xgEdge

Expected goals

FK Jablonec expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

Czech First League · after 9 matches · updated 1 Oct

FK Jablonec's attacking and defensive expected goals in Czech First League 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

FK Jablonec xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
1.32 xG per match
#9/16
Attack (xG per match) across Czech First League, best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 SK Slavia Praha 2.38
#2 AC Sparta Praha 1.66
#3 FC Slovan Liberec 1.66
#4 Mladá Boleslav 1.45
#5 Viktoria Plzeň 1.43
#6 Bohemians Praha 1905 1.39
#7 Baník Ostrava 1.34
#8 FK Pardubice 1.34
#9 FK Jablonec 1.32
#10 FC Zbrojovka Brno 1.24
#11 SK Sigma Olomouc 1.23
#12 FK Teplice 1.20
#13 SK Líšeň 1.05
#14 FC Hradec Králové 1.03
#15 1. FC Slovácko 0.92
#16 FC Zlín 0.87
League avg
1.34
Total
11.90 9 matches
Defence
1.01 xGA per match
#2/16
Defence (xGA per match) across Czech First League, best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 FC Slovan Liberec 0.86
#2 FK Jablonec 1.01
#3 SK Slavia Praha 1.02
#4 FC Hradec Králové 1.05
#5 Viktoria Plzeň 1.10
#6 FK Pardubice 1.20
#7 SK Sigma Olomouc 1.21
#8 AC Sparta Praha 1.25
#9 FK Teplice 1.28
#10 Bohemians Praha 1905 1.37
#11 SK Líšeň 1.42
#12 FC Zlín 1.44
#13 FC Zbrojovka Brno 1.52
#14 1. FC Slovácko 1.88
#15 Baník Ostrava 1.89
#16 Mladá Boleslav 2.06
League avg
1.34
Total
9.12 9 matches
xG difference
+0.31 xGD per match
#5/16
xG difference (xGD per match) across Czech First League, best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 SK Slavia Praha +1.36
#2 FC Slovan Liberec +0.80
#3 AC Sparta Praha +0.41
#4 Viktoria Plzeň +0.32
#5 FK Jablonec +0.31
#6 FK Pardubice +0.14
#7 SK Sigma Olomouc +0.02
#8 Bohemians Praha 1905 +0.02
#9 FC Hradec Králové -0.02
#10 FK Teplice -0.08
#11 FC Zbrojovka Brno -0.28
#12 SK Líšeň -0.37
#13 Baník Ostrava -0.55
#14 FC Zlín -0.57
#15 Mladá Boleslav -0.62
#16 1. FC Slovácko -0.96
League avg
0.00
Total
+2.78 9 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
1.59 xPts per match
#5/16
Expected points (xPts per match) across Czech First League, best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 SK Slavia Praha 2.11
#2 FC Slovan Liberec 1.90
#3 AC Sparta Praha 1.68
#4 Viktoria Plzeň 1.61
#5 FK Jablonec 1.59
#6 FK Pardubice 1.46
#7 FC Hradec Králové 1.39
#8 SK Sigma Olomouc 1.39
#9 FC Zbrojovka Brno 1.33
#10 Bohemians Praha 1905 1.31
#11 FK Teplice 1.30
#12 SK Líšeň 1.11
#13 Mladá Boleslav 1.03
#14 Baník Ostrava 1.02
#15 FC Zlín 0.90
#16 1. FC Slovácko 0.88
League avg
1.38
Total
14.32 vs 14 actual pts

Early-season figures: after 9 matches, per-match rates can move quickly.

What the xG says

FK Jablonec's underlying numbers are among the best in Czech First League. They rank #5 for xG difference at +0.31 per match, built on high shot volume rather than low chance quality. Their 11 goals are 0.90 below 11.90 xG, while 14 points are 0.32 below 14.32 xPts. After only 9 matches, those gaps should still be read cautiously.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG
11 11.90 -0.90 scored 0.90 fewer than xG within normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
9 9.12 -0.12 conceded 0.12 fewer than xGA within normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
14 14.32 -0.32 0.32 points below xPts within normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

FK Jablonec are 0.90 goals below their xG after 9 matches.

