xgEdge

Saturday, 16/05/2026 at 15:30

Full time
Match report · Bundesliga

FC Bayern München 5:1 1. FC Köln

FC Bayern München Home 3.05 xG · 19 shots
1. FC Köln Away 0.98 xG · 9 shots
51 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

  1. 10' Harry Kane FC Bayern München · 0.11 xG chance 1–0
  2. 13' Harry Kane FC Bayern München · 0.15 xG chance 2–0
  3. 18' Said El Mala 1. FC Köln · 0.36 xG chance 2–1
  4. 22' Tom Bischof FC Bayern München · 0.10 xG chance 3–1
  5. 69' Harry Kane FC Bayern München · 0.02 xG chance 4–1
  6. 83' Nicolas Jackson FC Bayern München · 0.54 xG chance 5–1

The shots behind it

FC Bayern München 1. FC Köln
Shots
19
9
On target
7
2
Inside the box
11
8
xG per shot
0.15
0.10
Open play xG
2.48
0.52
Set-piece xG
0.28
0.35
Penalties
—
—
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 2.72 for FC Bayern München and 0.90 for 1. FC Köln.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

FC Bayern München · Luis Díaz · 43' · No goal · 12 m · 0.55 xG FC Bayern München · Nicolas Jackson · 83' · Goal · 10 m · 0.54 xG 1. FC Köln · Said El Mala · 18' · Goal · 10 m · 0.36 xG FC Bayern München · Harry Kane · 44' · No goal · 4 m · 0.33 xG FC Bayern München · Lennart Karl · 28' · No goal · 7 m · 0.22 xG FC Bayern München · Harry Kane · 13' · Goal · 19 m · 0.15 xG FC Bayern München · Jamal Musiala · 44' · No goal · 8 m · 0.15 xG FC Bayern München · Michael Olise · 90' · No goal · 10 m · 0.14 xG FC Bayern München · Harry Kane · 10' · Goal · 8 m · 0.11 xG 1. FC Köln · Eric Martel · 67' · No goal · 7 m · 0.11 xG 1. FC Köln · Sebastian Sebulonsen · 67' · No goal · 14 m · 0.11 xG FC Bayern München · Tom Bischof · 22' · Goal · 19 m · 0.10 xG FC Bayern München · Lennart Karl · 53' · No goal · 16 m · 0.10 xG 1. FC Köln · Eric Martel · 45' · No goal · 14 m · 0.08 xG FC Bayern München · Joshua Kimmich · 85' · No goal · 17 m · 0.08 xG 1. FC Köln · Marius Bülter · 59' · No goal · 5 m · 0.07 xG FC Bayern München · Raphaël Guerreiro · 90' · No goal · 11 m · 0.07 xG 1. FC Köln · Jakub Kamiński · 45' · No goal · 15 m · 0.05 xG FC Bayern München · Jamal Musiala · 64' · No goal · 18 m · 0.05 xG FC Bayern München · Leon Goretzka · 78' · No goal · 25 m · 0.05 xG 1. FC Köln · Jahmai Simpson-Pusey · 45' · No goal · 12 m · 0.04 xG FC Bayern München · Harry Kane · 2' · No goal · 24 m · 0.03 xG FC Bayern München · Luis Díaz · 26' · No goal · 15 m · 0.03 xG 1. FC Köln · Linton Maina · 47' · No goal · 13 m · 0.03 xG FC Bayern München · Luis Díaz · 65' · No goal · 18 m · 0.03 xG FC Bayern München · Harry Kane · 69' · Goal · 30 m · 0.02 xG 1. FC Köln · Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson · 88' · No goal · 25 m · 0.02 xG FC Bayern München · Leon Goretzka · 27' · No goal · 28 m · 0.01 xG

All shots

28 shots · 3.63 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

  • FC Bayern München
  • 1. FC Köln
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
FC Bayern München

2.94 xG created 2.00 xGA

  • W 2.80 created, 1.82 conceded against SC Freiburg
  • W 3.84 created, 0.49 conceded against FC St. Pauli
  • W 4.61 created, 1.35 conceded against VfB Stuttgart
  • W 2.21 created, 2.69 conceded against 1. FSV Mainz 05
  • D 2.31 created, 2.59 conceded against 1. FC Heidenheim
  • W 1.85 created, 3.04 conceded against VfL Wolfsburg
1. FC Köln

2.29 xG created 1.53 xGA

  • D 3.11 created, 2.34 conceded against Eintracht Frankfurt
  • W 3.33 created, 0.99 conceded against SV Werder Bremen
  • D 1.33 created, 2.01 conceded against FC St. Pauli
  • L 3.04 created, 1.33 conceded against Bayer 04 Leverkusen
  • D 1.75 created, 1.15 conceded against 1. FC Union Berlin
  • L 1.17 created, 1.36 conceded against 1. FC Heidenheim

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

FC Bayern München: 1 won · 0 drawn · 0 lost

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.