xgEdge

Every Bundesliga match still to be played this season, soonest first, with the xG the model projects for each side and its home, draw and away probabilities.

  • Home
  • Draw
  • Away
Tight Within 3 points either way Clear favourite 55% or more Form, oldest → newest: W D L

Wednesday, 13/01/2027

8 matches
  • SC Freiburg SC Freiburg, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Draw
    Hamburger SV Hamburger SV, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.97 – 1.05
    Clear favourite
    →
  • FC Schalke 04 FC Schalke 04, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Win, Draw
    SV Werder Bremen SV Werder Bremen, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.41 – 1.36
    Tight
    →
  • RB Leipzig RB Leipzig, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Loss
    VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 2.22 – 1.52
    →
  • 1. FC Union Berlin 1. FC Union Berlin, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Loss, Loss
    SC Paderborn 07 SC Paderborn 07, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.55 – 1.31
    →
  • FC Bayern München FC Bayern München, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Win
    Bayer 04 Leverkusen Bayer 04 Leverkusen, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 2.01 – 1.36
    →
  • FC Augsburg FC Augsburg, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Loss
    Borussia M'gladbach Borussia M'gladbach, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 2.01 – 1.57
    →
  • SV 07 Elversberg SV 07 Elversberg, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Loss, Draw
    Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.74 – 1.43
    →
  • 1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Loss
    Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.48 – 1.45
    Tight
    →

Saturday, 16/01/2027

9 matches
  • SV Werder Bremen SV Werder Bremen, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Draw, Win
    SV 07 Elversberg SV 07 Elversberg, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.73 – 1.17
    →
  • Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Win, Draw
    FC Bayern München FC Bayern München, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.26 – 2.05
    Clear favourite
    →
  • SC Paderborn 07 SC Paderborn 07, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Loss, Win
    1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Loss
    Projected xG 1.52 – 1.52
    Tight
    →
  • TSG Hoffenheim TSG Hoffenheim, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Win, Loss
    RB Leipzig RB Leipzig, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.83 – 1.66
    →
  • Bayer 04 Leverkusen Bayer 04 Leverkusen, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Draw, Win
    FC Schalke 04 FC Schalke 04, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 2.42 – 1.04
    Clear favourite
    →
  • VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Loss, Loss
    1. FSV Mainz 05 1. FSV Mainz 05, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.97 – 1.65
    →
  • Hamburger SV Hamburger SV, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Win
    FC Augsburg FC Augsburg, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Loss
    Projected xG 1.79 – 1.55
    →
  • Borussia M'gladbach Borussia M'gladbach, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss
    1. FC Union Berlin 1. FC Union Berlin, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.73 – 1.37
    →
  • Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win
    SC Freiburg SC Freiburg, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.65 – 1.12
    →

Saturday, 23/01/2027

9 matches
  • SV Werder Bremen SV Werder Bremen, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Draw, Win
    SC Freiburg SC Freiburg, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.39 – 1.28
    →
  • Hamburger SV Hamburger SV, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Win
    Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.14 – 1.58
    →
  • SC Paderborn 07 SC Paderborn 07, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Loss, Win
    1. FSV Mainz 05 1. FSV Mainz 05, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.45 – 1.61
    →
  • FC Schalke 04 FC Schalke 04, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Win, Draw
    FC Augsburg FC Augsburg, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Loss
    Projected xG 1.95 – 1.59
    →
  • TSG Hoffenheim TSG Hoffenheim, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Win, Loss
    1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Loss
    Projected xG 1.97 – 1.46
    →
  • VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Loss, Loss
    FC Bayern München FC Bayern München, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.63 – 2.01
    →
  • Borussia M'gladbach Borussia M'gladbach, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss
    RB Leipzig RB Leipzig, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.48 – 1.91
    →
  • Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Win, Draw
    1. FC Union Berlin 1. FC Union Berlin, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.72 – 1.29
    →
  • Bayer 04 Leverkusen Bayer 04 Leverkusen, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Draw, Win
    SV 07 Elversberg SV 07 Elversberg, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 2.44 – 1.08
    Clear favourite
    →

Saturday, 30/01/2027

9 matches
  • SV 07 Elversberg SV 07 Elversberg, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Loss, Draw
    Borussia M'gladbach Borussia M'gladbach, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.85 – 1.44
    →
  • FC Augsburg FC Augsburg, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Loss
    Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.89 – 1.56
    →
  • 1. FSV Mainz 05 1. FSV Mainz 05, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Loss, Win
    Hamburger SV Hamburger SV, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 2.18 – 1.10
    Clear favourite
    →
  • RB Leipzig RB Leipzig, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Loss
    SV Werder Bremen SV Werder Bremen, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.91 – 1.13
    Clear favourite
    →
  • 1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Loss
    VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.96 – 1.64
    →
  • 1. FC Union Berlin 1. FC Union Berlin, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Bayer 04 Leverkusen Bayer 04 Leverkusen, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.27 – 1.86
    →
  • SC Freiburg SC Freiburg, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Draw
    SC Paderborn 07 SC Paderborn 07, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.82 – 1.10
    →
  • Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win
    TSG Hoffenheim TSG Hoffenheim, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.77 – 1.23
    →
  • FC Bayern München FC Bayern München, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Win
    FC Schalke 04 FC Schalke 04, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 2.72 – 1.00
    Clear favourite
    →

Saturday, 06/02/2027

9 matches
  • Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Win, Draw
    1. FSV Mainz 05 1. FSV Mainz 05, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.51 – 1.68
    →
  • Borussia M'gladbach Borussia M'gladbach, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss
    SC Freiburg SC Freiburg, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.45 – 1.61
    →
  • FC Schalke 04 FC Schalke 04, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Win, Draw
    1. FC Union Berlin 1. FC Union Berlin, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.71 – 1.37
    →
  • Hamburger SV Hamburger SV, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Win
    RB Leipzig RB Leipzig, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.34 – 1.86
    →
  • Bayer 04 Leverkusen Bayer 04 Leverkusen, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Draw, Win
    FC Augsburg FC Augsburg, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Loss
    Projected xG 2.66 – 1.17
    Clear favourite
    →
  • SV Werder Bremen SV Werder Bremen, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Draw, Win
    1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Loss
    Projected xG 1.53 – 1.34
    →
  • VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Loss, Loss
    TSG Hoffenheim TSG Hoffenheim, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 2.01 – 1.63
    →
  • FC Bayern München FC Bayern München, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Win
    SV 07 Elversberg SV 07 Elversberg, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 2.75 – 1.04
    Clear favourite
    →
  • SC Paderborn 07 SC Paderborn 07, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Loss, Win
    Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.19 – 1.46
    →

Saturday, 13/02/2027

6 matches
  • 1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Loss
    Hamburger SV Hamburger SV, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 2.06 – 1.15
    Clear favourite
    →
  • 1. FSV Mainz 05 1. FSV Mainz 05, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Loss, Win
    Borussia M'gladbach Borussia M'gladbach, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 2.25 – 1.21
    Clear favourite
    →
  • 1. FC Union Berlin 1. FC Union Berlin, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Loss, Loss
    FC Bayern München FC Bayern München, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.22 – 2.10
    Clear favourite
    →
  • SV 07 Elversberg SV 07 Elversberg, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Loss, Draw
    FC Schalke 04 FC Schalke 04, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.84 – 1.42
    →
  • Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win
    VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.88 – 1.29
    →
  • TSG Hoffenheim TSG Hoffenheim, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Win, Loss
    SC Paderborn 07 SC Paderborn 07, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.99 – 1.18
    Clear favourite
    →

Probabilities and projected xG are model estimates, rounded so the three add to 100. They read shot quality over recent matches and know nothing about injuries, suspensions or motivation.