Goals
11
xG
11.90
Gap
-0.90
Sun 26/07 Sun 02/08 Sun 09/08 Sun 30/08 Wed 02/09 Sun 06/09 Wed 09/09 Sat 12/09 Sun 20/09 -1 0 +1 +2 +3 +0.66 +2.05 +2.69 +1.54 +1.39 -0.08 +0.05 -0.74 -0.90 +0.66 +1.39 +0.64 -1.15 -0.15 -1.47 +0.13 -0.79 -0.16 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
FK Jablonec: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Sun 26/07 SK Sigma Olomouc 2 1.34 +0.66 +0.66
Sun 02/08 FK Pardubice 2 0.61 +1.39 +2.05
Sun 09/08 1. FC Slovácko 1 0.36 +0.64 +2.69
Sun 30/08 FK Teplice 0 1.15 -1.15 +1.54
Wed 02/09 Bohemians Praha 1905 1 1.15 -0.15 +1.39
Sun 06/09 FC Slovan Liberec 1 2.47 -1.47 -0.08
Wed 09/09 Baník Ostrava 3 2.87 +0.13 +0.05
Sat 12/09 AC Sparta Praha 0 0.79 -0.79 -0.74
Sun 20/09 FC Zlín 1 1.16 -0.16 -0.90

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking →

FK Jablonec xG trend

Current form +0.84 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 6 of 9 matches. The worst was against FK Pardubice on Sun 02/08 (-1.99).

npxG · last 6
1.62
npxGA · last 6
0.78
-2 -1 0 +1 +2 +3 +1.00 Sun 26/07 -1.99 Sun 02/08 -0.22 Sun 09/08 +0.36 Sun 30/08 +0.18 Wed 02/09 +2.26 Sun 06/09 +2.02 Wed 09/09 -0.54 Sat 12/09 +0.78 Sun 20/09 +0.43 season avg
FK Jablonec: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Sun 26/07 SK Sigma Olomouc 1.37 0.37 +1.00 +1.00
Sun 02/08 FK Pardubice 0.71 2.70 -1.99 -0.50
Sun 09/08 1. FC Slovácko 0.36 0.58 -0.22 -0.40
Sun 30/08 FK Teplice 1.15 0.79 +0.36 -0.21
Wed 02/09 Bohemians Praha 1905 1.15 0.97 +0.18 -0.13
Sun 06/09 FC Slovan Liberec 2.58 0.32 +2.26 +0.26
Wed 09/09 Baník Ostrava 2.87 0.85 +2.02 +0.52
Sat 12/09 AC Sparta Praha 0.79 1.33 -0.54 +0.38
Sun 20/09 FC Zlín 1.17 0.39 +0.78 +0.43

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.35 npxG and 0.92 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
tied number 14 hardest of 16 in Czech First League
−0.05 xG vs league average
Over 9 league matches
Last 5
tied number 9 hardest of 16 in Czech First League
0.00 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

−0.05 xG vs league average · over 9 matches · tied number 14 hardest of 16

  1. FC Zlín Home −0.45
  2. AC Sparta Praha Away +0.37
  3. Baník Ostrava Home −0.24
  4. FC Slovan Liberec Home +0.30
  5. Bohemians Praha 1905 Away 0.00
  6. FK Teplice Away −0.14
  7. 1. FC Slovácko Home −0.30
  8. FK Pardubice Away −0.03
  9. SK Sigma Olomouc Home +0.01

Last 5

0.00 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · tied number 9 hardest of 16

  1. FC Zlín Home −0.45
  2. AC Sparta Praha Away +0.37
  3. Baník Ostrava Home −0.24
  4. FC Slovan Liberec Home +0.30
  5. Bohemians Praha 1905 Away 0.00

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

FK Jablonec shots and chance quality

High volume, low quality. FK Jablonec take 15.7 shots a match (league 13.2) at 0.09 npxG a shot (league 0.10), #4 in Czech First League for volume and #11 for quality. 71% of their shots come from inside the box (league 64%), and set pieces produce 30% of their npxG (league 26%).

