 1 1.73 -0.73 -1.58
Mon 10/08 IK Sirius 2 0.55 +1.45 -0.13
Sun 16/08 Örgryte IS 3 3.40 -0.40 -0.53
Sun 23/08 Degerfors IF 2 2.05 -0.05 -0.58
Mon 31/08 GAIS 0 1.13 -1.13 -1.71
Sun 06/09 IF Elfsborg 2 1.51 +0.49 -1.22
Sun 13/09 Hammarby IF 1 1.03 -0.03 -1.25
Sat 19/09 IFK Göteborg 0 1.24 -1.24 -2.49

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking →

IF Brommapojkarna xG trend

Current form -0.07 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 10 of 19 matches. The worst was against IFK Göteborg on Fri 17/07 (-3.31).

npxG · last 6
1.73
npxGA · last 6
1.80
-4 -3 -2 -1 0 +1 +2 +3 +0.36 Mon 13/04 +1.12 Sat 18/04 +0.04 Wed 22/04 +0.08 Sun 26/04 +0.84 Mon 04/05 +0.87 Fri 08/05 -2.24 Sun 17/05 +0.98 Sun 31/05 -0.41 Sun 12/07 -3.31 Fri 17/07 -1.52 Sun 26/07 -1.49 Sun 02/08 -1.61 Mon 10/08 +2.11 Sun 16/08 +0.97 Sun 23/08 -1.86 Mon 31/08 +0.53 Sun 06/09 -1.04 Sun 13/09 -1.14 Sat 19/09 -0.35 season avg
IF Brommapojkarna: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Mon 13/04 AIK 1.66 1.30 +0.36 +0.36
Sat 18/04 Mjällby AIF 1.80 0.68 +1.12 +0.74
Wed 22/04 Örgryte IS 1.47 1.43 +0.04 +0.51
Sun 26/04 Västerås SK 1.88 1.80 +0.08 +0.40
Mon 04/05 Halmstads BK 1.68 0.84 +0.84 +0.49
Fri 08/05 IF Elfsborg 1.86 0.99 +0.87 +0.55
Sun 17/05 Kalmar FF 0.46 2.70 -2.24 +0.15
Sun 31/05 Degerfors IF 2.15 1.17 +0.98 +0.26
Sun 12/07 IK Sirius 0.60 1.01 -0.41 +0.18
Fri 17/07 IFK Göteborg 0.49 3.80 -3.31 -0.17
Sun 26/07 Hammarby IF 0.80 2.32 -1.52 -0.29
Sun 02/08 Malmö FF 1.73 3.22 -1.49 -0.39
Mon 10/08 IK Sirius 0.55 2.16 -1.61 -0.48
Sun 16/08 Örgryte IS 3.40 1.29 +2.11 -0.30
Sun 23/08 Degerfors IF 2.05 1.08 +0.97 -0.21
Mon 31/08 GAIS 1.13 2.99 -1.86 -0.32
Sun 06/09 IF Elfsborg 1.51 0.98 +0.53 -0.27
Sun 13/09 Hammarby IF 1.03 2.07 -1.04 -0.31
Sat 19/09 IFK Göteborg 1.24 2.38 -1.14 -0.35

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.45 npxG and 1.80 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
tied number 2 hardest of 16 in Allsvenskan
+0.06 xG vs league average
Over 22 league matches
Last 5
number 1 hardest of 16 in Allsvenskan
+0.31 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

+0.06 xG vs league average · over 22 matches · tied number 2 hardest of 16

  1. IFK Göteborg Home +0.20
  2. Hammarby IF Away +1.29
  3. IF Elfsborg Home +0.10
  4. GAIS Away +0.23
  5. Degerfors IF Home −0.27
  6. Örgryte IS Home −0.67
  7. IK Sirius Away +0.19
  8. Malmö FF Home +0.42
  9. Hammarby IF Home +1.29
  10. IFK Göteborg Away +0.20
  11. IK Sirius Home +0.19
  12. GAIS Home +0.23
  13. Degerfors IF Away −0.27
  14. Djurgårdens IF Away +0.46
  15. Kalmar FF Home −0.15
  16. IF Elfsborg Away +0.10
  17. Halmstads BK Away −0.78
  18. Västerås SK Home −0.18
  19. Örgryte IS Away −0.67
  20. Mjällby AIF Away −0.36
  21. AIK Home −0.44
  22. BK Häcken Away +0.26

Last 5

+0.31 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 1 hardest of 16

  1. IFK Göteborg Home +0.20
  2. Hammarby IF Away +1.29
  3. IF Elfsborg Home +0.10
  4. GAIS Away +0.23
  5. Degerfors IF Home −0.27

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

IF Brommapojkarna shots and chance quality

Low volume, average quality. IF Brommapojkarna take 11.7 shots a match (league 13.9) at 0.12 npxG a shot (league 0.12), #14 in Allsvenskan for volume and #7 for quality. 63% of their shots come from inside the box (league 64%).

