xgEdge

Every Bundesliga match still to be played this season, soonest first, with the xG the model projects for each side and its home, draw and away probabilities.

  • Home
  • Draw
  • Away
Tight Within 3 points either way Clear favourite 55% or more Form, oldest → newest: W D L

Saturday, 21/11/2026

2 matches
  • Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Win, Draw
    TSG Hoffenheim TSG Hoffenheim, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.54 – 1.66
    →
  • FC Schalke 04 FC Schalke 04, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Win, Draw
    VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.64 – 1.84
    →

Sunday, 22/11/2026

2 matches
  • FC Augsburg FC Augsburg, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Loss
    1. FSV Mainz 05 1. FSV Mainz 05, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.70 – 1.96
    →
  • SV Werder Bremen SV Werder Bremen, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Draw, Win
    Hamburger SV Hamburger SV, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.67 – 1.03
    →

Friday, 27/11/2026

1 match
  • SV Werder Bremen SV Werder Bremen, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Draw, Win
    Borussia M'gladbach Borussia M'gladbach, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.72 – 1.14
    →

Saturday, 28/11/2026

5 matches
  • 1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Loss
    SV 07 Elversberg SV 07 Elversberg, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 2.14 – 1.31
    Clear favourite
    →
  • 1. FSV Mainz 05 1. FSV Mainz 05, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Loss, Win
    1. FC Union Berlin 1. FC Union Berlin, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 2.16 – 1.16
    Clear favourite
    →
  • SC Paderborn 07 SC Paderborn 07, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Loss, Win
    FC Schalke 04 FC Schalke 04, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.70 – 1.27
    →
  • Hamburger SV Hamburger SV, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Win
    FC Bayern München FC Bayern München, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.15 – 2.11
    Clear favourite
    →
  • VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Loss, Loss
    Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 2.18 – 1.31
    Clear favourite
    →

Sunday, 29/11/2026

3 matches
  • SC Freiburg SC Freiburg, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Draw
    RB Leipzig RB Leipzig, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.67 – 1.55
    →
  • TSG Hoffenheim TSG Hoffenheim, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Win, Loss
    FC Augsburg FC Augsburg, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Loss
    Projected xG 2.43 – 1.38
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win
    Bayer 04 Leverkusen Bayer 04 Leverkusen, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.50 – 1.35
    →

Saturday, 05/12/2026

9 matches
  • 1. FC Union Berlin 1. FC Union Berlin, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Hamburger SV Hamburger SV, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.68 – 1.25
    →
  • FC Schalke 04 FC Schalke 04, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Win, Draw
    Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.24 – 1.62
    →
  • Bayer 04 Leverkusen Bayer 04 Leverkusen, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Draw, Win
    Borussia M'gladbach Borussia M'gladbach, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 2.43 – 1.05
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Win, Draw
    SV Werder Bremen SV Werder Bremen, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.42 – 1.29
    →
  • RB Leipzig RB Leipzig, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Loss
    1. FSV Mainz 05 1. FSV Mainz 05, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 2.04 – 1.48
    →
  • SV 07 Elversberg SV 07 Elversberg, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Loss, Draw
    VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.70 – 1.86
    →
  • SC Freiburg SC Freiburg, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Draw
    TSG Hoffenheim TSG Hoffenheim, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.75 – 1.43
    →
  • FC Bayern München FC Bayern München, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Win
    SC Paderborn 07 SC Paderborn 07, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 2.46 – 0.96
    Clear favourite
    →
  • FC Augsburg FC Augsburg, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Loss
    1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Loss
    Projected xG 1.79 – 1.85
    Tight
    →

