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Expected goals

Austria Wien expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

Austrian Bundesliga · after 7 matches · updated 1 Oct

Austria Wien's attacking and defensive expected goals in Austrian Bundesliga 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

Austria Wien xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
0.74 xG per match
#12/12
Attack (xG per match) across Austrian Bundesliga, best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 Red Bull Salzburg 2.68
#2 LASK 2.54
#3 SK Rapid Wien 2.26
#4 SV Ried 1.96
#5 SK Sturm Graz 1.83
#6 WSG Tirol 1.52
#7 SC Rheindorf Altach 1.24
#8 SC Austria Lustenau 1.24
#9 Grazer AK 1902 1.14
#10 Wolfsberger AC 1.14
#11 TSV Hartberg 1.01
#12 Austria Wien 0.74
League avg
1.61
Total
5.17 7 matches
Defence
1.85 xGA per match
#9/12
Defence (xGA per match) across Austrian Bundesliga, best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 LASK 0.93
#2 Red Bull Salzburg 1.08
#3 SK Rapid Wien 1.10
#4 SK Sturm Graz 1.29
#5 SC Rheindorf Altach 1.33
#6 SV Ried 1.75
#7 Grazer AK 1902 1.75
#8 WSG Tirol 1.76
#9 Austria Wien 1.85
#10 SC Austria Lustenau 1.89
#11 TSV Hartberg 2.02
#12 Wolfsberger AC 2.53
League avg
1.61
Total
12.98 7 matches
xG difference
-1.12 xGD per match
#11/12
xG difference (xGD per match) across Austrian Bundesliga, best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 LASK +1.60
#2 Red Bull Salzburg +1.60
#3 SK Rapid Wien +1.16
#4 SK Sturm Graz +0.53
#5 SV Ried +0.22
#6 SC Rheindorf Altach -0.08
#7 WSG Tirol -0.24
#8 Grazer AK 1902 -0.61
#9 SC Austria Lustenau -0.65
#10 TSV Hartberg -1.01
#11 Austria Wien -1.12
#12 Wolfsberger AC -1.39
League avg
0.00
Total
-7.81 7 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
0.77 xPts per match
#11/12
Expected points (xPts per match) across Austrian Bundesliga, best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 LASK 2.33
#2 Red Bull Salzburg 2.33
#3 SK Rapid Wien 1.95
#4 SK Sturm Graz 1.70
#5 SC Rheindorf Altach 1.42
#6 SV Ried 1.40
#7 WSG Tirol 1.32
#8 Grazer AK 1902 1.20
#9 SC Austria Lustenau 0.93
#10 TSV Hartberg 0.79
#11 Austria Wien 0.77
#12 Wolfsberger AC 0.70
League avg
1.41
Total
5.42 vs 7 actual pts

Early-season figures: after 7 matches, per-match rates can move quickly.

What the xG says

Austria Wien's underlying numbers are among the weakest in Austrian Bundesliga. They rank #11 for xG difference at -1.12 per match, from low shot volume and the league's lowest chance quality. Their 7 goals are 1.83 above 5.17 xG, while 7 points are 1.58 above 5.42 xPts. After only 7 matches, those gaps should still be read cautiously.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
7 5.17 +1.83 scored 1.83 more than xG within normal variance
13 12.98 +0.02 conceded 0.02 more than xGA within normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

Austria Wien are 1.83 goals above their xG after 7 matches.

Goals
7
xG
5.17
Gap
+1.83
Sun 02/08 Sun 09/08 Sun 16/08 Sun 30/08 Wed 02/09 Sun 13/09 Sat 19/09 -1 0 +1 +2 -0.35 -0.56 +0.45 +0.69 +0.18 +0.66 +1.83 -0.35 -0.21 +1.01 +0.24 -0.51 +0.48 +1.17 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
Austria Wien: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Sun 02/08 Wolfsberger AC 0 0.35 -0.35 -0.35
Sun 09/08 LASK 0 0.21 -0.21 -0.56
Sun 16/08 TSV Hartberg 2 0.99 +1.01 +0.45
Sun 30/08 Red Bull Salzburg 1 0.76 +0.24 +0.69
Wed 02/09 WSG Tirol 0 0.51 -0.51 +0.18
Sun 13/09 SC Austria Lustenau 2 1.52 +0.48 +0.66
Sat 19/09 Grazer AK 1902 2 0.83 +1.17 +1.83

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking →

Austria Wien xG trend

Current form -0.85 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 3 of 7 matches. The worst was against LASK on Sun 09/08 (-3.13).

