Expected goals
Austria Wien expected goals (xG) 2026/2027
Austrian Bundesliga · after 7 matches · updated 1 Oct
Austria Wien's attacking and defensive expected goals in Austrian Bundesliga 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.
Austria Wien xG and xGA per match
Every match ↓| Rank | Club | xG per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Red Bull Salzburg | 2.68 |
| #2 | LASK | 2.54 |
| #3 | SK Rapid Wien | 2.26 |
| #4 | SV Ried | 1.96 |
| #5 | SK Sturm Graz | 1.83 |
| #6 | WSG Tirol | 1.52 |
| #7 | SC Rheindorf Altach | 1.24 |
| #8 | SC Austria Lustenau | 1.24 |
| #9 | Grazer AK 1902 | 1.14 |
| #10 | Wolfsberger AC | 1.14 |
| #11 | TSV Hartberg | 1.01 |
| #12 | Austria Wien | 0.74 |
- League avg
- 1.61
- Total
- 5.17 7 matches
| Rank | Club | xGA per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | LASK | 0.93 |
| #2 | Red Bull Salzburg | 1.08 |
| #3 | SK Rapid Wien | 1.10 |
| #4 | SK Sturm Graz | 1.29 |
| #5 | SC Rheindorf Altach | 1.33 |
| #6 | SV Ried | 1.75 |
| #7 | Grazer AK 1902 | 1.75 |
| #8 | WSG Tirol | 1.76 |
| #9 | Austria Wien | 1.85 |
| #10 | SC Austria Lustenau | 1.89 |
| #11 | TSV Hartberg | 2.02 |
| #12 | Wolfsberger AC | 2.53 |
- League avg
- 1.61
- Total
- 12.98 7 matches
| Rank | Club | xGD per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | LASK | +1.60 |
| #2 | Red Bull Salzburg | +1.60 |
| #3 | SK Rapid Wien | +1.16 |
| #4 | SK Sturm Graz | +0.53 |
| #5 | SV Ried | +0.22 |
| #6 | SC Rheindorf Altach | -0.08 |
| #7 | WSG Tirol | -0.24 |
| #8 | Grazer AK 1902 | -0.61 |
| #9 | SC Austria Lustenau | -0.65 |
| #10 | TSV Hartberg | -1.01 |
| #11 | Austria Wien | -1.12 |
| #12 | Wolfsberger AC | -1.39 |
- League avg
- 0.00
- Total
- -7.81 7 matches
| Rank | Club | xPts per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | LASK | 2.33 |
| #2 | Red Bull Salzburg | 2.33 |
| #3 | SK Rapid Wien | 1.95 |
| #4 | SK Sturm Graz | 1.70 |
| #5 | SC Rheindorf Altach | 1.42 |
| #6 | SV Ried | 1.40 |
| #7 | WSG Tirol | 1.32 |
| #8 | Grazer AK 1902 | 1.20 |
| #9 | SC Austria Lustenau | 0.93 |
| #10 | TSV Hartberg | 0.79 |
| #11 | Austria Wien | 0.77 |
| #12 | Wolfsberger AC | 0.70 |
- League avg
- 1.41
- Total
- 5.42 vs 7 actual pts
Early-season figures: after 7 matches, per-match rates can move quickly.
What the xG says
Austria Wien's underlying numbers are among the weakest in Austrian Bundesliga. They rank #11 for xG difference at -1.12 per match, from low shot volume and the league's lowest chance quality. Their 7 goals are 1.83 above 5.17 xG, while 7 points are 1.58 above 5.42 xPts. After only 7 matches, those gaps should still be read cautiously.
Actual vs expected
Select a row to chart it across the season.
Goals minus xG, match by match
Austria Wien are 1.83 goals above their xG after 7 matches.
