xgEdge

Every Bundesliga match still to be played this season, soonest first, with the xG the model projects for each side and its home, draw and away probabilities.

  • Home
  • Draw
  • Away
Tight Within 3 points either way Clear favourite 55% or more Form, oldest → newest: W D L

Saturday, 20/03/2027

7 matches
  • Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win
    Borussia M'gladbach Borussia M'gladbach, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 2.04 – 1.00
    Clear favourite
    →
  • 1. FSV Mainz 05 1. FSV Mainz 05, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Loss, Win
    FC Augsburg FC Augsburg, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Loss
    Projected xG 2.46 – 1.35
    Clear favourite
    →
  • VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Loss, Loss
    FC Schalke 04 FC Schalke 04, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 2.31 – 1.30
    Clear favourite
    →
  • RB Leipzig RB Leipzig, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Loss
    1. FC Union Berlin 1. FC Union Berlin, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 2.32 – 1.13
    Clear favourite
    →
  • SC Freiburg SC Freiburg, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Draw
    SV 07 Elversberg SV 07 Elversberg, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 2.04 – 1.19
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Hamburger SV Hamburger SV, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Win
    SV Werder Bremen SV Werder Bremen, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.30 – 1.33
    Tight
    →
  • SC Paderborn 07 SC Paderborn 07, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Loss, Win
    Bayer 04 Leverkusen Bayer 04 Leverkusen, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.26 – 1.73
    →

Saturday, 03/04/2027

9 matches
  • RB Leipzig RB Leipzig, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Loss
    SC Freiburg SC Freiburg, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.95 – 1.33
    →
  • SV 07 Elversberg SV 07 Elversberg, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Loss, Draw
    1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Loss
    Projected xG 1.64 – 1.70
    Tight
    →
  • FC Bayern München FC Bayern München, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Win
    Hamburger SV Hamburger SV, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 2.66 – 0.91
    Clear favourite
    →
  • FC Augsburg FC Augsburg, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Loss
    TSG Hoffenheim TSG Hoffenheim, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.74 – 1.93
    →
  • Borussia M'gladbach Borussia M'gladbach, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss
    SV Werder Bremen SV Werder Bremen, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.43 – 1.37
    Tight
    →
  • Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Win, Draw
    VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.64 – 1.74
    →
  • 1. FC Union Berlin 1. FC Union Berlin, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Loss, Loss
    1. FSV Mainz 05 1. FSV Mainz 05, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.46 – 1.72
    →
  • Bayer 04 Leverkusen Bayer 04 Leverkusen, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Draw, Win
    Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.69 – 1.19
    →
  • FC Schalke 04 FC Schalke 04, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Win, Draw
    SC Paderborn 07 SC Paderborn 07, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.59 – 1.36
    →

Saturday, 10/04/2027

9 matches
  • VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Loss, Loss
    SV 07 Elversberg SV 07 Elversberg, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 2.33 – 1.36
    Clear favourite
    →
  • SC Paderborn 07 SC Paderborn 07, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Loss, Win
    FC Bayern München FC Bayern München, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.21 – 1.96
    →
  • TSG Hoffenheim TSG Hoffenheim, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Win, Loss
    SC Freiburg SC Freiburg, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.79 – 1.39
    →
  • 1. FSV Mainz 05 1. FSV Mainz 05, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Loss, Win
    RB Leipzig RB Leipzig, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.85 – 1.62
    →
  • SV Werder Bremen SV Werder Bremen, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Draw, Win
    Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.62 – 1.13
    →
  • Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win
    FC Schalke 04 FC Schalke 04, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 2.03 – 0.98
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Hamburger SV Hamburger SV, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Win
    1. FC Union Berlin 1. FC Union Berlin, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.57 – 1.33
    →
  • Borussia M'gladbach Borussia M'gladbach, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Bayer 04 Leverkusen Bayer 04 Leverkusen, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.32 – 1.93
    →
  • 1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Loss
    FC Augsburg FC Augsburg, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Loss
    Projected xG 2.33 – 1.42
    Clear favourite
    →

