Excelsior's attacking and defensive expected goals in Eredivisie 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.
Excelsior xG and xGA per match
Every match ↓| Rank | Club | xG per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | PSV Eindhoven | 2.87 |
| #2 | Feyenoord | 2.76 |
| #3 | AFC Ajax | 2.65 |
| #4 | AZ Alkmaar | 2.55 |
| #5 | FC Twente | 2.28 |
| #6 | Go Ahead Eagles | 1.91 |
| #7 | Sparta Rotterdam | 1.64 |
| #8 | NEC Nijmegen | 1.60 |
| #9 | FC Groningen | 1.54 |
| #10 | FC Utrecht | 1.41 |
| #11 | SC Cambuur | 1.35 |
| #12 | Excelsior | 1.35 |
| #13 | Willem II Tilburg | 1.29 |
| #14 | SC Heerenveen | 1.26 |
| #15 | SC Telstar | 1.09 |
| #16 | Fortuna Sittard | 0.97 |
| #17 | PEC Zwolle | 0.94 |
| #18 | ADO Den Haag | 0.90 |
- League avg
- 1.69
- Total
- 9.43 7 matches
| Rank | Club | xGA per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | FC Twente | 0.75 |
| #2 | Feyenoord | 0.80 |
| #3 | AZ Alkmaar | 0.95 |
| #4 | AFC Ajax | 1.25 |
| #5 | SC Heerenveen | 1.36 |
| #6 | PSV Eindhoven | 1.37 |
| #7 | Excelsior | 1.44 |
| #8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 1.63 |
| #9 | ADO Den Haag | 1.90 |
| #10 | NEC Nijmegen | 1.92 |
| #11 | FC Groningen | 1.93 |
| #12 | SC Cambuur | 2.04 |
| #13 | SC Telstar | 2.05 |
| #14 | PEC Zwolle | 2.06 |
| #15 | Sparta Rotterdam | 2.10 |
| #16 | FC Utrecht | 2.11 |
| #17 | Willem II Tilburg | 2.28 |
| #18 | Fortuna Sittard | 2.42 |
- League avg
- 1.69
- Total
- 10.08 7 matches
| Rank | Club | xGD per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Feyenoord | +1.96 |
| #2 | AZ Alkmaar | +1.60 |
| #3 | FC Twente | +1.53 |
| #4 | PSV Eindhoven | +1.51 |
| #5 | AFC Ajax | +1.40 |
| #6 | Go Ahead Eagles | +0.28 |
| #7 | Excelsior | -0.09 |
| #8 | SC Heerenveen | -0.10 |
| #9 | NEC Nijmegen | -0.32 |
| #10 | FC Groningen | -0.39 |
| #11 | Sparta Rotterdam | -0.46 |
| #12 | SC Cambuur | -0.68 |
| #13 | FC Utrecht | -0.70 |
| #14 | SC Telstar | -0.96 |
| #15 | Willem II Tilburg | -0.99 |
| #16 | ADO Den Haag | -1.00 |
| #17 | PEC Zwolle | -1.12 |
| #18 | Fortuna Sittard | -1.46 |
- League avg
- 0.00
- Total
- -0.65 7 matches
| Rank | Club | xPts per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Feyenoord | 2.49 |
| #2 | FC Twente | 2.43 |
| #3 | AZ Alkmaar | 2.30 |
| #4 | AFC Ajax | 2.20 |
| #5 | PSV Eindhoven | 2.18 |
| #6 | Go Ahead Eagles | 1.59 |
| #7 | Excelsior | 1.31 |
| #8 | FC Groningen | 1.28 |
| #9 | SC Heerenveen | 1.28 |
| #10 | NEC Nijmegen | 1.18 |
| #11 | Sparta Rotterdam | 1.15 |
| #12 | FC Utrecht | 1.14 |
| #13 | SC Cambuur | 0.91 |
| #14 | ADO Den Haag | 0.85 |
| #15 | SC Telstar | 0.79 |
| #16 | Willem II Tilburg | 0.79 |
| #17 | PEC Zwolle | 0.73 |
| #18 | Fortuna Sittard | 0.72 |
- League avg
- 1.41
- Total
- 9.16 vs 11 actual pts
Early-season figures: after 7 matches, per-match rates can move quickly.
What the xG says
Excelsior's underlying numbers sit close to the Eredivisie average. They rank #7 for xG difference at -0.09 per match, built on high chance quality rather than low shot volume. Their 15 goals are 5.57 above 9.43 xG, while 11 points are 1.84 above 9.16 xPts. After only 7 matches, those gaps should still be read cautiously.
Actual vs expected
Select a row to chart it across the season.
Goals minus xG, match by match
Excelsior are 5.57 goals above their xG after 7 matches.
- Goals
- 15
- xG
- 9.43
- Gap
- +5.57
- This match
- Match gap
- Running gap
| Date | Opponent | Goals | xG | Match gap | Running gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri 07/08 | SC Cambuur | 4 | 2.87 | +1.13 | +1.13 |
| Sat 15/08 | PSV Eindhoven | 1 | 0.51 | +0.49 | +1.62 |
| Sat 29/08 | Sparta Rotterdam | 2 | 1.21 | +0.79 | +2.41 |
| Sat 05/09 | Willem II Tilburg | 3 | 1.60 | +1.40 | +3.81 |
| Tue 08/09 | NEC Nijmegen | 2 | 1.81 | +0.19 | +4.00 |
| Sun 13/09 | FC Utrecht | 1 | 0.61 | +0.39 | +4.39 |
| Sat 19/09 | AFC Ajax | 2 | 0.82 | +1.18 | +5.57 |
Excelsior xG trend
Current form -0.46 npxGD per match
The last 6 matches with xG.
Out-created the opponent in 4 of 7 matches. The worst was against PSV Eindhoven on Sat 15/08 (-1.89).
- npxG · last 6
- 1.06
- npxGA · last 6
- 1.52
- npxG
- npxGA
- npxGD
- Avg so far
| Date | Opponent | npxG | npxGA | npxGD | Avg so far |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri 07/08 | SC Cambuur | 3.35 | 0.70 | +2.65 | +2.65 |
| Sat 15/08 | PSV Eindhoven | 0.32 | 2.21 | -1.89 | +0.38 |
| Sat 29/08 | Sparta Rotterdam | 1.18 | 0.97 | +0.21 | +0.32 |
| Sat 05/09 | Willem II Tilburg | 1.60 | 0.74 | +0.86 | +0.46 |
| Tue 08/09 | NEC Nijmegen | 1.81 | 1.36 | +0.45 | +0.46 |
| Sun 13/09 | FC Utrecht | 0.61 | 1.42 | -0.81 | +0.24 |
| Sat 19/09 | AFC Ajax | 0.82 | 2.39 | -1.57 | -0.01 |
Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.38 npxG and 1.40 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.
Strength of schedule
- Season so far
- number 7 hardest of 18 in Eredivisie
- +0.05 xG vs league average
- Over 7 league matches
- Last 5
- number 12 hardest of 18 in Eredivisie
- −0.03 xG vs league average
- Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures
Season so far
+0.05 xG vs league average · over 7 matches · number 7 hardest of 18
- AFC Ajax Away +0.62
- FC Utrecht Home −0.04
- NEC Nijmegen Away +0.13
- Willem II Tilburg Away −0.55
- Sparta Rotterdam Home −0.34
- PSV Eindhoven Home +0.84
- SC Cambuur Away −0.29
Last 5
−0.03 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 12 hardest of 18
- AFC Ajax Away +0.62
- FC Utrecht Home −0.04
- NEC Nijmegen Away +0.13
- Willem II Tilburg Away −0.55
- Sparta Rotterdam Home −0.34
Excelsior shots and chance quality
Low volume, high quality. Excelsior take 11.3 shots a match (league 15.0) at 0.12 npxG a shot (league 0.11), #14 in Eredivisie for volume and #5 for quality. 73% of their shots come from inside the box (league 66%), and set pieces produce 17% of their npxG (league 18%).