npxG · last 6
0.82
npxGA · last 6
1.67
-4 -3 -2 -1 0 +1 -2.45 Sun 02/08 -3.13 Sun 09/08 +0.34 Sun 16/08 -1.07 Sun 30/08 -1.31 Wed 02/09 +0.04 Sun 13/09 +0.01 Sat 19/09 -1.08 season avg
Austria Wien: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Sun 02/08 Wolfsberger AC 0.35 2.80 -2.45 -2.45
Sun 09/08 LASK 0.21 3.34 -3.13 -2.79
Sun 16/08 TSV Hartberg 1.15 0.81 +0.34 -1.75
Sun 30/08 Red Bull Salzburg 0.69 1.76 -1.07 -1.58
Wed 02/09 WSG Tirol 0.52 1.83 -1.31 -1.52
Sun 13/09 SC Austria Lustenau 1.52 1.48 +0.04 -1.26
Sat 19/09 Grazer AK 1902 0.81 0.80 +0.01 -1.08

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 0.75 npxG and 1.83 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
number 8 hardest of 12 in Austrian Bundesliga
−0.02 xG vs league average
Over 7 league matches
Last 5
number 9 hardest of 12 in Austrian Bundesliga
−0.11 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

−0.02 xG vs league average · over 7 matches · number 8 hardest of 12

  1. Grazer AK 1902 Away −0.29
  2. SC Austria Lustenau Home −0.24
  3. WSG Tirol Home −0.25
  4. Red Bull Salzburg Away +0.74
  5. TSV Hartberg Away −0.52
  6. LASK Home +0.91
  7. Wolfsberger AC Away −0.48

Last 5

−0.11 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 9 hardest of 12

  1. Grazer AK 1902 Away −0.29
  2. SC Austria Lustenau Home −0.24
  3. WSG Tirol Home −0.25
  4. Red Bull Salzburg Away +0.74
  5. TSV Hartberg Away −0.52

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

Austria Wien shots and chance quality

Low volume, low quality. Austria Wien take 9.6 shots a match (league 14.1) at 0.08 npxG a shot (league 0.10), #11 in Austrian Bundesliga for volume and #12 for quality. 61% of their shots come from inside the box (league 62%), and set pieces produce 31% of their npxG (league 27%).

Attack

Shot volume
9.6 shots per match
#11/12
Shot volume (shots per match) across Austrian Bundesliga, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 LASK 21.0
#2 Red Bull Salzburg 20.4
=3 SK Rapid Wien 16.1
=3 SK Sturm Graz 16.1
#5 SV Ried 15.6
#6 SC Austria Lustenau 14.1
#7 Grazer AK 1902 12.7
#8 Wolfsberger AC 11.9
#9 SC Rheindorf Altach 11.7
#10 WSG Tirol 11.0
#11 Austria Wien 9.6
#12 TSV Hartberg 9.0
League avg
14.1
Total
67 shots from 7 matches
Chance quality
0.08 npxG per shot
#12/12
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Austrian Bundesliga, best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 SK Rapid Wien 0.13
#2 Red Bull Salzburg 0.13
#3 LASK 0.11
#4 SV Ried 0.11
#5 WSG Tirol 0.10
#6 SC Rheindorf Altach 0.10
#7 TSV Hartberg 0.10
#8 Wolfsberger AC 0.09
#9 SK Sturm Graz 0.09
#10 SC Austria Lustenau 0.08
#11 Grazer AK 1902 0.08
#12 Austria Wien 0.08
League avg
0.10
Total
5.25 npxG from 67 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
13.0 shots per match
#5/12
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Austrian Bundesliga, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 LASK 7.7
#2 Red Bull Salzburg 11.0
#3 SK Rapid Wien 12.1
#4 WSG Tirol 12.4
#5 Austria Wien 13.0
=6 SC Rheindorf Altach 13.9
=6 SK Sturm Graz 13.9
#8 SC Austria Lustenau 15.0
#9 Grazer AK 1902 16.1
#10 SV Ried 17.0
#11 Wolfsberger AC 17.6
#12 TSV Hartberg 19.6
League avg
14.1
Total
91 shots allowed from 7 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.14 npxGA per shot
#11/12
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Austrian Bundesliga, best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 SK Sturm Graz 0.08
#2 SV Ried 0.09
#3 SK Rapid Wien 0.09
#4 TSV Hartberg 0.09
#5 SC Austria Lustenau 0.09
#6 Red Bull Salzburg 0.09
#7 SC Rheindorf Altach 0.09
#8 Grazer AK 1902 0.10
#9 LASK 0.10
#10 Wolfsberger AC 0.13
#11 Austria Wien 0.14
#12 WSG Tirol 0.14
League avg
0.10
Total
12.82 npxGA from 91 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

61% inside the box

League avg 62%

From 41 of 67 shots over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

Shots allowed, location

65% allowed inside the box

League avg 62%

From 59 of 91 shots allowed over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG comes from

69% open play · 31% set pieces

League avg 27% set pieces

From 1.6 of 5.1 npxG over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG allowed comes from

63% open play · 37% set pieces

League avg 27% set pieces

From 4.0 of 10.9 npxG allowed over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

Austria Wien home and away xG

Austria Wien per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 3 4
xG / match 0.75 0.73
xGA / match 2.29 1.53
xGD / match -1.55 -0.79
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 0.62 0.89

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every Austria Wien match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.71. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

Austria Wien in Austrian Bundesliga

Attack

Defence

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →