xgEdge

Expected goals

Karmiotissa Polemidion expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

Cypriot First Division · after 4 matches · updated 1 Oct

Karmiotissa Polemidion's attacking and defensive expected goals in Cypriot First Division 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

Karmiotissa Polemidion xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
1.31 xG per match
#12/14
Attack (xG per match) across Cypriot First Division, best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 Omonia Nicosia 2.15
#2 Pafos FC 1.97
#3 AEK Larnaca 1.93
#4 Aris Limassol 1.71
#5 Olympiakos Nicosia 1.69
#6 Omonia Aradippou 1.61
#7 ALS Omonia 1.52
#8 APOEL Nicosia 1.47
#9 AEL Limassol 1.46
#10 Enosis Neon Ypsona FC 1.36
#11 Nea Salamina Famagusta 1.34
#12 Karmiotissa Polemidion 1.31
#13 Apollon Limassol 1.18
#14 Anorthosis Famagusta 1.14
League avg
1.55
Total
5.22 4 matches
Defence
2.43 xGA per match
#14/14
Defence (xGA per match) across Cypriot First Division, best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 APOEL Nicosia 0.68
#2 Omonia Nicosia 0.88
#3 Enosis Neon Ypsona FC 1.04
#4 Aris Limassol 1.25
#5 AEL Limassol 1.42
=6 Olympiakos Nicosia 1.52
=6 Apollon Limassol 1.52
#8 Anorthosis Famagusta 1.55
#9 Pafos FC 1.55
#10 AEK Larnaca 1.56
#11 Omonia Aradippou 1.96
#12 Nea Salamina Famagusta 2.04
#13 ALS Omonia 2.15
#14 Karmiotissa Polemidion 2.43
League avg
1.55
Total
9.72 4 matches
xG difference
-1.13 xGD per match
#14/14
xG difference (xGD per match) across Cypriot First Division, best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 Omonia Nicosia +1.27
#2 APOEL Nicosia +0.80
#3 Aris Limassol +0.46
#4 Pafos FC +0.42
#5 AEK Larnaca +0.37
#6 Enosis Neon Ypsona FC +0.32
#7 Olympiakos Nicosia +0.17
#8 AEL Limassol +0.04
#9 Apollon Limassol -0.34
#10 Omonia Aradippou -0.36
#11 Anorthosis Famagusta -0.41
#12 ALS Omonia -0.63
#13 Nea Salamina Famagusta -0.69
#14 Karmiotissa Polemidion -1.13
League avg
0.00
Total
-4.50 4 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
0.65 xPts per match
#14/14
Expected points (xPts per match) across Cypriot First Division, best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 Omonia Nicosia 2.26
#2 APOEL Nicosia 1.97
#3 Aris Limassol 1.73
#4 Pafos FC 1.65
#5 Enosis Neon Ypsona FC 1.62
#6 AEK Larnaca 1.53
#7 AEL Limassol 1.51
#8 Olympiakos Nicosia 1.48
#9 Omonia Aradippou 1.16
#10 Anorthosis Famagusta 1.09
#11 Apollon Limassol 1.04
#12 ALS Omonia 1.01
#13 Nea Salamina Famagusta 0.97
#14 Karmiotissa Polemidion 0.65
League avg
1.39
Total
2.60 vs 3 actual pts

Early-season figures: after 4 matches, per-match rates can move quickly.

What the xG says

Karmiotissa Polemidion's underlying numbers are among the weakest in Cypriot First Division. They rank #14 for xG difference at -1.13 per match, built on elite chance quality rather than low shot volume. After only 4 matches, treat every figure here as provisional.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG
3 5.22 -2.22 Too early to read
Goals conceded vs xGA
6 9.72 -3.72 Too early to read
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
3 2.60 +0.40 Too early to read

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

Karmiotissa Polemidion are 2.22 goals below their xG after 4 matches.

Goals
3
xG
5.22
Gap
-2.22
Sun 30/08 Fri 04/09 Sat 12/09 Sun 20/09 -3 -2 -1 0 +1 -2.20 -1.65 -1.98 -2.22 -2.20 +0.55 -0.33 -0.24 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
Karmiotissa Polemidion: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Sun 30/08 Pafos FC 0 2.20 -2.20 -2.20
Fri 04/09 ALS Omonia 2 1.45 +0.55 -1.65
Sat 12/09 Omonia Aradippou 1 1.33 -0.33 -1.98
Sun 20/09 Aris Limassol 0 0.24 -0.24 -2.22

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking →

Karmiotissa Polemidion xG trend

Current form -0.94 npxGD per match

All 4 matches with xG so far — the window fills at 6.

Out-created the opponent in 0 of 4 matches. The worst was against Aris Limassol on Sun 20/09 (-1.61).

npxG · last 4
1.31
npxGA · last 4
2.24
-2 -1 0 +1 -0.58 Sun 30/08 -0.82 Fri 04/09 -0.74 Sat 12/09 -1.61 Sun 20/09 -0.94 season avg
Karmiotissa Polemidion: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Sun 30/08 Pafos FC 2.20 2.78 -0.58 -0.58
Fri 04/09 ALS Omonia 1.45 2.27 -0.82 -0.70
Sat 12/09 Omonia Aradippou 1.33 2.07 -0.74 -0.71
Sun 20/09 Aris Limassol 0.24 1.85 -1.61 -0.94

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.31 npxG and 2.24 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
number 5 hardest of 14 in Cypriot First Division
+0.04 xG vs league average
Over 4 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

+0.04 xG vs league average · over 4 matches · number 5 hardest of 14

  1. Aris Limassol Away +0.33
  2. Omonia Aradippou Home −0.13
  3. ALS Omonia Away −0.42
  4. Pafos FC Home +0.38

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

Karmiotissa Polemidion shots and chance quality

Low volume, high quality. Karmiotissa Polemidion take 9.8 shots a match (league 12.0) at 0.13 npxG a shot (league 0.11), #13 in Cypriot First Division for volume and #3 for quality. 51% of their shots come from inside the box (league 57%).

Attack

Shot volume
9.8 shots per match
#13/14
Shot volume (shots per match) across Cypriot First Division, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Omonia Nicosia 18.0
#2 Pafos FC 17.5
=3 APOEL Nicosia 12.8
=3 Aris Limassol 12.8
#5 AEK Larnaca 12.0
=6 AEL Limassol 11.8
=6 Omonia Aradippou 11.8
=8 ALS Omonia 11.3
=8 Olympiakos Nicosia 11.3
#10 Nea Salamina Famagusta 10.5
#11 Enosis Neon Ypsona FC 10.3
#12 Anorthosis Famagusta 10.0
#13 Karmiotissa Polemidion 9.8
#14 Apollon Limassol 8.8
League avg
12.0
Total
39 shots from 4 matches
Chance quality
0.13 npxG per shot
#3/14
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Cypriot First Division, best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 AEK Larnaca 0.16
#2 ALS Omonia 0.13
#3 Karmiotissa Polemidion 0.13
#4 Olympiakos Nicosia 0.13
#5 Omonia Nicosia 0.12
#6 Apollon Limassol 0.11
#7 Pafos FC 0.11
#8 Nea Salamina Famagusta 0.11
#9 AEL Limassol 0.11
#10 Enosis Neon Ypsona FC 0.11
#11 Omonia Aradippou 0.10
#12 Aris Limassol 0.10
#13 APOEL Nicosia 0.09
#14 Anorthosis Famagusta 0.08
League avg
0.11
Total
5.22 npxG from 39 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
19.0 shots per match
#14/14
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Cypriot First Division, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 APOEL Nicosia 7.0
=2 Enosis Neon Ypsona FC 8.0
=2 Omonia Nicosia 8.0
#4 Aris Limassol 9.0
#5 AEL Limassol 10.8
#6 Anorthosis Famagusta 11.3
#7 Pafos FC 11.8
#8 Apollon Limassol 12.3
#9 AEK Larnaca 13.0
#10 Omonia Aradippou 13.8
#11 Nea Salamina Famagusta 14.0
#12 ALS Omonia 14.3
#13 Olympiakos Nicosia 15.0
#14 Karmiotissa Polemidion 19.0
League avg
12.0
Total
76 shots allowed from 4 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.12 npxGA per shot
#6/14
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Cypriot First Division, best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 APOEL Nicosia 0.07
#2 Omonia Nicosia 0.08
#3 Apollon Limassol 0.08
#4 Olympiakos Nicosia 0.08
#5 AEL Limassol 0.10
#6 Karmiotissa Polemidion 0.12
#7 Nea Salamina Famagusta 0.12
#8 Anorthosis Famagusta 0.12
#9 AEK Larnaca 0.12
#10 Omonia Aradippou 0.13
#11 Enosis Neon Ypsona FC 0.13
#12 Pafos FC 0.13
#13 Aris Limassol 0.14
#14 ALS Omonia 0.15
League avg
0.11
Total
8.97 npxGA from 76 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

51% inside the box

League avg 57%

From 20 of 39 shots over 4 matches

Early-season figure: after 4 matches, the share can move quickly.

Shots allowed, location

55% allowed inside the box

League avg 57%

From 42 of 76 shots allowed over 4 matches

Early-season figure: after 4 matches, the share can move quickly.

How the shot figures are made →

Karmiotissa Polemidion home and away xG

Karmiotissa Polemidion per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home only 2 matches with xG Away only 2 matches with xG
Matches 2 2
xG / match 1.77 0.85
xGA / match 2.81 2.06
xGD / match -1.04 -1.21
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 0.77 0.53

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every Karmiotissa Polemidion match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

This season

Matches
4
xG / match
1.31
xGA / match
2.43
xGD / match
-1.13
Points
3 of 12
  1. Sun 20/09 Aris Limassol A xG 0.24 xGA 1.84 xGD -1.60
  2. Sat 12/09 Omonia Aradippou H xG 1.33 xGA 2.83 P xGD -1.50
  3. Fri 04/09 ALS Omonia A xG 1.45 xGA 2.27 xGD -0.82
  4. Sun 30/08 Pafos FC H xG 2.20 xGA 2.78 xGD -0.58

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.00. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

Karmiotissa Polemidion in Cypriot First Division

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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