Attack
| Rank | Club | shots per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | AFC Ajax | 24.7 |
| #2 | Feyenoord | 22.3 |
| #3 | FC Twente | 21.6 |
| #4 | PSV Eindhoven | 21.0 |
| #5 | AZ Alkmaar | 19.4 |
| #6 | SC Heerenveen | 16.0 |
| =7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 15.1 |
| =7 | NEC Nijmegen | 15.1 |
| #9 | FC Groningen | 15.0 |
| #10 | Sparta Rotterdam | 13.1 |
| =11 | ADO Den Haag | 11.9 |
| =11 | SC Cambuur | 11.9 |
| =11 | Willem II Tilburg | 11.9 |
| #14 | Excelsior | 11.3 |
| #15 | FC Utrecht | 10.9 |
| #16 | PEC Zwolle | 10.6 |
| #17 | Fortuna Sittard | 10.1 |
| #18 | SC Telstar | 7.9 |
- League avg
- 15.0
- Total
- 79 shots from 7 matches
| Rank | Club | npxG per shot |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | AZ Alkmaar | 0.13 |
| #2 | Go Ahead Eagles | 0.13 |
| #3 | PSV Eindhoven | 0.13 |
| #4 | Sparta Rotterdam | 0.12 |
| #5 | Excelsior | 0.12 |
| #6 | FC Utrecht | 0.12 |
| #7 | Feyenoord | 0.12 |
| #8 | SC Cambuur | 0.11 |
| #9 | Willem II Tilburg | 0.11 |
| #10 | AFC Ajax | 0.11 |
| #11 | SC Telstar | 0.10 |
| #12 | NEC Nijmegen | 0.10 |
| #13 | FC Groningen | 0.10 |
| #14 | FC Twente | 0.09 |
| #15 | Fortuna Sittard | 0.09 |
| #16 | PEC Zwolle | 0.09 |
| #17 | SC Heerenveen | 0.08 |
| #18 | ADO Den Haag | 0.08 |
- League avg
- 0.11
- Total
- 9.69 npxG from 79 shots
Defence
| Rank | Club | shots per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | AZ Alkmaar | 8.1 |
| =2 | AFC Ajax | 9.6 |
| =2 | Feyenoord | 9.6 |
| #4 | FC Twente | 10.0 |
| #5 | PSV Eindhoven | 10.1 |
| #6 | NEC Nijmegen | 11.6 |
| #7 | FC Groningen | 15.1 |
| =8 | SC Cambuur | 15.9 |
| =8 | SC Heerenveen | 15.9 |
| =10 | ADO Den Haag | 16.1 |
| =10 | Excelsior | 16.1 |
| #12 | Go Ahead Eagles | 16.6 |
| #13 | SC Telstar | 17.9 |
| #14 | Sparta Rotterdam | 18.0 |
| #15 | FC Utrecht | 18.6 |
| #16 | Willem II Tilburg | 19.9 |
| #17 | Fortuna Sittard | 20.3 |
| #18 | PEC Zwolle | 20.4 |
- League avg
- 15.0
- Total
- 113 shots allowed from 7 matches
| Rank | Club | npxGA per shot |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | FC Twente | 0.06 |
| #2 | Feyenoord | 0.08 |
| #3 | Excelsior | 0.09 |
| #4 | SC Heerenveen | 0.09 |
| #5 | Go Ahead Eagles | 0.09 |
| #6 | PEC Zwolle | 0.10 |
| #7 | FC Utrecht | 0.10 |
| #8 | SC Telstar | 0.11 |
| #9 | ADO Den Haag | 0.11 |
| #10 | SC Cambuur | 0.11 |
| #11 | Willem II Tilburg | 0.11 |
| #12 | Fortuna Sittard | 0.12 |
| #13 | Sparta Rotterdam | 0.12 |
| #14 | AZ Alkmaar | 0.12 |
| #15 | FC Groningen | 0.12 |
| #16 | AFC Ajax | 0.13 |
| #17 | PSV Eindhoven | 0.13 |
| #18 | NEC Nijmegen | 0.17 |
- League avg
- 0.11
- Total
- 9.79 npxGA from 113 shots
Shot profile
73% inside the box
League avg 66%
From 58 of 79 shots over 7 matches
Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.
68% allowed inside the box
League avg 66%
From 77 of 113 shots allowed over 7 matches
Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.
83% open play · 17% set pieces
League avg 18% set pieces
From 1.7 of 9.7 npxG over 7 matches
Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.
84% open play · 16% set pieces
League avg 18% set pieces
From 1.5 of 9.7 npxG allowed over 7 matches
Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.
Excelsior home and away xG
| Measure | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 3 | 4 |
| xG / match | 0.78 | 1.78 |
| xGA / match | 1.54 | 1.36 |
| xGD / match | -0.77 | +0.41 |
| xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → | 0.82 | 1.67 |
Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.
Every Excelsior match by xG
Away this season
- Matches
- 4
- xG / match
- 1.78
- xGA / match
- 1.36
- xGD / match
- +0.41
- Points
- 8 of 12
Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.00. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.
Excelsior in Eredivisie
Attack
- xG / match #12 of 18
- Shots / match #14 of 18
- Chance quality #5 of 18
- Home xG #18 of 18
- Away xG #6 of 18
Defence
- xGA / match #7 of 18
- Shots allowed =10 of 18
- Chance quality allowed #3 of 18
About the data
- xG data
- Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
- Derived metrics
- xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
- Model metrics
- xPts is produced by our probability model.