- Goals
- 7
- xG
- 5.17
- Gap
- +1.83
- This match
- Match gap
- Running gap
| Date | Opponent | Goals | xG | Match gap | Running gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 02/08 | Wolfsberger AC | 0 | 0.35 | -0.35 | -0.35 |
| Sun 09/08 | LASK | 0 | 0.21 | -0.21 | -0.56 |
| Sun 16/08 | TSV Hartberg | 2 | 0.99 | +1.01 | +0.45 |
| Sun 30/08 | Red Bull Salzburg | 1 | 0.76 | +0.24 | +0.69 |
| Wed 02/09 | WSG Tirol | 0 | 0.51 | -0.51 | +0.18 |
| Sun 13/09 | SC Austria Lustenau | 2 | 1.52 | +0.48 | +0.66 |
| Sat 19/09 | Grazer AK 1902 | 2 | 0.83 | +1.17 | +1.83 |
Austria Wien xG trend
Current form -0.85 npxGD per match
The last 6 matches with xG.
Out-created the opponent in 3 of 7 matches. The worst was against LASK on Sun 09/08 (-3.13).
- npxG · last 6
- 0.82
- npxGA · last 6
- 1.67
- npxG
- npxGA
- npxGD
- Avg so far
| Date | Opponent | npxG | npxGA | npxGD | Avg so far |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 02/08 | Wolfsberger AC | 0.35 | 2.80 | -2.45 | -2.45 |
| Sun 09/08 | LASK | 0.21 | 3.34 | -3.13 | -2.79 |
| Sun 16/08 | TSV Hartberg | 1.15 | 0.81 | +0.34 | -1.75 |
| Sun 30/08 | Red Bull Salzburg | 0.69 | 1.76 | -1.07 | -1.58 |
| Wed 02/09 | WSG Tirol | 0.52 | 1.83 | -1.31 | -1.52 |
| Sun 13/09 | SC Austria Lustenau | 1.52 | 1.48 | +0.04 | -1.26 |
| Sat 19/09 | Grazer AK 1902 | 0.81 | 0.80 | +0.01 | -1.08 |
Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 0.75 npxG and 1.83 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.
Strength of schedule
- Season so far
- number 8 hardest of 12 in Austrian Bundesliga
- −0.02 xG vs league average
- Over 7 league matches
- Last 5
- number 9 hardest of 12 in Austrian Bundesliga
- −0.11 xG vs league average
- Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures
Season so far
−0.02 xG vs league average · over 7 matches · number 8 hardest of 12
- Grazer AK 1902 Away −0.29
- SC Austria Lustenau Home −0.24
- WSG Tirol Home −0.25
- Red Bull Salzburg Away +0.74
- TSV Hartberg Away −0.52
- LASK Home +0.91
- Wolfsberger AC Away −0.48
Last 5
−0.11 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 9 hardest of 12
- Grazer AK 1902 Away −0.29
- SC Austria Lustenau Home −0.24
- WSG Tirol Home −0.25
- Red Bull Salzburg Away +0.74
- TSV Hartberg Away −0.52
Austria Wien shots and chance quality
Low volume, low quality. Austria Wien take 9.6 shots a match (league 14.1) at 0.08 npxG a shot (league 0.10), #11 in Austrian Bundesliga for volume and #12 for quality. 61% of their shots come from inside the box (league 62%), and set pieces produce 31% of their npxG (league 27%).