Saturday, 17/04/2027

9 matches
  • Bayer 04 Leverkusen Bayer 04 Leverkusen, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Draw, Win
    SV Werder Bremen SV Werder Bremen, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.93 – 1.00
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Win, Draw
    Borussia M'gladbach Borussia M'gladbach, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.78 – 1.34
    →
  • 1. FC Union Berlin 1. FC Union Berlin, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Loss, Loss
    VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.59 – 1.78
    →
  • FC Bayern München FC Bayern München, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Win
    TSG Hoffenheim TSG Hoffenheim, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 2.37 – 1.24
    Clear favourite
    →
  • FC Schalke 04 FC Schalke 04, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Win, Draw
    Hamburger SV Hamburger SV, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.72 – 1.29
    →
  • SV 07 Elversberg SV 07 Elversberg, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Loss, Draw
    SC Paderborn 07 SC Paderborn 07, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.66 – 1.37
    →
  • FC Augsburg FC Augsburg, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Loss
    Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.40 – 1.78
    →
  • SC Freiburg SC Freiburg, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Draw
    1. FSV Mainz 05 1. FSV Mainz 05, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.71 – 1.45
    →
  • RB Leipzig RB Leipzig, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Loss
    1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Loss
    Projected xG 2.14 – 1.39
    →

Saturday, 24/04/2027

9 matches
  • SV Werder Bremen SV Werder Bremen, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Draw, Win
    FC Bayern München FC Bayern München, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.21 – 1.73
    →
  • 1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Loss
    1. FSV Mainz 05 1. FSV Mainz 05, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.80 – 1.59
    →
  • Hamburger SV Hamburger SV, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Win
    SV 07 Elversberg SV 07 Elversberg, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.64 – 1.43
    →
  • Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win
    RB Leipzig RB Leipzig, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.69 – 1.33
    →
  • TSG Hoffenheim TSG Hoffenheim, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Win, Loss
    1. FC Union Berlin 1. FC Union Berlin, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 2.13 – 1.19
    Clear favourite
    →
  • SC Paderborn 07 SC Paderborn 07, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Loss, Win
    FC Augsburg FC Augsburg, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Loss
    Projected xG 1.88 – 1.44
    →
  • VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Loss, Loss
    SC Freiburg SC Freiburg, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.88 – 1.49
    →
  • Borussia M'gladbach Borussia M'gladbach, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss
    FC Schalke 04 FC Schalke 04, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.79 – 1.41
    →
  • Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Win, Draw
    Bayer 04 Leverkusen Bayer 04 Leverkusen, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.31 – 1.82
    →

Saturday, 08/05/2027

7 matches
  • FC Schalke 04 FC Schalke 04, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Win, Draw
    Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.67 – 1.41
    →
  • RB Leipzig RB Leipzig, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Loss
    SC Paderborn 07 SC Paderborn 07, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 2.16 – 1.12
    Clear favourite
    →
  • SC Freiburg SC Freiburg, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Draw
    1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Loss
    Projected xG 1.80 – 1.37
    →
  • 1. FSV Mainz 05 1. FSV Mainz 05, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Loss, Win
    Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.57 – 1.38
    →
  • FC Augsburg FC Augsburg, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Loss
    VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.85 – 2.03
    →
  • 1. FC Union Berlin 1. FC Union Berlin, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Loss, Loss
    SV Werder Bremen SV Werder Bremen, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.37 – 1.32
    Tight
    →
  • SV 07 Elversberg SV 07 Elversberg, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Loss, Draw
    TSG Hoffenheim TSG Hoffenheim, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.60 – 1.77
    →

Probabilities and projected xG are model estimates, rounded so the three add to 100. They read shot quality over recent matches and know nothing about injuries, suspensions or motivation.