Saturday, 12/12/2026

9 matches
  • SC Paderborn 07 SC Paderborn 07, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Loss, Win
    SV 07 Elversberg SV 07 Elversberg, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.72 – 1.32
    →
  • SV Werder Bremen SV Werder Bremen, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Draw, Win
    Bayer 04 Leverkusen Bayer 04 Leverkusen, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.26 – 1.53
    →
  • VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Loss, Loss
    1. FC Union Berlin 1. FC Union Berlin, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 2.23 – 1.27
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win
    FC Augsburg FC Augsburg, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Loss
    Projected xG 2.24 – 1.11
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Hamburger SV Hamburger SV, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Win
    FC Schalke 04 FC Schalke 04, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.62 – 1.37
    →
  • 1. FSV Mainz 05 1. FSV Mainz 05, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Loss, Win
    SC Freiburg SC Freiburg, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.82 – 1.36
    →
  • 1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Loss
    RB Leipzig RB Leipzig, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.75 – 1.70
    Tight
    →
  • TSG Hoffenheim TSG Hoffenheim, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Win, Loss
    FC Bayern München FC Bayern München, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.56 – 1.88
    →
  • Borussia M'gladbach Borussia M'gladbach, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.69 – 1.42
    →

Saturday, 19/12/2026

9 matches
  • FC Schalke 04 FC Schalke 04, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Win, Draw
    Borussia M'gladbach Borussia M'gladbach, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.78 – 1.42
    →
  • FC Bayern München FC Bayern München, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Win
    SV Werder Bremen SV Werder Bremen, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 2.17 – 0.96
    Clear favourite
    →
  • SV 07 Elversberg SV 07 Elversberg, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Loss, Draw
    Hamburger SV Hamburger SV, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.80 – 1.31
    →
  • Bayer 04 Leverkusen Bayer 04 Leverkusen, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Draw, Win
    Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 2.28 – 1.04
    Clear favourite
    →
  • SC Freiburg SC Freiburg, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Draw
    VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.87 – 1.49
    →
  • RB Leipzig RB Leipzig, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Loss
    Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.68 – 1.34
    →
  • 1. FSV Mainz 05 1. FSV Mainz 05, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Loss, Win
    1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Loss
    Projected xG 2.00 – 1.43
    →
  • 1. FC Union Berlin 1. FC Union Berlin, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Loss, Loss
    TSG Hoffenheim TSG Hoffenheim, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.49 – 1.70
    →
  • FC Augsburg FC Augsburg, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Loss
    SC Paderborn 07 SC Paderborn 07, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.80 – 1.49
    →

Saturday, 09/01/2027

9 matches
  • VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Loss, Loss
    FC Augsburg FC Augsburg, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Loss
    Projected xG 2.55 – 1.47
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Hamburger SV Hamburger SV, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Win
    Bayer 04 Leverkusen Bayer 04 Leverkusen, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.20 – 1.88
    →
  • 1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Loss
    SC Freiburg SC Freiburg, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.72 – 1.43
    →
  • Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Win, Draw
    FC Schalke 04 FC Schalke 04, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.78 – 1.33
    →
  • TSG Hoffenheim TSG Hoffenheim, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Win, Loss
    SV 07 Elversberg SV 07 Elversberg, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 2.23 – 1.27
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Borussia M'gladbach Borussia M'gladbach, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss
    FC Bayern München FC Bayern München, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.27 – 2.18
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win
    1. FSV Mainz 05 1. FSV Mainz 05, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.73 – 1.25
    →
  • SV Werder Bremen SV Werder Bremen, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Draw, Win
    1. FC Union Berlin 1. FC Union Berlin, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.66 – 1.09
    →
  • SC Paderborn 07 SC Paderborn 07, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Loss, Win
    RB Leipzig RB Leipzig, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.41 – 1.72
    →

Wednesday, 13/01/2027

1 match
  • 1. FSV Mainz 05 1. FSV Mainz 05, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Loss, Win
    TSG Hoffenheim TSG Hoffenheim, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.94 – 1.49
    →

Probabilities and projected xG are model estimates, rounded so the three add to 100. They read shot quality over recent matches and know nothing about injuries, suspensions or motivation.