Attack
| Rank | Club | shots per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | LASK | 21.0 |
| #2 | Red Bull Salzburg | 20.4 |
| =3 | SK Rapid Wien | 16.1 |
| =3 | SK Sturm Graz | 16.1 |
| #5 | SV Ried | 15.6 |
| #6 | SC Austria Lustenau | 14.1 |
| #7 | Grazer AK 1902 | 12.7 |
| #8 | Wolfsberger AC | 11.9 |
| #9 | SC Rheindorf Altach | 11.7 |
| #10 | WSG Tirol | 11.0 |
| #11 | Austria Wien | 9.6 |
| #12 | TSV Hartberg | 9.0 |
- League avg
- 14.1
- Total
- 67 shots from 7 matches
| Rank | Club | npxG per shot |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | SK Rapid Wien | 0.13 |
| #2 | Red Bull Salzburg | 0.13 |
| #3 | LASK | 0.11 |
| #4 | SV Ried | 0.11 |
| #5 | WSG Tirol | 0.10 |
| #6 | SC Rheindorf Altach | 0.10 |
| #7 | TSV Hartberg | 0.10 |
| #8 | Wolfsberger AC | 0.09 |
| #9 | SK Sturm Graz | 0.09 |
| #10 | SC Austria Lustenau | 0.08 |
| #11 | Grazer AK 1902 | 0.08 |
| #12 | Austria Wien | 0.08 |
- League avg
- 0.10
- Total
- 5.25 npxG from 67 shots
Defence
| Rank | Club | shots per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | LASK | 7.7 |
| #2 | Red Bull Salzburg | 11.0 |
| #3 | SK Rapid Wien | 12.1 |
| #4 | WSG Tirol | 12.4 |
| #5 | Austria Wien | 13.0 |
| =6 | SC Rheindorf Altach | 13.9 |
| =6 | SK Sturm Graz | 13.9 |
| #8 | SC Austria Lustenau | 15.0 |
| #9 | Grazer AK 1902 | 16.1 |
| #10 | SV Ried | 17.0 |
| #11 | Wolfsberger AC | 17.6 |
| #12 | TSV Hartberg | 19.6 |
- League avg
- 14.1
- Total
- 91 shots allowed from 7 matches
| Rank | Club | npxGA per shot |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | SK Sturm Graz | 0.08 |
| #2 | SV Ried | 0.09 |
| #3 | SK Rapid Wien | 0.09 |
| #4 | TSV Hartberg | 0.09 |
| #5 | SC Austria Lustenau | 0.09 |
| #6 | Red Bull Salzburg | 0.09 |
| #7 | SC Rheindorf Altach | 0.09 |
| #8 | Grazer AK 1902 | 0.10 |
| #9 | LASK | 0.10 |
| #10 | Wolfsberger AC | 0.13 |
| #11 | Austria Wien | 0.14 |
| #12 | WSG Tirol | 0.14 |
- League avg
- 0.10
- Total
- 12.82 npxGA from 91 shots
Shot profile
61% inside the box
League avg 62%
From 41 of 67 shots over 7 matches
Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.
65% allowed inside the box
League avg 62%
From 59 of 91 shots allowed over 7 matches
Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.
69% open play · 31% set pieces
League avg 27% set pieces
From 1.6 of 5.1 npxG over 7 matches
Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.
63% open play · 37% set pieces
League avg 27% set pieces
From 4.0 of 10.9 npxG allowed over 7 matches
Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.
Austria Wien home and away xG
| Measure | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 3 | 4 |
| xG / match | 0.75 | 0.73 |
| xGA / match | 2.29 | 1.53 |
| xGD / match | -1.55 | -0.79 |
| xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → | 0.62 | 0.89 |
Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.
Every Austria Wien match by xG
This season
- Matches
- 7
- xG / match
- 0.74
- xGA / match
- 1.85
- xGD / match
- -1.12
- Points
- 7 of 21
- Sat 19/09 Grazer AK 1902 A xG 0.83 xGA 0.80 xGD +0.03 xPts 1.32
- Sun 13/09 SC Austria Lustenau H xG 1.52 xGA 1.48 xGD +0.04 xPts 1.40
- Wed 02/09 WSG Tirol H xG 0.51 xGA 1.69 xGD -1.18 xPts 0.45
- Sun 30/08 Red Bull Salzburg A xG 0.76 xGA 1.71 xGD -0.95 xPts 0.61
- Sun 16/08 TSV Hartberg A Best underlying xG 0.99 xGA 0.79 xGD +0.20 xPts 1.51
- Sun 09/08 LASK H Weakest underlying xG 0.21 xGA 3.71 xGD -3.50 xPts 0.03
- Sun 02/08 Wolfsberger AC A xG 0.35 xGA 2.80 xGD -2.45 xPts 0.11
Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.71. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.
Austria Wien in Austrian Bundesliga
Attack
- xG / match #12 of 12
- Shots / match #11 of 12
- Chance quality #12 of 12
- Home xG #12 of 12
- Away xG #11 of 12
Defence
- xGA / match #9 of 12
- Shots allowed #5 of 12
- Chance quality allowed #11 of 12
About the data
- xG data
- Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
- Derived metrics
- xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
- Model metrics
- xPts is produced by our probability model.