Attack

Shot volume
11.7 shots per match
#14/16
Shot volume (shots per match) across Allsvenskan, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Hammarby IF 21.9
#2 IFK Göteborg 17.1
#3 Djurgårdens IF 15.7
#4 Malmö FF 14.9
#5 IK Sirius 14.9
#6 GAIS 14.5
#7 BK Häcken 14.2
#8 Kalmar FF 13.4
#9 Mjällby AIF 13.0
#10 AIK 12.9
#11 IF Elfsborg 12.8
#12 Halmstads BK 12.5
#13 Västerås SK 12.1
#14 IF Brommapojkarna 11.7
#15 Degerfors IF 11.1
#16 Örgryte IS 10.5
League avg
13.9
Total
223 shots from 19 matches
Chance quality
0.12 npxG per shot
#7/16
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Allsvenskan, best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 Djurgårdens IF 0.15
#2 IK Sirius 0.14
#3 Malmö FF 0.14
#4 Västerås SK 0.14
#5 IF Elfsborg 0.13
#6 BK Häcken 0.13
#7 IF Brommapojkarna 0.12
#8 Mjällby AIF 0.12
#9 AIK 0.12
#10 Hammarby IF 0.12
#11 GAIS 0.12
#12 Örgryte IS 0.12
#13 IFK Göteborg 0.11
#14 Degerfors IF 0.11
#15 Kalmar FF 0.10
#16 Halmstads BK 0.09
League avg
0.12
Total
27.49 npxG from 223 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
15.7 shots per match
#12/16
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Allsvenskan, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Hammarby IF 8.6
#2 Djurgårdens IF 10.9
#3 BK Häcken 11.5
#4 IFK Göteborg 12.4
#5 GAIS 12.4
#6 IF Elfsborg 12.5
#7 Malmö FF 12.9
#8 IK Sirius 13.8
#9 Degerfors IF 13.9
#10 Kalmar FF 14.3
#11 Västerås SK 14.8
#12 IF Brommapojkarna 15.7
#13 Mjällby AIF 16.2
#14 AIK 16.5
#15 Halmstads BK 17.5
#16 Örgryte IS 17.9
League avg
13.9
Total
298 shots allowed from 19 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.11 npxGA per shot
#4/16
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Allsvenskan, best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 IK Sirius 0.10
#2 Djurgårdens IF 0.11
#3 GAIS 0.11
#4 IF Brommapojkarna 0.11
#5 Malmö FF 0.12
#6 BK Häcken 0.12
#7 IF Elfsborg 0.12
#8 Kalmar FF 0.12
#9 Örgryte IS 0.13
#10 Degerfors IF 0.13
#11 Mjällby AIF 0.13
#12 Hammarby IF 0.13
#13 Västerås SK 0.13
#14 IFK Göteborg 0.13
#15 Halmstads BK 0.14
#16 AIK 0.14
League avg
0.12
Total
34.21 npxGA from 298 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

63% inside the box

League avg 64%

From 140 of 223 shots over 19 matches

Shots allowed, location

63% allowed inside the box

League avg 64%

From 188 of 298 shots allowed over 19 matches

How the shot figures are made →

IF Brommapojkarna home and away xG

IF Brommapojkarna per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 11 10 with xG 11 9 with xG
xG / match 1.53 1.35
xGA / match 1.81 1.79
xGD / match -0.27 -0.44
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 1.22 1.24

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every IF Brommapojkarna match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

Last 10

Matches
10
xG / match
1.39
xGA / match
2.23
xGD / match
-0.84
Points
11 of 30
  1. Sat 19/09 IFK Göteborg H xG 1.24 xGA 2.38 xGD -1.14
  2. Sun 13/09 Hammarby IF A xG 1.03 xGA 2.07 xGD -1.04
  3. Sun 06/09 IF Elfsborg H xG 1.51 xGA 0.98 xGD +0.53
  4. Mon 31/08 GAIS A xG 1.13 xGA 2.99 xGD -1.86
  5. Sun 23/08 Degerfors IF H xG 2.05 xGA 1.08 xGD +0.97
  6. Sun 16/08 Örgryte IS H Best underlying xG 3.40 xGA 1.29 xGD +2.11
  7. Mon 10/08 IK Sirius A xG 0.55 xGA 2.16 xGD -1.61
  8. Sun 02/08 Malmö FF H xG 1.73 xGA 3.22 xGD -1.49
  9. Sun 26/07 Hammarby IF H xG 0.80 xGA 2.32 xGD -1.52
  10. Fri 17/07 IFK Göteborg A Weakest underlying xG 0.49 xGA 3.80 xGD -3.31

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.80. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

IF Brommapojkarna in Allsvenskan

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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