Attack

Shot volume
15.7 shots per match
#4/16
Shot volume (shots per match) across Czech First League, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 SK Slavia Praha 17.3
#2 AC Sparta Praha 16.6
#3 FC Slovan Liberec 16.2
#4 FK Jablonec 15.7
#5 FK Teplice 14.5
#6 Viktoria Plzeň 14.0
#7 FK Pardubice 13.0
#8 Bohemians Praha 1905 12.6
#9 Baník Ostrava 12.4
=10 FC Hradec Králové 12.0
=10 Mladá Boleslav 12.0
#12 FC Zlín 11.9
#13 FC Zbrojovka Brno 11.8
#14 1. FC Slovácko 11.0
#15 SK Sigma Olomouc 10.8
#16 SK Líšeň 9.8
League avg
13.2
Total
141 shots from 9 matches
Chance quality
0.09 npxG per shot
#11/16
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Czech First League, best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 SK Slavia Praha 0.13
#2 Mladá Boleslav 0.11
#3 SK Sigma Olomouc 0.11
#4 SK Líšeň 0.11
#5 FC Slovan Liberec 0.11
#6 FK Pardubice 0.10
#7 FC Zbrojovka Brno 0.10
#8 Baník Ostrava 0.10
#9 AC Sparta Praha 0.10
#10 Bohemians Praha 1905 0.09
#11 FK Jablonec 0.09
#12 FC Hradec Králové 0.09
#13 Viktoria Plzeň 0.08
#14 1. FC Slovácko 0.08
#15 FK Teplice 0.08
#16 FC Zlín 0.07
League avg
0.10
Total
12.15 npxG from 141 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
11.7 shots per match
#4/16
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Czech First League, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 SK Slavia Praha 10.7
#2 FC Slovan Liberec 10.8
#3 AC Sparta Praha 11.6
#4 FK Jablonec 11.7
#5 1. FC Slovácko 12.2
=6 SK Sigma Olomouc 12.4
=6 Viktoria Plzeň 12.4
#8 FC Zbrojovka Brno 13.0
#9 FK Pardubice 13.3
#10 Bohemians Praha 1905 13.6
#11 FC Hradec Králové 13.9
#12 FK Teplice 14.6
#13 Baník Ostrava 14.7
#14 FC Zlín 14.9
#15 SK Líšeň 15.0
#16 Mladá Boleslav 17.8
League avg
13.2
Total
105 shots allowed from 9 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.08 npxGA per shot
#3/16
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Czech First League, best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 FC Slovan Liberec 0.07
#2 FC Hradec Králové 0.08
#3 FK Jablonec 0.08
#4 Viktoria Plzeň 0.08
#5 FK Pardubice 0.09
#6 FC Zlín 0.09
#7 FK Teplice 0.09
#8 SK Líšeň 0.09
#9 SK Sigma Olomouc 0.09
#10 SK Slavia Praha 0.10
#11 AC Sparta Praha 0.10
#12 Bohemians Praha 1905 0.10
#13 Mladá Boleslav 0.11
#14 FC Zbrojovka Brno 0.12
#15 Baník Ostrava 0.13
#16 1. FC Slovácko 0.14
League avg
0.10
Total
8.30 npxGA from 105 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

71% inside the box

League avg 64%

From 100 of 141 shots over 9 matches

Early-season figure: after 9 matches, the share can move quickly.

Shots allowed, location

56% allowed inside the box

League avg 64%

From 59 of 105 shots allowed over 9 matches

Early-season figure: after 9 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG comes from

70% open play · 30% set pieces

League avg 26% set pieces

From 3.6 of 12.1 npxG over 9 matches

Early-season figure: after 9 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG allowed comes from

75% open play · 25% set pieces

League avg 26% set pieces

From 2.1 of 8.3 npxG allowed over 9 matches

Early-season figure: after 9 matches, the share can move quickly.

How the shot figures are made →

FK Jablonec home and away xG

FK Jablonec per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 5 4
xG / match 1.64 0.93
xGA / match 0.50 1.65
xGD / match +1.14 -0.73
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 2.14 0.91

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every FK Jablonec match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

This season

Matches
9
xG / match
1.32
xGA / match
1.01
xGD / match
+0.31
Points
14 of 27
  1. Sun 20/09 FC Zlín H xG 1.16 xGA 0.39 xGD +0.77
  2. Sat 12/09 AC Sparta Praha A xG 0.79 xGA 1.32 xGD -0.53
  3. Wed 09/09 Baník Ostrava H xG 2.87 xGA 0.85 xGD +2.02
  4. Sun 06/09 FC Slovan Liberec H Against the chances xG 2.47 xGA 0.32 xGD +2.15
  5. Wed 02/09 Bohemians Praha 1905 A xG 1.15 xGA 1.75 P xGD -0.60
  6. Sun 30/08 FK Teplice A xG 1.15 xGA 0.79 xGD +0.36
  7. Sun 09/08 1. FC Slovácko H xG 0.36 xGA 0.58 xGD -0.22
  8. Sun 02/08 FK Pardubice A Against the chances xG 0.61 xGA 2.75 xGD -2.14
  9. Sun 26/07 SK Sigma Olomouc H xG 1.34 xGA 0.37 xGD +0.97

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.00. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

FK Jablonec in Czech First League

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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